scholarly journals PHASES Score for Prediction of Intracranial Aneurysm Growth

Stroke ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 46 (5) ◽  
pp. 1221-1226 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daan Backes ◽  
Mervyn D.I. Vergouwen ◽  
Andreas T. Tiel Groenestege ◽  
A. Stijntje E. Bor ◽  
Birgitta K. Velthuis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Intracranial Aneurysm ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Continuous Variable ◽  
Aneurysm Rupture ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Risk Of Rupture ◽  
Aneurysm Growth

Background and Purpose— Growth of an intracranial aneurysm occurs in around 10% of patients at 2-year follow-up imaging and may be associated with aneurysm rupture. We investigated whether PHASES, a score providing absolute risks of aneurysm rupture based on 6 easily retrievable risk factors, also predicts aneurysm growth. Methods— In a multicenter cohort of patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms and follow-up imaging with computed tomography angiography or magnetic resonance angiography, we performed univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses for the predictors of the PHASES score at baseline, with aneurysm growth as outcome. We calculated hazard ratios and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI), with the PHASES score as continuous variable and after division into quartiles. Results— We included 557 patients with 734 unruptured aneurysms. Eighty-nine (12%) aneurysms in 87 patients showed growth during a median follow-up of 2.7 patient-years (range 0.5–10.8). Per point increase in PHASES score, hazard ratio for aneurysm growth was 1.32 (95% CI, 1.22–1.43). With the lowest quartile of the PHASES score (0–1) as reference, hazard ratios were for the second (PHASES 2–3) 1.07 (95% CI, 0.49–2.32), the third (PHASES 4) 2.29 (95% CI, 1.05–4.95), and the fourth quartile (PHASES 5–14) 2.85 (95% CI, 1.43–5.67). Conclusions— Higher PHASES scores were associated with an increased risk of aneurysm growth. Because higher PHASES scores also predict aneurysm rupture, our findings suggest that aneurysm growth can be used as surrogate outcome measure of aneurysm rupture in follow-up studies on risk prediction or interventions aimed to reduce the risk of rupture.

Abstract 190: Prediction of Intracranial Aneurysm Growth Based on Morphology

Stroke ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 48 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Aichi Chien ◽  
Emiko Morimoto ◽  
Hajime Yokota ◽  
Pablo Villablanca ◽  
Noriko Salamon
Keyword(s):  
Intracranial Aneurysm ◽  
Surface Area ◽  
Morphological Characteristics ◽  
T Test ◽  
Maximum Diameter ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Risk Of Rupture ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Aneurysm Growth

Introduction: Recent studies have strongly associated intracranial aneurysm growth with increased risk of rupture. To plan more effective monitoring and intervention strategies, it would be beneficial to identify aneurysms which are likely to grow. Hypothesis: Morphological characteristics at initial diagnosis differ between unruptured intracranial aneurysms that will grow and those that are stable. Methods: A total of 58 cases of aneurysms in our medical center with follow-up imaging dates in 2015 were selected. All CTA images for the aneurysms were collected, for a total of 250 image sets. Aneurysm 3D geometry was reconstructed and morphological characteristics, including volume, surface area, and non-sphericity index (NSI) were calculated. NSI was calculated as 1 - (18π) 1/3 V 2/3 /S, where V and S represent aneurysm volume and surface area, respectively. Statistical comparisons were made using a two-tailed t-test with an assumption of unequal variance (Welch’s t-test). Results: Aneurysms were followed for an average of 50.5±50.9 months, with an average of 3.29±2.66 follow-up imaging dates. 9 aneurysms exhibited a size increase (>0.6mm) and the remaining 49 aneurysms did not. Based on their maximum diameter, no significant difference was found between initial aneurysm size between the growth (3.80±1.72 mm) and non-growth (4.26±2.00 mm) groups (p=0.13). Likewise, no significant differences in volume or surface area were found (p=0.33, p=0.36, respectively). However, initial NSI was found to be significantly higher in the growth (0.32±0.11) vs. the non-growth (0.23±0.08) group (p=0.049). Conclusions: Among aneurysms with similar size, NSI may be useful for identifying aneurysms which are more likely to grow and planning monitoring strategies accordingly. Higher initial NSI in the aneurysms which eventually grew is consistent with previous findings that higher NSI correlates with increased risk of rupture.

scholarly journals Pregnancy, pregnancy loss and the risk of diabetes in Chinese women: findings from the China Kadoorie Biobank

