scholarly journals Cost-Effectiveness of More Intensive Blood Pressure Treatment in Patients with High Risk of Cardiovascular Disease in Saudi Arabia: A Modelling Study of Meta-Analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Ziyad Almalki ◽  
Yasser Alatawi ◽  
Adnan Alharbi ◽  
Bader Almaklefi ◽  
Suliman Alfaiz ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Saudi Arabia ◽  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Intensive Control ◽  
Intensive Blood Pressure

Objective. The current literature suggests that more intensive blood pressure (BP) treatment is clinically more effective than less intensive treatment in patients at high risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD). In this analysis, we evaluated the potential clinical benefit and cost-effectiveness of more intensive BP treatment in patients at high risk of developing CVD over their lifetimes. Methods. A Markov state-transition model was developed for the BP strategies to estimate the lifetime incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per quality-adjusted-life-year (QALY) using evidence published from a meta-analysis. The other model inputs were retrieved from previous studies. Estimated costs were collected from five hospitals in Riyadh. The model used a lifetime framework adopting Saudi payer perspective and applied a 3% annual discount rate. Sensitivity analysis was conducted using one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) to evaluate the robustness and uncertainty of the estimates. Results. Treating 10,000 patients with high CVD risk with more intensive BP therapy would avert a total of 873 CV events over their remaining lifetimes as compared with a less intensive strategy. The projections showed that more intensive BP therapy would be cost-effective compared to the less intensive strategy with incremental costs per QALY of $20,358. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis suggested more intensive control would be cost-effective compared with the less intensive control of BP 87.25 % of the time. Conclusion. The result of this study showed that more intensive BP treatment appears to be a cost-effective choice for patients with a high risk of CVD in Saudi Arabia when compared with a less intensive BP strategy. Thus, this finding provides strong evidence for the adoption of this strategy within the Saudi healthcare system.

Abstract P177: Potential Value of Intensive Blood-Pressure Treatment Based on Predicted Lifetime Cardiovascular Disease at Age 40: Computer Simulation Study

Circulation ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 137 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anusorn Thanataveerat ◽  
Sonia Singh ◽  
Ciaran Kohli-Lynch ◽  
Yiyi Zhang ◽  
Eric Vittinghoff ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Computer Simulation ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Intensive Treatment ◽  
Lifetime Risk ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
Intensive Blood Pressure

Introduction: In the SPRINT trial, intensive blood pressure (BP) treatment saved lives and was cost-effective in high-risk older adults. It is unclear if intensive BP treatment should be extended to high-risk adults aged 40-49 years. Objectives: We used individual patient computer simulation to assess the incremental value of extending intensive BP treatment to adults as young as age 40 with high cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. We selected patients aged <60 years with high lifetime risk because few have high ten-year risk. Methods: Male and female cohorts of 100,000 individuals were assembled from NHANES surveys 1999-2010 using sampling weights. BP and other risk factor trajectories were projected for ages 40 to 69 years based on Framingham Offspring Cohort analyses. The “standard of care” treatment scenario simulated treating BP <140/90 mmHg in all patients ≥140/90 mmHg. Two alternative scenarios were simulated: add intensive treatment (goal <130/90 mmHg) from age 40-69 or from age 50-59 in patients with high lifetime risk. The lifetime risk thresholds (Table 1) were chosen in order to capture patients with forecasted ten-year CVD risk ≥ 10% at age 60. Costs included added treatment and side-effect costs and avoided CVD costs; indexed to 2016. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) assessed changes in costs and quality-adjusted life years due to adding intensive BP goals. Results: Over a 30-year time horizon, adding intensive treatment in high lifetime risk patients at age 40 would prevent 2,880 additional CVD events in males and 2,958 in females compared to treating only BP <140/90 mmHg. Intensive treatment in high lifetime risk patients before age 60 appeared generally cost-effective except in females aged 40 years (ICER $59,000). Conclusion: Our results suggest that over the long term, intensive BP treatment may be cost-effective in high-risk men as young as 40 and high-risk women as young as 50. Lifetime cardiovascular disease risk might be used to select high risk middle-aged adults for intensive BP treatment.

