scholarly journals Risk Cloud Model for Evaluating Nautical Navigational Environments

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Lijia Chen ◽  
Yanfei Tian

Uncertainty makes the risk evaluation of complex water transportation systems (WTSs) a difficult task. To achieve reasonable results while accounting for uncertainty, the risk evaluation of nautical navigational environments (NNEts) is often based on classical cloud model theory. This study proposes the concept of a risk cloud model (RCM) for NNEt evaluation and uses a fuzzy statistics-based computational approach to obtain the RCM parameters. As a case study, the proposed RCM method was applied to the risk evaluation of the Qiongzhou Strait. The performance of the proposed method was compared to those of a fuzzy theory-based method and an earlier proposed simplified algorithm. The results of the case study demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed method along with several key advantages. First, the method could deal with uncertainty, take advantage of multichannel information, and evaluate risk features. Second, the RCM droplets intuitively displayed the qualitative and quantitative characteristics of risk levels, which facilitated understanding and analysis. Third, it showed a good sensitivity to ensure the refinement of evaluation results. The proposed method offered an improved approach to NNEt risk evaluation under uncertain conditions.

2010 ◽  
Vol 163-167 ◽  
pp. 2709-2714
Author(s):  
Feng Guo ◽  
Wei Ya Xu ◽  
Fei Xu

Evaluation of slope stability in the hydropower project construction is extremely important. This Cloud Model will be introduced to the matter-element extension, the extension assessment is proposed based on the sutra field division of the slope stability assessment model. This method combines the Cloud Model theory and the advantages of the extension assessment .On the one hand, the division of the sutra field by means of Cloud Model can overcome the "hard" division of the evils. On the other hand,with different values of Cloud Drops as a sutra field, the statistical results of Cloud Drops can be used as last stable assessment results. Project case study shows that compared with the conventional method, results of the method of extension are more accurate, which fully accorded with the actual state, proving optimized based on Cloud Model extension assessment of slope stability feasible and effective.


2007 ◽  
Vol 34 (9) ◽  
pp. 1038-1047 ◽  
Author(s):  
Musandji Fuamba ◽  
Gilles Brosseau ◽  
Éric Mainville

Optimal management of power plant units is achieved when the global efficiency of the units and the minimization of the total hydraulic head losses through the water transportation systems can be combined. Evaluating these hydraulic head losses appears to be very difficult due to the complexity of the flow conditions through the hydraulic structures. A hydraulic energy based method to determine head losses in the surge chamber has been proposed in this paper, as well as a method to manage the opening of units which would optimize the production of electricity. This method was applied to a case study, and successful results have been obtained showing how the head loss varies in the surge chamber.Key words: hydraulic head losses, power plant unit, surge chamber, unit efficiency, three-dimensional flow conditions, turbulent flow models, computational fluid dynamics.


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (7) ◽  
pp. 180212 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qingwei Xu ◽  
Kaili Xu ◽  
Li Li ◽  
Xiwen Yao

Safe production is the foundation of the normal operations of petrochemical enterprises, and it helps maintain social stability. The main purpose of this study is to prevent petrochemical enterprise accidents by proposing a composite safety assessment approach based on the cloud model, preliminary hazard analysis–layer of protection analysis (PHA–LOPA) and the bow-tie model. First, the petrochemical enterprise and its relevant indicators were evaluated based on the cloud model. Second, the quantitative effect of the uncertainty transformation on the evaluation result of the cloud model was further analysed. This mainly includes the error analysis of the numerical characteristics under the conditions of few samples and small values. Third, the critical indicators such as shock and noise can be weakened and prevented by corresponding safety measures based on PHA–LOPA and the bow-tie model. After adopting two independent protection layers, the risk levels of shock and noise decrease from 3 to 2. Then, shock and noise were analysed in depth with the bow-tie model, and the causes and consequences were identified. Moreover, corresponding safety measures were taken to prevent accidents. The case study validated the validity and feasibility of the composite safety assessment approach proposed here.


2021 ◽  
pp. 101913
Author(s):  
Md. Solaiman Hossain ◽  
M. Belal Hossain ◽  
Md. Refat Jahan Rakib ◽  
Y.N. Jolly ◽  
Md. Akram Ullah ◽  
...  

Kybernetes ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 48 (6) ◽  
pp. 1355-1372 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Huang ◽  
Nu-nu Wang ◽  
Hongyu Zhang ◽  
Jianqiang Wang

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to propose a model for product recommendation to improve the accuracy of recommendation based on the current search engines used in e-commerce platforms like Tmall.com. Design/methodology/approach First, the proposed model comprehensively considers price, trust and online reviews, which all represent critical factors in consumers’ purchasing decisions. Second, the model introduces the quantization methods for these criteria incorporating fuzzy theory. Third, the model uses a distance measure between two single valued neutrosophic sets based on the prioritized average operator to consolidate the influences of positive, neutral and negative comments. Finally, the model uses multi-criteria decision-making methods to integrate the influences of price, trust and online reviews on purchasing decisions to generate recommendations. Findings To demonstrate the feasibility and efficiency of the proposed model, a case study is conducted based on Tmall.com. The results of case study indicate that the recommendations of our model perform better than those of current search engines of Tmall.com. The proposed model can significantly improve the accuracy of product recommendations based on search engines. Originality/value The product recommendation method can meet the critical challenge from the search engines on e-commerce platforms. In addition, the proposed method could be used in practice to develop a new application for e-commerce platforms.


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