scholarly journals Outcome Prediction Models for Endovascular Treatment of Ischemic Stroke: Systematic Review and External Validation

Stroke ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Femke Kremers ◽  
Esmee Venema ◽  
Martijne Duvekot ◽  
Lonneke Yo ◽  
Reinoud Bokkers ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose: Prediction models for outcome of patients with acute ischemic stroke who will undergo endovascular treatment have been developed to improve patient management. The aim of the current study is to provide an overview of preintervention models for functional outcome after endovascular treatment and to validate these models with data from daily clinical practice. Methods: We systematically searched within Medline, Embase, Cochrane, Web of Science, to include prediction models. Models identified from the search were validated in the MR CLEAN (Multicenter Randomized Clinical Trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands) registry, which includes all patients treated with endovascular treatment within 6.5 hours after stroke onset in the Netherlands between March 2014 and November 2017. Predictive performance was evaluated according to discrimination (area under the curve) and calibration (slope and intercept of the calibration curve). Good functional outcome was defined as a score of 0–2 or 0–3 on the modified Rankin Scale depending on the model. Results: After screening 3468 publications, 19 models were included in this validation. Variables included in the models mainly addressed clinical and imaging characteristics at baseline. In the validation cohort of 3156 patients, discriminative performance ranged from 0.61 (SPAN-100 [Stroke Prognostication Using Age and NIH Stroke Scale]) to 0.80 (MR PREDICTS). Best-calibrated models were THRIVE (The Totaled Health Risks in Vascular Events; intercept −0.06 [95% CI, −0.14 to 0.02]; slope 0.84 [95% CI, 0.75–0.95]), THRIVE-c (intercept 0.08 [95% CI, −0.02 to 0.17]; slope 0.71 [95% CI, 0.65–0.77]), Stroke Checkerboard score (intercept −0.05 [95% CI, −0.13 to 0.03]; slope 0.97 [95% CI, 0.88–1.08]), and MR PREDICTS (intercept 0.43 [95% CI, 0.33–0.52]; slope 0.93 [95% CI, 0.85–1.01]). Conclusions: The THRIVE-c score and MR PREDICTS both showed a good combination of discrimination and calibration and were, therefore, superior in predicting functional outcome for patients with ischemic stroke after endovascular treatment within 6.5 hours. Since models used different predictors and several models had relatively good predictive performance, the decision on which model to use in practice may also depend on simplicity of the model, data availability, and the comparability of the population and setting.

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Agnetha A. E. Bruggeman ◽  
Manon Kappelhof ◽  
Nerea Arrarte Terreros ◽  
Manon L. Tolhuisen ◽  
Praneeta R. Konduri ◽  
...  

OBJECTIVE Calcified cerebral emboli (CCE) are a rare cause of acute ischemic stroke. The authors aimed to assess the association of CCE with functional outcome, successful reperfusion, and mortality. Furthermore, they aimed to assess the effectiveness of intravenous alteplase treatment and endovascular treatment (EVT), as well as the best first-line EVT approach in patients with CCE. METHODS The Multicenter Randomized Controlled Trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands (MR CLEAN) Registry is a prospective, observational multicenter registry of patients treated with EVT for acute ischemic stroke in 16 intervention hospitals in the Netherlands. The association of CCE with functional outcome, reperfusion, and mortality was evaluated using logistic regression models. Univariable comparisons were made to determine the effectiveness of intravenous alteplase treatment and the best first-line EVT approach in CCE patients. RESULTS The study included 3077 patients from the MR CLEAN Registry. Fifty-five patients (1.8%) had CCE. CCE were not significantly associated with worse functional outcome (adjusted common OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.44–1.15), and 29% of CCE patients achieved functional independence. An extended Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction score ≥ 2B was significantly less often achieved in CCE patients compared to non-CCE patients (adjusted OR [aOR] 0.52, 95% CI 0.28–0.97). Symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage occurred in 8 CCE patients (15%) vs 171 of 3022 non-CCE patients (6%; p = 0.01). The median improvement on the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) was 2 in CCE patients versus 4 in non-CCE patients (p = 0.008). CCE were not significantly associated with mortality (aOR 1.16, 95% CI 0.64–2.12). Intravenous alteplase use in CCE patients was not associated with functional outcome or reperfusion. In CCE patients with successful reperfusion, stent retrievers were more often used as the primary treatment device (p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS While patients with CCE had significantly lower reperfusion rates and less improvement on the NIHSS after EVT, CCE were not significantly associated with worse functional outcome or higher mortality rates. Therefore, EVT should still be considered in this specific group of patients.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
pp. e0249093
Author(s):  
Sabine L. Collette ◽  
Maarten Uyttenboogaart ◽  
Noor Samuels ◽  
Irene C. van der Schaaf ◽  
H. Bart van der Worp ◽  
...  

