scholarly journals Design of a Cultural Tourism Passenger Flow Prediction Model in the Yangtze River Delta Based on Regression Analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Jian Xu
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Yangtze River ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Cultural Tourism ◽  
Yangtze River Delta ◽  
River Delta ◽  
The Yangtze River ◽  
Passenger Flow ◽  
The Yangtze River Delta

Cultural tourism has gained much attention in the last decade and has promoted the preservation of a variety of tangible and intangible assets of culture. In order to accurately predict the cultural tourism passenger flow in the Yangtze River Delta and improve its economic benefits, this paper designs the prediction model of cultural tourism passenger flow in the Yangtze River Delta based on regression analysis. Taking the competitiveness of passenger flow as the core, this paper selects 28 indexes from four aspects of cultural tourism brand resources, cultural tourism support and protection, and urban tourism market income to build the evaluation index system of influencing factors of passenger flow. The principal component analysis method is used to simplify many related factors into a few uncorrelated factors to eliminate the multicollinearity caused by too many dependent variables; on this basis, the principal component regression model is constructed, and the determination coefficient is used to test the model fitting. Taking 15 cultural tourism cities in the Yangtze River Delta as the research object, the results show that the designed model has a good fitting degree, and the average error is only 0.41%, which can meet the needs of the prediction of cultural tourism passenger flow in the Yangtze River Delta. After the application of the prediction model, the foreign exchange earning amount of each cultural tourism city can be increased by more than 12%. The study has revealed good results.

scholarly journals Spatiotemporal characteristics and impact mechanism of high-quality development of cultural tourism in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
pp. e0252842
Author(s):  
Zhangyu Shi ◽  
Dehong Xu ◽  
Lidi Xu
Keyword(s):  
Yangtze River ◽  
Cultural Tourism ◽  
Yangtze River Delta ◽  
River Delta ◽  
Urban Agglomeration ◽  
Quality Development ◽  
The Yangtze River ◽  
High Quality ◽  
Impact Mechanism ◽  
The Yangtze River Delta

The Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration is the leading and demonstration area for the high-quality development of culture tourism (HDCT) in China. It is of great significance to study the spatiotemporal characteristics and impact mechanism of the HDCT for revealing the internal law of HDCT and promoting the collaborative innovation of culture tourism among cities. Based on the scientific construction of the evaluation system of HDCT, this paper made a quantitative analysis of 26 cities’ HDCT by using coupling coordination degree model, Lisa spatiotemporal transition and spatial Durbin model (SDM). The results show that: The overall level of 26 cities’ HDCT shows a fluctuating upward trend, and presents a "Z" pattern in space. More than 80% of the cities are at the medium and high level. Shanghai has obvious advantages in the primacy degree. There is a significant positive spatial autocorrelation among cities with high-quality of culture tourism development. The spatial clustering and proximity of the same kind are increasing, and the radiation effect is gradually obvious. The local spatial association patterns are mainly HH and LL agglomeration, and the characteristics of polarization are gradually prominent. The local spatial correlation structure of HDCT has strong stability, the transfer inertia between types is prominent, and the overall spatial evolution is lack of integration with obvious path dependence and lock-in effect. The spatiotemporal evolution of the HDCT is a complex process under the interaction of multiple factors, and there is a significant spatial spillover effect (0.256). The level of economic development, technological innovation, professional talent allocation are the three main factors. According to the dominant factor, it can be divided into economy stabilizing type, industry optimizing type, innovation driving type and traffic impacting type. These findings have implications for local governments and tourism management departments to achieve high-quality innovative development of cultural tourism.

Classification of the Urbanization Types in the Yangtze River Delta

2012 ◽  
Vol 174-177 ◽  
pp. 3603-3606
Author(s):  
Li Yang ◽  
Wei Zhang ◽  
Juan Xu
Keyword(s):  
Yangtze River ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Yangtze River Delta ◽  
River Delta ◽  
The Yangtze River ◽  
Environmental Press ◽  
The Index System ◽  
The Yangtze River Delta

The Yangtze River Delta was selected as a case study to evaluate urban sustainability based on the index system, which was composited of economic development, social development, resources and environmental press. Factor analysis was applied to extract principal component. Then based on the factor scores of the principal components extracted from three aspects, four urbanization types are obtained.

scholarly journals Current Status and Temporal Trend of Potentially Toxic Elements Pollution in Agricultural Soil in the Yangtze River Delta Region: A Meta-Analysis

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 1033
Author(s):  
Shufeng She ◽  
Bifeng Hu ◽  
Xianglin Zhang ◽  
Shuai Shao ◽  
Yefeng Jiang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Yangtze River ◽  
Agricultural Soil ◽  
Toxic Elements ◽  
Temporal Trend ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Yangtze River Delta ◽  
Potentially Toxic Elements ◽  
River Delta ◽  
The Yangtze River ◽  
The Yangtze River Delta

Potentially toxic elements (PTEs) pollution in the agricultural soil of China, especially in developed regions such as the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) in eastern China, has received increasing attention. However, there are few studies on the long-term assessment of soil pollution by PTEs over large regions. Therefore, in this study, a meta-analysis was conducted to evaluate the current state and temporal trend of PTEs pollution in the agricultural land of the Yangtze River Delta. Based on a review of 118 studies published between 1993 and 2020, the average concentrations of Cd, Hg, As, Pb, Cr, Cu, Zn, and Ni were found to be 0.25 mg kg−1, 0.14 mg kg−1, 8.14 mg kg−1, 32.32 mg kg−1, 68.84 mg kg−1, 32.58 mg kg−1, 92.35 mg kg−1, and 29.30 mg kg−1, respectively. Among these elements, only Cd and Hg showed significant accumulation compared with their background values. The eastern Yangtze River Delta showed a relatively high ecological risk due to intensive industrial activities. The contents of Cd, Pb, and Zn in soil showed an increasing trend from 1993 to 2000 and then showed a decreasing trend. The results obtained from this study will provide guidance for the prevention and control of soil pollution in the Yangtze River Delta.

scholarly journals The Evolution of the Interactive Relationship between Urbanization and Land-Use Transition: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Delta

Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 804
Author(s):  
Bo Niu ◽  
Dazhuan Ge ◽  
Rui Yan ◽  
Yingyi Ma ◽  
Dongqi Sun ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Yangtze River ◽  
Yangtze River Delta ◽  
River Delta ◽  
Socioeconomic Factor ◽  
The Yangtze River ◽  
Land Use Transition ◽  
The Yangtze River Delta ◽  
Interaction Relationship

In recent years, the impact of land-use systems on global climate change has become increasingly significant, and land-use change has become a hot issue of concern to academics, both within China and abroad. Urbanization, as an important socioeconomic factor, plays a vital role in promoting land-use transition, which also shows a significant spatial dependence on urbanization. This paper constructs a theoretical framework for the interaction relationship between urbanization and land-use transition, taking the Yangtze River Delta as an example, and measures the level of urbanization from the perspective of population urbanization, economic urbanization and social urbanization, while also evaluating the level of land-use morphologies from the perspective of dominant and recessive morphologies of land-use. We construct a PVAR model and coupled coordination model based on the calculated indexes for empirical analysis. The results show that the relationship between urbanization and land-use transition is not a simple linear relationship, but tends to be complex with the process of urbanization, and reasonable urbanization and land-use morphologies will promote further benign coupling in the system. By analyzing the interaction relationship between urbanization and land-use transition, this study enriches the study of land-use change and provides new pathways for thinking about how to promote high-quality urbanization.

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