Is Banning Texturized Implants to Prevent Breast Implant-Associated Anaplastic Large Cell Lymphoma a Rational Decision? A Meta-Analysis and Cost-Effectiveness Study

2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (7) ◽  
pp. 721-731 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan V Danilla ◽  
Rocio P Jara ◽  
Felipe Miranda ◽  
Francisco Bencina ◽  
Marcela Aguirre ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Cell Lymphoma ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Breast Implant ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Large Cell ◽  
Life Years ◽  
Large Cell Lymphoma ◽  
The Cost

Abstract Background Breast implant-associated anaplastic large cell lymphoma (BIA-ALCL) is an emergent disease that threatens patients with texturized breast implants. Major concerns about the safety of these implants are leading to global changes to restrict the utilization of this product. The principal alternative is to perform breast augmentation utilizing smooth implants, given the lack of association with BIA-ALCL. The implications and costs of this intervention are unknown. Objectives The authors of this study determined the cost-effectiveness of smooth implants compared with texturized implants for breast augmentation surgery. Methods A tree decision model was utilized to analyze the cost-effectiveness. Model input parameters were derived from published sources. The capsular contracture (CC) rate was calculated from a meta-analysis. Effectiveness measures were life years, avoided BIA-ALCL, avoided deaths, and avoided reoperations. A sensitivity analysis was performed to test the robustness of the model. Results For avoided BIA-ALCL, the incremental cost was $18,562,003 for smooth implants over texturized implants. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was negative for life years, and avoided death and avoided reoperations were negative. The sensitivity analysis revealed that to avoid 1 case of BIA-ALCL, the utilization of smooth implants would be cost-effective for a risk of developing BIA-ALCL equal to or greater than 1:196, and there is a probability of CC with smooth implants equal to or less than 0.096. Conclusions The utilization of smooth implants to prevent BIA-ALCL is not cost-effective. Banning texturized implants to prevent BIA-ALCL may involve additional consequences, which should be considered in light of higher CC rates and more reoperations associated with smooth implants than with texturized implants.

The cost-effectiveness of dual mobility in a spinal deformity population with high risk of dislocation

2018 ◽  
Vol 100-B (10) ◽  
pp. 1297-1302 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. M. Elbuluk ◽  
J. Slover ◽  
A. A. Anoushiravani ◽  
R. Schwarzkopf ◽  
N. Eftekhary ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Spinal Deformity ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Decision Analysis Model ◽  
Dual Mobility ◽  
Number Of Patients ◽  
The Cost ◽  
The Impact

Aims The routine use of dual-mobility (DM) acetabular components in total hip arthroplasty (THA) may not be cost-effective, but an increasing number of patients undergoing THA have a coexisting spinal disorder, which increases the risk of postoperative instability, and these patients may benefit from DM articulations. This study seeks to examine the cost-effectiveness of DM components as an alternative to standard articulations in these patients. Patients and Methods A decision analysis model was used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of using DM components in patients who would be at high risk for dislocation within one year of THA. Direct and indirect costs of dislocation, incremental costs of using DM components, quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) values, and the probabilities of dislocation were derived from published data. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was established with a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100 000/QALY. Sensitivity analysis was used to examine the impact of variation. Results In the base case, patients with a spinal deformity were modelled to have an 8% probability of dislocation following primary THA based on published clinical ranges. Sensitivity analysis revealed that, at its current average price ($1000), DM is cost-effective if it reduces the probability of dislocation to 0.9%. The threshold cost at which DM ceased being cost-effective was $1180, while the ICER associated with a DM THA was $71 000 per QALY. Conclusion These results indicate that under specific clinical and economic thresholds, DM components are a cost-effective form of treatment for patients with spinal deformity who are at high risk of dislocation after THA. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2018;100-B:1297–1302.

scholarly journals The effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of diversion and aftercare programmes for offenders using class A drugs: a systematic review and economic evaluation

2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (6) ◽  
pp. 1-168 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karen P Hayhurst ◽  
Maria Leitner ◽  
Linda Davies ◽  
Rachel Flentje ◽  
Tim Millar ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Economic Evaluation ◽  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Drug Use ◽  
Drug Treatment ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Economic Evaluations ◽  
Class A ◽  
The Uk

