scholarly journals Loss of Significance and Multidecadal Variability of the Madden–Julian Oscillation

2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (13) ◽  
pp. 3739-3751 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Suhas ◽  
B. N. Goswami

Abstract Change in significance and multidecadal variability of the Northern Hemispheric winter MJO during 1948–2006 is examined using NCEP–NCAR reanalysis data. Variation of the MJO power relative to a red background is estimated by isolating the MJO signal through frequency–wavenumber spectral analysis using a 10-yr sliding window. It is shown that during the period of study, the rate of increase of background power has been larger than the rate of increase of the MJO power, leading to a decreasing trend of significant MJO power. It is also found that a multidecadal variation rides on the decreasing trend of significant power of the MJO. Another finding is that the zonal mean component of the zonal wind at 200 hPa on a MJO time scale has a significant increasing trend. Both of the above trends are statistically significant at the 95% confidence level. Energetics calculations in the wavenumber domain were carried out to understand why the significant MJO power is not increasing as fast as the red background. It is shown that long waves (wavenumbers 1–3, i.e., the MJO scale) lose energy to the zonal mean flow and the rate of kinetic energy gain by the zonal mean flow from the long waves has a linear increasing trend. Thus, while the MJO is also being energized by a warming ocean, it is losing increasingly more energy to the zonal mean flow, making the zonal mean more energetic while losing its own significance at the same time. It is found that the observed multidecadal variability of the significant MJO power has no relationship with other well-known multidecadal variability. However, the authors find that the multidecadal variability of the MJO and the rate of kinetic energy exchange between the zonal mean flow and long waves are closely linked, indicating that the observed multidecadal variability of the MJO is internally driven.

2020 ◽  
Vol 50 (5) ◽  
pp. 1365-1382 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Perfect ◽  
N. Kumar ◽  
J. J. Riley

AbstractSeamounts have been theorized to act as “stirring rods,” converting barotropic flow into an unsteady wake, turbulence, and diapycnal mixing. The energetics of these processes are not well understood, but they may have implications for basin-scale mixing calculations. This study presents the results of a series of simulations for idealized seamounts in steady barotropic flow, with varying degrees of stratification and rotation. The kinetic energy within each simulation domain is decomposed into the mean kinetic energy, unsteady eddy energy, and turbulent kinetic energy; evolution equations are derived for each. Within the evolution equations, energy exchange terms arise, which relate the various forms of kinetic energy and potential energy. Key exchange terms, such as the rate at which the mean flow is converted into eddy energy, are compared across the Froude–Rossby parameter space. It is shown that the conversion terms associated with mesoscale motions are a function of the Burger number, which is consistent with a quasigeostrophic flow regime. Conversely, conversion terms associated with turbulent processes scale with the product of the Froude and Rossby number. The amount of energy extracted from the mean flows suggests that wake effects may be significant for the parameter range and model assumptions studied. These results suggest that some seamounts may indeed act as oceanic stirring rods.


2006 ◽  
Vol 63 (12) ◽  
pp. 3277-3295 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sachiyo Uno ◽  
Toshiki Iwasaki

A cascade-type energy conversion diagram is proposed for the purpose of diagnosing the atmospheric general circulation based on wave–mean flow interactions. Mass-weighted isentropic zonal means facilitate the expression of nongeostrophic wave effects, conservation properties, and lower boundary conditions. To gain physical insights into energetics based on the nonacceleration theorem, the wave energy W is defined as the sum of the eddy available potential energy PE and the eddy kinetic energy KE. The mainstream of the energy cascade is as follows: The diabatic heating produces the zonal mean available potential energy PZ, which is converted into the zonal mean kinetic energy KZ through the mean meridional circulation. The KZ is mainly converted to W through zonal wave–mean flow interactions and the rest is dissipated through friction. Not only the dynamical conversion but also the diabatic heating generates W, which is dissipated through friction. A diagnosis package is designed to analyze actual atmospheric data on the standard pressure surfaces. A validation study of the package is made by using the output from a general circulation model. The scheme accurately expresses tendencies of the zonal mean and eddy available potential energy equations, showing the diagnosis capability. On shorter time scales, PE changes in accordance with KE, good correlation indicating the relevance of the definition of wave energy. A preliminary study is made of the climate in December–February (DJF), and June–August (JJA), using the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis. The dynamical wave energy generation rate C(KZ, W) is about 60% of the conversion rate C(PZ, KZ), which means that KZ is dissipated through friction at a rate of about 40%. In the extratropics, C(KZ, W) is almost equal to C(PZ, KZ), as is expected from quasigeostrophic balance. In the subtropics, however, C(KZ, W) is much smaller than C(PZ, KZ), which suggests the importance of nongeostrophic effects on the energetics. The energetics is substantially different between the two solstices. Both C(PZ, KZ) and C(KZ, W) are about 30% larger in DJF than those in JJA, reflecting differences in wave activity. Stationary waves contribute considerably to energy conversions in the Northern Hemispheric winter, while baroclinic instability waves do more in the Southern Hemispheric winter than in the Northern Hemispheric winter.


