scholarly journals Utilization of Artificial Neural Network in Predicting the Total Organic Carbon in Devonian Shale Using the Conventional Well Logs and the Spectral Gamma Ray

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Osama Siddig ◽  
Ahmed Abdulhamid Mahmoud ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Pantelis Soupios

Due to high oil and gas production and consumption, unconventional reservoirs attracted significant interest. Total organic carbon (TOC) is a significant measure of the quality of unconventional resources. Conventionally, TOC is measured experimentally; however, continuous information about TOC is hard to obtain due to the samples’ limitations, while the developed empirical correlations for TOC were found to have modest accuracy when applied in different datasets. In this paper, data from Devonian Duvernay shale were used to develop an optimized empirical correlation to predict TOC based on an artificial neural network (ANN). Three wells’ datasets were used to build and validate the model containing over 1250 data points, and each data point includes values for TOC, density, porosity, resistivity, gamma ray and sonic transient time, and spectral gamma ray. The three datasets were used separately for training, testing, and validation. The results of the developed correlation were compared with three available models. A sensitivity and optimization test was performed to reach the best model in terms of average absolute percentage error (AAPE) and correlation coefficient (R) between the actual and predicted TOC. The new correlation yielded an excellent match with the actual TOC values with R values above 0.93 and AAPE values lower than 14%. In the validation dataset, the correlation outperformed the other empirical correlations and resulted in less than 10% AAPE, in comparison with over 20% AAPE in other models. These results imply the applicability of this correlation; therefore, all the correlation’s parameters are reported to allow its use on different datasets.

2017 ◽  
Vol 179 ◽  
pp. 72-80 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Abdulhamid A. Mahmoud ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Mohamed Mahmoud ◽  
Mohamed Abouelresh ◽  
Abdulazeez Abdulraheem ◽  
...  

Energies ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 3490 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Tamer Moussa ◽  
Abdulazeez Abdulraheem ◽  
Mohamed Mahmoud

Reservoir fluid properties such as bubble point pressure (Pb) and gas solubility (Rs) play a vital role in reservoir management and reservoir simulation. In addition, they affect the design of the production system. Pb and Rs can be obtained from laboratory experiments by taking a sample at the wellhead or from the reservoir under downhole conditions. However, this process is time-consuming and very costly. To overcome these challenges, empirical correlations and artificial intelligence (AI) models can be applied to obtain these properties. The objective of this paper is to introduce new empirical correlations to estimate Pb and Rs based on three input parameters—reservoir temperature and oil and gas gravities. 760 data points were collected from different sources to build new AI models for Pb and Rs. The new empirical correlations were developed by integrating artificial neural network (ANN) with a modified self-adaptive differential evolution algorithm to introduce a hybrid self-adaptive artificial neural network (SaDE-ANN) model. The results obtained confirmed the accuracy of the developed SaDE-ANN models to predict the Pb and Rs of crude oils. This is the first technique that can be used to predict Rs and Pb based on three input parameters only. The developed empirical correlation for Pb predicts the Pb with a correlation coefficient (CC) of 0.99 and an average absolute percentage error (AAPE) of 6%. The same results were obtained for Rs, where the new empirical correlation predicts the Rs with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.99 and an AAPE of less than 6%. The developed technique will help reservoir and production engineers to better understand and manage reservoirs. No additional or special software is required to run the developed technique.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed Abdulhamid Mahmoud ◽  
Salaheldin ElKatatny ◽  
Abdulazeez Abdulraheem ◽  
Mohamed Mahmoud ◽  
Mohamed Omar Ibrahim ◽  
...  

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (15) ◽  
pp. 5188
Author(s):  
Mitsugu Hasegawa ◽  
Daiki Kurihara ◽  
Yasuhiro Egami ◽  
Hirotaka Sakaue ◽  
Aleksandar Jemcov

An artificial neural network (ANN) was constructed and trained for predicting pressure sensitivity using an experimental dataset consisting of luminophore content and paint thickness as chemical and physical inputs. A data augmentation technique was used to increase the number of data points based on the limited experimental observations. The prediction accuracy of the trained ANN was evaluated by using a metric, mean absolute percentage error. The ANN predicted pressure sensitivity to luminophore content and to paint thickness, within confidence intervals based on experimental errors. The present approach of applying ANN and the data augmentation has the potential to predict pressure-sensitive paint (PSP) characterizations that improve the performance of PSP for global surface pressure measurements.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Osama Siddig ◽  
Ahmed Farid Ibrahim ◽  
Salaheldin Elkatatny

