scholarly journals Uncertainty Quantification for the Transient Response of Human Equivalent Antenna Using the Stochastic Collocation Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Anna Šušnjara ◽  
Dragan Poljak

The paper deals with the uncertainty quantification of the transient axial current induced along the human body exposed to electromagnetic pulse radiation. The body is modeled as a straight wire antenna whose length and radius exhibit random nature. The uncertainty is propagated to the output transient current by means of the stochastic collocation method. The stochastic approach is entirely nonintrusive and serves as a wrapper around the deterministic code. The numerical deterministic model is based on the time domain Hallen integral equation solved by means of the Galerkin-Bubnov indirect boundary element method (GB-IBEM). The stochastic moments, i.e., the mean and the variance of the transient current, are calculated. Confidence margins are obtained for the whole duration of the transient response as well as for the maximal current value. The presented approach enables the estimation of the probability for the induced current to exceed the basic restrictions prescribed by regulatory bodies. The sensitivity analysis of the input parameters indicates to which extent the variation of the input parameter set influences the output values which is particularly interesting for the design of the human equivalent antenna.

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Šušnjara ◽  
Dragan Poljak

The paper deals with the deterministic-stochastic model of the human body represented as cylindrical antenna illuminated by a low frequency electric field. Both analytical and numerical (Galerkin-Bubnov scheme of Boundary Element Method) deterministic solutions of the problem are outlined. This contribution introduces the new perspective of the problem: the variability inherent to input parameters, such as the height of the body, the shape of the body, and the conductivity of body tissue, is propagated to the output of interest (induced axial current). The stochastic approach is based on the stochastic collocation (SC) method. Computational examples show the mean trend of both analytically and numerically computed axial current with the confidence margins for different set of input random variables. The results point out the possibility of improving the efficiency in calculation of basic restriction parameter values in electromagnetic dosimetry.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Getachew Teshome Tilahun ◽  
Woldegebriel Assefa Woldegerima ◽  
Aychew Wondifraw

AbstractIn this paper we develop a stochastic mathematical model of cholera disease dynamics by considering direct contact transmission pathway. The model considers four compartments, namely susceptible humans, infectious humans, treated humans, and recovered humans. Firstly, we develop a deterministic mathematical model of cholera. Since the deterministic model does not consider the randomness process or environmental factors, we converted it to a stochastic model. Then, for both types of models, the qualitative behaviors, such as the invariant region, the existence of a positive invariant solution, the two equilibrium points (disease-free and endemic equilibrium), and their stabilities (local as well as global stability) of the model are studied. Moreover, the basic reproduction numbers are obtained for both models and compared. From the comparison, we obtained that the basic reproduction number of the stochastic model is much smaller than that of the deterministic one, which means that the stochastic approach is more realistic. Finally, we performed sensitivity analysis and numerical simulations. The numerical simulation results show that reducing contact rate, improving treatment rate, and environmental sanitation are the most crucial activities to eradicate cholera disease from the community.


2014 ◽  
Vol 635-637 ◽  
pp. 545-548
Author(s):  
Hong Jun Wang ◽  
Hao Wu

This design mainly takes pulley as the research object. First collect the data of pulley, bring round the body of the reference point, design the User DCL dialog, then preparing Auto Lisp diver. The procedure involves drawing frame, title bar, shape, tolerance and coarse and so on the surface, generated by the input parameter , you can take the implementation of parts of the system


Metals ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 646
Author(s):  
Hesheng Tang ◽  
Xueyuan Guo ◽  
Songtao Xue

Due to the uncertainties originating from the underlying physical model, material properties and the measurement data in fatigue crack growth (FCG) processing, the prediction of fatigue crack growth lifetime is still challenging. The objective of this paper was to investigate a methodology for uncertainty quantification in FCG analysis and probabilistic remaining useful life prediction. A small-timescale growth model for the fracture mechanics-based analysis and predicting crack-growth lifetime is studied. A stochastic collocation method is used to alleviate the computational difficulties in the uncertainty quantification in the small-timescale model-based FCG analysis, which is derived from tensor products based on the solution of deterministic FCG problems on sparse grids of collocation point sets in random space. The proposed method is applied to the prediction of fatigue crack growth lifetime of Al7075-T6 alloy plates and verified by fatigue crack-growth experiments. The results show that the proposed method has the advantage of computational efficiency in uncertainty quantification of remaining life prediction of FCG.


Mechanika ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 25 (6) ◽  
pp. 455-462
Author(s):  
Dawei Zhang ◽  
Peijuan Xu ◽  
Daniele Bigoni

This paper aims to investigate uncertainties in railway vehicle suspension components and the implement of uncertainty quantification methods in railway vehicle dynamics. The sampling-based method represented by Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) and generalized polynomial chaos approaches including the stochastic Galerkin and Collocation methods (SGM and SCM) are employed to analyze the propagation of uncertainties from the parameters input in a vehicle-track mathematical model to the results of running dynamics. In order to illustrate the performance qualities of SGM, SCM and LHS, a stochastic wheel model with uncertainties of the stiffness and damping is firstly formulated to study the vertical displacement of wheel. Numerical results show that SCM, which can be easily implemented by means of the existing deterministic model, has explicit advantages over SGM and LHS in terms of the efficiency and accuracy. Furthermore, a simplified stochastic bogie model with three random suspension parameters is also established by means of SCM and LHS to analyze the critical speed, which is affected obviously by the parametric uncertainties. Finally, a stochastic vertical vehicle-track coupled model with parametric uncertainties is built comprehensively on the basis of SCM, by which the impact behavior of wheel-rail interaction under a rail defect is investigated and the dynamic response of vehicles under the track irregularity is explored in terms of the Sperling index. It concludes that the uncertainties of parameters have a significant influence on P2 force and Sperling index from the view of the running quality.


Author(s):  
Maharudrayya Swamy ◽  
Pejman Shoeibi Omrani ◽  
Nestor Gonzalez Diez

Gas transport in corrugated pipes often exhibit whistling behavior, due to periodic flow-induced pulsations generated in the pipe cavities. These aero-acoustic sources are strongly dependent on the geometrical dimensions and features of the cavities. As a result, uncertainties in the exact shape and geometry play a significant role in determining the singing behavior of corrugated pipes. While predictive modelling for idealized periodic structures is well established, this paper focusses on the sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification (UQ) of uncertain geometrical parameters using probabilistic models. The two most influential geometrical parameters varied within this study are the cavity width and downstream edge radius. Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) analysis was used to characterize the acoustic source. Stochastic collocation method was used for propagation of input parameter uncertainties. The analysis was performed with both full tensor product grid and sparse grid based on level-2 Clenshaw-Curtis points. The results show that uncertainties in the width and downstream edge radius of the cavity have an effect on the acoustic source power, peak Strouhal number and consequently the whistling onset velocity. Based on the assumed input parameters distribution functions, the confidence levels for the prediction of onset velocity were calculated. Finally, the results show the importance of performing uncertainty analysis to get more insights in the source of errors and consequently leading to a more robust design or risk-management oriented decision.


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