scholarly journals A Novel Seventeen-Gene Metabolic Signature for Predicting Prognosis in Colon Cancer

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Dakui Luo ◽  
Zezhi Shan ◽  
Qi Liu ◽  
Sanjun Cai ◽  
Qingguo Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Colon Cancer ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Differentially Expressed ◽  
Metabolic Signature ◽  
Metabolic Genes ◽  
Prognostic Prediction

A metabolic disorder is considered one of the hallmarks of cancer. Multiple differentially expressed metabolic genes have been identified in colon cancer (CC), and their biological functions and prognostic values have been well explored. The purpose of the present study was to establish a metabolic signature to optimize the prognostic prediction in CC. The related data were downloaded from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), Genotype-Tissue Expression (GTEx) database, and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) combined with GSE39582 set, GSE17538 set, GSE33113 set, and GSE37892 set. The differentially expressed metabolic genes were selected for univariate Cox regression and lasso Cox regression analysis using TCGA and GTEx datasets. Finally, a seventeen-gene metabolic signature was developed to divide patients into a high-risk group and a low-risk group. Patients in the high-risk group presented poorer prognosis compared to the low-risk group in both TCGA and GEO datasets. Moreover, gene set enrichment analyses demonstrated multiple significantly enriched metabolism-related pathways. To sum up, our study described a novel seventeen-gene metabolic signature for prognostic prediction of colon cancer.

scholarly journals Prognostic Immune-Related Analysis Based on Differentially Expressed Genes in Left- and Right-Sided Colon Adenocarcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun-Nan Guo ◽  
Ming-Qi Li ◽  
Shen-Hui Deng ◽  
Chen Chen ◽  
Yin Ni ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Differentially Expressed Genes ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Colon Adenocarcinoma ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Differentially Expressed ◽  
Model Group ◽  
Gene Pairs

BackgroundColon adenocarcinoma (COAD) can be divided into left-sided and right-sided COAD (LCCs and RCCs, respectively). They have unique characteristics in various biological aspects, particularly immune invasion and prognosis. The purpose of our study was to develop a prognostic risk scoring model (PRSM) based on differentially expressed immune-related genes (IRGs) between LCCs and RCCs, therefore the prognostic key IRGs could be identified.MethodsThe gene sets and clinical information of COAD patients were derived from TCGA and GEO databases. The comparison of differentially expressed genes (DEGs) of LCCs and RCCs were conducted with appliance of “Limma” analysis. The establishment about co-expression modules of DEGs related with immune score was conducted by weighted gene co-expression network analysis (WGCNA). Furthermore, we screened the module genes and completed construction of gene pairs. The analysis of the prognosis and the establishment of PRSM were performed with univariate- and lasso-Cox regression. We employed the PRSM in the model group and verification group for the purpose of risk group assignment and PRSM accuracy verification. Finally, the identification of the prognostic key IRGs was guaranteed by the adoption of functional enrichment, “DisNor” and protein-protein interaction (PPI).ResultsA total of 215 genes were screened out by differential expression analysis and WGCNA. A PRSM with 16 immune-related gene pairs (IRGPs) was established upon the genes pairing. Furthermore, we confirmed that the risk score was an independent factor for survival by univariate- and multivariate-Cox regression. The prognosis of high-risk group in model group (P < 0.001) and validation group (P = 0.014) was significantly worse than that in low-risk group. Treg cells (P < 0.001) and macrophage M0 (P = 0.015) were highly expressed in the high-risk group. The functional analysis indicated that there was significant up-regulation with regard of lymphocyte and cytokine related terms in low-risk group. Finally, we identified five prognostic key IRGs associated with better prognosis through PPI and prognostic analysis, including IL2RB, TRIM22, CIITA, CXCL13, and CXCR6.ConclusionThrough the analysis and screening of the DEGs between LCCs and RCCs, we constructed a PRSM which could predicate prognosis of LCCs and RCCs, and five prognostic key IRGs were identified as well. Therefore, the basis for identifying the benefits of immunotherapy and immunomodulatory was built.