2019 ◽  
Vol 35 (3) ◽  
pp. 295-303
Author(s):  
Sanne A. E. Peters ◽  
◽  
Ling Yang ◽  
Yu Guo ◽  
Yiping Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Pregnancy Loss ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Chinese Women ◽  
Later Life ◽  
Induced Abortion ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
History Of ◽  
Incident Cases

AbstractPregnancy and pregnancy loss may be associated with increased risk of diabetes in later life. However, the evidence is inconsistent and sparse, especially among East Asians where reproductive patterns differ importantly from those in the West. We examined the associations of pregnancy and pregnancy loss (miscarriage, induced abortion, and still birth) with the risk of incident diabetes in later life among Chinese women. In 2004–2008, the nationwide China Kadoorie Biobank recruited 302 669 women aged 30–79 years from 10 (5 urban, 5 rural) diverse localities. During 9.2 years of follow-up, 7780 incident cases of diabetes were recorded among 273,383 women without prior diabetes and cardiovascular disease at baseline. Cox regression yielded multiple-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for the risk of diabetes associated with pregnancy and pregnancy loss. Overall, 99% of women had been pregnant, of whom 10%, 53%, and 6% reported having a history of miscarriage, induced abortion, and stillbirth, respectively. Among ever pregnant women, each additional pregnancy was associated with an adjusted HR of 1.04 (95% CI 1.03; 1.06) for diabetes. Compared with those without pregnancy loss, women with a history of pregnancy loss had an adjusted HR of 1.07 (1.02; 1.13) and the HRs increased with increasing number of pregnancy losses, irrespective of the number of livebirths; the adjusted HR was 1.03 (1.00; 1.05) for each additional pregnancy loss. The strength of the relationships differed marginally by type of pregnancy loss. Among Chinese women, a higher number of pregnancies and pregnancy losses were associated with a greater risk of diabetes.

Headache as a risk factor for dementia: A prospective population-based study

Cephalalgia ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 34 (5) ◽  
pp. 327-335 ◽  
Author(s):  
Knut Hagen ◽  
Eystein Stordal ◽  
Mattias Linde ◽  
Timothy J Steiner ◽  
John-Anker Zwart ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factor ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Subsequent Development ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Health Study ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Increased Risk

Background Headache has not been established as a risk factor for dementia. The aim of this study was to determine whether any headache was associated with subsequent development of vascular dementia (VaD), Alzheimer’s disease (AD) or other types of dementia. Methods This prospective population-based cohort study used baseline data from the Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT 2) performed during 1995–1997 and, from the same Norwegian county, a register of cases diagnosed with dementia during 1997–2010. Participants aged ≥20 years who responded to headache questions in HUNT 2 were categorized (headache free; with any headache; with migraine; with nonmigrainous headache). Hazard ratios (HRs) for later inclusion in the dementia register were estimated using Cox regression analysis. Results Of 51,383 participants providing headache data in HUNT 2, 378 appeared in the dementia register during the follow-up period. Compared to those who were headache free, participants with any headache had increased risk of VaD ( n = 63) (multivariate-adjusted HR = 2.3, 95% CI 1.4–3.8, p = 0.002) and of mixed dementia (VaD and AD ( n = 52)) (adjusted HR = 2.0, 95% CI 1.1–3.5, p = 0.018). There was no association between any headache and later development of AD ( n = 180). Conclusion In this prospective population-based cohort study, any headache was a risk factor for development of VaD.

scholarly journals 751Investigation of the obesity paradox in kidney cancer: mystifying association or myth?

2021 ◽  
Vol 50 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alicia Heath ◽  
Joanna Clasen ◽  
Elio Riboli ◽  
Ghislaine Scelo ◽  
David Muller
Keyword(s):  
Kidney Cancer ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Obesity Paradox ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Incidence And Mortality ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Restricted Cubic Splines