2015 ◽  
Vol 45 (9) ◽  
pp. 2294-2314 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shane Elipot ◽  
Lisa M. Beal

AbstractThe Agulhas Current intermittently undergoes dramatic offshore excursions from its mean path because of the downstream passage of mesoscale solitary meanders or Natal pulses. New observations and analyses are presented of the variability of the current and its meanders using mooring observations from the Agulhas Current Time-Series Experiment (ACT) near 34°S. Using a new rotary EOF method, mesoscale meanders and smaller-scale meanders are differentiated and each captured in a single mode of variance. During mesoscale meanders, an onshore cyclonic circulation and an offshore anticyclonic circulation act together to displace the jet offshore, leading to sudden and strong positive conversion of kinetic energy from the mean flow to the meander via nonlinear interactions. Smaller meanders are principally represented by a single cyclonic circulation spanning the entire jet that acts to displace the jet without extracting kinetic energy from the mean flow. Synthesizing in situ observations with altimeter data leads to an account of the number of mesoscale meanders at 34°S: 1.6 yr−1 on average, in agreement with a recent analysis by Rouault and Penven (2011) and significantly less than previously understood. The links between meanders and the arrival of Mozambique Channel eddies or Madagascar dipoles at the western boundary upstream are found to be robust in the 20-yr altimeter record. Yet, only a small fraction of anomalies arriving at the western boundary result in meanders, and of those, two-thirds can be related to ring shedding. Most Agulhas rings are shed independently of meanders.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephan Juricke ◽  
Sergey Danilov ◽  
Marcel Oliver ◽  
Nikolay Koldunov ◽  
Dmitry Sidorenko ◽  
...  

<p>Capturing mesoscale eddy dynamics is crucial for accurate simulations of the large-scale ocean currents as well as oceanic and climate variability. Eddy-mean flow interactions affect the position, strength and variations of mean currents and eddies are important drivers of oceanic heat transport and atmosphere-ocean-coupling. However, simulations at eddy-permitting resolutions are substantially underestimating eddy variability and eddy kinetic energy many times over. Such eddy-permitting simulations will be in use for years to come, both in coupled and uncoupled climate simulations. We present a set of kinetic energy backscatter schemes with different complexity as alternative momentum closures that can alleviate some eddy related biases such as biases in the mean currents, in sea surface height variability and in temperature and salinity. The complexity of the schemes reflects in their computational costs, the related simulation improvements and their adaptability to different resolutions. However, all schemes outperform classical viscous closures and are computationally less expensive than a related necessary resolution increase to achieve similar results. While the backscatter schemes are implemented in the ocean model FESOM2, the concepts can be adjusted to any ocean model including NEMO.</p>


Author(s):  
Buo-Fu Chen ◽  
Christopher A. Davis ◽  
Ying-Hwa Kuo

AbstractIdealized numerical studies have suggested that in addition to vertical wind shear (VWS) magnitude, the VWS profile also affects tropical cyclone (TC) development. A way to further understand the VWS profile’s effect is to examine the interaction between a TC and various shear-relative low-level mean flow (LMF) orientations. This study mainly uses the ERA5 reanalysis to verify that, consistent with idealized simulations, boundary-layer processes associated with different shear-relative LMF orientations affect real-world TC’s intensity and size. Based on analyses of 720 TCs from multiple basins during 2004–2016, a TC affected by an LMF directed toward downshear-left in the Northern Hemisphere favors intensification, whereas an LMF directed toward upshear-right is favorable for expansion. Furthermore, physical processes associated with shear-relative LMF orientation may also partly explain the relationship between the VWS direction and TC development, as there is a correlation between the two variables.The analysis of reanalysis data provides other new insights. The relationship between shear-relative LMF and intensification is not significantly modified by other factors [inner-core sea surface temperature (SST), VWS magnitude, and relative humidity (RH)]. However, the relationship regarding expansion is partly attributed to environmental SST and RH variations for various LMF orientations. Moreover, SST is critical to the basin-dependent variability of the relationship between the shear-relative LMF and intensification. For Atlantic TCs, the relationship between LMF orientation and intensification is inconsistent with all-basin statistics unless the analysis is restricted to a representative subset of samples associated with generally favorable conditions.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuki Matsushita ◽  
Daiki Kado ◽  
Masashi Kohma ◽  
Kaoru Sato

