scholarly journals Assessment of Fatigue Using Wearable Sensors: A Pilot Study

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 59-72
Author(s):  
Hongyu Luo ◽  
Pierre-Alexandre Lee ◽  
Ieuan Clay ◽  
Martin Jaggi ◽  
Valeria De Luca
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Physical Activity ◽  
Heart Rate ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Vital Signs ◽  
Mental Fatigue ◽  
Digital Data ◽  
Sensor Data ◽  
Series Data

<b><i>Background:</i></b> Fatigue is a broad, multifactorial concept encompassing feelings of reduced physical and mental energy levels. Fatigue strongly impacts patient health-related quality of life across a huge range of conditions, yet, to date, tools available to understand fatigue are severely limited. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> After using a recurrent neural network-based algorithm to impute missing time series data form a multisensor wearable device, we compared supervised and unsupervised machine learning approaches to gain insights on the relationship between self-reported non-pathological fatigue and multimodal sensor data. <b><i>Results:</i></b> A total of 27 healthy subjects and 405 recording days were analyzed. Recorded data included continuous multimodal wearable sensor time series on physical activity, vital signs, and other physiological parameters, and daily questionnaires on fatigue. The best results were obtained when using the causal convolutional neural network model for unsupervised representation learning of multivariate sensor data, and random forest as a classifier trained on subject-reported physical fatigue labels (weighted precision of 0.70 ± 0.03 and recall of 0.73 ± 0.03). When using manually engineered features on sensor data to train our random forest (weighted precision of 0.70 ± 0.05 and recall of 0.72 ± 0.01), both physical activity (energy expenditure, activity counts, and steps) and vital signs (heart rate, heart rate variability, and respiratory rate) were important parameters to measure. Furthermore, vital signs contributed the most as top features for predicting mental fatigue compared to physical ones. These results support the idea that fatigue is a highly multimodal concept. Analysis of clusters from sensor data highlighted a digital phenotype indicating the presence of fatigue (95% of observations) characterized by a high intensity of physical activity. Mental fatigue followed similar trends but was less predictable. Potential future directions could focus on anomaly detection assuming longer individual monitoring periods. <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> Taken together, these results are the first demonstration that multimodal digital data can be used to inform, quantify, and augment subjectively captured non-pathological fatigue measures.

scholarly journals Remaining Useful Life Prediction Using Temporal Convolution with Attention

AI ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 48-70
Author(s):  
Wei Ming Tan ◽  
T. Hui Teo
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Remaining Useful Life ◽  
Sensor Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Multiple Time ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Form Complex ◽  
Useful Life

Prognostic techniques attempt to predict the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of a subsystem or a component. Such techniques often use sensor data which are periodically measured and recorded into a time series data set. Such multivariate data sets form complex and non-linear inter-dependencies through recorded time steps and between sensors. Many current existing algorithms for prognostic purposes starts to explore Deep Neural Network (DNN) and its effectiveness in the field. Although Deep Learning (DL) techniques outperform the traditional prognostic algorithms, the networks are generally complex to deploy or train. This paper proposes a Multi-variable Time Series (MTS) focused approach to prognostics that implements a lightweight Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with attention mechanism. The convolution filters work to extract the abstract temporal patterns from the multiple time series, while the attention mechanisms review the information across the time axis and select the relevant information. The results suggest that the proposed method not only produces a superior accuracy of RUL estimation but it also trains many folds faster than the reported works. The superiority of deploying the network is also demonstrated on a lightweight hardware platform by not just being much compact, but also more efficient for the resource restricted environment.

scholarly journals A Time Series Data Filling Method Based on LSTM—Taking the Stem Moisture as an Example

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (18) ◽  
pp. 5045
Author(s):  
Wei Song ◽  
Chao Gao ◽  
Yue Zhao ◽  
Yandong Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Environmental Parameters ◽  
Sensor Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
One Dimensional ◽  
Filling Method ◽  
Stem Water ◽  
Bidirectional Lstm

