Blood Urea Nitrogen to Creatinine Ratio and Long-Term Mortality in Patients with Acute Heart Failure: A Prospective Cohort Study and Meta-Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 415-428
Author(s):  
Xu Zhu ◽  
Iokfai Cheang ◽  
Shengen Liao ◽  
Kai Wang ◽  
Wenming Yao ◽  
...  

<b><i>Objective:</i></b> To further explore the relationship between the blood urea nitrogen to creatinine (BUN/Cr) ratio and the prognosis of patients with acute heart failure (AHF), a two-part study consisting of a prospective cohort study and meta-analysis were conducted. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> A total of 509 hospitalized patients with AHF were enrolled and followed up. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to analyze the relationship between the BUN/Cr ratio and the long-term prognosis of patients with AHF. Meta-analysis was also conducted regarding the topic by searching PubMed and Embase for relevant studies published up to October 2019. <b><i>Results:</i></b> During a median follow-up of 2.8 years, 197 (42.6%) deaths occurred. The cumulative survival rate of patients with a BUN/Cr ratio in the bottom quartile was significantly lower than in the other 3 groups (log-rank test: <i>p</i> = 0.003). In multivariate Cox regression models, the mortality rate of AHF patients with a BUN/Cr ratio in the bottom quartile was significantly higher than in the top quartile (adjusted HR 1.52; 95% CI 1.03–2.24). For the meta-analysis, we included 8 studies with 4,700 patients, consisting of 7 studies from the database and our cohort study. The pooled analysis showed that the highest BUN/Cr ratio category was associated with an 77% higher all-cause mortality than the lowest category (pooled HR 1.77; 95% CI 1.52–2.07). <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> Elevated BUN/Cr ratio is associated with poor prognosis in patients with AFH and is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality.

Cardiology ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Guoqi Dong ◽  
Hao Chen ◽  
Hongru Zhang ◽  
Yihuang Gu

<b><i>Introduction:</i></b> Soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2 (sST2) has been considered as a prognostic factor of cardiovascular disease. However, the prognostic value of sST2 concentration in chronic heart failure remains to be summarized. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> We searched PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science for eligible studies up to January 1, 2020. Data extracted from articles and provided by authors were used in agreement with the PRISMA statement. The endpoints were all-cause mortality (ACM), cardiovascular mortality (CVM)/heart failure-related hospitalization (HFH), and all-cause mortality (ACM)/heart failure-related readmission (HFR). <b><i>Results:</i></b> A total of 11 studies with 5,121 participants were included in this analysis. Higher concentration of sST2 predicted the incidence of long-term ACM (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.03, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02–1.04), long-term ACM/HFR (HR: 1.42, CI: 1.27–1.59), and long-term CVM/HFH (HR: 2.25, CI: 1.82–2.79), regardless of short-term ACM/HFR (HR: 2.31, CI: 0.71–7.49). <b><i>Conclusion:</i></b> Higher sST2 concentration at baseline is associated with increasing risk of long-term ACM, ACM/HFR, and CVM/HFH and can be a tool for the prognosis of chronic heart failure.


2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonios Douros ◽  
Alice Schneider ◽  
Dörte Huscher ◽  
Natalie Ebert ◽  
Nina Mielke ◽  
...  

