scholarly journals Poisson Regression-Based Mean Estimator

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Usman Shahzad ◽  
Shabnam Shahzadi ◽  
Noureen Afshan ◽  
Nadia H. Al-Noor ◽  
David Anekeya Alilah ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Random Sampling ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Simple Random Sampling ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Ratio Estimators

The most frequent method for modeling count responses in numerous investigations is the Poisson regression model. Under simple random sampling, this paper offers utilizing Poisson regression-based mean estimator and discovers its associated formula of the mean square error (MSE). The MSE of the proposed estimator is compared to the MSE of traditional ratio estimators in theory. As a result of these evaluations, the proposed estimator has been proven to be more efficient than traditional estimators. Furthermore, the practical results corroborated the theoretical findings.

scholarly journals An Estimation of a Hybrid Log-Poisson Regression Using a Quadratic Optimization Program for Optimal Loss Reserving in Insurance

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Apollinaire Woundjiagué ◽  
Martin Le Doux Mbele Bidima ◽  
Ronald Waweru Mwangi
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Error Prediction ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
Loss Reserving ◽  
The Mean

In this article, we are interested in developing an alternative estimation method of the parameters of the hybrid log-Poisson regression model. In our previous paper, we have proposed a hybrid log-Poisson regression model where we have derived the analytical expression of the fuzzy parameters. We found that the hybrid model provide better results than the classical log-Poisson regression model according to the mean square error prediction and the goodness of fit index. However, nowhere we have taken into account the optimal value of h(α-cut) which is of greatest importance in fuzzy regressions literature. In this paper, we provide an alternative estimation method of our hybrid model using a quadratic optimization program and the optimized h-value (α-cut). The expected value of fuzzy number is used as a defuzzification procedure to move from fuzzy values to crisp values. We perform the hybrid model with the alternative estimation we are suggesting on two different numerical data to predict incremental payments in loss reserving. From the mean square error prediction, we prove that the alternative estimation of the new hybrid model with an optimized h-value predicts incremental payments better than the classical log-Poisson regression model as well as the same hybrid model with analytical estimation of parameters. Hence we have optimized the outstanding loss reserves.

Investigation of Accuracy of a Calibrated Estimator of a Ratio by Modelling

2005 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 333-342
Author(s):  
V. Chadyšas ◽  
D. Krapavickaitė
Keyword(s):  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Taylor Series ◽  
Random Sampling ◽  
Finite Population ◽  
Taylor Series Expansion ◽  
Simple Random Sampling ◽  
Population Parameter ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Parameter Ratio ◽  
Using Data

Estimator of finite population parameter – ratio of totals of two variables – is investigated by modelling in the case of simple random sampling. Traditional estimator of the ratio is compared with the calibrated estimator of the ratio introduced by Plikusas [1]. The Taylor series expansion of the estimators are used for the expressions of approximate biases and approximate variances [2]. Some estimator of bias is introduced in this paper. Using data of artificial population the accuracy of two estimators of the ratio is compared by modelling. Dependence of the estimates of mean square error of the estimators of the ratio on the correlation coefficient of variables which are used in the numerator and denominator, is also shown in the modelling.

PARAMETER ESTIMATION ON HURDLE POISSON REGRESSION MODEL WITH CENSORED DATA

2012 ◽  
Vol 57 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
SEYED EHSAN SAFFAR ◽  
ROBIAH ADNAN ◽  
WILLIAM GREENE
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Count Data ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Poisson Model ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
Response Variable ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Over Dispersion

A Poisson model typically is assumed for count data. In many cases, there are many zeros in the dependent variable and because of these many zeros, the mean and the variance values of the dependent variable are not the same as before. In fact, the variance value of the dependent variable will be much more than the mean value of the dependent variable and this is called over–dispersion. Therefore, Poisson model is not suitable anymore for this kind of data because of too many zeros. Thus, it is suggested to use a hurdle Poisson regression model to overcome over–dispersion problem. Furthermore, the response variable in such cases is censored for some values. In this paper, a censored hurdle Poisson regression model is introduced on count data with many zeros. In this model, we consider a response variable and one or more than one explanatory variables. The estimation of regression parameters using the maximum likelihood method is discussed and the goodness–of–fit for the regression model is examined. We study the effects of right censoring on estimated parameters and their standard errors via an example.