Abstract. Focusing on the interannual variabilities in the zonal mean fields and Rossby wave forcing in austral winter, an interhemispheric coupling in the stratosphere is examined using reanalysis data: the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2). In the present study, the Eliassen-Palm (EP) flux divergence averaged over the latitude and height regions of 50°–30° S and 0.3–1 hPa, respectively, are used as a proxy of the Rossby wave forcing, where the absolute value of the EP flux divergence is maximized in the winter in the Southern Hemisphere (SH). The interannual variabilities in the zonal mean temperature and zonal wind are significantly correlated with the SH Rossby wave forcing in the stratosphere in both the SH and Northern Hemisphere (NH). The interannual variability in the strength of the poleward residual mean flow in the SH stratosphere is also correlated with the strength of the wave forcing. This correlation is significant even around the equator at an altitude of 40 km and at NH low latitudes of 20–40 km. The temperature anomaly is consistent with this residual mean flow anomaly. The relationship between the cross-equatorial flow and the zonal mean absolute angular momentum gradient (My) is examined in the meridional cross section. The My around the equator at the altitude of 40 km is small when the wave forcing is strong, which provides a pathway for the cross-equatorial residual mean flow. These results indicate that an interhemispheric coupling is present in the stratosphere through the meridional circulation modulated by the Rossby wave forcing.


2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (6) ◽  
pp. 2057-2077 ◽  
Author(s):  
Konstantinos Menelaou ◽  
M. K. Yau

Abstract The role of asymmetric convection to the intensity change of a weak vortex is investigated with the aid of a “dry” thermally forced model. Numerical experiments are conducted, starting with a weak vortex forced by a localized thermal anomaly. The concept of wave activity, the Eliassen–Palm flux, and eddy kinetic energy are then applied to identify the nature of the dominant generated waves and to diagnose their kinematics, structure, and impact on the primary vortex. The physical reasons for which disagreements with previous studies exist are also investigated utilizing the governing equation for potential vorticity (PV) perturbations and a number of sensitivity experiments. From the control experiment, it is found that the response of the vortex is dominated by the radiation of a damped sheared vortex Rossby wave (VRW) that acts to accelerate the symmetric flow through the transport of angular momentum. An increase of the kinetic energy of the symmetric flow by the VRW is shown also from the eddy kinetic energy budget. Additional tests performed on the structure and the magnitude of the initial thermal forcing confirm the robustness of the results and emphasize the significance of the wave–mean flow interaction to the intensification process. From the sensitivity experiments, it is found that for a localized thermal anomaly, regardless of the baroclinicity of the vortex and the radial and vertical gradients of the thermal forcing, the resultant PV perturbation follows a damping behavior, thus suggesting that deceleration of the vortex should not be expected.


2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (13) ◽  
pp. 4799-4818 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanjuan Guo ◽  
Toshiaki Shinoda ◽  
Jialin Lin ◽  
Edmund K. M. Chang

This study investigates the intraseasonal variations of the Northern Hemispheric storm track associated with the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) during the extended boreal winter (November–April) using 36 yr (1979–2014) of reanalysis data from ERA-Interim. Two methods have been used to diagnose storm-track variations. In the first method, the storm track is quantified by the temporal-filtered variance of 250-hPa meridional wind (vv250) or mean sea level pressure (pp). The intraseasonal anomalies of vv250 composited for eight MJO phases are characterized by a zonal band of strong positive (or negative) anomalies meandering from the Pacific all the way across North America and the Atlantic into northern Europe, with weaker anomalies of opposite sign at one or both flanks. The results based on pp are consistent with those based on vv250 except for larger zonal variations, which may be induced by surface topography. In the second method, an objective cyclone-tracking scheme has been used to track the extratropical cyclones that compose the storm track. The MJO-composite anomalies of the “accumulated” cyclone activity, a quantity that includes contributions from both the cyclone frequency and cyclone mean intensity, are very similar to those based on pp. Further analysis demonstrates that major contribution comes from variations in the cyclone frequency. Further analysis suggests that the intraseasonal variations of the storm track can be primarily attributed to the variations of the mean flow that responds to the anomalous MJO convections in the tropics, with possible contribution also from the moisture variations.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document