scholarly journals Chronic Kidney Disease Progression and Transition Probabilities in a Large Preventive Cohort in Colombia

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Jasmin I. Vesga ◽  
Edilberto Cepeda ◽  
Campo E. Pardo ◽  
Sergio Paez ◽  
Ricardo Sanchez ◽  
...  

Background. Variability in chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression is a well-known phenomenon that underlines the importance of characterizing the said outcome in specific populations. Our objectives were to evaluate changes in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over time and determine the frequency of dialysis admission and factors associated with this outcome, to estimate the rate of program’s loss-to-follow-up and the probability of transition between CKD stages over time. Methods. The study type was an observational analytic retrospective cohort in patients treated in a CKD prevention program in Bogota, Colombia, between January 1, 2009, and December 31, 2013, with follow-up until December 31, 2018. Adult participants of 18 years of age or older with diagnosed CKD stages G3 or G4 were enrolled into a prevention program. For each patient, the rate of progression of CKD in ml/min/1.73 m2/year was estimated using the ordinary least-squares method. Dialysis initiation and program’s loss-to-follow-up rates were calculated. Heat maps were used to present probabilities of transitioning between various CKD stages over time. Survival model with competing risks was used to evaluate factors associated with dialysis initiation. Results. A total of 2752 patients met inclusion criteria and contributed with 14133 patient-years of follow-up and 200 dialysis initiation events, which represents a rate of 1.4 events per 100 patient-years (95% CI 1.2 to 1.6). The median change of the eGFR for the entire cohort was −0.47 ml/min/1.73 m2 per year, and in the diabetic population, it was −1.55 ml/min/1.73 m2 per year. The program’s loss-to-follow-up rate was 2.6 events per 100 patient-years (95% CI 2.3 to 2.9). Probabilities of CKD stage transitions are presented in heat maps. Female sex, older age, baseline eGFR, and serum albumin were associated with lower risk of dialysis initiation while CKD etiology diabetes, cardiovascular disease history, systolic blood pressure, blood urea nitrogen, and LDL cholesterol were associated with a higher likelihood of dialysis initiation. Conclusions. A CKD secondary prevention program’s key indicator is reported here, such as dialysis initiation, progression rate, and program drop-out; CKD progression appears to be correlated with diabetic status and timing of referral into the preventive program.

2020 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ilter Bozaci ◽  
Ali Nazmi Can Doğan ◽  
Merve Aktar ◽  
Alev Mahşer ◽  
Gizem Yıldırım ◽  
...  

AbstractObjectivesMetabolic acidosis is a common disorder seen in course of chronic kidney disease (CKD). In this study, we aimed to investigate the association of Base excess (BE), Anion gap (AG) and Delta Ratio with progression of CKD, renal replacement therapy (RRT) requirement and mortality in patients with stage 3–5 CKD.MethodsA total of 212 patients with stage 3–5 CKD were included in this study. Patients were divided into two groups according to the baseline BE level. Patients were also grouped according to the delta ratio such as non- AG, High AG and mixed type.ResultsMean BE level was significantly lower (−4.7 ± 4.0 vs. −3.3 ± 4.3; p=0.02) in patients with CKD progression. The patients in group 1 (n: 130) (Be<−2.5) revealed more CKD progression (%53 vs. %32; p=0.002), and RRT requirement (%35 vs. %15; p=0.001). Baseline BE <−2.5 (odds ratio, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.16 to 0.91; p<0.05) and baseline GFR (odds ratio, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.90 to 0.97; p<0.001) were independently related to RRT requirement. Delta BE was independently associated with mortality (odds ratio, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.85–0.96; p<0.01).ConclusionsLow BE levels were associated with CKD progression and RRT requirement. BE change is associated with mortality during the follow-up of those patients.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (10) ◽  
pp. e0257981
Author(s):  
Jung-Hwa Ryu ◽  
Tai Yeon Koo ◽  
Han Ro ◽  
Jang-Hee Cho ◽  
Myung-Gyu Kim ◽  
...  

