Usefulness of the ACTEL Score to Predict Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Cryptogenic Stroke

Cardiology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 145 (3) ◽  
pp. 168-177 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio Muscari ◽  
Pietro Barone ◽  
Luca Faccioli ◽  
Marco Ghinelli ◽  
Marco Pastore Trossello ◽  
...  

Introduction: To assess the probability of undetected atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with ischemic stroke, we previously compared patients who were first diagnosed with AF with patients with large or small artery disease and obtained the MrWALLETS 8-item scoring system. In the present study, we utilized cryptogenic strokes (CS) as the control group, as AF is normally sought among CS patients. Methods: We retrospectively examined 191 ischemic stroke patients (72.5 ± 12.6 years), 68 with first diagnosed AF and 123 with CS, who had undergone 2 brain CT scans, echocardiography, carotid/vertebral ultrasound, continuous electrocardiogram monitoring and anamnestic/laboratory search for cardiovascular risk factors. Results: In logistic regression, 5 variables were independently associated with AF, forming the “ACTEL” score: Age ≥75 years (OR 2.42, 95% CI 1.18–4.96, p = 0.02; +1 point); hyperCholesterolemia (OR 0.38, 95% CI 0.18–0.78, p = 0.009; –1 point); Tricuspid regurgitation ≥ mild-to-moderate (OR 4.99, 95% CI 1.63–15.27, p = 0.005; +1 point); left ventricular End-diastolic volume <65 mL (OR 7.43, 95% CI 2.44–22.6, p = 0.0004; +1 point); Left atrium ≥4 cm (OR 4.57, 95% CI 1.97–10.62, p = 0.0004; +1 point). The algebraic sum of these points may range from –1 to +4. For AF identification, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.80 (95% CI 0.73–0.87). With a cutoff of ≥2, positive predictive value was 80.8%, specificity 92.7% and sensitivity 55.9%. Conclusions: The ACTEL score, a simplified and improved version of the MrWALLETS score, allows the identification of patients with first diagnosed AF, in the context of CSs, with a high positive predictive value.

Stroke ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 52 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ovais Inamullah ◽  
Alec McConnell ◽  
Hussein Al-khalidi ◽  
Gerald S Bloomfield ◽  
Shreyansh Shah

Background: Mobile Cardiac outpatient telemetry (MCOT) is often used for patients (pts) with cryptogenic ischemic stroke following hospital discharge to detect atrial fibrillation (AFib) but criteria for patient selection remains a subject of debate. Methods: We identified 297 pts hospitalized with acute ischemic stroke who had an inpatient transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) and underwent MCOT upon discharge between 2016 and 2018 at a large academic comprehensive stroke center. Pts characteristics between AFib vs. no AFib were compared by Fisher’s exact test for categorical and Wilcoxon rank-sum test for continuous variables. A multivariable stepwise logistic regression model was developed to determine the predictors of AFib detection. Statistical hypotheses were tested as two-sided at 0.05 level of significance. Results: Of the 297 pts, AFib was detected in 24 (8.1%) on 30-day MCOT. Pts with AFib detected were older, white, and have had a larger left atrial area (Table). The final logistic model demonstrated that white race (vs. non-white) (OR 4.86, 1.53-15.41), left atrial area (OR 1.15, 1.05-1.25) and left ventricular internal diameter in diastole (OR 0.33, 0.16-0.67) were associated with AFib detection by MCOT. Conclusion: Although rates of AFib detection on 30-day MCOT post-discharge was low, there are important patient characteristics and TTE features that can improve patient selection. Further studies are needed to determine if this data can be used prospectively to clinically decide which pts with cryptogenic stroke should be given 30-day MCT to detect atrial fibrillation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 42-53
Author(s):  
A Petrovicova ◽  
E Kurca ◽  
A Andrasova ◽  
J Bernatova ◽  
P Blasko ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction: Cardioembolic etiology is assumed to be the most frequent cause of cryptogenic strokes. The detection of subclinical paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) is important in the correct choice of preventive treatment. The aim of this prospective study was to detect the incidence of AF in patients with a cryptogenic stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) and to evaluate the association between the presence of AF and selected single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP). Methods: Patients with a cryptogenic stroke/ TIA (n=100) and a control group (n=15) of volunteers without significant cardiovascular disease were included in the study during the period of 2014 to 2019. To detect AF they underwent 12 months of ECG monitoring using an implanted loop recorder (ILR). Genotyping for SNPs rs10033464, rs2200733, rs225132, and rs2106261 was performed by a high resolution melting analysis. Results: We found AF to be present in 24 (24%) patients with a cryptogenic stroke/TIA, versus no subjects in the control group. The SNPs rs2106261, rs2200733, rs225132, and rs10033464 were not found to be associated with AF in our study (p=0.240; 1.000; 0.887; 0.589). However, a weak trend for a higher frequency of rs2106261 risk allele A homozygotes was observed in the patients with AF compared to the patients without AF (0.416 vs. 0.263, p=0.073). Homozygotes for allele A of rs2106261 were also present in a significantly higher frequency in AF patients compared to the controls (0.416 vs. 0.133, p = 0.012). Conclusion: In our study paroxysmal AF was a probable etiological factor in 24% of patients with cryptogenic ischemic stroke / TIA during the 12 months of monitoring. The homozygous allele A of rs2106261 was identified to be the possible genetic risk factor of AF, but this should be verified in larger cohorts. The study has been registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov, identifier NCT02216370.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Doaa Mohammed Youssef ◽  
Asmaa Mohammed Esh ◽  
Ebthag Helmy Hassan ◽  
Tahia Mohammed Ahmed