BackgroundThe societal costs of problematic class A drug use in England and Wales exceed £15B; drug-related crime accounts for almost 90% of costs. Diversion plus treatment and/or aftercare programmes may reduce drug-related crime and costs.ObjectivesTo assess the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of diversion and aftercare for class A drug-using offenders, compared with no diversion.PopulationAdult class A drug-using offenders diverted to treatment or an aftercare programme for their drug use.InterventionsProgrammes to identify and divert problematic drug users to treatment (voluntary, court mandated or monitored services) at any point within the criminal justice system (CJS). Aftercare follows diversion and treatment, excluding care following prison or non-diversionary drug treatment.Data sourcesThirty-three electronic databases and government online resources were searched for studies published between January 1985 and January 2012, including MEDLINE, PsycINFO and ISI Web of Science. Bibliographies of identified studies were screened. The UK Drug Data Warehouse, the UK Drug Treatment Outcomes Research Study and published statistics and reports provided data for the economic evaluation.MethodsIncluded studies evaluated diversion in adult class A drug-using offenders, in contact with the CJS. The main outcomes were drug use and offending behaviour, and these were pooled using meta-analysis. The economic review included full economic evaluations for adult opiate and/or crack, or powder, cocaine users. An economic decision analytic model, estimated incremental costs per unit of outcome gained by diversion and aftercare, over a 12-month time horizon. The perspectives included the CJS, NHS, social care providers and offenders. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis and one-way sensitivity analysis explored variance in parameter estimates, longer time horizons and structural uncertainty.ResultsSixteen studies met the effectiveness review inclusion criteria, characterised by poor methodological quality, with modest sample sizes, high attrition rates, retrospective data collection, limited follow-up, no random allocation and publication bias. Most study samples comprised US methamphetamine users. Limited meta-analysis was possible, indicating a potential small impact of diversion interventions on reducing drug use [odds ratio (OR) 1.68, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12 to 2.53 for reduced primary drug use, and OR 2.60, 95% CI 1.70 to 3.98 for reduced use of other drugs]. The cost-effectiveness review did not identify any relevant studies. The economic evaluation indicated high uncertainty because of variance in data estimates and limitations in the model design. The primary analysis was unclear whether or not diversion was cost-effective. The sensitivity analyses indicated some scenarios where diversion may be cost-effective.LimitationsNearly all participants (99.6%) in the effectiveness review were American (Californian) methamphetamine users, limiting transfer of conclusions to the UK. Data and methodological limitations mean it is unclear whether or not diversion is effective or cost-effective.ConclusionsHigh-quality evidence for the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of diversion schemes is sparse and does not relate to the UK. Importantly this research identified a range of methodological limitations in existing evidence. These highlight the need for research to conceptualise, define and develop models of diversion programmes and identify a core outcome set. A programme of feasibility, pilot and definitive trials, combined with process evaluation and qualitative research is recommended to assess the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of diversionary interventions in class A drug-using offenders.Funding detailsThe National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

scholarly journals Cost-effectiveness of Hypertension Treatment by Pharmacists in Black Barbershops

Circulation ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kelsey B. Bryant ◽  
Andrew E. Moran ◽  
Dhruv S. Kazi ◽  
Yiyi Zhang ◽  
Joanne Penko ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Los Angeles ◽  
Black Men ◽  
Blood Pressure Control ◽  
Healthcare Costs ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Pressure Control ◽  
Healthcare Sector