scholarly journals A Novel Hypoxic-Angiogenesis-Immune-Related Gene Model for Prognostic and Therapeutic Effect Prediction in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients

2022 ◽  
Vol 2022 ◽  
pp. 1-27
Author(s):  
Wen Lv ◽  
Qi Yao
Keyword(s):  
Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Liver Cancer ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Immune Dysfunction ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Prognostic Prediction

Background. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most heterogeneous malignant tumors that have been discovered so far, which makes the prognostic prediction difficult. The hypoxia, angiogenesis, and immunity-related genes (HAIRGs) are closely related to the development of liver cancer. However, the prognostic and treatment effect of hypoxia, angiogenesis, and immunity-related genes in HCC continues to be further clarified. Methods. The gene expression quantification data and clinical information in patients with liver cancer were downloaded from the TCGA database, and HAIRG signature was built by using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) technique. Patient from the ICGC database validated the model. Then, tumor immune dysfunction and exclusion (TIDE) algorithm was applied to estimate the clinical response to immunotherapy and the sensitivity of drugs was evaluated by the half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50). Result. The HAIRGs were identified between the HCC patients and normal patients in the TCGA database. In univariate Cox regression analysis, seventeen differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were associated with overall survival (OS). An eight HAIRG signature model was constructed and was used to divide the patients into two groups according to the median value of the risk score base on the TCGA dataset. Patients in the high-risk group had a significant reduction in OS compared to those in the low-risk group ( P < 0.001 in the TCGA, P < 0.001 in the ICGC). For TCGA and ICGC databases of univariate Cox regression analyses, the risk score was used as an independent predictor of OS ( HR > 1 , P < 0.001 ). Functional analysis showed that the relevant immune pathways and immune responses were enriched, cellular component analysis showed that the immunoglobulin complex and other related substances were enriched, and immune status existed a difference in the high- and low-risk groups. Then, the tumor immune dysfunction and exclusion (TIDE) algorithm presented differences in immune response in the high- and low-risk groups ( P < 0.05 ), and based on drug sensitivity prediction, patients in the high-risk group were more sensitive to cisplatin compared to those in the low-risk group in both the TCGA and ICGC cohorts ( P < 0.05 ). Conclusions. HAIRG signature can be utilized for prognostic prediction in HCC, while it can be considered a prediction model for clinical evaluation of immunotherapy response and chemotherapy sensitivity in HCC.

scholarly journals A prognostic five immune-related long noncoding RNA signature for patients with colon cancer

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kankan Zhao ◽  
Mengchuan Wang ◽  
Houlong Kang ◽  
Aiguo Wu
Keyword(s):  
Colon Cancer ◽  
Regression Analysis ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Noncoding Rna ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
The Cancer Genome Atlas ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

Abstract Background: Our study aimed to identify immune related long non-coding RNAs (LncRNAs) to serve as potential prognostic indicators and immune therapeutic targets in patients with colon cancer.Methods: The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Molecular Signatures Databases (MSigDB) database were used to identify immune related lncRNAs in patients with colon cancer. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) analysis, and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis were employed to screen prognostic lncRNAs and construct immune-related multi-lncRNA signature. We used time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve to assess the performance of this signature in colon cancer by calculating the area under the curve (AUC). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis were performed to verify the independence of the prognostic value of this signature in colon cancer.Results: Five immune related lncRNAs (AC025575.2, AL161729.4, ELFN1-AS1, LINC00513, MIR210HG) were found to be significantly associated with overall survival (OS) of patients with colon cancer. Then, we developed a five immune-related lncRNA signature. According to this signature, patients were ranked into a high risk group (n = 208) and a low risk group (n = 209). Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank method showed that patients in high risk group had worse OS than patients in low risk group (P = 5.5644e-05). AUC for predicting 3 year survival and 5 year survival was 0.776 and 0.762 respectively, which indicated good performance of this signature. Finally, this five immune-related lncRNA signature was demonstrated to be independently associated with prognosis of patients with colon cancer.Conclusion: We developed a five immune-related lncRNA signature as a prognostic biomarker for patients with colon cancer.