Introduction. The mortality and morbidity associated with acute kidney injury (AKI), unfortunately, remain unacceptably high. We aimed to detect the extent of serum neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) to early detect AKI in critically ill children. Subjects and Methods. This is a case control study. It included 75 subjects that include 15 as controls and 60 critically ill children. Patients were further subdivided according to RIFLE criteria into two other categories: patients who developed AKI and patients who did not develop AKI. Serum NGAL assayed on admission and after 3 days. Results. There was significant increase in the level of NGAL among patients group when compared with control group. Also, 21.7% of children admitted to PICU developed AKI from which 8.3% needed dialysis. The receiver operating characteristic curve of NGAL at day 0 revealed AUC of 0.63 with 95% CI of 0.50–0.77. At a cutoff value of 89.5 ng/mL, the sensitivity of NGAL was 84.6%, while specifcity was 59.6%, positive predictive value was 36.7%, negative predictive value was 68.4%, and accuracy was 93.3% in diagnosis of AKI. Conclusion. We found that NGAL acts as a sensitive marker rather than a specific one for AKI. At the same time, it presents as a negative predictive value more valuable than being a positive predictive value in detecting AKI.


2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (Supplement_G) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriella Bufano ◽  
Francesco Radico ◽  
Carolina Maria D’Angelo ◽  
Francesca Pierfelice ◽  
Maria Vittoria De Angelis ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims Cryptogenic stroke (CS) is associated with high rate of recurrences and adverse outcomes at long-term follow-up, especially in light of its unknown etiology that often leads to ineffective secondary prevention. In such scenario, asymptomatic misdiagnosed atrial fibrillation (AF) episodes could play an important pathophysiological role. Some studies have pointed left atrial (LA) and left ventricular (LV) systolic and diastolic dysfunction as surrogate markers of AF. The aim of this study was to evaluate the relationship between echocardiographic parameters of LA and LV function, and the occurrence of AF revealed by continuous electrocardiogram (ECG) monitoring in a cohort of CS patients. Methods and results This is a single-centre prospective cohort study. Seventy-two CS patients with continuous ECG monitoring with insertable cardiac monitor (ICM) underwent transthoracic echocardiography (TTE). TTE was focused on LA and LV function, including both standard and longitudinal strain-derived parameters. All detected AF episodes lasting more than 2 min were considered. Patients with and without AF were homogeneous in all baseline characteristics, except for CHA2DS2-VASc score, which was significantly higher in AF group, and prevalence of hypercholesterolaemia, that was significantly higher in no-AF group. ICM revealed AF in 23 patients (32%), on average 196 days after ICM implantation. Among echocardiographic parameters, LV ejection fraction (LVEF, P = 0.007), LA end systolic area (LAES area, P = 0.006), LA volume index (LAVI, P = 0.008), total LA emptying fraction (LATEF, P = 0.013), E velocity (P = 0.042), pulmonary veins AR duration (P = 0.01), septal and median TDI E/e′ (respectively, P = 0.045 and P = 0.039), peak atrial longitudinal strain (PALS) in 4-chamber and in 2-chamber view (respectively, P &lt; 0.001 and P = 0.011), peak atrial contraction strain (PACS, P &lt; 0.001), LA conduit strain (P = 0.005), and LV longitudinal strain (LVLS, P = 0.001) were significantly associated to the occurrence of AF, suggesting worst atrial function in AF group. Furthermore, multivariable regression analysis revealed that PACS and LV strain were the only echocardiographic parameters independently associated with AF [confidence interval (CI) 95%: 0.48–0.90, P = 0.005 and CI 95%: 0.46–0.95, P = 0.041 respectively]. Conclusions In a cohort of CS patients, continuous ECG monitoring with ICM revealed subclinical AF episodes in about one-third of patients. In such population, LA and LV strain analysis add predictive value for occurrence of AF over clinical and morpho-functional echocardiographic parameters. Impaired booster pump strain and LVLS strain are strong and independent predictors of AF.