Objective The effect of anesthetic management (general anesthesia [GA], conscious sedation, or local anesthesia) on functional outcome and the role of blood pressure management during endovascular treatment (EVT) for acute ischemic stroke is under debate. We aimed to determine whether hypotension during EVT under GA is associated with functional outcome at 90 days. Methods We retrospectively collected data from patients with a proximal intracranial occlusion of the anterior circulation treated with EVT under GA. The primary outcome was the distribution on the modified Rankin Scale at 90 days. Hypotension was defined using two thresholds: a mean arterial pressure (MAP) of 70 mm Hg and a MAP 30% below baseline MAP. To quantify the extent and duration of hypotension, the area under the threshold (AUT) was calculated using both thresholds. Results Of the 366 patients included, procedural hypotension was observed in approximately half of them. The occurrence of hypotension was associated with poor functional outcome (MAP <70 mm Hg: adjusted common odds ratio [acOR], 0.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.35–0.94; MAP decrease ≥30%: acOR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.48–1.21). In addition, an association was found between the number of hypotensive periods and poor functional outcome (MAP <70 mm Hg: acOR, 0.85 per period increase; 95% CI, 0.73–0.99; MAP decrease ≥30%: acOR, 0.90 per period; 95% CI, 0.78–1.04). No association existed between AUT and functional outcome (MAP <70 mm Hg: acOR, 1.000 per 10 mm Hg*min increase; 95% CI, 0.998–1.001; MAP decrease ≥30%: acOR, 1.000 per 10 mm Hg*min; 95% CI, 0.999–1.000). Conclusions Occurrence of procedural hypotension and an increase in number of procedural hypotensive periods were associated with poor functional outcome, whereas the extent and duration of hypotension were not. Randomized clinical trials are needed to confirm our hypothesis that hypotension during EVT under GA has detrimental effects.


Stroke ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 52 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lingling Ding ◽  
Zixiao Li ◽  
Yongjun Wang

Background and Purpose: The diffusion weighted imaging (DWI) lesion volumes in acute ischemic stroke (AIS) can be automatically measured using deep learning-based segmentation algorithms. We aim to explore the prognostic significance of artificial intelligence-predicted infarct volume, and the association of markers of acute inflammation with the infarct volume. Methods: 12,598 AIS/TIA patients were included in this analysis. Intarct volume was automatically measured using a U-Net model for acute ischemic stroke lesion segmentation on DWI. Participants were divided into 5 subgroups according to infarct volume. Spearman’s correlations were employed to study the association between infarct volume and markers of acute inflammation. Multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards model were performed to explore the relationship between infarct volume and the incidence of poor functional outcome (modified Rankin scale score 3-6), stroke recurrence or combined vascular events at 3 months. Results: The U-Net model prediction correlated and agreed well with manual annotation ground truth for infarct volume (r=0.96; P<0.001). There were positive correlations between the infarct volume and markers of acute inflammation (neutrophil [r=0.175; P<0.001], hs-CRP [r=0.180; P<0.001], and IL-6 [r=0.225; P<0.001]). Compared with those without DWI lesions, patients with the largest infarct volume (4th Quartile) were nearly five times more likely to have poor functional outcome (mRS 3-6) (adjusted odds ratio, 4.70; 95% confidence intervals [CI], 3.29-6.72; P for trend<0.001) after adjustment for confounding factors and markers of acute inflammation. The infarct volume category was significantly associated with stroke recurrence (adjusted hazard ratios [HRs], 1.0, 1.43[0.95,2.17], 2.22[1.49,3.29], 2.06[1.40,3.05], 2.26[1.52,3.36]; P for trend<0.001) and combined vascular events(adjusted HRs, 1.0, 1.38[0.92,2.09], 2.25[1.53,3.32], 2.03[1.38,2.98], 2.28[1.54,3.36]; P for trend<0.001). Conclusions: Infarct volume measured automatically by deep learning-based tool was a strong predictor of poor functional outcome as well as stroke recurrence, with the potential for widespread adoption in both research and clinical settings.