scholarly journals A novel defined pyroptosis-related gene signature for predicting the prognosis of ovarian cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Ye ◽  
Qinjin Dai ◽  
Hongbo Qi
Keyword(s):  
Ovarian Cancer ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Gene Signature ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Differentially Expressed ◽  
Related Gene

AbstractOvarian cancer (OC) is a highly malignant gynaecological tumour that has a very poor prognosis. Pyroptosis has been demonstrated in recent years to be an inflammatory form of programmed cell death. However, the expression of pyroptosis-related genes in OC and their correlations with prognosis remain unclear. In this study, we identified 31 pyroptosis regulators that were differentially expressed between OC and normal ovarian tissues. Based on these differentially expressed genes (DEGs), all OC cases could be divided into two subtypes. The prognostic value of each pyroptosis-related gene for survival was evaluated to construct a multigene signature using The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) cohort. By applying the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression method, a 7-gene signature was built and classified all OC patients in the TCGA cohort into a low- or high-risk group. OC patients in the low-risk group showed significantly higher survival possibilities than those in the high-risk group (P < 0.001). Utilizing the median risk score from the TCGA cohort, OC patients from a Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) cohort were divided into two risk subgroups, and the low-risk group had increased overall survival (OS) time (P = 0.014). Combined with the clinical characteristics, the risk score was found to be an independent factor for predicting the OS of OC patients. Gene ontology (GO) and Kyoto Encylopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses indicated that immune-related genes were enriched and that the immune status was decreased in the high-risk group. In conclusion, pyroptosis-related genes play important roles in tumour immunity and can be used to predict the prognosis of OCs.

scholarly journals A Risk Signature of Nine Autophagy-Related Genes Associated With Immune Microenvironment and Clinical Prognosis in Wilms Tumor

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shaopei Ye ◽  
Wenbin Tang ◽  
Ke Huang
Keyword(s):  
Regression Analysis ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Wilms Tumor ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Differentially Expressed ◽  
Clinical Prognosis ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

Abstract Background: Autophagy is a biological process to eliminate dysfunctional organelles, aggregates or even long-lived proteins. . Nevertheless, the potential function and prognostic values of autophagy in Wilms Tumor (WT) are complex and remain to be clarifed. Therefore, we proposed to systematically examine the roles of autophagy-associated genes (ARGs) in WT.Methods: Here, we obtained differentially expressed autophagy-related genes (ARGs) between healthy and Wilms tumor from Therapeutically Applicable Research To Generate Effective Treatments(TARGET) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. The functionalities of the differentially expressed ARGs were analyzed using Gene Ontology. Then univariate COX regression analysis and multivariate COX regression analysis were performed to acquire nine autophagy genes related to WT patients’ survival. According to the risk score, the patients were divided into high-risk and low-risk groups. The Kaplan-Meier curve demonstrated that patients with a high-risk score tend to have a poor prognosis.Results: Eighteen DEARGs were identifed, and nine ARGs were fnally utilized to establish the FAGs based signature in the TCGA cohort. we found that patients in the high-risk group were associated with mutations in TP53. We further conducted CIBERSORT analysis, and found that the infiltration of Macrophage M1 was increased in the high-risk group. Finally, the expression levels of crucial ARGs were verifed by the experiment, which were consistent with our bioinformatics analysis.Conclusions: we emphasized the clinical significance of autophagy in WT, established a prediction system based on autophagy, and identified a promising therapeutic target of autophagy for WT.

scholarly journals Identifying and Validating an Acidosis-Related Signature Associated with Prognosis and Tumor Immune Infiltration Characteristics in Pancreatic Carcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-19
Author(s):  
Pingfei Tang ◽  
Weiming Qu ◽  
Dajun Wu ◽  
Shihua Chen ◽  
Minji Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gene Expression ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Pancreatic Carcinoma ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Immune Dysfunction ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Excellent Performance ◽  
Kaplan Meier ◽  
Prognostic Prediction

