scholarly journals The Impact of Risk Preference in Decision Behavior on Urban Expansion Morphology

Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Zhangwei Lu ◽  
Lihua Xu ◽  
Yaqi Wu ◽  
Yijun Shi ◽  
Jinyang Deng ◽  
...  

With the rapid development of urbanization, the urban expansion morphology has been changing with complex driving mechanisms behind the urban evolution process. This article simulates the results of urban land development contingent upon decision-makers’ risk preferences and reveals the inherent law of the effect of risk preferences on urban expansion morphology. Results show that cautious decision-makers lead to the urban expansion morphology being relatively compact, and the reckless decision-makers lead the urban expansion to sprawl. Moreover, there are obvious differences in strengths of planning constraints on the decision-makers with different risk preferences. The reckless decision-makers, driven by the economic interests, are more likely to break through the planning, especially when the planning is not reasonable. It is also found that enhancing executive ability of planning for the reckless decision-makers can promote compactness of the urban expansion morphology. However, the effect of enhancing executive ability of planning on the cautious decision-makers is limited. Thus, in the case of unreasonable planning, the executive ability of planning to the reckless decision-makers should be enhanced so as to avoid urban sprawl.

Arsitektura ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Dina Arifia ◽  
Soedwiwahjono Soedwiwahjono ◽  
Rizon Pamardhi Utomo

<p><em>Solo Baru </em><em>region</em><em> has a very strategic location and were originally intended for residential areas, but then experienced a rapid development of economic activities. The development of economic activity is the most visible trade activities and services that continue to increase precisely since 2002. The development of trade and services activities is of course have an influence on land use changes that occur rapidly in Solo Baru </em><em>r</em><em>egion. Based on these issues, the formulation of the problem in this research is how the influence brought about by the development of the activity of trade in services to changes in land use. In line with these problems, this study aims to determine the effect of the development of trading activities and services to changes in land use Solo Baru Region. The method used is quantitative descriptive to determine the level of development to later described spatially. These results indicate that the development of trade and services activities has encouraged the development of other activities either similar activities (commercial) as well as supporting activities (housing, public services, and industry) so the impact on the provision of land. The need for this land that drives the changes in land use, both in terms of area, intensity, and land use patterns are formed. Developments are vertically making it more influential in the development of land compared to the intensity of the land area. Besides land development patterns that are formed are random pattern of development as the region woke formed does not have a specific shape (sporadic) and develop segmental.</em><em></em></p><p> </p><p><strong><em>Keywords</em></strong><em>: Activities Development, Trade and Services Activity, Land Use Change</em></p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 1704-1711

In the last decades, the world population rate has been gradually increasing, this population growth has faced intense urban expansion and the rapid development of the agricultural and industrial sectors. This change had an impact on the mode of land use. In the face of this problem, several strategies have been created for monitoring and predicting possible future scenarios on rhythm of land use change. The CA-Markov model used in this research allows to predict future land use trends on the basis of the classified maps of 1987, 1999, 2011 and 2019. Simulating and tracking these maps is a major challenge. The latter provides important information in terms of data, methods and models to be used to create a realistic and sustainable process of territory planning for environmentalists, planners and local authorities. The combination of the Markov chain and cellular automata has been used to qualitatively and quantitatively simulate and evaluate future land use trends in coastal Chaouia, Morocco. To achieve this purpose, two maps were developed for the two years of 2027 and 2035. By using kappa, the global success of the modelling was 89.22% and 82.12% respectively in 2011 and 2019 for the projected land use map. The results confirm that forests have been affected by intensive agricultural uses. This increase in agricultural use is due to the impact of the constant increase in the development of the agroeconomic and demographic sectors. This situation indicates the need to create new approach to management to protect the sustainability of land use in coastal Chaouia.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ivan Vanderley-Silva ◽  
Roberta Valente