Background: In the Los Angeles Barbershop Blood Pressure Study (LABBPS), pharmacist-led hypertension care in Los Angeles County Black-owned barbershops significantly improved blood pressure control in non-Hispanic Black men with uncontrolled hypertension at baseline. In this analysis, 10-year health outcomes and healthcare costs of one year of the LABBPS intervention versus control are projected. Methods: A discrete event simulation of hypertension care processes projected blood pressure, medication-related adverse events, fatal and non-fatal cardiovascular disease events, and non-cardiovascular disease death in LABBPS participants. Program costs, total direct healthcare costs (2019 USD), and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were estimated for the LABBPS intervention and control arms from a healthcare sector perspective over a 10-year horizon. Future costs and QALYs were discounted 3% annually. High and intermediate cost-effectiveness thresholds were defined as <$50,000 and <$150,000 per QALY gained, respectively. Results: At 10 years, the intervention was projected to cost an average of $2,356 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] -$264-$4,611) more per participant than the control arm and gain 0.06 (95% UI 0.01-0.10) QALYs. The LABBPS intervention was highly cost-effective, with a mean cost of $42,717 per QALY gained (58% probability of being highly and 96% of being at least intermediately cost-effective). Exclusive use of generic drugs improved the cost-effectiveness to $17,162 per QALY gained. The LABBPS intervention would be only intermediately cost effective if pharmacists were less likely to intensify antihypertensive medications when systolic blood pressure was ≥150 mmHg or if pharmacist weekly time driving to barbershops increased. Conclusions: Hypertension care delivered by clinical pharmacists in Black barbershops is a highly cost-effective way to improve blood pressure control in Black men.

scholarly journals The cost-effectiveness of bevacizumab for the treatment of advanced ovarian cancer in Canada

2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (5) ◽  
pp. 461 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Duong ◽  
E. Wright ◽  
I. Martin-Nunez ◽  
L. Yin ◽  
P. Ghatage ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Ovarian Cancer ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Cancer Patients ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Stage Iii ◽  
Standard Chemotherapy ◽  
Risk Of Progression ◽  
The Cost

Background The overall survival (os) analysis of the icon7 trial demonstrated that frontline ovarian cancer patients with a high risk of progression (stage iii suboptimally debulked, and stage iii or iv with unresectable disease) benefited from the addition of bevacizumab to standard chemotherapy compared with standard chemotherapy alone. The objective of the present study was to investigate the cost-effectiveness, from a Canadian publicly funded perspective, of adding bevacizumab to frontline treatment of ovarian cancer at high risk of progression.Methods An area-under-the-curve, Markov-structured model was used to estimate the cost-effectiveness of the treatments. Long-term progression-free survival (pfs) and os were extracted from the icon7 trial (subgroup at high risk of relapse) and extrapolated by parametric time-to-event functions over a time horizon of 10 years. Canadian pfs health state utility values were obtained from the EQ-5D (EuroQoL Group, Rotterdam, Netherlands) questionnaires in the icon7 high-risk patient population. Canadian post-progression utility values were consistent with those for other gynecologic cancers. Cost inputs were informed by public sources. An annual 5% efficacy and cost discount rate was applied. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis and one-way sensitivity analyses were conducted.Results Ovarian cancer patients at high risk of progression receiving bevacizumab plus standard chemotherapy experienced a mean incremental quality-adjusted life year (qaly) gain of 0.374 years. At an additional cost of $35,901.54, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (icer) for the addition of bevacizumab to standard chemotherapy, relative to standard chemotherapy alone, was $95,942 per qaly.Conclusions No formal health technology assessment willingness-to-pay threshold exists in Canada. However, at a threshold of $100,000 per qaly, bevacizumab in addition to chemotherapy is a cost-effective alternative for ovarian cancer patients who are at high risk of progression (stage iii suboptimally debulked, and stage iii or iv with unresectable disease). Using the $100,000 per qaly threshold in a probabilistic sensitivity analysis, it was determined that, compared with standard chemotherapy, the addition of bevacizumab to chemotherapy is cost-effective in 56% of tested scenarios.

scholarly journals Meta-Analysis and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Low-Dose Direct Oral Anticoagulant for the Prevention of Cancer Associated Thrombosis

Blood ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 134 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. 4669-4669
Author(s):  
Ang Li ◽  
Josh J Carlson ◽  
Nicole M. Kuderer ◽  
Jordan K Schaefer ◽  
Shan Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
High Risk ◽  
Research Funding ◽  
Low Dose ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Life Time ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Preventive Strategy ◽  
Prevention Of Cancer ◽  
Cancer Associated Thrombosis