Background. Acidosis in the tumor microenvironment (TME) is involved in tumor immune dysfunction and tumor progression. We attempted to develop an acidosis-related index (ARI) signature to improve the prognostic prediction of pancreatic carcinoma (PC). Methods. Differential gene expression analyses of two public datasets (GSE152345 and GSE62452) from the Gene Expression Omnibus database were performed to identify the acidosis-related genes. The Cancer Genome Atlas–pancreatic carcinoma (TCGA-PAAD) cohort in the TCGA database was set as the discovery dataset. Univariate Cox regression and the Kaplan–Meier method were applied to screen for prognostic genes. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression was used to establish the optimal model. The tumor immune infiltrating pattern was characterized by the single-sample gene set enrichment analysis (ssGSEA) method, and the prediction of immunotherapy responsiveness was conducted using the tumor immune dysfunction and exclusion (TIDE) algorithm. Results. We identified 133 acidosis-related genes, of which 37 were identified as prognostic genes by univariate Cox analysis in combination with the Kaplan–Meier method ( p values of both methods < 0.05). An acidosis-related signature involving seven genes (ARNTL2, DKK1, CEP55, CTSV, MYEOV, DSG2, and GBP2) was developed in TCGA-PAAD and further validated in GSE62452. Patients in the acidosis-related high-risk group consistently showed poorer survival outcomes than those in the low-risk group. The 5-year AUCs (areas under the curve) for survival prediction were 0.738 for TCGA-PAAD and 0.889 for GSE62452, suggesting excellent performance. The low-risk group in TCGA-PAAD showed a higher abundance of CD8+ T cells and activated natural killer cells and was predicted to possess an elevated proportion of immunotherapeutic responders compared with the high-risk counterpart. Conclusions. We developed a reliable acidosis-related signature that showed excellent performance in prognostic prediction and correlated with tumor immune infiltration, providing a new direction for prognostic evaluation and immunotherapy management in PC.

scholarly journals Identification of prognostic gene signature associated with microenvironment of lung adenocarcinoma

PeerJ ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
pp. e8128 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cheng Yue ◽  
Hongtao Ma ◽  
Yubai Zhou
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Lung Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Prognostic Model ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Expression Profiles ◽  
Gene Signature ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Differentially Expressed ◽  
Lasso Regression

Background Lung cancer has the highest morbidity and mortality worldwide, and lung adenocarcinoma (LADC) is the most common pathological subtype. Accumulating evidence suggests the tumor microenvironment (TME) is correlated with the tumor progress and the patient’s outcome. As the major components of TME, the tumor-infiltrated immune cells and stromal cells have attracted more and more attention. In this study, differentially expressed immune and stromal signature genes were used to construct a TME-related prognostic model for predicting the outcomes of LADC patients. Methods The expression profiles of LADC samples with clinical information were obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). The differentially expressed genes (DEGs) related to the TME of LADC were identified using TCGA dataset by Wilcoxon rank sum test. The prognostic effects of TME-related DEGs were analyzed using univariate Cox regression. Then, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was performed to reduce the overfit and the number of genes for further analysis. Next, the prognostic model was constructed by step multivariate Cox regression and risk score of each sample was calculated. Then, survival and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analyses were conducted to validate the model using TCGA and GEO datasets, respectively. The Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes analysis of gene signature was performed using Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA). Finally, the overall immune status, tumor purity and the expression profiles of HLA genes of high- and low-risk samples was further analyzed to reveal the potential mechanisms of prognostic effects of the model. Results A total of 93 TME-related DEGs were identified, of which 23 DEGs were up-regulated and 70 DEGs were down-regulated. The univariate cox analysis indicated that 23 DEGs has the prognostic effects, the hazard ratio ranged from 0.65 to 1.25 (p < 0.05). Then, seven genes were screened out from the 23 DEGs by LASSO regression method and were further analyzed by step multivariate Cox regression. Finally, a three-gene (ADAM12, Bruton Tyrosine Kinase (BTK), ERG) signature was constructed, and ADAM12, BTK can be used as independent prognostic factors. The three-gene signature well stratified the LADC patients in both training (TCGA) and testing (GEO) datasets as high-risk and low-risk groups, the 3-year area under curve (AUC) of ROC curves of three GEO sets were 0.718 (GSE3141), 0.646 (GSE30219) and 0.643 (GSE50081). The GSEA analysis indicated that highly expressed ADAM12, BTK, ERG mainly correlated with the activation of pathways involving in focal adhesion, immune regulation. The immune analysis indicated that the low-risk group has more immune activities and higher expression of HLA genes than that of the high-risk group. In sum, we identified and constructed a three TME-related DEGs signature, which could be used to predict the prognosis of LADC patients.