In order to solve the problem of data loss in sensor data collection, this paper took the stem moisture data of plants as the object, and compared the filling value of missing data in the same data segment with different data filling methods to verify the validity and accuracy of the stem water filling data of the LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) model. This paper compared the accuracy of missing stem water data for plants under different data filling methods to solve the problem of data loss in sensor data collection. Original stem moisture data was selected from Lagerstroemia Indica which was planted in the Haidian District of Beijing in June 2017. Part of the data which treated as missing data was manually deleted. Interpolation methods, time series statistical methods, the RNN (Recurrent Neural Network), and LSTM neural network were used to fill in the missing part and the filling results were compared with the original data. The result shows that the LSTM has more accurate performance than the RNN. The error values of the bidirectional LSTM model are the smallest among several models. The error values of the bidirectional LSTM are much lower than other methods. The MAPE (mean absolute percent error) of the bidirectional LSTM model is 1.813%. After increasing the length of the training data, the results further proved the effectiveness of the model. Further, in order to solve the problem of one-dimensional filling error accumulation, the LSTM model is used to conduct the multi-dimensional filling experiment with environmental data. After comparing the filling results of different environmental parameters, three environmental parameters of air humidity, photosynthetic active radiation, and soil temperature were selected as input. The results show that the multi-dimensional filling can greatly extend the sequence length while maintaining the accuracy, and make up for the defect that the one-dimensional filling accumulates errors with the increase of the sequence. The minimum MAPE of multidimensional filling is 1.499%. In conclusion, the data filling method based on LSTM neural network has a great advantage in filling the long-lost time series data which would provide a new idea for data filling.

Neural Network Techniques for Time Series Prediction: A Review

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Faheem Mushtaq ◽  
Urooj Akram ◽  
Muhammad Aamir ◽  
Haseeb Ali ◽  
Muhammad Zulqarnain
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Time Series Prediction ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Prediction Problem ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Physical Time

It is important to predict a time series because many problems that are related to prediction such as health prediction problem, climate change prediction problem and weather prediction problem include a time component. To solve the time series prediction problem various techniques have been developed over many years to enhance the accuracy of forecasting. This paper presents a review of the prediction of physical time series applications using the neural network models. Neural Networks (NN) have appeared as an effective tool for forecasting of time series.  Moreover, to resolve the problems related to time series data, there is a need of network with single layer trainable weights that is Higher Order Neural Network (HONN) which can perform nonlinearity mapping of input-output. So, the developers are focusing on HONN that has been recently considered to develop the input representation spaces broadly. The HONN model has the ability of functional mapping which determined through some time series problems and it shows the more benefits as compared to conventional Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). The goal of this research is to present the reader awareness about HONN for physical time series prediction, to highlight some benefits and challenges using HONN.

Development of A Pharmaceutical Early Warning Scoring Model for Cardiac Arrest Using Deep Learning: Retrospective Cohort Study (Preprint)

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hsiao-Ko Chang ◽  
Hui-Chih Wang ◽  
Chih-Fen Huang ◽  
Feipei Lai
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Cardiac Arrest ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Vital Signs ◽  
Sliding Window ◽  
Early Warning Score ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Dynamic Time