2022 ◽  
pp. neurintsurg-2021-018292
Author(s):  
Dapeng Sun ◽  
Baixue Jia ◽  
Xu Tong ◽  
Peter Kan ◽  
Xiaochuan Huo ◽  
...  

BackgroundParenchymal hemorrhage (PH) is a troublesome complication after endovascular treatment (EVT).ObjectiveTo investigate the incidence, independent predictors, and clinical impact of PH after EVT in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) due to anterior circulation large vessel occlusion (LVO).MethodsSubjects were selected from the ANGEL-ACT Registry. PH was diagnosed according to the European Collaborative Acute Stroke Study classification. Logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the independent predictors of PH, as well as the association between PH and 90-day functional outcome assessed by modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score.ResultsOf the 1227 enrolled patients, 147 (12.0%) were diagnosed with PH within 12–36 hours after EVT. On multivariable analysis, low admission Alberta Stroke Program Early CT score (ASPECTS)(adjusted OR (aOR)=1.13, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.26, p=0.020), serum glucose >7 mmol/L (aOR=1.82, 95% CI 1.16 to 2.84, p=0.009), and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR; aOR=1.05, 95% CI 1.02 to 1.09, p=0.005) were associated with a high risk of PH, while underlying intracranial atherosclerotic stenosis (ICAS; aOR=0.42, 95% CI 0.22 to 0.81, p=0.009) and intracranial angioplasty/stenting (aOR=0.37, 95% CI 0.15 to 0.93, p=0.035) were associated with a low risk of PH. Furthermore, patients with PH were associated with a shift towards to worse functional outcome (mRS score 4 vs 3, adjusted common OR (acOR)=2.27, 95% CI 1.53 to 3.38, p<0.001).ConclusionsIn Chinese patients with AIS caused by anterior circulation LVO, the risk of PH was positively associated with low admission ASPECTS, serum glucose >7 mmol/L, and NLR, but negatively related to underlying ICAS and intracranial angioplasty/stenting.Trial registration numberNCT03370939.


Stroke ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 50 (10) ◽  
pp. 2842-2850 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wouter H. Hinsenveld ◽  
Inger R. de Ridder ◽  
Robert J. van Oostenbrugge ◽  
Jan A. Vos ◽  
Adrien E. Groot ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose— Endovascular treatment (EVT) of patients with acute ischemic stroke because of large vessel occlusion involves complicated logistics, which may cause a delay in treatment initiation during off-hours. This might lead to a worse functional outcome. We compared workflow intervals between endovascular treatment–treated patients presenting during off- and on-hours. Methods— We retrospectively analyzed data from the MR CLEAN Registry, a prospective, multicenter, observational study in the Netherlands and included patients with an anterior circulation large vessel occlusion who presented between March 2014 and June 2016. Off-hours were defined as presentation on Monday to Friday between 17:00 and 08:00 hours, weekends (Friday 17:00 to Monday 8:00) and national holidays. Primary end point was first door to groin time. Secondary end points were functional outcome at 90 days (modified Rankin Scale) and workflow time intervals. We stratified for transfer status, adjusted for prognostic factors, and used linear and ordinal regression models. Results— We included 1488 patients of which 936 (62.9%) presented during off-hours. Median first door to groin time was 140 minutes (95% CI, 110–182) during off-hours and 121 minutes (95% CI, 85–157) during on-hours. Adjusted first door to groin time was 14.6 minutes (95% CI, 9.3–20.0) longer during off-hours. Door to needle times for intravenous therapy were slightly longer (3.5 minutes, 95% CI, 0.7–6.3) during off-hours. Groin puncture to reperfusion times did not differ between groups. For transferred patients, the delay within the intervention center was 5.0 minutes (95% CI, 0.5–9.6) longer. There was no significant difference in functional outcome between patients presenting during off- and on-hours (adjusted odds ratio, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.74–1.14). Reperfusion rates and complication rates were similar. Conclusions— Presentation during off-hours is associated with a slight delay in start of endovascular treatment in patients with acute ischemic stroke. This treatment delay did not translate into worse functional outcome or increased complication rates.


