scholarly journals A Nomogram for Predicting Stroke Recurrence Among Young Adults

Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (6) ◽  
pp. 1865-1867
Author(s):  
Kang Yuan ◽  
Jingjing Chen ◽  
Pengfei Xu ◽  
Xiaohao Zhang ◽  
Xiuqun Gong ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose— This study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting the risk of stroke recurrence among young adults after ischemic stroke. Methods— Patients aged between 18 and 49 years with first-ever ischemic stroke were selected from the Nanjing Stroke Registry Program. A stepwise Cox proportional hazards regression model was employed to develop the best-fit nomogram. The discrimination and calibration in the training and validation cohorts were used to evaluate the nomogram. All patients were classified into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups based on the risk scores generated from the nomogram. Results— A total of 604 patients were enrolled in this study. Hypertension (hazard ratio [HR], 2.038 [95% CI, 1.504–3.942]; P =0.034), diabetes mellitus (HR, 3.224 [95% CI, 1.848–5.624]; P <0.001), smoking status (current smokers versus nonsmokers; HR, 2.491 [95% CI, 1.304–4.759]; P =0.006), and stroke cause (small-vessel occlusion versus large-artery atherosclerosis; HR, 0.325 [95% CI, 0.109–0.976]; P =0.045) were associated with recurrent stroke. Educational years (>12 versus 0–6; HR, 0.070 [95% CI, 0.015–0.319]; P =0.001) were inversely correlated with recurrent stroke. The nomogram was composed of these factors, and successfully stratified patients into low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups ( P <0.001). Conclusions— The nomogram composed of hypertension, diabetes mellitus, smoking status, stroke cause, and education years may predict the risk of stroke recurrence among young adults after ischemic stroke.

Neurology ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 10.1212/WNL.0000000000013118
Author(s):  
Nils Skajaa ◽  
Kasper Adelborg ◽  
Erzsébet Horváth-Puhó ◽  
Kenneth J Rothman ◽  
Victor W. Henderson ◽  
...  

Background and Objectives:To examine risks of stroke recurrence and mortality after first and recurrent stroke.Methods:Using Danish nationwide health registries, we included patients (age ≥18 years) with first-time ischemic stroke (N = 105,397) or intracerebral hemorrhage (N = 13,350) during 2004–2018. Accounting for the competing risk of death, absolute risks of stroke recurrence were computed separately for each stroke subtype and within strata of age groups, sex, stroke severity, body mass index, smoking, alcohol, the Essen stroke risk score, and atrial fibrillation. Mortality risks were computed after first and recurrent stroke.Results:After adjusting for competing risks, the overall 1-year and 10-year risks of recurrence were 4% and 13% following first-time ischemic stroke and 3% and 12% following first-time intracerebral hemorrhage. For ischemic stroke, the risk of recurrence increased with age, was higher for men and following mild than more severe stroke. The most marked differences were across Essen risk scores, for which recurrence risks increased with increasing scores. For intracerebral hemorrhage, risks were similar for both sexes and did not increase with Essen risk score. For ischemic stroke, the 1-year and 10-year risks of all-cause mortality were 17% and 56% after a first-time stroke and 25% and 70% after a recurrent stroke; corresponding estimates for intracerebral hemorrhage were 37% and 70% after a first-time event and 31% and 75% after a recurrent event.Conclusion:The risk of stroke recurrence was substantial following both subtypes, but risks differed markedly among patient subgroups. The risk of mortality was higher after a recurrent than first-time stroke.


Stroke ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 43 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongseok Lee ◽  
David S Liebeskind ◽  
Latisha Ali ◽  
Sidney Starkman ◽  
Doojin Kim ◽  
...  