BACKGROUND In most of Taiwan’s medical institutions, congestion is a serious problem for emergency departments. Due to a lack of beds, patients spend more time in emergency retention zones, which make it difficult to detect cardiac arrest (CA). OBJECTIVE We seek to develop a pharmaceutical early warning model to predict cardiac arrest in emergency departments via drug classification and medical expert suggestion. METHODS We propose a new early warning score model for detecting cardiac arrest via pharmaceutical classification and by using a sliding window; we apply learning-based algorithms to time-series data for a Pharmaceutical Early Warning Scoring Model (PEWSM). By treating pharmaceutical features as a dynamic time-series factor for cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) patients, we increase sensitivity, reduce false alarm rates and mortality, and increase the model’s accuracy. To evaluate the proposed model we use the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RESULTS Four important findings are as follows: (1) We identify the most important drug predictors: bits, and replenishers and regulators of water and electrolytes. The best AUROC of bits is 85%; that of replenishers and regulators of water and electrolytes is 86%. These two features are the most influential of the drug features in the task. (2) We verify feature selection, in which accounting for drugs improve the accuracy: In Task 1, the best AUROC of vital signs is 77%, and that of all features is 86%. In Task 2, the best AUROC of all features is 85%, which demonstrates that thus accounting for the drugs significantly affects prediction. (3) We use a better model: For traditional machine learning, this study adds a new AI technology: the long short-term memory (LSTM) model with the best time-series accuracy, comparable to the traditional random forest (RF) model; the two AUROC measures are 85%. (4) We determine whether the event can be predicted beforehand: The best classifier is still an RF model, in which the observational starting time is 4 hours before the CPR event. Although the accuracy is impaired, the predictive accuracy still reaches 70%. Therefore, we believe that CPR events can be predicted four hours before the event. CONCLUSIONS This paper uses a sliding window to account for dynamic time-series data consisting of the patient’s vital signs and drug injections. In a comparison with NEWS, we improve predictive accuracy via feature selection, which includes drugs as features. In addition, LSTM yields better performance with time-series data. The proposed PEWSM, which offers 4-hour predictions, is better than the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) in the literature. This also confirms that the doctor’s heuristic rules are consistent with the results found by machine learning algorithms.

Development of A Drug Early Warning System Model for Cardiac Arrest Using Deep Learning: Retrospective Cohort Study (Preprint)

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hsiao-Ko Chang ◽  
Hui-Chih Wang ◽  
Chih-Fen Huang ◽  
Feipei Lai
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Cardiac Arrest ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Vital Signs ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Dynamic Time

BACKGROUND In most of Taiwan’s medical institutions, congestion is a serious problem for emergency departments. Due to a lack of beds, patients spend more time in emergency retention zones, which make it difficult to detect cardiac arrest (CA). OBJECTIVE We seek to develop a Drug Early Warning System Model (DEWSM), it included drug injections and vital signs as this research important features. We use it to predict cardiac arrest in emergency departments via drug classification and medical expert suggestion. METHODS We propose this new model for detecting cardiac arrest via drug classification and by using a sliding window; we apply learning-based algorithms to time-series data for a DEWSM. By treating drug features as a dynamic time-series factor for cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) patients, we increase sensitivity, reduce false alarm rates and mortality, and increase the model’s accuracy. To evaluate the proposed model, we use the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RESULTS Four important findings are as follows: (1) We identify the most important drug predictors: bits (intravenous therapy), and replenishers and regulators of water and electrolytes (fluid and electrolyte supplement). The best AUROC of bits is 85%, it means the medical expert suggest the drug features: bits, it will affect the vital signs, and then the evaluate this model correctly classified patients with CPR reach 85%; that of replenishers and regulators of water and electrolytes is 86%. These two features are the most influential of the drug features in the task. (2) We verify feature selection, in which accounting for drugs improve the accuracy: In Task 1, the best AUROC of vital signs is 77%, and that of all features is 86%. In Task 2, the best AUROC of all features is 85%, which demonstrates that thus accounting for the drugs significantly affects prediction. (3) We use a better model: For traditional machine learning, this study adds a new AI technology: the long short-term memory (LSTM) model with the best time-series accuracy, comparable to the traditional random forest (RF) model; the two AUROC measures are 85%. It can be seen that the use of new AI technology will achieve better results, currently comparable to the accuracy of traditional common RF, and the LSTM model can be adjusted in the future to obtain better results. (4) We determine whether the event can be predicted beforehand: The best classifier is still an RF model, in which the observational starting time is 4 hours before the CPR event. Although the accuracy is impaired, the predictive accuracy still reaches 70%. Therefore, we believe that CPR events can be predicted four hours before the event. CONCLUSIONS This paper uses a sliding window to account for dynamic time-series data consisting of the patient’s vital signs and drug injections. The National Early Warning Score (NEWS) only focuses on the score of vital signs, and does not include factors related to drug injections. In this study, the experimental results of adding the drug injections are better than only vital signs. In a comparison with NEWS, we improve predictive accuracy via feature selection, which includes drugs as features. In addition, we use traditional machine learning methods and deep learning (using LSTM method as the main processing time series data) as the basis for comparison of this research. The proposed DEWSM, which offers 4-hour predictions, is better than the NEWS in the literature. This also confirms that the doctor’s heuristic rules are consistent with the results found by machine learning algorithms.

