scholarly journals Shepard and Hardy Multiquadric Interpolation Methods for Multicomponent Aerosol–Cloud Parameterization

2009 ◽  
Vol 66 (1) ◽  
pp. 105-115 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexandru Rap ◽  
Satyajit Ghosh ◽  
Michael H. Smith
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Interpolation Method ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Cloud Droplet ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Aerosol Cloud ◽  
Aerosol Mass ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Interpolation Techniques ◽  
Cloud Parameterization

Abstract This paper presents a novel method based on the application of interpolation techniques to the multicomponent aerosol–cloud parameterization for global climate modeling. Quantifying the aerosol indirect effect still remains a difficult task, and thus developing parameterizations for general circulation models (GCMs) of the microphysics of clouds and their interactions with aerosols is a major challenge for climate modelers. Three aerosol species are considered in this paper—namely sulfate, sea salt, and biomass smoke—and a detailed microphysical chemical parcel model is used to obtain a dataset of points relating the cloud droplet number concentration (CDNC) to the three aerosol input masses. The resulting variation of CDNC with the aerosol mass has some nonlinear features that require a complex but efficient parameterization to be easily incorporated into GCMs. In bicomponent systems, simple interpolation techniques may be sufficient to relate the CDNC to the aerosol mass, but with increasing components, simple methods fail. The parameterization technique proposed in this study employs either the modified Shepard interpolation method or the Hardy multiquadrics interpolation method, and the numerical results obtained show that both methods provide realistic results for a wide range of aerosol mass loadings. This is the first application of these two interpolation techniques to aerosol–cloud interaction studies.

Ecosystem modelling of the cycling of marine dimethylsulfide: a review of current approaches and of the potential for extrapolation to global scales

2004 ◽  
Vol 61 (5) ◽  
pp. 845-856 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alain F Vézina
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Turbulence Models ◽  
Ecosystem Model ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Ecosystem Modelling ◽  
Ecosystem Models ◽  
Surface Ocean ◽  
Wide Range

There is rising interest from oceanic and atmospheric scientists in the potential role of dimethylsulphide (DMS) in regulating global climate. The increased availability of field observations of DMS and related compounds (DMS(P)) and of their transformation rates in the ocean has stimulated the development of ecosystem models of marine sulfur cycling. The models cover a wide range of complexity levels and spatial/temporal scales, from zero-dimensional local simulations spanning a few days to regional/global simulations driven by ocean general circulation models. The degree of complexity required to model DMS(P) dynamics, particularly the differentiation into phyto plankton species or groups, remains an important open question. First attempts to drive these models with vertically resolved turbulence models suggest interesting interactions between DMS(P) dynamics and fine-scale ocean mixing that can modify fluxes of DMS to the atmosphere. Recent models also bring into focus the strong affinities between the cycling of DMS(P) and that of dissolved organic carbon in the surface ocean. Formal parameter estimation techniques, which are increasingly used in ecosystem modelling of carbon and nitrogen dynamics, should play a stronger role in the development of DMS sulfur modelling. Extrapolation of DMS cycling and fluxes to the global scale presently relies largely on empirical approach. A semiempirical approach, based on a simple ecosystem model, is shown to reproduce gross features of the global distribution of DMS in the surface ocean. This shows promise for the continuing development of ecosystem models for global modelling of marine sulfur fluxes to the atmosphere.

scholarly journals Global and regional modeling of clouds and aerosols in the marine boundary layer during VOCALS: the VOCA intercomparison

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 153-172 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. C. Wyant ◽  
C. S. Bretherton ◽  
R. Wood ◽  
G. R. Carmichael ◽  
A. Clarke ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Marine Boundary Layer ◽  
Quantitative Estimation ◽  
Cloud Condensation Nuclei ◽  
Cloud Droplet ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Free Troposphere ◽  
Aerosol Cloud ◽  
Aerosol Cloud Interactions