Background: The classification of patients with minor cerebral ischemic events is evolving. Under the classical time-based definition of TIA, cerebral infarcts with transient symptoms (CITS) were classified as TIA, while it is classified as minor ischemic stroke (MIS) under the modern tissue-based definition. However, arguments for this reclassification have been largely based on pathologic principles rather than formal analysis of whether CITS patients clinically more resemble DWI-negative TIA patients or MIS patients in demographics, clinical features, and prognosis. Methods: We analyzed consecutive patients recorded in a prospectively maintained database with symptoms of presumed focal ischemic origin either lasting less than 24 hours or with minor neurologic deficits (NIHSS≤5) lasting more than 24 hours. Patients had to present within 48 hours of symptom onset and have undergone acute DWI. Patients were excluded if ischemia occurred immediate after carotid endarterectomy or stenting. Clinical variables, ABCD 2 score, presence of DWI abnormality, relevant large artery disease (≥ 50% stenosis or occlusion of ipsilateral intracranial or extracranial vessels), and stroke recurrence within 90 days were recorded for analysis. Results: Among 416 patients meeting inclusion criteria (mean age 67 years, female 47.1%), 108 (26.0%) were CITS, 149 (35.8%) were DWI-negative TIA, and 159 (38.2%) were MIS. Compared with DWI-negative TIA patients, CITS patients were younger (65 vs. 70 years, p=0.017), had more coronary artery disease (25.9% vs. 14.1%, p=0.024) and relevant large artery disease (45.2% vs. 20.8%, p<0.001). In contrast, only diabetes differed between CITS and MIS patients (16.7% vs. 29.7%, p=0.027). The frequency of recurrent stroke was not different between MIS and CITS patients (16.0% vs. 12.3%, p>0.05), however, both were substantially higher than in DWI-negative TIA patients (2.5%). In multivariate logistic regression analysis performed across the entire cohort, the independent predictors of recurrent stroke were presence of DWI lesion (OR 4.95, 95% CI 1.11-22.09) and relevant large artery disease (OR 3.58, 95% CI 1.47-8.73). Conclusion: DWI-positive cerebral ischemia with transient symptoms more resembles MIS than DWI-negative TIA in risk factor profile and prognosis of patients. DWI abnormality and large artery disease, rather than clinical variables, are the predominant determinants of early stroke recurrence. These results emphasize the utility of urgent MR imaging in patients with minor cerebral ischemic episodes and support the rationale of tissue-based definition of TIA over time-based definition.


Stroke ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 52 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiang Li ◽  
Durgesh Chaudhary ◽  
Ayesha Khan ◽  
Shima Shahjouei ◽  
Christoph Griessenauer ◽  
...  

Objective: To determine whether Polygenic Risk Scores (PRS) derived from MEGASTROKE is associated with ischemic stroke (IS) and its subtypes in an independent tertiary healthcare system and to identify PRS derived from gene-sets of known biological pathways associated with IS and its outcomes (mortality and recurrent stroke). Methods: Controls(n=19806/7484, age≥69/79) and cases(n=1184/951 for discovery/replication) of acute IS with European ancestry and clinical risk factors identified by leveraging the Geisinger Electronic Health Record (EHR) and chart review confirmation. All Geisinger MyCode patients with age ≥69/79, without any stroke-related diagnostic codes as low-risk control. Genetic heritability and genetic correlation between Geisinger and MEGASTROKE(EUR) using the summary statistics of GWAS by LDSC. All PRS for any stroke — AS, any ischemic stroke — AIS, large artery stroke — LAS, cardioembolic stroke — CES, and small vessel stroke — SVS constructed by PRSice-2. PRS (top or bottom quantiles) derived from 7350 gene-sets of GO Biological Process was used to stratify the IS. Results: A moderate heritability (10-20%) for Geisinger sample as well as the genetic correlation between MEGASTROKE and the Geisinger cohort was identified. Gene sets analyses highlighted the association of PRS with Gene Ontology terms (vascular endothelial growth factor, amyloid precursor protein, and atherosclerosis). The PRS LAS , PRS CES , and PRS SVS explained the most variance of the corresponding subtypes of Geisinger IS suggesting shared etiologies and corroborated Geisinger TOAST subtyping. We further evaluate PRS derived from the gene-sets of which GO terms may best differentiate the survival in IS cases with the corresponding high or low genetic burden. The result from the Cox regression analysis showed simultaneously the effect of several risk factors including PRS on mortality and recurrent stroke probabilities. Conclusions: We provide the first evidence that PRSs derived from MEGASTROKE have value in identifying shared etiologies and determining stroke subtypes.


