scholarly journals Application of HMC-SS Method in Pipeline Reliability Analysis and Residual Life Assessment

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Xin Lin ◽  
Guojian Shao
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Failure Probability ◽  
Residual Life ◽  
Gas Pipeline ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Life Assessment ◽  
Gas Pipelines ◽  
Residual Life Assessment ◽  
Corrosion Pits

In this paper, the reliability analysis and residual life assessment model of gas pipelines with multiple corrosion pits are established. Aiming at the simulation evaluation of small failure probability of gas pipelines, a new method for reliability analysis and residual life assessment of gas pipelines with multiple internal corrosion pits is proposed, which is called the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo subset simulation (HMC-SS) method. Compared with the traditional MCS (Monte Carlo simulation) algorithm, the HMC-SS method has the advantages of less sampling, low cost, and high accuracy. And compared with the random walk SS method, the HMC-SS method can analyze the state space more efficiently and achieve faster convergence. In this paper, the HMC-SS method is applied to the reliability analysis and residual life assessment of gas pipeline engineering, and the sensitivity analysis of the random parameters affecting the failure probability of the pipeline is carried out. The results show that the corrosion rate, the depth of corrosion defects, and the wall thickness of the pipeline have great influence on the residual life of the pipeline, while the yield strength, working pressure, and the length of corrosion pits have no obvious influence on the failure probability and residual life of the pipeline. The analysis shows that the proposed HMC-SS method can be used as a reasonable tool for failure assessment of natural gas pipelines affected by corrosion to determine the remaining life of the pipeline system. This method provides a reliable theoretical basis for the integrity management of the gas pipeline.

Reliability analysis of gas pipeline with corrosion defect based on finite element method

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuan-Jian Yang ◽  
Guihua Wang ◽  
Qiuyang Zhong ◽  
Huan Zhang ◽  
Junjie He ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Finite Element ◽  
Numerical Analysis ◽  
Service Life ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Residual Life ◽  
Gas Pipeline ◽  
Stable Operation ◽  
Gas Pipelines ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Corrosion Defect

PurposeGas pipelines are facing serious risk because of the factors such as long service life, complex working condition and most importantly, corrosion. As one of the main failure reasons of gas pipeline, corrosion poses a great threat to its stable operation. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the reliability of gas pipelines with corrosion defect. This paper uses the corresponding methods to predict the residual strength and residual life of pipelines.Design/methodology/approachIn this paper, ASME-B31G revised criteria and finite element numerical analysis software are used to analyze the reliability of a special dangerous section of a gas gathering pipeline, and the failure pressure and stress concentration of the pipeline under three failure criteria are obtained. Furthermore, combined with the predicted corrosion rate of the pipeline, the residual service life of the pipeline is calculated.FindingsThis paper verifies the feasibility of ASME-B31G revised criteria and finite element numerical analysis methods for reliability analysis of gas pipelines with corrosion defect. According to the calculation results, the maximum safe internal pressure of the pipeline is 9.53 Mpa, and the residual life of the pipeline under the current operating pressure is 38.41 years, meeting the requirements of safe and reliable operation.Originality/valueThe analysis methods and analysis results provide reference basis for the reliability analysis of corroded pipelines, which is of great practical engineering value for the safe and stable operation of natural gas pipelines.

Residual Life Assessment of Power Transformer Based on Random Fuzzy Theory

2014 ◽  
Vol 1070-1072 ◽  
pp. 1127-1132
Author(s):  
Si Yu Wang
Keyword(s):  
Power Systems ◽  
Residual Life ◽  
Power Transformer ◽  
Fuzzy Theory ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Assessment Methods ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Life Assessment ◽  
Transformer Maintenance ◽  
Residual Life Assessment

Both the cost-effective operation of power systems and reliable operation are inextricably linked with the transformer life assessment. This paper analyzes the composition of the transformer life, life assessment factors and existing assessment methods. Based on factors of the current life assessment and problems of assessment methods, the paper analyzed the importance significance of uncertainty in the transformer life assessment and proposed the transformer remaining life assessment model, and methods based the random fuzzy theory. Assessment results can provide the basis for the transformer maintenance and help safe and economic operation of power systems.