Renal functional deterioration is associated with physical and mental burdens for kidney transplant (KT) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients. However, the change in health-related quality of life (HRQOL) over time in KT patients compared to that of native CKD patients has not been evaluated. We addressed this issue using KT patients registered in the KNOW-KT cohort study and patients at CKD stage 1–3 registered in the KNOW-CKD cohort study. HRQOL scores were assessed using the Kidney Disease Quality of Life Short Form at baseline, 2-, and 4-years follow-up in 842 KT patients and at baseline and 5-year follow-up in 1,355 CKD patients. SF-36 scores declined at the 4-year follow-up, whereas CKD-targeted scores showed no change in the KT group. In contrast, CKD-targeted scores as well as SF-36 scores were decreased at the 5-year follow-up in CKD patients. When prognostic factors were analyzed for longitudinal HRQOL data over time, renal functions, diabetes, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, hemoglobin level, marital status, income, employment, and health care were significant prognostic factors. Furthermore, KT was an independent prognostic factor for better HRQOL. These results highlight that KT can offer a better HRQOL than that of CKD patients, even when renal function is similar.


Blood ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 130 (Suppl_1) ◽  
pp. 686-686
Author(s):  
Santosh L. Saraf ◽  
Maya Viner ◽  
Ariel Rischall ◽  
Binal Shah ◽  
Xu Zhang ◽  
...  

Abstract Acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with tubulointerstitial fibrosis and nephron loss and may lead to an increased risk for subsequently developing chronic kidney disease (CKD). In adults with sickle cell anemia (SCA), high rates of CKD have been consistently observed, although the incidence and risk factors for AKI are less clear. We evaluated the incidence of AKI, defined according to Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) guidelines as a rise in serum creatinine by ≥0.3mg/dL within 48 hours or ≥1.5 times baseline within seven days, in 158 of 299 adult SCA patients enrolled in a longitudinal cohort from the University of Illinois at Chicago. These patients were selected based on the availability of genotyping for α-thalassemia, BCL11A rs1427407, APOL1 G1/G2, and the HMOX1 rs743811 and GT-repeat variants. Median values and interquartile range (IQR) are provided. With a median follow up time of 66 months (IQR, 51-74 months), 137 AKI events were observed in 63 (40%) SCA patients. AKI was most commonly observed in the following settings: acute chest syndrome (25%), an uncomplicated vaso-occlusive crisis (VOC)(24%), a VOC with pre-renal azotemia determined by a fractional excretion of sodium &lt;1% or BUN-to-creatinine ratio &gt;20:1 (14%), or a VOC with increased hemolysis, defined as an increase in serum LDH or indirect bilirubin level &gt;1.5 times over the baseline value at the time of enrollment (12%). Compared to individuals who did not develop AKI, SCA adults who developed an AKI event were older (AKI: median and IQR age of 35 (26-46) years, no AKI: 28 (23 - 26) years; P=0.01) and had a lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (AKI: median and IQR eGFR of 123 (88-150) mL/min/1.73m2, no AKI: 141 (118-154) mL/min/1.73m2; P=0.02) by the Kruskal-Wallis test at the time of enrollment. We evaluated the association of a panel of candidate gene variants with the risk of developing an AKI event. These included loci related to the degree of hemolysis (α-thalassemia, BCL11A rs1427407), to chronic kidney disease (APOL1 G1/G2 risk variants), and to heme metabolism (HMOX1) . Using a logistic regression model that adjusted for age and eGFR at the time of enrollment, the risk of an AKI event was associated with older age (10-year OR 2.6, 95%CI 1.4-4.8, P=0.002), HMOX1 rs743811 (OR 3.1, 95%CI 1.1-8.7, P=0.03), and long HMOX1 GT-repeats, defined as &gt;25 repeats (OR 2.5, 95%CI 1.01-6.1, P=0.04). Next, we assessed whether AKI is associated with a more rapid decline in eGFR and with CKD progression, defined as a 50% reduction in eGFR, on longitudinal follow up. Using a mixed effects model that adjusted for age and eGFR at the time of enrollment, the rate of eGFR decline was significantly greater in those with an AKI event (β = -0.51) vs. no AKI event (β = -0.16) (P=0.03). With a median follow up time of 66 months (IQR, 51-74 months), CKD progression was observed in 21% (13/61) of SCA patients with an AKI event versus 9% (8/88) without an AKI event. After adjusting for age and eGFR at the time of enrollment, the severity of an AKI event according to KDIGO guidelines (stage 1 if serum creatinine rises 1.5-1.9 times baseline, stage 2 if the rise is 2.0-2.9 times baseline, and stage 3 if the rise is ≥3 times baseline or ≥4.0 mg/dL or requires renal replacement therapy) was a risk factor for CKD progression (unadjusted HR 1.6, 95%CI 1.1-2.3, P=0.02; age- and eGFR-adjusted HR 1.6, 95%CI 1.1-2.5, P=0.03). In conclusion, AKI is commonly observed in adults with sickle cell anemia and is associated with increasing age and the HMOX1 GT-repeat and rs743811 polymorphisms. Furthermore, AKI may be associated with a steeper decline in kidney function and more severe AKI events may be a risk factor for subsequent CKD progression in SCA. Future studies understanding the mechanisms, consequences of AKI on long-term kidney function, and therapies to prevent AKI in SCA are warranted. Disclosures Gordeuk: Emmaus Life Sciences: Consultancy.