Unconventional resources have recently gained a lot of attention, and as a consequence, there has been an increase in research interest in predicting total organic carbon (TOC) as a crucial quality indicator. TOC is commonly measured experimentally; however, due to sampling restrictions, obtaining continuous data on TOC is difficult. Therefore, different empirical correlations for TOC have been presented. However, there are concerns about the generalization and accuracy of these correlations. In this paper, different machine learning (ML) techniques were utilized to develop models that predict TOC from well logs, including formation resistivity (FR), spontaneous potential (SP), sonic transit time (Δt), bulk density (RHOB), neutron porosity (CNP), gamma ray (GR), and spectrum logs of thorium (Th), uranium (Ur), and potassium (K). Over 1250 data points from the Devonian Duvernay shale were utilized to create and validate the model. These datasets were obtained from three wells; the first was used to train the models, while the data sets from the other two wells were utilized to test and validate them. Support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), and decision tree (DT) were the ML approaches tested, and their predictions were contrasted with three empirical correlations. Various AI methods’ parameters were tested to assure the best possible accuracy in terms of correlation coefficient (R) and average absolute percentage error (AAPE) between the actual and predicted TOC. The three ML methods yielded good matches; however, the RF-based model has the best performance. The RF model was able to predict the TOC for the different datasets with R values range between 0.93 and 0.99 and AAPE values less than 14%. In terms of average error, the ML-based models outperformed the other three empirical correlations. This study shows the capability and robustness of ML models to predict the total organic carbon from readily available logging data without the need for core analysis or additional well interventions.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafael S. F. Ferraz ◽  
Renato S. F. Ferraz ◽  
Lucas F. S. Azeredo ◽  
Benemar A. de Souza

An accurate demand forecasting is essential for planning the electric dispatch in power system, contributing financially to electricity companies and helping in the security and continuity of electricity supply. In addition, it is evident that the distributed energy resource integration in the electric power system has been increasing recently, mostly from the photovoltaic generation, resulting in a gradual change of the load curve profile. Therefore, the 24 hours ahead prediction of the electrical demand of Campina Grande, Brazil, was realized from artificial neural network with a focus on the data preprocessing. Thus, the time series variations, such as hourly, diary and seasonal, were reduced in order to obtain a better demand prediction. Finally, it was compared the results between the forecasting with the preprocessing application and the prediction without the  preprocessing stage. Based on the results, the first methodology presented lower mean absolute percentage error with 7.95% against 10.33% of the second one.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (7) ◽  
pp. 2058 ◽  
Author(s):  
Salaheldin Elkatatny ◽  
Ahmed Al-AbdulJabbar ◽  
Khaled Abdelgawad

The drilling rate of penetration (ROP) is defined as the speed of drilling through rock under the bit. ROP is affected by different interconnected factors, which makes it very difficult to infer the mutual effect of each individual parameter. A robust ROP is required to understand the complexity of the drilling process. Therefore, an artificial neural network (ANN) is used to predict ROP and capture the effect of the changes in the drilling parameters. Field data (4525 points) from three vertical onshore wells drilled in the same formation using the same conventional bottom hole assembly were used to train, test, and validate the ANN model. Data from Well A (1528 points) were utilized to train and test the model with a 70/30 data ratio. Data from Well B and Well C were used to test the model. An empirical equation was derived based on the weights and biases of the optimized ANN model and compared with four ROP models using the data set of Well C. The developed ANN model accurately predicted the ROP with a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.94 and an average absolute percentage error (AAPE) of 8.6%. The developed ANN model outperformed four existing models with the lowest AAPE and highest R value.


2019 ◽  
Vol 120 ◽  
pp. 01003
Author(s):  
Redden Rose Rivera ◽  
Allan Soriano

The applications of ionic liquids solve a lot of major problems regarding green energy production and environment. Ionic liquids are solvents used as alternative to unfriendly traditional and hazardous solvents which reduces the negative impact to environment to a great extent. This study produced models to predict two of the basic physical properties of binary ionic liquid and ketone mixtures: density and speed of sound. The artificial neural network algorithm was used to predict these properties by varying the temperature, mole fraction, atom count in cation, methyl group count in cation, atom count in anion, hydrogen atom count in anion of ionic liquid and atom count in ketone. Total experimental data points of 2517 for density and 947 for speed of sound were used to train the algorithm and to test the network obtained. The optimum neural network structure determined for density and speed of sound of binary ionic liquid and ketone mixtures were 7-9-9-1 and 7-7-4-1 respectively; overall average percentage error of 2.45% and 2.17% respectively; and mean absolute error of 28.21 kg/m3 and 33.91 m/s respectively. The said algorithm was found applicable for the prediction of density and speed of sound of binary ionic liquid and ketone mixtures.


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