Abstract Establishing forest connection in landscapes under urban sprawl is essential for maintaining the ecological processes and ensuring biodiversity conservation. However, the major challenge is incorporated the ecological network in the land-use/land-cover planning. This way, the main objective of the study was the evaluation of environmental criteria for prioritizing areas to obtain forest functional connectivity in a landscape subject to the urban sprawl. The second objective was to understand how the criteria are associated with the structural forest attributes represented by traditional landscape ecology metrics. The criteria were defined through the literature review, representing the landscape characteristics as the topographic, conflicts, and biotics. The metrics used to characterize the forest structure were perimeter, shape index, and distance to the nearest neighbor. They were generated to a selected group of forest remnants, which represent the landscape forest structure. Sampling the criteria and forest fragments maps (i.e., different maps representing the metrics-values) through the hexagon network, we assessed how the criteria are associated with the structural forest attributes. The statistical analysis used to evaluate these sampled values were The Moran Global (Moran I) and Moran Local (LISA). We obtained that the urban expansion process is diffuse, although it does not occur randomly in our landscape. The criteria slope, TWI, distance from drainage network, distance from highways, distance from the low-density urban area, and distance from forest patches have characteristics that support this process. Furthermore, our results indicated a spatial autocorrelation among metrics and after, among metrics and these criteria. Also, we obtained that the external influences on the fragments did not occur randomly and that the criteria act on the landscape. This way, through these criteria, we can identify regions where it is possible to have the persistence of forest fragments, even though in places under the impact of urban sprawl.


Urban infrastructure and urban sprawl required the idea of preparing a proper management plan to avoid the unwanted environmental and economic impacts that come with it. The main objective of the research is to map the urban sprawl using Geospatial technology and t its impact on land use and land cover. The increase in the rate of population over the last two decades is equally responsible for the urban expansion and subsequent infrastructure development. The results of the integrated geospatial study shows that the urban expansion of Kakinada Municipal Corporation was largely caused by the increase in built-up area from 29.67% in 1995, 44.86% in 2011 to 51.34% in 2017 to 62.84% in 2019 out of Kakinada’s township area of 189552.6 ha mainly due to natural increase of the population and rural ward migration. Vegetation area was 50.68% in 1995 and has declined to 37.82% in 2011. However, the percentage of vegetation experienced a hike and covered 40.23% in 2017 and then went downhill with a land cover percentage of 34.04% of the total township by the year 2019. Over the last two decades the water-body and the dry land were largely converted into built-up areas. The decline of 49151 ha of water-body due mainly because of the urban expansion and the dry-land lost nearly 27200.79 ha of its land cover to the built-up areas. Therefore, controlling and monitoring of urban expansion using GIS and remote sensing technologies are vital solutions to assess the impact of urban expansion of land use and land cover.


2020 ◽  
pp. 303-318
Author(s):  
Taryn D. Laubenstein ◽  
Jodie L. Rummer

Findings from conservation physiology studies can provide critical information to decision makers so that conservation actions can be achieved. Yet the path from evidence-based recommendations to actions can be fraught with competing political, social, and economic interests, meaning that even the most robust science may not be incorporated at the decision-making stage. It is therefore critical that conservation physiologists familiarize themselves with communication and engagement strategies to ensure that their results are applied to conservation actions. Here we outline four methods—knowledge co-production, collaboration with social scientists, citizen science, and social media—that conservation physiologists can use to increase the impact of their work. We discuss the benefits and disadvantages of each method and give advice on how to successfully integrate any or all of these methods into a research programme. Finally, we look towards the future of communication and collaboration to see how the skills discussed here can be spread to the broader scientific community.


2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (6) ◽  
pp. 8927-8935
Author(s):  
Bing Zheng ◽  
Dawei Yun ◽  
Yan Liang

Under the impact of COVID-19, research on behavior recognition are highly needed. In this paper, we combine the algorithm of self-adaptive coder and recurrent neural network to realize the research of behavior pattern recognition. At present, most of the research of human behavior recognition is focused on the video data, which is based on the video number. At the same time, due to the complexity of video image data, it is easy to violate personal privacy. With the rapid development of Internet of things technology, it has attracted the attention of a large number of experts and scholars. Researchers have tried to use many machine learning methods, such as random forest, support vector machine and other shallow learning methods, which perform well in the laboratory environment, but there is still a long way to go from practical application. In this paper, a recursive neural network algorithm based on long and short term memory (LSTM) is proposed to realize the recognition of behavior patterns, so as to improve the accuracy of human activity behavior recognition.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Helena S. Wisniewski

With companies now recognizing how artificial intelligence (AI), digitalization, the internet of things (IoT), and data science affect value creation and the maintenance of a competitive advantage, their demand for talented individuals with both management skills and a strong understanding of technology will grow dramatically. There is a need to prepare and train our current and future decision makers and leaders to have an understanding of AI and data science, the significant impact these technologies are having on business, how to develop AI strategies, and the impact all of this will have on their employees’ roles. This paper discusses how business schools can fulfill this need by incorporating AI into their business curricula, not only as stand-alone courses but also integrated into traditional business sequences, and establishing interdisciplinary efforts and collaborative industry partnerships. This article describes how the College of Business and Public Policy (CBPP) at the University of Alaska Anchorage is implementing multiple approaches to meet these needs and prepare future leaders and decision makers. These approaches include a detailed description of CBPP’s first AI course and related student successes, the integration of AI into additional business courses such as entrepreneurship and GSCM, and the creation of an AI and Data Science Lab in partnership with the College of Engineering and an investment firm.