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 129 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Casey M Rebholz ◽  
Kunihiro Matsushita ◽  
Elizabeth Selvin ◽  
Morgan E Grams ◽  
Josef Coresh

Introduction: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression assessed by estimated GFR from creatinine (eGFR-Cr) is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and has been proposed as a surrogate endpoint for clinical trials. It is unclear if CKD progression assessed by change in different filtration markers has similar risk associations with ESRD. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that percent change in novel kidney filtration markers (β 2 -microglobulin and cystatin C) over a 6-year period would be independently associated with increased risk of ESRD during 15 years of follow-up, similar to the risk seen with change in eGFR-Cr. Methods: We conducted prospective analyses of the ARIC study (N=9,703). β 2 -microglobulin, cystatin C, and creatinine were measured at study visits 1 (1990-92) and 2 (1996-98). Incident ESRD (kidney dialysis or transplant) was defined as entry into the U.S. Renal Data System registry between study visit 2 and September 30, 2011. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the association between percent change in filtration marker and incident ESRD, adjusting for demographics, kidney disease risk factors, and 1 st measurement of the filtration marker. Results: During a median follow-up of 13.1 years, there were 142 incident ESRD cases. Median eGFR-Cr was 97.3 mL/min/1.73 m 2 at 1 st measurement and 89.0 mL/min/1.73 m 2 at 2 nd measurement. Percent change in eGFR-Cr was moderately correlated with percent change in the inverse of β 2 -microglobulin (r = 0.34) and the inverse of cystatin C (r = 0.36). Progression of CKD (10-25% and >25% decline in filtration function) was associated with increased ESRD risk, with novel markers (β 2 -microglobulin, cystatin C) showing an association at least as strong as the creatinine and eGFR-Cr estimates (Table). Conclusions: CKD progression assessed using novel filtration markers is independently associated with ESRD risk, suggesting the potential utility of measuring change in β 2 -microglobulin and cystatin C in clinical trials.


2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (Supplement_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Behan ◽  
Leonard Browne ◽  
Stack Austin