Introduction: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have shown similar yet conflicting primary outcomes for the use of low-dose direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC), including rivaroxaban and apixaban, in the prevention of cancer-associated thrombosis (CAT). It remains unclear if this preventive strategy is consistent, robust, and cost-effective across different trial populations. Methods: We performed a systematic review of RCTs that compared DOAC vs. placebo for CAT prevention using EMBASE, MEDLINE, and CENTRAL. Two authors screened/reviewed articles and abstracted the data. Primary efficacy, sensitivity efficacy, and safety outcomes were uniformly defined and extracted from the studies. Meta-analysis was performed using random-effects model. Subgroup analysis was performed for patients with intermediate- and high-risk Khorana Score. Using inputs from the meta-analysis and relevant epidemiology and outcomes studies, we performed a cost-utility analysis using a Markov state-transition model over life time in a hypothetical cohort of 60-year-old high-risk patients with a similar distribution of cancers as the pooled RCTs. We calculated the differences in cost, quality-adjusted life year (QALY), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) and performed one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses to test the robustness of the results. Results: A total of 202 records were identified and 28 full-text articles were assessed. Two studies with 1415 participants were eligible to be included for meta-analysis (Table 1). For DOAC vs. placebo, the relative risk (RR) for overall VTE incidence by six months was 0.56 (0.35-0.89). The RR for major bleeding (MB) on-treatment was 1.96 (0.80-4.82). Patients with high-risk Khorana score (3+) derived the largest absolute risk reduction of VTE. Based on a Markov model, in patients at intermediate-to-high risk for VTE (Khorana Score 2+), prophylaxis with low-dose DOAC thromboprophylaxis for 6 months, compared to placebo, was associated with 32 per 1000 fewer CAT events and 11 per 1000 more MB over life-time. Prophylaxis was associated with an incremental cost increase of $1,445 and an incremental QALY increase of 0.12, resulting in an ICER of $11,947 per QALY gained (Figure 1). Key drivers of ICER variation included the relative risks of VTE and major bleeding as well as the cost of drug. Based on the cost-effectiveness acceptability curve, this preventive strategy was 94% cost effective at the threshold of $50,000. In a scenario sensitivity analysis, patients with the highest risk of VTE (Khorana Score 3+) derived the most benefit from low-dose DOAC thromboprophylaxis. Conclusion: Low-dose DOAC (rivaroxaban or apixaban) thromboprophylaxis for 6 months reduces the rate of overall VTE in higher-risk cancer patients starting systemic chemotherapy and may increase the likelihood of bleeding. It appears to be a cost-effective strategy for the prevention of CAT in intermediate-to-high risk ambulatory patients based on our analyses; however, the differential impact on QALY is small over lifetime. Future research should focus on a better understanding of the significance of these adverse events on longer term quality of life and their impact on delays in anti-cancer treatment. Disclosures Kuderer: Celldex: Consultancy; Halozyme: Consultancy; Coherus Biosciences: Consultancy, Other: Travel, Accommodations, Expenses; Mylan: Consultancy, Other: Travel, Accommodations, Expenses; Pfizer: Consultancy; Myriad Genetics: Consultancy; Janssen Scientific Affairs, LLC: Consultancy, Other: Travel, Accommodations, Expenses. Khorana:Janssen: Consultancy; Bayer: Consultancy; Pfizer: Consultancy; Sanofi: Consultancy. Carrier:Leo Pharma: Honoraria, Research Funding; Servier: Honoraria; Bayer: Honoraria; Pfizer: Honoraria, Research Funding; BMS: Honoraria, Research Funding. Lyman:G1 Therapeutics, Halozyme Therapeutics, Partners Healthcare, Hexal, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Helsinn Therapeutics, Amgen Inc., Pfizer, Agendia, Genomic Health, Inc.: Consultancy; Amgen Inc.: Other: Research support, Research Funding; Generex Biotechnology: Membership on an entity's Board of Directors or advisory committees; Janssen Scientific Affairs, LLC: Research Funding.