Stroke ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
pp. 181-189 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wyliena Guan ◽  
Darae Ko ◽  
Shaan Khurshid ◽  
Ana T. Trisini Lipsanopoulos ◽  
Jeffrey M. Ashburner ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose: Oral anticoagulation is generally indicated for cardioembolic strokes, but not for other stroke causes. Consequently, subtype classification of ischemic stroke is important for risk stratification and secondary prevention. Because manual classification of ischemic stroke is time-intensive, we assessed the accuracy of automated algorithms for performing cardioembolic stroke subtyping using an electronic health record (EHR) database. Methods: We adapted TOAST (Trial of ORG 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment) features associated with cardioembolic stroke for derivation in the EHR. Using administrative codes and echocardiographic reports within Mass General Brigham Biobank (N=13 079), we iteratively developed EHR-based algorithms to define the TOAST cardioembolic stroke features, revising regular expression algorithms until achieving positive predictive value ≥80%. We compared several machine learning-based statistical algorithms for discriminating cardioembolic stroke using the feature algorithms applied to EHR data from 1598 patients with acute ischemic strokes from the Massachusetts General Hospital Ischemic Stroke Registry (2002–2010) with previously adjudicated TOAST and Causative Classification of Stroke subtypes. Results: Regular expression-based feature extraction algorithms achieved a mean positive predictive value of 95% (range, 88%–100%) across 11 echocardiographic features. Among 1598 patients from the Massachusetts General Hospital Ischemic Stroke Registry, 1068 had any cardioembolic stroke feature within predefined time windows in proximity to the stroke event. Cardioembolic stroke tended to occur at an older age, with more TOAST-based comorbidities, and with atrial fibrillation (82.3%). The best model was a random forest with 92.2% accuracy and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 91.1% (95% CI, 87.5%–93.9%). Atrial fibrillation, age, dilated cardiomyopathy, congestive heart failure, patent foramen ovale, mitral annulus calcification, and recent myocardial infarction were the most discriminatory features. Conclusions: Machine learning-based identification of cardioembolic stroke using EHR data is feasible. Future work is needed to improve the accuracy of automated cardioembolic stroke identification and assess generalizability of electronic phenotyping algorithms across clinical settings.