A MODIFIED RATIO TYPE ESTIMATOR OF FINITE POPULATION MEAN UNDER STRATIFIED RANDOM SAMPLING SCHEME

2021 ◽  
pp. 58-60
Author(s):  
Naziru Fadisanku Haruna ◽  
Ran Vijay Kumar Singh ◽  
Samsudeen Dahiru
Keyword(s):  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Random Sampling ◽  
Minimum Mean Square Error ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Population Data ◽  
Auxiliary Variable ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Population Mean ◽  
The Mean

In This paper a modied ratio-type estimator for nite population mean under stratied random sampling using single auxiliary variable has been proposed. The expression for mean square error and bias of the proposed estimator are derived up to the rst order of approximation. The expression for minimum mean square error of proposed estimator is also obtained. The mean square error the proposed estimator is compared with other existing estimators theoretically and condition are obtained under which proposed estimator performed better. A real life population data set has been considered to compare the efciency of the proposed estimator numerically.

scholarly journals PENERAPAN REGRESI BINOMIAL NEGATIF UNTUK MENGATASI OVERDISPERSI PADA REGRESI POISSON

2013 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 6
Author(s):  
PUTU SUSAN PRADAWATI ◽  
KOMANG GDE SUKARSA ◽  
I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Negative Binomial Regression ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
Response Variable ◽  
Poisson Regression Analysis ◽  
Binomial Regression ◽  
The Mean

Poisson regression was used to analyze the count data which Poisson distributed. Poisson regression analysis requires state equidispersion, in which the mean value of the response variable is equal to the value of the variance. However, there are deviations in which the value of the response variable variance is greater than the mean. This is called overdispersion. If overdispersion happens and Poisson Regression analysis is being used, then underestimated standard errors will be obtained. Negative Binomial Regression can handle overdispersion because it contains a dispersion parameter. From the simulation data which experienced overdispersion in the Poisson Regression model it was found that the Negative Binomial Regression was better than the Poisson Regression model.

scholarly journals Determinants of Under-Five Mortality in Tach-Armachiho District, North Gondar, Ethiopia

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
AGMAS SISAY ABERA ◽  
HUNACHEW KIBRET YOHANNIS
Keyword(s):  
Prenatal Care ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Birth Interval ◽  
Random Sampling ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
Place Of Delivery ◽  
Under Five

Abstract Background: Under-five mortality rate, often known by its acronym U5MR, indicates the probability of dying between birth and five years of age, expressed per 1,000 live births. Globally, 16,000 children under-five still die every day. Especially in Sub-Saharan Africa every 1 child in 12, dying before his or her fifth birthday. This study aims to identify the determinants of under-five mortality among women in child bearing age group of Tach-Armachiho district using count regression models. Methods: For achieving the objective, a two stage random sampling technique (simple random sampling and systematic random sampling techniques in the first and second stages respectively) was used to select women respondents. The sample survey conducted in Tach-Armachiho district considered a total of 3815 households of women aged 15 to 49 years out of which the information was collected from 446 selected women through interviewer administrated questionnaire. Results: The descriptive statistics result showed that in the district 16.6% of mothers have faced the problem of at least one under-five death. In this study, Poisson regression, negative binomial, zero-inflated Poisson and zero-inflated negative binomial regression models were applied for data analysis. Each of these count models were compared by different statistical tests. So that, zero-inflated poisson regression model was found to be the best fit for the collected data. Results of the zero-inflated Poisson regression model showed that education of husband, source of water, mother occupation, kebele of mother, prenatal care, place of delivery, place of residence, wealth of house hold, average birth interval and average breast feeding were found to be statistically significant determinants of under-five mortality. Conclusions: In this study, it was found that the factors like average birth interval and average breast feeding were found to be statistically significant factors in both groups (not always zero category and always zero category) with under-five child death whereas education of husband, source of water, place of delivery, mother occupation and wealth index of the household have significant effect on under-five mortality under not always zero group. Place of residence, kebele of mother and prenatal care have a significant effect on under-five mortality in Tach-Armachiho district on inflated group.