Abstract. A diverse collection of models are used to simulate the marine boundary layer in the southeast Pacific region during the period of the October–November 2008 VOCALS REx (VAMOS Ocean Cloud Atmosphere Land Study Regional Experiment) field campaign. Regional models simulate the period continuously in boundary-forced free-running mode, while global forecast models and GCMs (general circulation models) are run in forecast mode. The models are compared to extensive observations along a line at 20° S extending westward from the South American coast. Most of the models simulate cloud and aerosol characteristics and gradients across the region that are recognizably similar to observations, despite the complex interaction of processes involved in the problem, many of which are parameterized or poorly resolved. Some models simulate the regional low cloud cover well, though many models underestimate MBL (marine boundary layer) depth near the coast. Most models qualitatively simulate the observed offshore gradients of SO2, sulfate aerosol, CCN (cloud condensation nuclei) concentration in the MBL as well as differences in concentration between the MBL and the free troposphere. Most models also qualitatively capture the decrease in cloud droplet number away from the coast. However, there are large quantitative intermodel differences in both means and gradients of these quantities. Many models are able to represent episodic offshore increases in cloud droplet number and aerosol concentrations associated with periods of offshore flow. Most models underestimate CCN (at 0.1% supersaturation) in the MBL and free troposphere. The GCMs also have difficulty simulating coastal gradients in CCN and cloud droplet number concentration near the coast. The overall performance of the models demonstrates their potential utility in simulating aerosol–cloud interactions in the MBL, though quantitative estimation of aerosol–cloud interactions and aerosol indirect effects of MBL clouds with these models remains uncertain.

scholarly journals Why do general circulation models overestimate the aerosol cloud lifetime effect? A case study comparing CAM5 and a CRM

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-29 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cheng Zhou ◽  
Joyce E. Penner
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Global Climate Model ◽  
Cloud Droplet ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Condensation Process ◽  
Liquid Water Path ◽  
Aerosol Cloud ◽  
Aerosol Loading

Abstract. Observation-based studies have shown that the aerosol cloud lifetime effect or the increase of cloud liquid water path (LWP) with increased aerosol loading may have been overestimated in climate models. Here, we simulate shallow warm clouds on 27 May 2011 at the southern Great Plains (SGP) measurement site established by the Department of Energy's (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program using a single-column version of a global climate model (Community Atmosphere Model or CAM) and a cloud resolving model (CRM). The LWP simulated by CAM increases substantially with aerosol loading while that in the CRM does not. The increase of LWP in CAM is caused by a large decrease of the autoconversion rate when cloud droplet number increases. In the CRM, the autoconversion rate is also reduced, but this is offset or even outweighed by the increased evaporation of cloud droplets near the cloud top, resulting in an overall decrease in LWP. Our results suggest that climate models need to include the dependence of cloud top growth and the evaporation/condensation process on cloud droplet number concentrations.

scholarly journals Simulation of Extreme Precipitation in Four Climate Regions in China by General Circulation Models (GCMs): Performance and Projections

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 1509
Author(s):  
Mengru Zhang ◽  
Xiaoli Yang ◽  
Liliang Ren ◽  
Ming Pan ◽  
Shanhu Jiang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Extreme Precipitation ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Summer Precipitation ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Extreme Precipitation Events ◽  
Increasing Trend ◽  
The Future ◽  
Semi Arid

In the context of global climate change, it is important to monitor abnormal changes in extreme precipitation events that lead to frequent floods. This research used precipitation indices to describe variations in extreme precipitation and analyzed the characteristics of extreme precipitation in four climatic (arid, semi-arid, semi-humid and humid) regions across China. The equidistant cumulative distribution function (EDCDF) method was used to downscale and bias-correct daily precipitation in eight Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) general circulation models (GCMs). From 1961 to 2005, the humid region had stronger and longer extreme precipitation compared with the other regions. In the future, the projected extreme precipitation is mainly concentrated in summer, and there will be large areas with substantial changes in maximum consecutive 5-day precipitation (Rx5) and precipitation intensity (SDII). The greatest differences between two scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) are in semi-arid and semi-humid areas for summer precipitation anomalies. However, the area of the four regions with an increasing trend of extreme precipitation is larger under the RCP8.5 scenario than that under the RCP4.5 scenario. The increasing trend of extreme precipitation in the future is relatively pronounced, especially in humid areas, implying a potential heightened flood risk in these areas.

scholarly journals Boundary conditions for the Middle Miocene Climate Transition (MMCT v1.0)

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amanda Frigola ◽  
Matthias Prange ◽  
Michael Schulz
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Conditions ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Middle Miocene ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Co2 Concentration ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Global Climate Models ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
Climate Transition

Abstract. The Middle Miocene Climate Transition was characterized by major Antarctic ice-sheet expansion and global cooling during the interval ~ 15–13 Ma. Here we present two sets of boundary conditions for global general circulation models characterizing the periods before (Middle Miocene Climatic Optimum; MMCO) and after (Middle Miocene Glaciation; MMG) the transition. These boundary conditions include Middle Miocene global topography, bathymetry and vegetation. Additionally, Antarctic ice volume and geometry, sea-level and atmospheric CO2 concentration estimates for the MMCO and the MMG are reviewed. The boundary-condition files are available for use as input in a wide variety of global climate models and constitute a valuable tool for modeling studies with a focus on the Middle Miocene.

