scholarly journals Numerical Analysis on the Effects of Binary Interaction between Typhoons Tembin and Bolaven in 2012

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhipeng Xian ◽  
Keyi Chen
Keyword(s):  
Forecast Accuracy ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Typical Case ◽  
Binary Interaction ◽  
Monsoon Circulation ◽  
Interaction Type ◽  
Variable Intensity ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
Low Pass ◽  
Shear Condition

The binary interaction is one of the most challenging factors to improve the forecast accuracy of multiple tropical cyclones (TCs) in close vicinity. The effect of binary interaction usually results in anomalous track and variable intensity of TCs. A typical interaction type, one-way influence mode, has been investigated by many studies which mainly focused on the anomalous track and record-breaking precipitation, such as typhoons Morakot and Goni. In this paper, a typical case of this type, typhoons Tembin and Bolaven, occurred in the western North Pacific in August 2012, was selected to study how one typhoon impacts the track and intensity of the other one. The vortex of Tembin or Bolaven and the monsoon circulation were removed by a TC bogus scheme and a low-pass Lanczos filter, respectively, to carry out the numerical experiments. The results show that the presence of monsoon made the binary interaction more complex by affecting the tracks and the translation speeds of the TCs. The influence of Bolaven on the track of Tembin was more significant than the influence of Tembin on the track of Bolaven, and the looping track of Tembin was also affected by the external surrounding circulation associated with Bolaven. The absence of Tembin was not conducive to the development of Bolaven due to stronger vertical wind shear condition and the less kinetic energy being transported to upper troposphere. Note that the above analysis demonstrates the interacting processes between TCs and sheds some light on the prediction of binary TCs.

scholarly journals Characterization of non-methane hydrocarbons in Asian summer monsoon outflow observed by the CARIBIC aircraft

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 503-518 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. K. Baker ◽  
T. J. Schuck ◽  
F. Slemr ◽  
P. van Velthoven ◽  
A. Zahn ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Monoxide ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Fossil Fuels ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Trace Gases ◽  
Northern Region ◽  
Monsoon Circulation ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
Mixing Ratios ◽  
Asian Summer

Abstract. Between April and December 2008 the CARIBIC commercial aircraft conducted monthly measurement flights between Frankfurt, Germany and Chennai, India. These flights covered the period of the Asian summer monsoon (June–September), during which enhancements in a number of atmospheric species were observed in the upper troposphere over southwestern Asia. In addition to in situ measurements of trace gases and aerosols, whole air samples were collected during the flights, and these were subsequently analyzed for a suite of trace gases that included a number of C2–C8 non-methane hydrocarbons. Non-methane hydrocarbons are relatively short-lived compounds and the large enhancements in their mixing ratios in the upper troposphere over southwestern Asia during the monsoon, sometimes more than double their spring and fall means, provides qualitative evidence for the influence of convectively uplifted boundary layer air. The particularly large enhancements of the combustion tracers benzene and ethyne, along with the similarity of their ratios with carbon monoxide and emission ratios from the burning of household biofuels, indicate a strong influence of biofuel burning to NMHC emissions in this region. Conversely, the ratios of ethane and propane to carbon monoxide, along with the ratio between i-butane and n-butane, indicate a significant source of these compounds from the use of fossil fuels, and comparison to previous campaigns suggests that this source could be increasing. Photochemical aging patterns of NMHCs showed that the CARIBIC samples were collected in two distinctly different regions of the monsoon circulation: a southern region where air masses had been recently influenced by low level contact and a northern region, where air parcels had spent substantial time in transit in the upper troposphere before being probed. Estimates of age using ratios of individual NMHCs have ranges of 3–6 days in the south and 9–12 days in the north.

scholarly journals Assessing the Accuracy of the Cloud and Water Vapor Fields in the Hurricane WRF (HWRF) Model Using Satellite Infrared Brightness Temperatures

2017 ◽  
Vol 145 (5) ◽  
pp. 2027-2046 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jason A. Otkin ◽  
William E. Lewis ◽  
Allen J. Lenzen ◽  
Brian D. McNoldy ◽  
Sharanya J. Majumdar
Keyword(s):  
Forecast Accuracy ◽  
Cloud Microphysics ◽  
Cumulus Parameterization ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
Wind Speeds ◽  
Parameterization Schemes ◽  
Brightness Temperatures ◽  
Cumulus Parameterization Schemes ◽  
Hwrf Model ◽  
Infrared Brightness