Reliability Analysis of Embankment Slope in Yaan-Luku Expressway

2011 ◽  
Vol 71-78 ◽  
pp. 1360-1365
Author(s):  
Jian Quan Ma ◽  
Guang Jie Li ◽  
Shi Bo Li ◽  
Pei Hua Xu
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Failure Probability ◽  
Latin Hypercube Sampling ◽  
Natural State ◽  
State Function ◽  
Embankment Slope ◽  
The Times ◽  
Distribution Type

Take a typical cross-section of rockfill embankment slope in Yaan-Luku highway as the research object, reliability analysis is studied under the condition of water table of 840.85m, 851.50m, and loading condition of natural state and horizontal seismic acceleration of 0.2g, respectively. Raw data use Kolmogorov-Smirnov test (K-S test) to determine the distribution type of parametric variation. And the parameters were sampling with Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method and Monte Carlo (MC) method, respectively, to obtain state function and determine safety factors and reliability indexes. A conclusion is drawn that the times of simulation based on LHS method were less than Monte Carlo method. Also the convergence of failure probability is better than the Monte Carlo method. The safety factor is greater than one and the failure probability has reached to 35.45% in condition of earthquake, which indicating that the instability of rockfill embankment slope is still possible.

Residual service life estimation of bridges

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mayank Bajaj ◽  
Biswajit Bhattacharjee
Keyword(s):  
Residual Life ◽  
Concrete Bridges ◽  
Life Assessment ◽  
Residual Service Life ◽  
Chloride Ingress ◽  
Service Life Estimation ◽  
Residual Life Assessment ◽  
Existing Bridges ◽  
Residual Service

<p>While concrete structures perform well in many situations, lack of durability has emerged as a significant issue for asset owners. A review of past bridge failures was done to identify the most probable causes of bridge failures. This study has tended to focus on current models used for estimating the time to deterioration of concrete bridges instigated by Chloride ingress and Fatigue. Subsequently, mathematical modelling of the best-suited deterioration model is done to arrive at the residual life of two existing bridges. This work has highlighted high variability in the parameters used to describe the durability related properties of in-situ aged concrete. A realistic residual life assessment can be achieved by correct evaluation of these parameters by periodic testing of bridge samples</p>

Criterial relationships for residual life assessment of materials

2006 ◽  
Vol 38 (4) ◽  
pp. 348-353 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. A. Lebedev ◽  
V. M. Mikhalevich
Keyword(s):  
Residual Life ◽  
Life Assessment ◽  
Residual Life Assessment

Residual Life Assessment for Boiler Pressure Components Based on Measurements of Creep Strains

1988 ◽  
Vol 110 (3) ◽  
pp. 308-313 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Mlynarski ◽  
J. Taler
Keyword(s):  
Residual Life ◽  
Life Assessment ◽  
Strain Measurements ◽  
Years Of Service ◽  
Residual Life Assessment ◽  
Outside Diameter ◽  
Creep Strains

This paper discusses different methods for calculating the residual life for boiler pressure components operating under creep conditions, based on tube outside diameter strain measurements. These measurements were made for over 20 yr. The methods have been applied to the residual life calculation for pipelines of 20 or more years of service. Then the results have been compared.

scholarly journals Residual Life Assessment of Electricity Pylons – A Case Study

2009 ◽  
Vol 413-414 ◽  
pp. 219-228 ◽  
Author(s):  
John R. Maguire
Keyword(s):  
Structural Integrity ◽  
Residual Life ◽  
Life Assessment ◽  
Original Design ◽  
Integrity Assessment ◽  
Specific Safety ◽  
Residual Life Assessment ◽  
Independent Assessment ◽  
Overhead Power Line

This case study describes a structural integrity assessment of a 220 kV overhead power line. The line comprises 70 pylons over a distance of approximately 30 km, predominantly in a valley location. The pylons are spaced at intervals of approximately 400 m and each pylon is approximately 32 m in height. The line was originally constructed in the 1950’s, approximately 50 years prior to the requested structural integrity assessment. This paper describes the independent assessment that was carried out. The review established site-specific safety factors at the time of original design and construction; at the time of the review (2007), accounting for the possible presence of the “Thomasstahl” steel; and in the future, at the anticipated end of pylon life (in 2012).

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