scholarly journals A novel signature of two long non-coding RNAs in BRCA mutant ovarian cancer to predict prognosis and efficiency of chemotherapy

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yinglian Pan ◽  
Li Ping Jia ◽  
Yuzhu Liu ◽  
Yiyu Han ◽  
Qian Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ovarian Cancer ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Gynecologic Cancer ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
The Cancer Genome Atlas ◽  
Chemotherapy Treatment ◽  
Prognostic Signature

Abstract Background In this study we aimed to identify a prognostic signature in BRCA1/2 mutations to predict disease progression and the efficiency of chemotherapy ovarian cancer (OV), the second most common cause of death from gynecologic cancer in women worldwide. Methods Univariate Cox proportional-hazards and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identifying prognostic factors from data obtained from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database. The area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curve was assessed, and the sensitivity and specificity of the prediction model were determined. Results A signature consisting of two long noncoding RNAs(lncRNAs), Z98885.2 and AC011601.1, was selected as the basis for classifying patients into high and low-risk groups (median survival: 7.2 years vs. 2.3 years). The three-year overall survival (OS) rates for the high- and low-risk group were approximately 38 and 100%, respectively. Chemotherapy treatment survival rates indicated that the high-risk group had significantly lower OS rates with adjuvant chemotherapy than the low-risk group. The one-, three-, and five-year OS were 100, 40, and 15% respectively in the high-risk group. The survival rate of the high-risk group declined rapidly after 2 years of OV chemotherapy treatment. Multivariate Cox regression associated with other traditional clinical factors showed that the 2-lncRNA model could be used as an independent OV prognostic factor. Analyses of data from the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) and Gene Ontology (GO) indicated that these signatures are pivotal to cancer development. Conclusion In conclusion, Z98885.2 and AC011601.1 comprise a novel prognostic signature for OV patients with BRCA1/2 mutations, and can be used to predict prognosis and the efficiency of chemotherapy.

scholarly journals Discovery and validation of immune- related long non-coding RNA biomarkers associated with prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Liu ◽  
She Tian ◽  
Zhu Li ◽  
Yongjun Gong ◽  
Hao Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Hepatocellular Carcinoma ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
Survival Curve ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis ◽  
Immune Related Genes