scholarly journals A modified class of exponential-type estimator of population-mean in simple random sampling

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 70
Author(s):  
Ekaette Enang ◽  
Joy Uket ◽  
Emmanuel Ekpenyong
Keyword(s):  
Optimality Conditions ◽  
Exponential Type ◽  
Random Sampling ◽  
Simple Random Sampling ◽  
Survey Sampling ◽  
Numerical Comparison ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Population Means ◽  
Class Of Estimators ◽  
Ratio Estimators

The problem of obtaining better ratio estimators of the population means are dominating in survey sampling. This paper provides a modified class of exponential type estimators using combinations of some existing estimators. Expressions for the bias and Mean Square Error (MSE) with the optimality conditions for this class of estimators have been established. Both analytical and numerical comparison with some existing estimators shows better performances from members of the proposed class.

scholarly journals A new estimator for the multicollinear Poisson regression model: simulation and application

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Adewale F. Lukman ◽  
Emmanuel Adewuyi ◽  
Kristofer Månsson ◽  
B. M. Golam Kibria
Keyword(s):  
Regression Model ◽  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Damage Data ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Better Than

AbstractThe maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) suffers from the instability problem in the presence of multicollinearity for a Poisson regression model (PRM). In this study, we propose a new estimator with some biasing parameters to estimate the regression coefficients for the PRM when there is multicollinearity problem. Some simulation experiments are conducted to compare the estimators' performance by using the mean squared error (MSE) criterion. For illustration purposes, aircraft damage data has been analyzed. The simulation results and the real-life application evidenced that the proposed estimator performs better than the rest of the estimators.

scholarly journals On the Estimation of Population Mean Under Systematic Sampling Using Auxiliary Attributes

2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 21-25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Usman Shahzad
Keyword(s):  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Random Sampling ◽  
Simple Random Sampling ◽  
Sampling Scheme ◽  
Systematic Sampling ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Numerical Illustration ◽  
Systematic Random Sampling ◽  
Population Mean ◽  
New Family

Naik and Gupta (1996), Singh et al. (2007) and Abd-Elfattah et al. (2010) introduced some estimators for estimating population mean using available auxiliary attributes under simple random sampling scheme. We adapt these estimators under systematic random sampling scheme using available auxiliary attributes. Further, a new family of estimators is proposed for the estimation of population mean under systematic random sampling scheme. The properties such as bias and mean square error of the proposed estimators are derived. From numerical illustration it is shown that proposed estimators are more efficient than the reviewed ones.

scholarly journals Biased Adjusted Poisson Ridge Estimators-Method and Application

2020 ◽  
Vol 44 (6) ◽  
pp. 1775-1789
Author(s):  
Muhammad Qasim ◽  
Kristofer Månsson ◽  
Muhammad Amin ◽  
B. M. Golam Kibria ◽  
Pär Sjölander
Keyword(s):  
Poisson Regression ◽  
Regression Estimator ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Poisson Regression Model ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Ridge Regression Estimator ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Almost Unbiased ◽  
Better Than

AbstractMånsson and Shukur (Econ Model 28:1475–1481, 2011) proposed a Poisson ridge regression estimator (PRRE) to reduce the negative effects of multicollinearity. However, a weakness of the PRRE is its relatively large bias. Therefore, as a remedy, Türkan and Özel (J Appl Stat 43:1892–1905, 2016) examined the performance of almost unbiased ridge estimators for the Poisson regression model. These estimators will not only reduce the consequences of multicollinearity but also decrease the bias of PRRE and thus perform more efficiently. The aim of this paper is twofold. Firstly, to derive the mean square error properties of the Modified Almost Unbiased PRRE (MAUPRRE) and Almost Unbiased PRRE (AUPRRE) and then propose new ridge estimators for MAUPRRE and AUPRRE. Secondly, to compare the performance of the MAUPRRE with the AUPRRE, PRRE and maximum likelihood estimator. Using both simulation study and real-world dataset from the Swedish football league, it is evidenced that one of the proposed, MAUPRRE ($$ \hat{k}_{q4} $$ k ^ q 4 ) performed better than the rest in the presence of high to strong (0.80–0.99) multicollinearity situation.

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