Abstract Background An “obesity paradox” has been reported in kidney cancer, whereby obesity is a risk factor, yet appears to be associated with better survival. To evaluate this paradox, we investigated the association between pre-diagnostic adiposity and renal cell carcinoma (RCC) incidence and mortality. Methods Using data from 363,521 men and women in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC), Cox regression models yielded confounder-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for RCC incidence and mortality in relation to BMI modelled continuously and using restricted cubic splines. RCC-specific and all-cause mortality were evaluated among cases. Results During a mean follow-up of 14.9 years, 936 incident RCC cases were identified, 383 of whom died (278 due to RCC). Each 5 kg/m2 increment in BMI was associated with 27% and 46% higher RCC incidence and mortality (HRs=1.27, 95% CI 1.18-1.37 and 1.46, 95% CI 1.28-1.66, respectively). Comparing a BMI of 35 with 22 kg/m2, HRs for RCC incidence and mortality were 1.88 (95% CI 1.54-2.30) and 2.37 (95% CI 1.68-3.35), respectively. Among RCC cases, HRs per 5 kg/m2 increment in BMI were 1.22 (95% CI 1.07-1.41) for RCC-specific mortality and 1.18 (95% CI 1.04-1.34) for all-cause mortality. Similar, positive linear associations were evident for waist circumference and waist-to-hip ratio. Conclusions Obesity was associated with increased RCC incidence and mortality, and worse prognosis among cases. Key messages The kidney cancer-obesity paradox does not appear to be real. Higher adiposity is associated with an increased risk of incident and fatal RCC.

Abstract WMP30: Risk Analysis Of Growth And Rupture In Unruptured Intreacranial Aneurysms : Single Institutional Cohort Study

Stroke ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 44 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuichi Murayama ◽  
Toshihiro Ishibashi ◽  
Hiroyuki Takao ◽  
Ichiro Yuki ◽  
Hideki Arakawa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Computed Tomography ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Aneurysm Rupture ◽  
Posterior Circulation ◽  
Single Center ◽  
Risk Of Rupture ◽  
Aneurysm Growth ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Small Aneurysms

Introduction: Risk of growth and rupture in unruptured intracranial saccular aneurysm (UIA) are still unclear. Hypothesis: Gowth and risk of UIA may be correlated and they were evaluated our single center large cohort. Methods: Between January 2003 and March 2011, a total of 2122 patients with 2756 UIA were referred to our institution. 1403 patients with 2037 UIAs were assigned for conservative management. The mean follow up duration was 6201 aneurysm-years. Bi-annual three-dimensional computed tomography angiography (3D CTA) was performed and aneurysm growth was evaluated using 3D workstation. The aneurysm growth was defined as size increase more than 1mm. Results: During observation, 14.6% aneurysms increased their size. Female and male growth rate were 16% and 11% respectively. 130 patients stopped observation and therapeutic intervention was performed due to increase their size or anxiety. During observation 50 UIAs ruptured resulting in a 0.8% rupture rate per year. Aneurysm growth, IC-pcom aneurysms, posterior circulation, female, and SAH associated multiple aneurysms were risk factor for aneurysm rupture. Growing aneurysm was 10 times higher relative risk of rupture compare to stable aneurysm. No aneurysm demonstrated reduction of their size after rupture. Conclusions: Risk of Aneurysm growth and rupture may be correlated. Risk of rupture of UIAs was similar that was reported before but even small aneurysms can be rupture during observation. Growing UIAs should be considered to treat as soon as possible even in small size.

scholarly journals Atorvastatin and growth, rupture of small unruptured intracranial aneurysm: results of a prospective cohort study

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 ◽  
pp. 175628642098793
Author(s):  
Jie Wang ◽  
Jiancong Weng ◽  
Hao Li ◽  
Yuming Jiao ◽  
Weilun Fu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Growth Rate ◽  
Cohort Study ◽  
Intracranial Aneurysm ◽  
Aneurysm Rupture ◽  
Uncontrolled Hypertension ◽  
Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysm ◽  
Multicenter Cohort Study ◽  
Aneurysm Growth ◽  
Cox Analysis