Abstract Background : Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common clinical malignant tumors, resulting in high mortality and poor prognosis. Studies have found that LncRNA plays an important role in the onset, metastasis and recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma. The immune system plays a vital role in the development, progression, metastasis and recurrence of cancer. Therefore, immune-related lncRNA can be used as a novel biomarker to predict the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma. Methods : The transcriptome data and clinical data of HCC patients were obtained by using The Cancer Genome Atlas-Liver Hepatocellular Carcinoma (TCGA‑LIHC), and immune-related genes were extracted from the Molecular Signatures Database (IMMUNE RESPONSE M19817 and IMMUNE SYSTEM PROCESS M13664). By constructing the co-expression network and Cox regression analysis, 13 immune-lncRNAs was identified to predict the prognosis of HCC patients. Patients were divided into high risk group and low risk group by using the risk score formula, and the difference in overall survival (OS) between the two groups was reflected by Kaplan-Meier survival curve. The time - dependent receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis and principal component analysis (PCA) were used to evaluate 13 immune -lncRNAs signature. Results : Through TCGA - LIHC extracted from 343 cases of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma RNA - Seq data and clinical data, 331 immune-related genes were extracted from the Molecular Signatures Database , co-expression networks and Cox regression analysis were constructed, 13 immune-lncRNAs signature was identified as biomarkers to predict the prognosis of patients. At the same time using the risk score median divided the patients into high risk and low risk groups, and through the Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis found that high-risk group of patients' overall survival (OS) less low risk group of patients. The AUC value of the ROC curve is 0.828, and principal component analysis (PCA) results showed that patients could be clearly divided into two parts by immune-lncRNAs, which provided evidence for the use of 13 immune-lncRNAs signature as prognostic markers. Conclusion : Our study identified 13 immune-lncRNAs signature that can effectively predict the prognosis of HCC patients, which may be a new prognostic indicator for predicting clinical outcomes.

scholarly journals Identification of an Autophagy-Related Pair Signature for Predicting Prognoses and Immune Activity in Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qian Zhang ◽  
Liping Lv ◽  
Ping Ma ◽  
Yangyang Zhang ◽  
Jiang Deng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Risk ◽  
Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma ◽  
Small Molecule ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Risk Group ◽  
High Risk Group ◽  
Low Risk ◽  
M2 Macrophage ◽  
Related Gene ◽  
Significant Difference

BackgroundPancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAAD) spreads quickly and has a poor prognosis. Autophagy research on PAAD could reveal new biomarkers and targets for diagnosis and treatment.MethodsAutophagy-related genes were translated into autophagy-related gene pairs, and univariate Cox regression was performed to obtain overall survival (OS)-related IRGPs (P&lt;0.001). LASSO Cox regression analyses were performed to construct an autophagy-related gene pair (ARGP) model for predicting OS. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-PAAD cohort was set as the training group for model construction. The model predictive value was validated in multiple external datasets. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate model performance. Tumor microenvironments and immune infiltration were compared between low- and high-risk groups with ESTIMATE and CIBERSORT. Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between the groups were further analyzed by Gene Ontology biological process (GO-BP) and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analyses and used to identify potential small-molecule compounds in L1000FWD.ResultsRisk scores were calculated as follows: ATG4B|CHMP4C×(-0.31) + CHMP2B|MAP1LC3B×(0.30) + CHMP6|RIPK2 ×(-0.33) + LRSAM1|TRIM5×(-0.26) + MAP1LC3A|PAFAH1B2×(-0.15) + MAP1LC3A|TRIM21×(-0.08) + MET|MFN2×(0.38) + MET|MTDH×(0.47) + RASIP1|TRIM5×(-0.23) + RB1CC1|TPCN1×(0.22). OS was significantly shorter in the high-risk group than the low-risk group in each PAAD cohort. The ESTIMATE analysis showed no difference in stromal scores but a significant difference in immune scores (p=0.0045) and ESTIMATE scores (p=0.014) between the groups. CIBERSORT analysis showed higher naive B cell, Treg cell, CD8 T cell, and plasma cell levels in the low-risk group and higher M1 and M2 macrophage levels in the high-risk group. In addition, the results showed that naive B cells (r=-0.32, p&lt;0.001), Treg cells (r=-0.31, p&lt;0.001), CD8 T cells (r=-0.24, p=0.0092), and plasma cells (r=-0.2, p&lt;0.026) were statistically correlated with the ARGP risk score. The top 3 enriched GO-BPs were signal release, regulation of transsynaptic signaling, and modulation of chemical synaptic transmission, and the top 3 enriched KEGG pathways were the insulin secretion, dopaminergic synapse, and NF-kappa B signaling pathways. Several potential small-molecule compounds targeting ARGs were also identified.ConclusionOur results demonstrate that the ARGP-based model may be a promising prognostic indicator for identifying drug targets in patients with PAAD.

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