2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdulla Al Kafy ◽  
Abdullah Al-Faisal ◽  
Mohammad Mahmudul Hasan ◽  
Md. Soumik Sikdar ◽  
Mohammad Hasib Hasan Khan ◽  
...  

Urbanization has been contributing more in global climate warming, with more than 50% of the population living in cities. Rapid population growth and change in land use / land cover (LULC) are closely linked. The transformation of LULC due to rapid urban expansion significantly affects the functions of biodiversity and ecosystems, as well as local and regional climates. Improper planning and uncontrolled management of LULC changes profoundly contribute to the rise of urban land surface temperature (LST). This study evaluates the impact of LULC changes on LST for 1997, 2007 and 2017 in the Rajshahi district (Bangladesh) using multi-temporal and multi-spectral Landsat 8 OLI and Landsat 5 TM satellite data sets. The analysis of LULC changes exposed a remarkable increase in the built-up areas and a significant decrease in the vegetation and agricultural land. The built-up area was increased almost double in last 20 years in the study area. The distribution of changes in LST shows that built-up areas recorded the highest temperature followed by bare land, vegetation and agricultural land and water bodies. The LULC-LST profiles also revealed the highest temperature in built-up areas and the lowest temperature in water bodies. In the last 20 years, LST was increased about 13ºC. The study demonstrates decrease in vegetation cover and increase in non-evaporating surfaces with significantly increases the surface temperature in the study area. Remote-sensing techniques were found one of the suitable techniques for rapid analysis of urban expansions and to identify the impact of urbanization on LST.


2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 19-24
Author(s):  
MARAT R. BIKTIMIROV ◽  
◽  
OLGA V. PILIPENKO ◽  
MAXIM S. SAFONOV ◽  
◽  
...  

Taking practical responsible decisions in the field of social and industrial management in the context of rapid development of digital technologies in the era of the knowledge economy is impossible without reliance on expertise. A kind of organization of activities for the production of ‘predictions’ is required, when not only an accurate assessment of the impact of certain factors and their possible interactions with each other is given, but also as a result of creative construction of scenarios for the development of processes and events, an understanding comes which factors need to be taken into account. At the same time, the expertise constantly faces criticism, calling the conclusions of experts arbitrary, unreliable and subjective. Often, expertise is confused with monitoring, evaluation, diagnosis, inspection or counseling. The authors of the article carried out a structural analysis of the content of the expertise processes in the project management vector in the digitalization era and came to the conclusion that the effectiveness of the expertise is significantly increased in case of clear regulation of this type of activity, providing the necessary status.


Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 762
Author(s):  
Lei Han ◽  
Rui Chen ◽  
Zhao Liu ◽  
Shanshan Chang ◽  
Yonghua Zhao ◽  
...  

The environment of the urban fringe is complex and frangible. With the acceleration of industrialization and urbanization, the urban fringe has become the primary space for urban expansion, and the intense human activities create a high risk of potentially toxic element (PTE) pollution in the soil. In this study, 138 surface soil samples were collected from a region undergoing rapid urbanization and construction—Weinan, China. Concentrations of As, Pb, Cr, Cu, and Ni (Inductively Coupled Plasma Mass Spectrometry, ICP-MS) and Hg (Atomic Fluorescence Spectrometry, AFS) were measured. The Kriging interpolation method was used to create a visualization of the spatial distribution characteristics and to analyze the pollution sources of PTEs in the soil. The pollution status of PTEs in the soil was evaluated using the national environmental quality standards for soils in different types of land use. The results show that the content range of As fluctuated a small amount and the coefficient of variation is small and mainly comes from natural soil formation. The content of Cr, Cu, and Ni around the automobile repair factory, the prefabrication factory, and the building material factory increased due to the deposition of wear particles in the soil. A total of 13.99% of the land in the study area had Hg pollution, which was mainly distributed on category 1 development land and farmland. Chemical plants were the main pollution sources. The study area should strictly control the industrial pollution emissions, regulate the agricultural production, adjust the land use planning, and reduce the impact of pollution on human beings. Furthermore, we make targeted remediation suggestions for each specific land use type. These results are of theoretical significance, will be of practical value for the control of PTEs in soil, and will provide ecological environmental protection in the urban fringe throughout the urbanization process.


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