Background and aims: The role of statins in unruptured intracranial aneurysm (UIA) growth and rupture remains ambiguous. This study sought to determine whether atorvastatin is associated with aneurysm growth and rupture in patients harboring UIA <7 mm. Methods: This prospective, multicenter cohort study consecutively enrolled patients with concurrent UIA <7 mm and ischemic cerebrovascular disease from four hospitals between 2016 and 2019. Baseline and follow-up patient information was recorded. Because of the strong anti-inflammatory effect of aspirin, patients using aspirin were excluded. Patients taking atorvastatin 20 mg daily were atorvastatin users. The primary and exploratory endpoints were aneurysm rupture and growth, respectively. Results: Among the 1087 enrolled patients, 489 (45.0%) took atorvastatin, and 598 (55%) took no atorvastatin. After a mean follow-up duration of 33.0 ± 12.5 months, six (1.2%) and five (0.8%) aneurysms ruptured in atorvastatin and non-atorvastatin groups, respectively. In the adjusted multivariate Cox analysis, UIA sized 5 to <7 mm, current smoker, and uncontrolled hypertension were associated with aneurysm rupture, whereas atorvastatin [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.495, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.417–5.356, p = 0.537] was not. Of 159 patients who had follow-up imaging, 34 (21.4%) took atorvastatin and 125 (78.6%) took no atorvastatin. Aneurysm growth occurred in five (14.7%) and 21 (16.8%) patients in atorvastatin and non-atorvastatin groups (mean follow-up: 20.2 ± 12.9 months), respectively. In the adjusted multivariate Cox analysis, UIAs sized 5 to <7 mm and uncontrolled hypertension were associated with a high growth rate; atorvastatin (adjusted HR 0.151, 95% CI 0.031–0.729, p = 0.019) was associated with a reduced growth rate. Conclusions: We conclude atorvastatin use is associated with a reduced risk of UIA growth, whereas atorvastatin is not associated with UIA rupture. The trial registry name: The Clinic Benefit and Risk of Oral Aspirin for Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysm Combined With Cerebral Ischemia Clinical Trial Registration-URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov Unique identifier: NCT02846259

scholarly journals Risk of hypersensitivity pneumonitis and interstitial lung diseases among pigeon breeders

2016 ◽  
Vol 48 (3) ◽  
pp. 818-825 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christine Cramer ◽  
Vivi Schlünssen ◽  
Elisabeth Bendstrup ◽  
Zara Ann Stokholm ◽  
Jesper Medom Vestergaard ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Lung Diseases ◽  
Hypersensitivity Pneumonitis ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Interstitial Lung Diseases ◽  
Protective Measures ◽  
National Patient Registry ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
National Patient

We studied the risk of hypersensitivity pneumonitis and other interstitial lung diseases (ILDs) among pigeon breeders.This is a retrospective follow-up study from 1980 to 2013 of 6920 pigeon breeders identified in the records of the Danish Racing Pigeon Association. They were compared with 276 800 individually matched referents randomly drawn from the Danish population. Hospital based diagnoses of hypersensitivity pneumonitis and other ILDs were identified in the National Patient Registry 1977–2013. Stratified Cox regression analyses estimated the hazard ratios (HR) of hypersensitivity pneumonitis and other ILDs adjusted for occupation, residence and redeemed prescription of medication with ILDs as a possible side-effect. Subjects were censored at death, emigration or a diagnosis of connective tissue disease.The overall incidence rate of ILD was 77.4 per 100 000 person-years among the pigeon breeders and 50.0 among the referents. This difference corresponded to an adjusted HR of 1.56 (95% CI 1.26–1.94). The adjusted HRs of hypersensitivity pneumonitis and other ILDs for pigeon breeders were 14.36 (95% CI 8.10–25.44) and 1.33 (95% CI 1.05–1.69), respectively.This study shows an increased risk of ILD among pigeon breeders compared with the referent population. Protective measures are recommended even though ILD leading to hospital contact remains rare among pigeon breeders.

Abstract MP78: Progression of Valvular Calcification and Risk of Incident Stroke: The Multi-ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA)

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 141 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Oluwaseun Fashanu ◽  
Anas Bizanti ◽  
Ahmad Al-Abdouh ◽  
Di Zhao ◽  
Matthew J Budoff ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
The United States ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Valvular Calcification ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Annular Calcification

Introduction: Stroke is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the United States. Identification of individuals at risk for stroke is important for implementation of preventive therapies. Prevalent valvular calcification (VC) has been shown to be associated with stroke but less is known about associations of VC progression with stroke. Methods: Progression (interval increase >0 Agatston units/year) of aortic valvular calcification (AVC) and mitral annular calcification (MAC) was assessed by two cardiac CTs over a median of 2.4 years. We determined the risk of adjudicated total and ischemic stroke using Cox regression adjusted for cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors. Results: We studied 5,606 multiethnic participants (39.6% White, 26.9% Black, 21.4% Hispanic, 12.2% Chinese) free of baseline CVD enrolled in MESA. Baseline mean ± SD age was 62 ± 10 years; 53% were women; 12% had prevalent AVC and 9% prevalent MAC at the baseline visit; 83% had no progression of VC, 14%, progression at one site (AVC or MAC), and 3% progression at both sites (AVC and MAC) at follow-up. Over a median of 12 years, 214 total and 170 ischemic strokes occurred. The number of sites with VC progression (range 0-2) was not associated with total and ischemic stroke (all p>0.05). We found MAC progression to be associated with increased risk of total stroke [adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI) 1.59 (1.11 - 2.27)] and ischemic stroke [1.64 (1.10 - 2.43)] in the whole cohort (model 3) and after further adjustment for baseline coronary artery calcification (model 4) ( Table ). Results remained significant for total stroke risk after excluding participants with interim atrial fibrillation or coronary heart disease [1.60 (1.01 - 2.54)]. In women, AVC progression was associated with ischemic stroke [1.87 (1.04 - 3.36)] (p-for-interaction=0.03). Conclusion: Progression of MAC over 2.4 years is associated with increased risk of total and ischemic stroke, and in women, AVC progression with higher ischemic stroke risk.