2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 302-320 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongjun Wang ◽  
Ming Liu ◽  
Chuanqiang Pu

Ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA) are the most common cerebrovascular disorder and leading cause of death in China. The Effective secondary prevention is the vital strategy for reducing stroke recurrence. The aim of this guideline is to provide the most updated evidence-based recommendation to clinical physicians from the prior version. Control of risk factors, intervention for vascular stenosis/occlusion, antithrombotic therapy for cardioembolism, and antiplatelet therapy for noncardioembolic stroke are all recommended, and the prevention of recurrent stroke in a variety of uncommon causes and subtype provided as well. We modified the level of evidence and recommendation according to part of results from domestic RCT in order to facility the clinical practice.


Stroke ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 48 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Adam de Havenon ◽  
Nabeel Chauhan ◽  
Jennifer Majersik ◽  
David Tirschwell ◽  
Ka-Ho Wong ◽  
...  

Introduction: Enhancing intracranial atherosclerotic plaque on high-resolution vessel wall MRI (vwMRI) is a reliable marker of recent thromboembolism, and confers a recurrent stroke risk of up to 30% a year. Post-contrast plaque enhancement (PPE) on vwMRI is thought to represent inflammation, but studies have not fully examined the clinical, serologic or radiologic factors that contribute to PPE. Methods: Inpatients with acute ischemic stroke due to intracranial atherosclerosis were prospectively enrolled at a single center from 2015-16. vwMRI was performed on a 3T Siemens Verio and included 3D DANTE pulse sequences, pre- and post-contrast (for PPE identification). Three experienced neuroradiologists interpreted vwMRI using a validated multicontrast technique. The Chi-squared, Fisher’s Exact, and Student’s t-test were used for intergroup differences, and logistic regression was fitted to the primary outcome of PPE. Results: Inclusion criteria were met by 35 patients. Atherosclerotic plaques were in the anterior circulation in 21/35 (60%) and PPE was diagnosed in 20/35 (57%) of stroke parent arteries. PPE predictors are shown in Table 1 with logistic regression in Table 2 . Conclusion: PPE is associated with stenosis, which was expected, but the association with HgbA1c is novel. All patients with HgbA1c >8 had PPE and a one point HgbA1c rise increased the odds of PPE 3-fold. Hyperglycemia induces vascular oxidative stress by generating reactive oxygen species, quenching nitric oxide, and triggering an inflammatory cascade. Given the high rate of stroke recurrence in PPE patients, aggressive HgbA1c reduction may be a viable treatment target and warrants additional study.


Stroke ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 51 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joon-tae Kim ◽  
Hee-Joon Bae ◽  