Abstract Background and Aims Current guidelines on the management of heart failure (HF) recommend control of blood pressure (BP) in elderly patients. However, the exact treatment goals in this vulnerable population are unclear. Thus, our population-based prospective cohort study aimed to assess whether BP values &lt;140/90 mmHg are associated with a decreased risk of cardiovascular (CV) death and all-cause mortality in HF patients ≥70 years. Method The study included participants of the Berlin Initiative Study (BIS), all ≥70 years, who were treated with antihypertensive drugs and had a diagnosis of HF (ICD-10 codes: I11.0, I13.0, I13.2, I50.x) at baseline. The study period was from 2009 to 2017. Demographics, lifestyle factors, medications, and comorbidities were assessed in face-to-face interviews and from linked administrative healthcare data. Outcomes were adjudicated using death certificates and hospital discharge notes. Cox proportional hazards models yielded crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of CV death and all-cause mortality associated with normalized BP (systolic BP &lt;140 mmHg and diastolic BP &lt;90 mmHg) compared with non-normalized BP (systolic BP ≥140 mmHg or diastolic BP ≥90 mmHg) in patients with HF. In sensitivity analyses we restricted to high-risk HF patients (≥80 years or with previous CV events). We also repeated the analyses in patients without HF to assess a potential effect modification. Results Among 1623 BIS participants treated with antihypertensive drugs at baseline, 544 (33.5%) had a diagnosis of HF. Of those, 255 (46.9%) showed normalized BP and 289 (53.1%) had non-normalized values. Mean age (standard deviation [SD]) was 82.8 (6.8) years (45.4% female). Selected patient characteristics are shown in the Table. Median (interquartile range) duration of follow-up was 6.7 (4.1-7.3) years. Compared with non-normalized BP, normalized BP was associated with a numerically increased risk of CV death (HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 0.90-2.17) and all-cause mortality (HR, 1.28; 95% CI, 0.96-1.71) in patients with HF. The associations were more pronounced or reached statistical significance when restricting to HF patients ≥80 years (CV death: HR, 1.54; 95% CI, 0.94-2.53 / all-cause mortality: HR, 1.56; 95% CI, 1.11-2.18) or HF patients with previous CV events (CV death: HR, 1.65; 95% CI, 0.83-3.29 / all-cause mortality: HR, 1.33; 95% CI, 0.85-2.07) (Figure). The effect estimates in patients without HF were comparable to those with HF (CV death: HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 0.78-1.78; p for interaction, 0.695 / all-cause mortality: HR, 1.20; 95% CI, 0.93-1.54; p for interaction, 0.604). Conclusion Our study suggests that normalized BP does not decrease the risk of CV death or all-cause mortality in elderly patients with HF and it could even increase the risk especially in high-risk subgroups. Thus, individualized benefit-risk assessment is required for the pharmacotherapy of HF in this vulnerable population.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
R Vidal-Perez ◽  
R Agra-Bermejo ◽  
D Pascual-Figal ◽  
F Gude Sampedro ◽  
C Abou Jokh ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The prognostic impact of heart rate (HR) in acute heart failure (AHF) patients is not well known especially in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. Purpose The aim of the study was to evaluate the impact of admission HR, discharge HR, HR difference (HRD) (admission- discharge) in AHF patients with sinus rhythm (SR) or AF on long- term outcomes. Methods We included 1398 patients consecutively admitted with AHF between October 2013 and December 2014 from a national multicentric, prospective registry. Logistic regression models were used to estimate the association between admission HR, discharge HR and HR difference and one- year all-cause mortality and HF readmission. Results The mean age of the study population was 72±12 years. Of these, 594 (42.4%) were female, 655 (77.8%) were hypertensive and 655 (46.8%) had diabetes. Among all included patients, 745 (53.2%) had sinus rhythm and 653 (46.7%) had atrial fibrillation. Only discharge HR was associated with one-year all-cause mortality (Relative risk (RR)= 1.182, confidence interval (CI) 95% 1.024–1.366, p=0.022) in SR. In AF patients discharge HR was associated with one-year all-cause mortality (RR= 1.276, CI 95% 1.115–1.459, p≤0.001). We did not observe a prognostic effect of admission HR or HRD on long-term outcomes in both groups. This relationship is not dependent on left ventricular ejection fraction (Figure 1) Effect of post-discharge heart rate Conclusions In AHF patients lower discharge HR, neither the admission nor the difference, is associated with better long-term outcomes especially in AF patients Acknowledgement/Funding Heart Failure Program of the Red de Investigaciόn Cardiovascular del Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain (RD12/0042) and the Fondo Europeo de


PLoS ONE ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. e0201714 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan C. van den Berge ◽  
Alina A. Constantinescu ◽  
Ron T. van Domburg ◽  
Milos Brankovic ◽  
Jaap W. Deckers ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 35 (5) ◽  
pp. 854-860 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun Morinaga ◽  
Tatsuyuki Kakuma ◽  
Hirotaka Fukami ◽  
Manabu Hayata ◽  
Kohei Uchimura ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Patients undergoing hemodialysis treatment have a poor prognosis, as many develop premature aging. Systemic inflammatory conditions often underlie premature aging phenotypes in uremic patients. We investigated whether angiopoietin-like protein 2 (ANGPTL 2), a factor that accelerates the progression of aging-related and noninfectious inflammatory diseases, was associated with increased mortality risk in hemodialysis patients. Methods We conducted a multicenter prospective cohort study of 412 patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis and evaluated the relationship between circulating ANGPTL2 levels and the risk for all-cause mortality. Circulating ANGPTL2 levels were log-transformed to correct for skewed distribution and analyzed as a continuous variable. Results Of 412 patients, 395 were included for statistical analysis. Time-to-event data analysis showed high circulating ANGPTL2 levels were associated with an increased risk for all-cause mortality after adjustment for age, sex, hemodialysis vintage, nutritional status, metabolic parameters and circulating high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels {hazard ratio [HR] 2.04 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.10–3.77]}. High circulating ANGPTL2 levels were also strongly associated with an increased mortality risk, particularly in patients with a relatively benign prognostic profile [HR 3.06 (95% CI 1.86–5.03)]. Furthermore, the relationship between circulating ANGPTL2 levels and mortality risk was particularly strong in patients showing few aging-related phenotypes, such as younger patients [HR 7.99 (95% CI 3.55–18.01)], patients with a short hemodialysis vintage [HR 3.99 (95% CI 2.85–5.58)] and nondiabetic patients [HR 5.15 (95% CI 3.19–8.32)]. Conclusion We conclude that circulating ANGPTL2 levels are positively associated with mortality risk in patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis and that ANGPTL2 could be a unique marker for the progression of premature aging and subsequent mortality risk in uremic patients, except those with significant aging-related phenotypes.


BMJ ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 348 (jan21 3) ◽  
pp. f7412-f7412 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Cesaroni ◽  
F. Forastiere ◽  
M. Stafoggia ◽  
Z. J. Andersen ◽  
C. Badaloni ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Pierre-André Natella ◽  
Philippe Le Corvoisier ◽  
Elena Paillaud ◽  
Bertrand Renaud ◽  
Isabelle Mahé ◽  
...  

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