Abstract In this study, cycled forecast experiments were performed to assess the ability of different cloud microphysics and cumulus parameterization schemes in the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) Model to accurately simulate the evolution of the cloud and moisture fields during the entire life cycle of Hurricane Edouard (2014). The forecast accuracy for each model configuration was evaluated through comparison of observed and simulated Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite-13 (GOES-13) infrared brightness temperatures and satellite-derived tropical cyclone intensity estimates computed using the advanced Dvorak technique (ADT). Overall, the analysis revealed a large moist bias in the mid- and upper troposphere during the entire forecast period that was at least partially due to a moist bias in the initialization datasets but was also affected by the microphysics and cumulus parameterization schemes. Large differences occurred in the azimuthal brightness temperature distributions, with two of the microphysics schemes producing hurricane eyes that were much larger and clearer than observed, especially for later forecast hours. Comparisons to the forecast 10-m wind speeds showed reasonable agreement (correlations between 0.58 and 0.74) between the surface-based intensities and the ADT intensity estimates inferred via cloud patterns in the upper troposphere. It was also found that model configurations that had the smallest differences between the ADT and surface-based intensities had the most accurate track and intensity forecasts. Last, the cloud microphysics schemes had the largest impact on the forecast accuracy.

Effect of TC–Trough Interaction on the Intensity Change of Two Typhoons

2005 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 199-211 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Yu ◽  
H. Joe Kwon
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Wind Shear ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Wind ◽  
Intensity Change ◽  
Eddy Flux ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
Shallow Layer ◽  
Upper Level

Abstract Using large-scale analyses, the effect of tropical cyclone–trough interaction on tropical cyclone (TC) intensity change is readdressed by studying the evolution of upper-level eddy flux convergence (EFC) of angular momentum and vertical wind shear for two TCs in the western North Pacific [Typhoons Prapiroon (2000) and Olga (1999)]. Major findings include the following: 1) In spite of decreasing SST, the cyclonic inflow associated with a midlatitude trough should have played an important role in Prapiroon’s intensification to its maximum intensity and the maintenance after recurvature through an increase in EFC. The accompanied large vertical wind shear is concentrated in a shallow layer in the upper troposphere. 2) Although Olga also recurved downstream of a midlatitude trough, its development and maintenance were not strongly influenced by the trough. A TC could maintain itself in an environment with or without upper-level eddy momentum forcing. 3) Both TCs started to decay over cold SST in a large EFC and vertical wind shear environment imposed by the trough. 4) Uncertainty of input adds difficulties in quantitative TC intensity forecasting.

scholarly journals Cyclone trends constrain monsoon variability during late Oligocene sea level highstands (Kachchh Basin, NW India)

2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 2101-2115 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Reuter ◽  
W. E. Piller ◽  
M. Harzhauser ◽  
A. Kroh
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Asian Monsoon ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Monsoon Circulation ◽  
Late Oligocene ◽  
Monsoon Variability ◽  
Kachchh Basin ◽  
Storm Wave ◽  
Monsoon System

Abstract. Climate change has an unknown impact on tropical cyclones and the Asian monsoon. Herein we present a sequence of fossil shell beds from the shallow-marine Maniyara Fort Formation (Kachcch Basin) as a recorder of tropical cyclone activity along the NW Indian coast during the late Oligocene warming period (~ 27–24 Ma). Proxy data providing information about the atmospheric circulation dynamics over the Indian subcontinent at this time are important since it corresponds to a major climate reorganization in Asia that ends up with the establishment of the modern Asian monsoon system at the Oligocene–Miocene boundary. The vast shell concentrations are comprised of a mixture of parautochthonous and allochthonous assemblages indicating storm-generated sediment transport from deeper to shallow water during third-order sea level highstands. Three distinct skeletal assemblages were distinguished, each recording a relative storm wave base. (1) A shallow storm wave base is shown by nearshore molluscs, reef corals and Clypeaster echinoids; (2) an intermediate storm wave base depth is indicated by lepidocyclinid foraminifers, Eupatagus echinoids and corallinacean algae; and (3) a deep storm wave base is represented by an Amussiopecten bivalve-Schizaster echinoid assemblage. These wave base depth estimates were used for the reconstruction of long-term tropical storm intensity during the late Oligocene. The development and intensification of cyclones over the recent Arabian Sea is primarily limited by the atmospheric monsoon circulation and strength of the associated vertical wind shear. Therefore, since the topographic boundary conditions for the Indian monsoon already existed in the late Oligocene, the reconstructed long-term cyclone trends were interpreted to reflect monsoon variability during the initiation of the Asian monsoon system. Our results imply an active monsoon over the Eastern Tethys at ~ 26 Ma followed by a period of monsoon weakening during the peak of the late Oligocene global warming (~ 24 Ma).