scholarly journals COST-EFFECTIVENESS OF INTENSIVE BLOOD PRESSURE GOALS IN PATIENTS WITH PRIOR CARDIOVASCULAR DISEASE

2017 ◽  
Vol 69 (11) ◽  
pp. 1683
Author(s):  
Jordan King ◽  
Brandon Bellows ◽  
Adam Bress ◽  
Natalia Ruiz-Negrón ◽  
Rachel Hess ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Blood Pressure ◽  
Cardiovascular Disease ◽  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
Blood Pressure Goals ◽  
Intensive Blood Pressure

scholarly journals Clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of beta-interferon and glatiramer acetate for treating multiple sclerosis: systematic review and economic evaluation

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (52) ◽  
pp. 1-352 ◽  
Author(s):  
GJ Melendez-Torres ◽  
Peter Auguste ◽  
Xavier Armoiry ◽  
Hendramoorthy Maheswaran ◽  
Rachel Court ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Multiple Sclerosis ◽  
Systematic Review ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
De Novo ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Clinical Effectiveness ◽  
Cost Effective ◽  
Base Case ◽  
The Mean

Background At the time of publication of the most recent National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidance [technology appraisal (TA) 32] in 2002 on beta-interferon (IFN-β) and glatiramer acetate (GA) for multiple sclerosis, there was insufficient evidence of their clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness. Objectives To undertake (1) systematic reviews of the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of IFN-β and GA in relapsing–remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) and clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) compared with best supportive care (BSC) and each other, investigating annualised relapse rate (ARR) and time to disability progression confirmed at 3 months and 6 months and (2) cost-effectiveness assessments of disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) for CIS and RRMS compared with BSC and each other. Review methods Searches were undertaken in January and February 2016 in databases including The Cochrane Library, MEDLINE and the Science Citation Index. We limited some database searches to specific start dates based on previous, relevant systematic reviews. Two reviewers screened titles and abstracts with recourse to a third when needed. The Cochrane tool and the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) and Philips checklists were used for appraisal. Narrative synthesis and, when possible, random-effects meta-analysis and network meta-analysis (NMA) were performed. Cost-effectiveness analysis used published literature, findings from the Department of Health’s risk-sharing scheme (RSS) and expert opinion. A de novo economic model was built for CIS. The base case used updated RSS data, a NHS and Personal Social Services perspective, a 50-year time horizon, 2014/15 prices and a discount rate of 3.5%. Outcomes are reported as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). We undertook probabilistic sensitivity analysis. Results In total, 6420 publications were identified, of which 63 relating to 35 randomised controlled trials (RCTs) were included. In total, 86% had a high risk of bias. There was very little difference between drugs in reducing moderate or severe relapse rates in RRMS. All were beneficial compared with BSC, giving a pooled rate ratio of 0.65 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.56 to 0.76] for ARR and a hazard ratio of 0.70 (95% CI, 0.55 to 0.87) for time to disability progression confirmed at 3 months. NMA suggested that 20 mg of GA given subcutaneously had the highest probability of being the best at reducing ARR. Three separate cost-effectiveness searches identified > 2500 publications, with 26 included studies informing the narrative synthesis and model inputs. In the base case using a modified RSS the mean incremental cost was £31,900 for pooled DMTs compared with BSC and the mean incremental quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were 0.943, giving an ICER of £33,800 per QALY gained for people with RRMS. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis the ICER was £34,000 per QALY gained. In sensitivity analysis, using the assessment group inputs gave an ICER of £12,800 per QALY gained for pooled DMTs compared with BSC. Pegylated IFN-β-1 (125 µg) was the most cost-effective option of the individual DMTs compared with BSC (ICER £7000 per QALY gained); GA (20 mg) was the most cost-effective treatment for CIS (ICER £16,500 per QALY gained). Limitations Although we built a de novo model for CIS that incorporated evidence from our systematic review of clinical effectiveness, our findings relied on a population diagnosed with CIS before implementation of the revised 2010 McDonald criteria. Conclusions DMTs were clinically effective for RRMS and CIS but cost-effective only for CIS. Both RCT evidence and RSS data are at high risk of bias. Research priorities include comparative studies with longer follow-up and systematic review and meta-synthesis of qualitative studies. Study registration This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42016043278. Funding The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

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