scholarly journals Detecting Predictable Segments of Chaotic Financial Time Series via Neural Network

Electronics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 823
Author(s):  
Tianle Zhou ◽  
Chaoyi Chu ◽  
Chaobin Xu ◽  
Weihao Liu ◽  
Hao Yu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Phase Space ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Financial Time Series ◽  
Influential Factors ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Phase Point ◽  
Price Fluctuations ◽  
Financial Time

In this study, a new idea is proposed to analyze the financial market and detect price fluctuations, by integrating the technology of PSR (phase space reconstruction) and SOM (self organizing maps) neural network algorithms. The prediction of price and index in the financial market has always been a challenging and significant subject in time-series studies, and the prediction accuracy or the sensitivity of timely warning price fluctuations plays an important role in improving returns and avoiding risks for investors. However, it is the high volatility and chaotic dynamics of financial time series that constitute the most significantly influential factors affecting the prediction effect. As a solution, the time series is first projected into a phase space by PSR, and the phase tracks are then sliced into several parts. SOM neural network is used to cluster the phase track parts and extract the linear components in each embedded dimension. After that, LSTM (long short-term memory) is used to test the results of clustering. When there are multiple linear components in the m-dimension phase point, the superposition of these linear components still remains the linear property, and they exhibit order and periodicity in phase space, thereby providing a possibility for time series prediction. In this study, the Dow Jones index, Nikkei index, China growth enterprise market index and Chinese gold price are tested to determine the validity of the model. To summarize, the model has proven itself able to mark the unpredictable time series area and evaluate the unpredictable risk by using 1-dimension time series data.

scholarly journals Improving Medication Regimen Recommendation for Parkinson’s Disease Using Sensor Technology

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (10) ◽  
pp. 3553
Author(s):  
Jeremy Watts ◽  
Anahita Khojandi ◽  
Rama Vasudevan ◽  
Fatta B. Nahab ◽  
Ritesh A. Ramdhani
Keyword(s):  
Parkinson’S Disease ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Parkinson's Disease ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Treatment Planning ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Classification Model ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Demographic Information ◽  
Subjective Data

Parkinson’s disease medication treatment planning is generally based on subjective data obtained through clinical, physician-patient interactions. The Personal KinetiGraph™ (PKG) and similar wearable sensors have shown promise in enabling objective, continuous remote health monitoring for Parkinson’s patients. In this proof-of-concept study, we propose to use objective sensor data from the PKG and apply machine learning to cluster patients based on levodopa regimens and response. The resulting clusters are then used to enhance treatment planning by providing improved initial treatment estimates to supplement a physician’s initial assessment. We apply k-means clustering to a dataset of within-subject Parkinson’s medication changes—clinically assessed by the MDS-Unified Parkinson’s Disease Rating Scale-III (MDS-UPDRS-III) and the PKG sensor for movement staging. A random forest classification model was then used to predict patients’ cluster allocation based on their respective demographic information, MDS-UPDRS-III scores, and PKG time-series data. Clinically relevant clusters were partitioned by levodopa dose, medication administration frequency, and total levodopa equivalent daily dose—with the PKG providing similar symptomatic assessments to physician MDS-UPDRS-III scores. A random forest classifier trained on demographic information, MDS-UPDRS-III scores, and PKG time-series data was able to accurately classify subjects of the two most demographically similar clusters with an accuracy of 86.9%, an F1 score of 90.7%, and an AUC of 0.871. A model that relied solely on demographic information and PKG time-series data provided the next best performance with an accuracy of 83.8%, an F1 score of 88.5%, and an AUC of 0.831, hence further enabling fully remote assessments. These computational methods demonstrate the feasibility of using sensor-based data to cluster patients based on their medication responses with further potential to assist with medication recommendations.

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