scholarly journals Potential impact of carbonaceous aerosol on the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) and precipitation during Asian summer monsoon in a global model simulation

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (18) ◽  
pp. 11637-11654 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suvarna Fadnavis ◽  
Gayatry Kalita ◽  
K. Ravi Kumar ◽  
Blaž Gasparini ◽  
Jui-Lin Frank Li
Keyword(s):  
Lower Stratosphere ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Eastern China ◽  
Radiative Heating ◽  
Carbonaceous Aerosol ◽  
Monsoon Circulation ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Carbonaceous Aerosols ◽  
Gangetic Plain ◽  
Upper Troposphere

Abstract. Recent satellite observations show efficient vertical transport of Asian pollutants from the surface to the upper-level anticyclone by deep monsoon convection. In this paper, we examine the transport of carbonaceous aerosols, including black carbon (BC) and organic carbon (OC), into the monsoon anticyclone using of ECHAM6-HAM, a global aerosol climate model. Further, we investigate impacts of enhanced (doubled) carbonaceous aerosol emissions on the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS), underneath monsoon circulation and precipitation from sensitivity simulations. The model simulation shows that boundary layer aerosols are transported into the monsoon anticyclone by the strong monsoon convection from the Bay of Bengal, southern slopes of the Himalayas and the South China Sea. Doubling of emissions of both BC and OC aerosols over Southeast Asia (10° S–50° N, 65–155° E) shows that lofted aerosols produce significant warming (0.6–1 K) over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) near 400–200 hPa and instability in the middle/upper troposphere. These aerosols enhance radiative heating rates (0.02–0.03 K day−1) near the tropopause. The enhanced carbonaceous aerosols alter aerosol radiative forcing (RF) at the surface by −4.74 ± 1.42 W m−2, at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) by +0.37 ± 0.26 W m−2 and in the atmosphere by +5.11 ± 0.83 W m−2 over the TP and Indo-Gangetic Plain region (15–35° N, 80–110° E). Atmospheric warming increases vertical velocities and thereby cloud ice in the upper troposphere. Aerosol induced anomalous warming over the TP facilitates the relative strengthening of the monsoon Hadley circulation and increases moisture inflow by strengthening the cross-equatorial monsoon jet. This increases precipitation amounts over India (1–4 mm day−1) and eastern China (0.2–2 mm day−1). These results are significant at the 99 % confidence level.

scholarly journals Binary Interaction between Typhoons Fengshen (2002) and Fungwong (2002) Based on the Potential Vorticity Diagnosis

2008 ◽  
Vol 136 (12) ◽  
pp. 4593-4611 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chung-Chuan Yang ◽  
Chun-Chieh Wu ◽  
Kun-Hsuan Chou ◽  
Chia-Ying Lee
Keyword(s):  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Early Period ◽  
Subtropical High ◽  
Binary Interaction ◽  
Monsoon Circulation ◽  
Good Representation ◽  
Steering Flow ◽  
Large Scale Flow ◽  
Storm Characteristics

Abstract A cyclonic loop was observed in the track of Typhoon Fungwong (2002) when it was about 765 n mi from Supertyphoon Fengshen (2002). It is shown that Fungwong’s special path is associated with the circulation of Fengshen, and such an association is regarded as an indication of binary interaction. In this paper, the binary interaction between Fengshen and Fungwong is studied based on the potential vorticity diagnosis. The impacts of large-scale flow fields on their motions are also investigated. Furthermore, the sensitivity of the storm characteristics to the binary interaction is demonstrated by the mesoscale numerical model simulations with different sizes and intensities for the initial bogused storms. Results of the study show that before Fungwong and Fengshen interacted with each other, their motions were governed by the large-scale environmental flow, that is, mainly associated with the subtropical high. During this binary interaction, Fungwong’s looping is partly attributed to Fengshen’s steering flow. This pattern shows up first as a case of one-way interaction in the early period, and then develops into a mutual interaction during the later stages. The numerical experiments show the sensitivity of the storm size and intensity to the binary interaction, implicating that a good representation of the initial storm vortex is important for the prediction of binary storms. Further analyses also indicate the influence of the monsoon trough and subtropical high systems on the binary interaction. These results provide some new insights into the motions of nearby typhoons embedded in the monsoon circulation.

scholarly journals Impact of Variations in Upper-Level Shear on Simulated Supercells

2017 ◽  
Vol 145 (7) ◽  
pp. 2659-2681 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert A. Warren ◽  
Harald Richter ◽  
Hamish A. Ramsay ◽  
Steven T. Siems ◽  
Michael J. Manton
Keyword(s):  
Mixed Layer Depth ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
Slight Reduction ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
Surface Precipitation ◽  
Storm Intensity ◽  
Upper Level ◽  
High Precipitation ◽  
The Vertical Distribution