scholarly journals The faint young Sun problem revisited with a 3-D climate–carbon model – Part 1

2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 697-713 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Le Hir ◽  
Y. Teitler ◽  
F. Fluteau ◽  
Y. Donnadieu ◽  
P. Philippot
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Freezing Point ◽  
Climatic Factors ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Companion Paper ◽  
One Dimensional ◽  
Carbon Dioxide Concentrations ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
High Concentrations

Abstract. During the Archaean, the Sun's luminosity was 18 to 25% lower than the present day. One-dimensional radiative convective models (RCM) generally infer that high concentrations of greenhouse gases (CO2, CH4) are required to prevent the early Earth's surface temperature from dropping below the freezing point of liquid water and satisfying the faint young Sun paradox (FYSP, an Earth temperature at least as warm as today). Using a one-dimensional (1-D) model, it was proposed in 2010 that the association of a reduced albedo and less reflective clouds may have been responsible for the maintenance of a warm climate during the Archaean without requiring high concentrations of atmospheric CO2 (pCO2). More recently, 3-D climate simulations have been performed using atmospheric general circulation models (AGCM) and Earth system models of intermediate complexity (EMIC). These studies were able to solve the FYSP through a large range of carbon dioxide concentrations, from 0.6 bar with an EMIC to several millibars with AGCMs. To better understand this wide range in pCO2, we investigated the early Earth climate using an atmospheric GCM coupled to a slab ocean. Our simulations include the ice-albedo feedback and specific Archaean climatic factors such as a faster Earth rotation rate, high atmospheric concentrations of CO2 and/or CH4, a reduced continental surface, a saltier ocean, and different cloudiness. We estimated full glaciation thresholds for the early Archaean and quantified positive radiative forcing required to solve the FYSP. We also demonstrated why RCM and EMIC tend to overestimate greenhouse gas concentrations required to avoid full glaciations or solve the FYSP. Carbon cycle–climate interplays and conditions for sustaining pCO2 will be discussed in a companion paper.

scholarly journals An ensemble of AMIP simulations with prescribed land surface temperatures

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Duncan Ackerley ◽  
Robin Chadwick ◽  
Dietmar Dommenget ◽  
Paola Petrelli
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Solar Constant ◽  
Surface Temperatures ◽  
Co2 Concentrations ◽  
Land Surface Temperatures ◽  
Intercomparison Project

Abstract. General circulation models (GCMs) are routinely run under Atmospheric Modelling Intercomparison Project (AMIP) conditions with prescribed sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and sea ice concentrations (SICs) from observations. These AMIP simulations are often used to evaluate the role of the land and/or atmosphere in causing the development of systematic errors in such GCMs. Extensions to the original AMIP experiment have also been developed to evaluate the response of the global climate to increased SSTs (prescribed) and carbon-dioxide (CO2) as part of the Cloud Feedback Model Intercomparison Project (CFMIP). None of these international modelling initiatives has undertaken a set of experiments where the land conditions are also prescribed, which is the focus of the work presented in this paper. Experiments are performed initially with freely varying land conditions (surface temperature and, soil temperature and mositure) under five different configurations (AMIP, AMIP with uniform 4 K added to SSTs, AMIP SST with quadrupled CO2, AMIP SST and quadrupled CO2 without the plant stomata response, and increasing the solar constant by 3.3 %). Then, the land surface temperatures from the free-land experiments are used to perform a set of “AMIP-prescribed land” (PL) simulations, which are evaluated against their free-land counterparts. The PL simulations agree well with the free-land experiments, which indicates that the land surface is prescribed in a way that is consistent with the original free-land configuration. Further experiments are also performed with different combinations of SSTs, CO2 concentrations, solar constant and land conditions. For example, SST and land conditions are used from the AMIP simulation with quadrupled CO2 in order to simulate the atmospheric response to increased CO2 concentrations without the surface temperature changing. The results of all these experiments have been made publicly available for further analysis. The main aims of this paper are to provide a description of the method used and an initial validation of these AMIP-prescribed land experiments.

scholarly journals Large methane releases lead to strong aerosol forcing and reduced cloudiness