Stroke ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 50 (8) ◽  
pp. 2057-2064 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bruna G. Dutra ◽  
Manon L. Tolhuisen ◽  
Heitor C.B.R. Alves ◽  
Kilian M. Treurniet ◽  
Manon Kappelhof ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose— Thrombus imaging characteristics have been reported to be useful to predict functional outcome and reperfusion in acute ischemic stroke. However, conflicting data about this subject exist in patients undergoing endovascular treatment. Therefore, we aimed to evaluate whether thrombus imaging characteristics assessed on computed tomography are associated with outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke treated by endovascular treatment. Methods— The MR CLEAN (Multicenter Randomized Clinical Trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands) Registry is an ongoing, prospective, and observational study in all centers performing endovascular treatment in the Netherlands. We evaluated associations of thrombus imaging characteristics with the functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale at 90 days), mortality, reperfusion, duration of endovascular treatment, and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage using univariable and multivariable regression models. Thrombus characteristics included location, clot burden score (CBS), length, relative and absolute attenuation, perviousness, and distance from the internal carotid artery terminus to the thrombus. All characteristics were assessed on thin-slice (≤2.5 mm) noncontrast computed tomography and computed tomography angiography, acquired within 30 minutes from each other. Results— In total, 408 patients were analyzed. Thrombus with distal location, higher CBS, and shorter length were associated with better functional outcome (adjusted common odds ratio, 3.3; 95% CI, 2.0–5.3 for distal M1 occlusion compared with internal carotid artery occlusion; adjusted common odds ratio, 1.15; 95% CI, 1.07–1.24 per CBS point; and adjusted common odds ratio, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.94–0.99 per mm, respectively) and reduced duration of endovascular procedure (adjusted coefficient B, −14.7; 95% CI, −24.2 to −5.1 for distal M1 occlusion compared with internal carotid artery occlusion; adjusted coefficient B, −8.5; 95% CI, −14.5 to −2.4 per CBS point; and adjusted coefficient B, 7.3; 95% CI, 2.9–11.8 per mm, respectively). Thrombus perviousness was associated with better functional outcome (adjusted common odds ratio, 1.01; 95% CI, 1.00–1.02 per Hounsfield units increase). Distal thrombi were associated with successful reperfusion (adjusted odds ratio, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.4–4.9 for proximal M1 occlusion compared with internal carotid artery occlusion). Conclusions— Distal location, higher CBS, and shorter length are associated with better functional outcome and faster endovascular procedure. Distal thrombus is strongly associated with successful reperfusion, and a pervious thrombus is associated with better functional outcome.


Stroke ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 50 (4) ◽  
pp. 923-930 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esmee Venema ◽  
Adrien E. Groot ◽  
Hester F. Lingsma ◽  
Wouter Hinsenveld ◽  
Kilian M. Treurniet ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose— To assess the effect of inter-hospital transfer on time to treatment and functional outcome after endovascular treatment (EVT) for acute ischemic stroke, we compared patients transferred from a primary stroke center to patients directly admitted to an intervention center in a large nationwide registry. Methods— MR CLEAN (Multicenter Randomized Clinical Trial of Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke in the Netherlands) Registry is an ongoing, prospective, observational study in all centers that perform EVT in the Netherlands. We included adult patients with an acute anterior circulation stroke who received EVT between March 2014 to June 2016. Primary outcome was time from arrival at the first hospital to arterial groin puncture. Secondary outcomes included the 90-day modified Rankin Scale score and functional independence (modified Rankin Scale score of 0–2). Results— In total 821/1526 patients, (54%) were transferred from a primary stroke center. Transferred patients less often had prestroke disability (227/800 [28%] versus 255/699 [36%]; P =0.02) and more often received intravenous thrombolytics (659/819 [81%] versus 511/704 [73%]; P <0.01). Time from first presentation to groin puncture was longer for transferred patients (164 versus 104 minutes; P <0.01, adjusted delay 57 minutes [95% CI, 51–62]). Transferred patients had worse functional outcome (adjusted common OR, 0.75 [95% CI, 0.62–0.90]) and less often achieved functional independence (244/720 [34%] versus 289/681 [42%], absolute risk difference −8.5% [95% CI, −8.7 to −8.3]). Conclusions— Interhospital transfer of patients with acute ischemic stroke is associated with delay of EVT and worse outcomes in routine clinical practice, even in a country where between-center distances are short. Direct transportation of patients potentially eligible for EVT to an intervention center may improve functional outcome.


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