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) and large artery diseases (LAD) share several risk factors and often coexist in the same patient. Optimal treatments for acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients with concomitant AF and LAD have not been extensively studied so far. Objective: This study aimed to compare the effectiveness of the addition of antiplatelet (AP) to oral anticoagulant (OAC) with that of OAC alone in AIS with AF according to the LAD. Methods: Using a multicenter stroke registry, acute (within 48h of onset) and mild-to-moderate (NIHSS score ≤15) stroke patients with AF were identified. Propensity scores using IPTW were used to adjust baseline imbalances between the OAC+AP group and the OAC alone group in all patients and in each subgroup by LAD. The primary outcome was major vascular events, defined as the composite of recurrent stroke, MI, and all-cause mortality at up to 3 months after index stroke. Results: Among the 5469 patients (age, 72±10yrs; male, 54.9%; initial NIHSS score, 4 [2-9]), 79.0% (n=4323) received OAC alone, and 21.0% (n=1146) received OAC+AP. By weighted Cox proportional hazards analysis, a tendency of increasing the risk of 3-months primary composite events in the OAC+AP group vs the OAC alone (HR 1.36 [0.99-1.87], p=0.06), with significant interaction with treatments and LAD (Pint=0.048). Briefly, among patients with moderate-to-severe large artery stenosis, tendency of decrease in 3-months primary composite events of the OAC+AP group, compared with OAC alone group, was observed (HR 0.54 [0.17-1.70]), whereas among patients with complete occlusion, the OAC+AP group markedly increased the risk of 3-months composite events (HR 2.00 [1.27-3.15]), compared with the OAC alone group. No interaction between direct oral anticoagulant and warfarin on outcome was observed (Pint=0.35). Conclusion: In conclusion, treatment with addition of AP to OAC had a tendency to increase the risk of 3-months vascular events, compared with OAC alone in AIS with AF. However, the effects of antithrombotic treatment could be modified according to the LAD, with substantial benefits of OAC alone in subgroup of large artery occlusion. Our results address the need for the further study to tailor the optimal treatment in AIS with concomitant AF and LAD.


Hypertension ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 78 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zahra Abuzaid ◽  
Sara Almuslem ◽  
Farah Aleisa

Background: Hypertension is considered major risk factor for incidence of ischemic stroke, controlling blood pressure reduces this risk, the relationship of uncontrolled blood pressure and stroke outcomes is complex, post stroke uncontrolled blood pressure remains one of the major contributing factors for stroke recurrence and mortality, in our study we studied the long term effects of uncontrolled hypertension in modern health care setting. Methodology: Patients in the study were admitted to the neurology department at KFSH-D between March 2015- August 2019, we included 102 acute ischemic stroke patients whom had hypertension, all patients had follow up appointments at stroke clinic a minimum of 2 visits over 4 years. We retrospectively compared blood pressure data from stroke patients with recurrent ischemic stroke events vs. patients with initial stroke event, and recurrent stroke, also we studied blood pressure readings for different stroke severity groups, patients who had severe stroke with mRS>4, compared to milder stroke group of mRS<4. Results: We found 48 patients identified with recurrent stroke event, those with uncontrolled hypertension had significantly higher stroke recurrence events (P=0.002), despite acute stroke treatment, patients who had history of uncontrolled hypertension were found to have more severe stroke deficits than those who had controlled blood pressure (P=0.029). We found significant difference in the long term stroke clinical outcomes between patients who had uncontrolled blood pressure and patients who had controlled blood pressure recordings within the same hospital setting (P=0.064). Conclusion: Based on our findings, uncontrolled hypertension was associated with higher risk of stroke recurrence, it also increased susceptibility to worse stroke clinical outcomes up to 1 year after initial stroke event, which deserved further close attention and better blood pressure control.


Stroke ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 52 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Xian ◽  
Haolin Xu ◽  
Deepak L Bhatt ◽  
Gregg C Fonarow ◽  
Eric E Smith ◽  
...  

Introduction: Aspirin is one of the most commonly used medications for cardiovascular disease and stroke prevention. Many older patients who present with a first or recurrent stroke are already on aspirin monotherapy, yet little evidence is available to guide antithrombotic strategies for these patients. Method: Using data from the American Heart Association Get With The Guidelines-Stroke Registry, we described discharge antithrombotic treatment pattern among Medicare beneficiaries without atrial fibrillation who were discharged alive for acute ischemic stroke from 1734 hospitals in the United States between October 2012 and December 2017. Results: Of 261,634 ischemic stroke survivors, 100,016 (38.2%) were on prior aspirin monotherapy (median age 78 years; 53% women; 79.4% initial stroke and 20.6% recurrent stroke). The most common discharge antithrombotics (Figure) were 81 mg aspirin monotherapy (20.9%), 325 mg aspirin monotherapy (18.2%), clopidogrel monotherapy (17.8%), and dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) of 81 mg aspirin and clopidogrel (17.1%). Combined, aspirin monotherapy, clopidogrel monotherapy, and DAPT accounted for 86.8% of discharge antithrombotics. The rest of 13.2% were discharged on either aspirin/dipyridamole, warfarin or non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants with or without antiplatelet, or no antithrombotics at all. Among patients with documented stroke etiology (TOAST criteria), 81 mg aspirin monotherapy (21.2-24.0%) was the most commonly prescribed antithrombotic for secondary stroke prevention. The only exception was those with large-artery atherosclerosis, in which, 25.3% received DAPT of 81 mg aspirin and clopidogrel at discharge. Conclusion: Substantial variations exist in discharge antithrombotic therapy for secondary stroke prevention in ischemic stroke with prior aspirin failure. Future research is needed to identify best management strategies to care for this complex but common clinical scenario.