Abstract Background and Aims Lithium is implicated as a causative factor in the development and progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Few studies have assessed the independent impact of plasma levels and duration of lithium therapy on CKD progression. We examined the influence of lithium on CKD progression in the Irish health system. Method We utilised data from the Irish Kidney Disease Surveillance System (IKDSS) to explore associations of lithium levels and duration of exposure with kidney function in a regional cohort. A retrospective cohort study was conducted between 1999 to 2014 from the Midwest Region. All adult patients with lithium levels were identified and followed longitudinally. Kidney function was assessed at baseline and longitudinally using serum creatinine and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was calculated using the CKD-EPI. Patients with &lt; 2 lithium values, missing data on creatinine were excluded. The index date was the date of the first lithium blood test. Toxicity from lithium was defined as levels &gt;1.2mmol/L as per NICE guidelines while duration of treatment was calculated based on patient –years of exposure as determined by positive blood lithium levels. Relationships between baseline kidney function, lithium levels, duration of exposure and each patients most recent eGFR value on follow up were assessed using multiple linear regression Results We identified 1,978 patients exposed to lithium from 1999-2014, mean age was 47.4 (15.6), 45.1% were men, eGFR [median (IQR)] at baseline was 84.4 (32.1) ml/min1.73m and the median duration of exposure was 3.0 years (IQR=4 years). Frequency of lithium testing increased from 1.77 in 1999 to 2.66 in 2014. In multiple linear regression, the final eGFR on follow-up was significantly lower in older patients (-0.48 ml/min/1.73m per year increase in age), P&lt;0.001; in patients with elevated baseline lithium levels (-2.18 ml/min1.73m lower per unit increase), P&lt;0.05, with long duration of exposure (-1.42 ml/min/1.73m lower for each year on lithium), P&lt;0.001, and for patients with low GFR at baseline (P&lt;0.001). Together these variables explained 58% of the variation in the final model. Conclusion Both the magnitude of and the duration of lithium exposure are both independently associated with CKD progression among lithium users in the Irish health system. Higher baseline lithium values had a more deleterious impact on kidney function. Continued efforts should be expended in minimising the risks of lithium induced nephrotoxicity through switching to alternatives and dose reduction when over possible. Funding This study is funded by the Health Research Board and the Midwest Research and Education Foundation (MKid).


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Toshiki Maeda ◽  
Soichiro Yokota ◽  
Takumi Nishi ◽  
Shunsuke Funakoshi ◽  
Masayoshi Tsuji ◽  
...  

AbstractThe aim of this study was to investigate the association between pulse pressure (PP) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression among the general population in Japan. We conducted a population-based cohort study of the residents of Iki Island, Nagasaki, Japan, from 2008 to 2018. We identified 1042 participants who had CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate(eGFR) < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 or the presence of proteinuria) at baseline. Cox’s proportional hazard model was used to evaluate the association between PP and progression of CKD. During a 4.66-year mean follow-up, there were 241 cases of CKD progression (incident rate: 49.8 per 1000 person-years). A significant increase existed in CKD progression per 10 mmHg of PP elevation, even when adjusted for confounding factors [adjusted hazard ratio 1.17 (1.06–1.29) p < 0.001]. Similar results were obtained even after dividing PP into quartiles [Q2: 1.14 (0.74–1.76), Q3: 1.35 (0.88–2.06), Q4: 1.87 (1.23–2.83) p = 0.003 for trend]. This trend did not change significantly irrespective of baseline systolic or diastolic blood pressures. PP remained a potential predictive marker, especially for eGFR decline. In conclusion, we found a significant association between PP and CKD progression. PP might be a potential predictive marker for CKD progression.


2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 76-81
Author(s):  
V. V. Davydov ◽  
E. L. Arekhina

Aim.To assess the efficiency of the program of prevention of chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression in patients with acute decompensation of chronic heart failure (CHF). The program included the use of nitrendipine, a calcium channel antagonist, and the replacement of single intravenous bolus dosing of furosemide with a prolonged intravenous infusion in the early stage of the disease.Material and methods.One hundred twenty five patients with decompensation of CHF were examined and divided into 2 groups. Group 1 received standard therapy. In the group 2, an additional prevention program was carried out. The criterion of CKD progression was the change in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in accordance with the KDIGO guidelines (2012). GFR was calculated by two methods: serum creatinine and cystatin C levels. The parameters were monitored and compared with baseline levels at admission to the hospital and on the 10th day of therapy. For the initial level was taken the patient’s GFR, calculated by the serum creatinine level prior to the present hospitalization on the background of a satisfactory condition.Results.At admission to the hospital, in group 1 CKD progression was established in 33,3% of patients, in group 2 — in 29,3%. On the 10th day, CKD progression was noted in 47,4% of patients in group 1, in group 2 — in 23,4%.Conclusion.The prevention program allows to reduce the number of cases of CKD progression in patients with decompensation of CHF by 2 times.