It has previously been suggested, based on limited observations, that vertical wind shear in the upper troposphere is a key control on supercell morphology, with the low-precipitation, high-precipitation, and classic archetypes favored under strong, weak, and moderate shear, respectively. The idea is that, with increasing upper-level shear (ULS), hydrometeors are transported farther from the updraft by stronger storm-relative anvil-level winds, limiting their growth and thereby reducing precipitation intensity. The present study represents the first attempt to test this hypothesis, using idealized simulations of supercells performed across a range of 6–12-km shear profiles. Contrary to expectations, there is a significant increase in surface precipitation and an associated strengthening of outflow winds as ULS magnitude is increased from 0 to 20 m s−1. These changes result from an increase in storm motion, which drives stronger low-level inflow, a wider updraft, and enhanced condensation. A further increase in ULS magnitude to 30 m s−1 promotes a slight reduction in storm intensity associated with surging rear-flank outflow. However, this transition in behavior is found to be sensitive to other factors that influence cold-pool strength, such as mixed-layer depth and model microphysics. Variations in the vertical distribution and direction of ULS are also considered, but are found to have a much smaller impact on storm intensity than variations in ULS magnitude. Suggestions for the disparity between the current results and the aforementioned observations are offered and the need for further research on supercell morphology—in particular, simulations in drier environments—is emphasized.

scholarly journals Study of Two Upper Cold Lows and Their Relationship with Locally Intense Rain

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 42
Author(s):  
Osmany Lorenzo Amaro
Keyword(s):  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Satellite Images ◽  
Extreme Values ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Wind Force ◽  
Forecast System ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
Vertical Speed ◽  
Low Levels

The main objective of the research was to determine the synoptic and mesoscale conditions, which, under the influence of two Upper Cold Lows (UCL), favor the occurrence of locally intense rain in Cuba. From the outputs of the Rapid Refresh (RAP) model, the characteristics of two UCL with four cases of locally intense rain associated with them were analyzed. The variables that were studied are relative humidity, temperature, geopotential height, vertical speed, wind force, divergence and vorticity. Mesoscale conditions were analyzed by using the Weather Research and Forecast System (WRF) model. Vertical cuts, numerical soundings and analysis of radar observations and satellite images were carried out. The CAPE shows extreme values higher than 6000 J/kg near the center of both systems and the LI reaches −13. The cases were developed in an environment of weak vertical wind shear in the surface layer −500 hPa and moderate to strong in the upper troposphere. High relative humidity values were identified at low levels, a dry layer was identified at medium levels and an increase in relative humidity was identified in the 300–200 hPa layer.

scholarly journals Transport of the 2017 Canadian wildfire plume to the tropics and global stratosphere via the Asian monsoon circulation

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Corinna Kloss ◽  
Gwenaël Berthet ◽  
Pasquale Sellitto ◽  
Felix Ploeger ◽  
Silvia Bucci ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Asian Monsoon ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Climate Impact ◽  
Monsoon Circulation ◽  
Aerosol Layer ◽  
Fire Plume ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
Monsoon Area ◽  
The Tropics ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. We show that a fire plume originating at high northern latitudes during the Canadian wildfire event in July/August 2017 reached the tropics, and subsequently the tropical stratosphere via the ascending branch of the Brewer-Dobson Circulation (BDC). The transport from high to low latitudes in the upper troposphere and lowermost stratosphere was mediated by the anticyclonic flow of the Asian monsoon circulation. The fire plume reached the Asian monsoon area in late August/early September, when the Asian Monsoon Anticyclone (AMA) was still in place. While there is no evidence of mixing into the center of the AMA, we show that a substantial part of the fire plume is entrained into the anticyclonic flow at the AMA edge, and is transported into the tropical Upper-Troposphere–Lower-Stratosphere (UTLS), and possibly the Southern Hemisphere particularly following the north-south flow on the eastern side. In the tropics the fire plume is lifted by ~1.5 km per month. Inside the AMA we find evidence of the Asian Tropopause Aerosol Layer (ATAL) in August, doubling background aerosol conditions with a calculated top of the atmosphere shortwave radiative forcing (RF) of −0.05 W/m2. The regional climate impact of the fire signal in the wider Asian monsoon area in September exceeds the impact of the ATAL by a factor of 2–4 and compares to that of a plume coming from an advected moderate volcanic eruption. The stratospheric, trans-continental transport of this plume to the tropics and the related regional climate impact point at the importance of long-range dynamical interconnections of pollution sources.

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