Author(s):  
Lijuan Wang ◽  
Hong Lv ◽  
Guojun Zhang

Background The study aimed to evaluate a fully automated chemiluminescent immunoassay and compared it with a quantitative RNA assay and anti-HCV assay to verify the utility of this automated Ag assay as an alternative method for hepatitis C diagnosis. Methods A total of 229 serum samples previously tested for anti-HCV concentrations by the Architect Anti-HCV assay, were selected for HCV RNA testing by real time RT-PCR kit (Shanghai ZJ Bio-Tec Co., Ltd) and 125 specimens were tested for HCV Ag by the Architect HCV core Antigen kit. Results The log10 HCVAg and HCV RNA concentrations were highly correlated [ r = 0.834); with HCV RNA as the comparator test, HCVAg had 100% specificity, 100% positive predictive value (PPV) and 94.8% sensitivity. We found 1 pg/mL of total HCV core Ag is equivalent to approximately 6607HCV RNA international units (IU)/mL. Receiver operator characteristic curve analysis showed that the area under the curve of HCV core Ag (0.989) was greater than HCV Ab (0.871). HCV Ag concentrations and RNA-to-Ag ratio of the groups for HCV RNA concentrations ≤105 and >105 IU/mL were both significantly different from each other ( P < 0.05). Conclusion The Architect HCV core Ag assay may be an alternative method for hepatitis C diagnosis, performed on the same analytical platform and sample as the anti-HCV assay, shortening the diagnostic window period, demonstrating good correlation with HCV RNA assay with high specificity and positive predictive value.


Stroke ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 44 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Millene Camilo ◽  
Alan Eckeli ◽  
Heidi Sander ◽  
Regina Fernandes ◽  
Joao Leite ◽  
...  

Background: Sleep-disordered breathing (SDB) is frequent in the acute phase of stroke. Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) has been found in 62% of stroke patients. The impact of OSA is significant after ischemic stroke, including early neurological deterioration, poor functional outcome and increased long-term mortality. However, performing polysomnography (PSG) for all patients with acute stroke for diagnose OSA is still impracticable. Therefore clinical tools to select patients at higher risk for OSA would be essential. The aim of this study was to determine the validity of the Berlin Questionnaire (BQ) and the Epworth Sleepiness Scale (ESS) to identify stroke patients in whom the PSG would be indicated. Methods: Subjects with ischemic stroke were stratified into high and low risk groups for SDB using a BQ. The ESS ≥ 10 was used to define excessive daytime sleepiness. The BQ and ESS were administered to the relatives of stroke patients at hospital admission. All patients were submitted to a full overnight PSG at the first night after symptoms onset. OSA severity was measured by the apnea-hypopnea index (AHI). Results: We prospectively studied 40 ischemic stroke patients. The mean age was 62 ± 12.1 years and the obstructive sleep apnea (AHI ≥ 15) was present in 67.5%. On stratifying risk of OSA in these patients based on the QB, 77.5% belonged to the high-risk and 50% to the ESS ≥ 10. The sensitivity of QB was 85%, the specificity 35%, the positive predictive value 74% and the negative predictive value 55%. For ESS was respectively 63%, 85%, 89% and 52%. The diagnostic value of the BQ and ESS in combination to predict OSA had a sensitivity of 58%, a specificity of 89%, a positive predictive value of 95% and a negative predictive value of 38%. Conclusions: The QB even applied to the bed-partners of stroke patients is a useful screening tool for OSA.


2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 421-424 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Weisenburger-Lile ◽  
Delphine Lopez ◽  
Stephanie Russel ◽  
Jean-Emmanuel Kahn ◽  
Ana Veiga Hellmann ◽  
...  

Background Occult atrial fibrillation (AF) may, in part, explain cryptogenic stroke. A 22% prevalence of subdiaphragmatic visceral infarction (SDVI) among patients with ischemic stroke (IS) due to AF has been reported, using abdominal MRI. We sought to assess the reproducibility of this method and to confirm that SDVI is more prevalent in cases of AF-caused IS than in IS of other etiologies. Methods In consecutive patients admitted to our hospital, we compared SDVI prevalence in three groups: patients with IS due to AF (IS+/AF+ group), patients with stroke of another determined cause (IS+/AF− group) and patients with AF without stroke (IS−/AF+ group). Results A total of 111 patients were included. The median time between inclusion and abdominal MRI was six days. SDVI was more frequent in the IS+/AF+ group ( n = 10; 21.3%), than in IS+/AF− ( n = 1; 3.3%) and IS−/AF+ ( n = 0) groups, p = 0.002. The most frequent localization was the kidney. Conclusions The prevalence of SDVI was higher among patients with AF-caused IS. In cases of cryptogenic stroke, a positive abdominal MRI may suggest occult AF as the cause and identify a high risk of AF in this subgroup of patients.


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