Insomnia among elderly men and risk of prostate cancer.

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (5_suppl) ◽  
pp. 78-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lara Sigurdardottir ◽  
Unnur Anna Valdimarsdottir ◽  
Lorelei Mucci ◽  
Katja Fall ◽  
Jennifer R. Rider ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prostate Cancer ◽  
Sleep Disturbances ◽  
Potential Role ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Positive Association ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
Biological Explanation ◽  
Underlying Mechanisms

78 Background: While a large number of studies have reported a positive association between sleep disruption and breast cancer, little is known about its potential role in prostate cancer. Methods: Within the prospective AGES-Reykjavik cohort study, we followed 2102 men from 2002-2006 until the end of 2009. The men answered questions on sleep disturbances, which were combined in various ways to reflect onset and/or maintenance insomnia. Information on the occurrence of prostate cancer was obtained through record-linkages across the Icelandic Cancer and Causes of Death Registers. We used Cox regression models with 95% confidence intervals [CIs] to estimate age- and multivariable adjusted hazard ratios [HR] of prostate cancer by symptoms of insomnia. Results: During follow-up, 135 men (6,4%) were diagnosed with prostate cancer. Compared to men without insomnia, men with severe onset and maintenance insomnia and very severe insomnia were at increased risk of total prostate cancer with HR 1.9 (CI 1.2, 3.0) and 2.2 (CI 1.3, 3.8), respectively. For advanced prostate cancer, the corresponding HRs were 2.3 (CI 0.9-6.2) and 3.7 (CI 1.4-9.9), respectively. Conclusions: These data suggest that insomnia may confer an increased risk of prostate cancer. Reduced melatonin levels represent a plausible biological explanation, although additional studies using biomarkers and longer follow-up times are needed to further clarify the underlying mechanisms.

Masticatory Capacity and Mortality: The Preventive and Clinical Investigation Center (IPC) Cohort Study

2019 ◽  
Vol 99 (2) ◽  
pp. 152-158 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Darnaud ◽  
F. Thomas ◽  
N. Danchin ◽  
P. Boutouyrie ◽  
P. Bouchard
Keyword(s):  
Cancer Mortality ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Clinical Investigation ◽  
Missing Teeth ◽  
Masticatory Efficiency ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Increased Risk ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Adjusted Model

Poor oral health (OH) has been associated with mortality, but the association between OH components and mortality remains imprecise. The present observational study aimed to investigate if there is an association between oral masticatory efficiency and cardiovascular (CV) mortality in a large French subject cohort. The study was based on a cohort of 85,830 subjects aged between 16 and 94 y at recruitment. The follow-up extended from 2001 to 2014 and the mean follow-up was 8.06 ± 2.73 y. The number of deaths totaled 1,670. Full-mouth examinations were performed. Dental plaque, dental calculus, gingival inflammation, missing teeth, and masticatory units were recorded. Masticatory units represent the number of natural or prosthetic opposing premolars and molar pairs and can be considered an accurate indicator for masticatory efficiency. Causes of death were ascertained from death certificates. Cox regression analyses were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs). In the fully adjusted model, the number of masticatory units <5 is associated with an HR of 1.72 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.54 to 1.91) for all-cause mortality, HR of 1.41 (95% CI, 1.01 to 1.99) for CV mortality, HR of 1.76 (95% CI, 1.44 to 2.15) for cancer mortality, and HR of 1.85 (95% CI, 1.55 to 2.20) for non-CV and noncancer mortality. Significant statistical associations with the other oral variables were also found for all-cause mortality, cancer mortality, and non-CV and noncancer mortality in the adjusted models. Our study indicates that after full adjustment, all oral parameters are associated with all-cause, cancer, and non-CV and noncancer mortality. However, the low number of masticatory units is associated with an increased risk of CV mortality. We highlight the association of masticatory units and CV mortality.

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