scholarly journals Comparative Study between Generalized Maximum Entropy and Bayes Methods to Estimate the Four Parameter Weibull Growth Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Saifaldin Hashim Kamar ◽  
Basim Shlaibah Msallam

The Weibull growth model is an important model especially for describing the growth instability; therefore, in this paper, three methods, namely, generalized maximum entropy, Bayes, and maximum a posteriori, for estimating the four parameter Weibull growth model have been presented and compared. To achieve this aim, it is necessary to use a simulation technique to generate the samples and perform the required comparisons, using varying sample sizes (10, 12, 15, 20, 25, and 30) and models depending on the standard deviation (0.5). It has been shown from the computational results that the Bayes method gives the best estimates.

2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abd-Krim Seghouane ◽  
Luc Knockaert ◽  
Kevin H. Knuth ◽  
Ariel Caticha ◽  
Julian L. Center ◽  
...  

2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abd-Krim Seghouane ◽  
Paul M. Goggans ◽  
Chun-Yong Chan

Author(s):  
Basim Shlaibah Msallam ◽  
Saifaldin Hashim Kamar

It is well known that the Generalized Maximum Entropy method can be used to fit linear regression models, especially as they are not restricted by the conditions to be verified as are other classical methods. Therefore, in this paper, a new method for estimating the parameters of the four-parameter Weibull growth model was proposed using the Generalized Maximum Entropy function by fitting data based on the Haar matrix which was used in the wavelet method. The suggested and classical entropy estimators for Weibull growth model parameters were compared using simulation and the preference for the suggested method estimator was shown. The Modified Generalized Maximum Entropy estimator was applied to the real data representing annual Iraqi oil production for the period 2010–2017. Iraqi crude oil production for the year 2022 was predicted and appeared as 4.4 million bb/day.


2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Rahma Yudi Astuti ◽  
Asad Arsya Brilliant Fani

Sukuk and Bonds has differences and similarities. Fundamental differences between sukuk and bonds are first, underlying asset in every sukuk issuance, concept of profit loss sharing and the use of Islamic contracts. Whereas conducted research in practice of differences between sukuk and bonds are still an on-going discussion. This study aims to add the evidence in the discussion regarding whether there is differences between sukuk and bonds in the world of practice, provide investment preferences as well as educating investors in choosing sukuk or bonds as a sustainable and smooth instrument. The method used is Mann Whitney U-Test to test whether there is a different between yield to maturity (return) and standard deviation (risk) of both instruments. Using secondary data of Retail Sukuk (SR) and Retail Bonds (ORI) period 2008-2017 obtained from Indonesia Stock Exchange, Indonesia Bond Market Directory and Indonesia Bond Pricing Agency. The result shows that there is no significance difference of retail sukuk return and risk with retail bonds in Indonesia. Besides retail bonds are show higher return than retail sukuk because of higher coupon and longest mature date. While, retail sukuk is more stable rather than bonds as it backed up by the real underlying asset. Keywords: Retail Sukuk (SR), Retail Bonds (ORI), Yield to Maturity


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