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 9057-9081
Author(s):  
T. Kurtén ◽  
L. Zhou ◽  
R. Makkonen ◽  
J. Merikanto ◽  
P. Räisänen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Radiative Forcing ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Cloud Droplet ◽  
Fold Increase ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Large Temperature ◽  
Atmospheric Lifetime ◽  
Temperature Changes ◽  
Aerosol Forcing ◽  
Rapid Amplification

Abstract. The release of vast quantities of methane into the atmosphere as a result of clathrate destabilization is a potential mechanism for rapid amplification of global warming. Previous studies have calculated the enhanced warming based mainly on the radiative effect of the methane itself, with smaller contributions from the associated carbon dioxide or ozone increases. Here, we study the effect of strongly elevated methane (CH4) levels on oxidant and aerosol particle concentrations using a combination of chemistry-transport and general circulation models. A 10-fold increase in methane concentrations is predicted to significantly decrease hydroxyl radical (OH) concentrations, while moderately increasing ozone (O3). These changes lead to a 70% increase in the atmospheric lifetime of methane, and an 18% decrease in global mean cloud droplet number concentrations (CDNC). The CDNC change causes a radiative forcing that is comparable in magnitude to the longwave radiative forcing ("enhanced greenhouse effect") of the added methane. Together, the indirect CH4-O3 and CH4-OH-aerosol forcings could more than double the warming effect of large methane increases. Our findings may help explain the anomalously large temperature changes associated with historic methane releases.

scholarly journals The source of discrepancies in aerosol–cloud–precipitation interactions between GCM and A-Train retrievals

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (23) ◽  
pp. 15413-15424 ◽  
Author(s):  
Takuro Michibata ◽  
Kentaroh Suzuki ◽  
Yousuke Sato ◽  
Toshihiko Takemura
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Cloud Droplet ◽  
Systematic Difference ◽  
Liquid Water Path ◽  
Light Rain ◽  
Aerosol Cloud ◽  
Nonlinear Complexity ◽  
Aerosol Cloud Interactions

Abstract. Aerosol–cloud interactions are one of the most uncertain processes in climate models due to their nonlinear complexity. A key complexity arises from the possibility that clouds can respond to perturbed aerosols in two opposite ways, as characterized by the traditional “cloud lifetime” hypothesis and more recent “buffered system” hypothesis. Their importance in climate simulations remains poorly understood. Here we investigate the response of the liquid water path (LWP) to aerosol perturbations for warm clouds from the perspective of general circulation model (GCM) and A-Train remote sensing, through process-oriented model evaluations. A systematic difference is found in the LWP response between the model results and observations. The model results indicate a near-global uniform increase of LWP with increasing aerosol loading, while the sign of the response of the LWP from the A-Train varies from region to region. The satellite-observed response of the LWP is closely related to meteorological and/or macrophysical factors, in addition to the microphysics. The model does not reproduce this variability of cloud susceptibility (i.e., sensitivity of LWP to perturbed aerosols) because the parameterization of the autoconversion process assumes only suppression of rain formation in response to increased cloud droplet number, and does not consider macrophysical aspects that serve as a mechanism for the negative responses of the LWP via enhancements of evaporation and precipitation. Model biases are also found in the precipitation microphysics, which suggests that the model generates rainwater readily even when little cloud water is present. This essentially causes projections of unrealistically frequent and light rain, with high cloud susceptibilities to aerosol perturbations.

scholarly journals Mathematics applied to the climate system: outstanding challenges and recent progress

2013 ◽  
Vol 371 (1991) ◽  
pp. 20120518 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul D. Williams ◽  
Michael J. P. Cullen ◽  
Michael K. Davey ◽  
John M. Huthnance
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation ◽  
Recent Progress ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Climate Science ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Climate System ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Theme Issue ◽  
Physically Based

The societal need for reliable climate predictions and a proper assessment of their uncertainties is pressing. Uncertainties arise not only from initial conditions and forcing scenarios, but also from model formulation. Here, we identify and document three broad classes of problems, each representing what we regard to be an outstanding challenge in the area of mathematics applied to the climate system. First, there is the problem of the development and evaluation of simple physically based models of the global climate. Second, there is the problem of the development and evaluation of the components of complex models such as general circulation models. Third, there is the problem of the development and evaluation of appropriate statistical frameworks. We discuss these problems in turn, emphasizing the recent progress made by the papers presented in this Theme Issue. Many pressing challenges in climate science require closer collaboration between climate scientists, mathematicians and statisticians. We hope the papers contained in this Theme Issue will act as inspiration for such collaborations and for setting future research directions.

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