2021 ◽  
pp. jim-2020-001702
Author(s):  
Paul J Der Mesropian ◽  
Gulvahid Shaikh ◽  
Kelly H Beers ◽  
Swati Mehta ◽  
Mauricio R Monrroy Prado ◽  
...  

The ideal blood pressure (BP) target for renoprotection is uncertain in patients with non-diabetic chronic kidney disease (CKD), especially considering the influence exerted by pre-existing proteinuria. In this pooled analysis of landmark trials, we coalesced individual data from 5001 such subjects randomized to intensive versus standard BP targets. We employed multivariable regression to evaluate the relationship between follow-up systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) on CKD progression (defined as glomerular filtration rate decline by 50% or end-stage renal disease), focusing on the potential for effect modification by baseline proteinuria or albuminuria. The median follow-up was 3.2 years. We found that SBP rather than DBP was the primary predictor of renal outcomes. The optimal SBP target was 110–129 mm Hg. We observed a strong interaction between SBP and proteinuria such that lower SBP ranges were significantly linked with progressively lower CKD risk in grade A3 albuminuria or ≥0.5–1 g/day proteinuria (relative to SBP 110–119 mm Hg, the adjusted HR for SBP 120–129 mm Hg, 130–139 mm Hg, and 140–149 mm Hg was 1.5, 2.3, and 3.3, respectively; all p<0.05). In grade A2 microalbuminuria or proteinuria near 0.5 g/day, a non-significant but possible connection was seen between tighter BP and decreased CKD (aforementioned HRs all <2; all p>0.05), while in grade A1 albuminuria or proteinuria <0.2 g/day no significant association was apparent (HRs all <1.5; all p>0.1). We conclude that in non-diabetic CKD, stricter BP targets <130 mm Hg may help limit CKD progression as proteinuria rises.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jung-Hwa Ryu ◽  
Tai Yeon Koo ◽  
Han Ro ◽  
Jang-Hee Cho ◽  
Cheol Woong Jung ◽  
...  

Abstract Renal functional deterioration is associated with physical and mental burdens for kidney transplant (KT) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients. However, the change in health-related quality of life (HRQOL) over time in KT patients compared to that of pre-dialysis CKD patients has not been evaluated. We addressed this issue using KT patients registered in the KNOW-KT cohort study and patients at CKD stage 1–3 registered in the KNOW-CKD cohort study. HRQOL scores were assessed using the Kidney Disease Quality of Life Short Form at baseline, 2-, and 4-years follow-up in 842 KT patients and at baseline and 5-year follow-up in 1,355 CKD patients. SF-36 scores declined at the 4-year follow-up, whereas CKD-targeted scores showed no change in the KT group. In contrast, CKD-targeted scores as well as SF-36 scores were decreased at the 5-year follow-up in CKD patients. When prognostic factors were analyzed for longitudinal HRQOL data over time, renal functions, diabetes, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, hemoglobin level, marital status, income, employment, and health care were significant prognostic factors. Furthermore, KT was an independent prognostic factor for better HRQOL. These results highlight that KT can offer a better HRQOL than that of CKD patients, even when renal function is similar.


2020 ◽  
Vol 25 (40) ◽  
pp. 4235-4250 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Dong ◽  
Xiaosheng Qu ◽  
Gang Wu ◽  
Xiangdong Luo ◽  
Botao Tang ◽  
...  

Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) is characterized by the gradual loss of renal mass and functions. It has become a global health problem, with hundreds of millions of people being affected. Both its incidence and prevalence are increasing over time. More than $20,000 are spent on each patient per year. The economic burden on the patients, as well as the society, is heavy and their life quality worsen over time. However, there are still limited effective therapeutic strategies for CKD. Patients mainly rely on dialysis and renal transplantation, which cannot prevent all the complications of CKD. Great efforts are needed in understanding the nature of CKD progression as well as developing effective therapeutic methods, including pharmacological agents. This paper reviews three aspects in the research of CKD that may show great interests to those who devote to bioanalysis, biomedicine and drug development, including important endogenous biomarkers quantification, mechanisms underlying CKD progression and current status of CKD therapy.


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