Neurology ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 91 (20) ◽  
pp. e1909-e1917 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karoliina Aarnio ◽  
Jorge Rodríguez-Pardo ◽  
Bob Siegerink ◽  
Juliane Hardt ◽  
Jenna Broman ◽  
...  

ObjectiveWe aimed to investigate the proportion of young patients not returning to work (NRTW) at 1 year after ischemic stroke (IS) and during follow-up, and clinical factors associated with NRTW.MethodsPatients from the Helsinki Young Stroke Registry with an IS occurring in the years 1994–2007, who were at paid employment within 1 year before IS, and with NIH Stroke Scale score ≤15 points at hospital discharge, were included. Data on periods of payment came from the Finnish Centre for Pensions, and death data from Statistics Finland. Multivariate logistic regression analyses assessed factors associated with NRTW 1 year after IS, and lasagna plots visualized the proportion of patients returning to work over time.ResultsWe included a total of 769 patients, of whom 289 (37.6%) were not working at 1 year, 323 (42.0%) at 2 years, and 361 (46.9%) at 5 years from IS. When adjusted for age, sex, socioeconomic status, and NIH Stroke Scale score at admission, factors associated with NRTW at 1 year after IS were large anterior strokes, strokes caused by large artery atherosclerosis, high-risk sources of cardioembolism, and rare causes other than dissection compared with undetermined cause, moderate to severe aphasia vs no aphasia, mild and moderate to severe limb paresis vs no paresis, and moderate to severe visual field deficit vs no deficit.ConclusionsNRTW is a frequent adverse outcome after IS in young adults with mild to moderate IS. Clinical variables available during acute hospitalization may allow prediction of NRTW.


2008 ◽  
Vol 65 (11) ◽  
pp. 803-809 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dejana Jovanovic ◽  
Ljiljana Beslac-Bumbasirevic ◽  
Ranko Raicevic ◽  
Jasna Zidverc-Trajkovic ◽  
Marko Ercegovac

Background/Aim. Etiology of ischemic stroke (IS) among young adults varies among countries. The aim of the study was to investigate the causes and risk factors of IS in the young adults of Serbia. Methods. A total of 865 patients with IS, aged 15 to 45 years, were treated throughout the period 1989-2005. Etiologic diagnostic tests were performed on the patient by the patient basis and according to their availability at the time of investigation. The most likely cause of stroke was categorized according to the TOAST (Trial of ORG 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment) criteria. Results. There were 486 men and 379 women, with 19% of the patients ? 30 years old. Large artery arteriosclerosis and small artery disease were confirmed in 14% of the patients, and embolism and other determined causes in 20%. Undetermined causes made up 32% of the patients, mostly those (26%) with incomplete investigations. Smoking (37%), hypertension (35%) and hyperlipidemia (35%) were the most common risk factors. Rheumatic heart diseases and prosthetic valves were the most common causes of IS. Arterial dissections and coagulation inhibitors deficiency were detected in a small number of patients. Conclusion. Etiology of IS among Serbian young adults shares characteristics of those in both western and less developed countries.


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