scholarly journals LSTM with Wavelet Transform Based Data Preprocessing for Stock Price Prediction

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaodan Liang ◽  
Zhaodi Ge ◽  
Liling Sun ◽  
Maowei He ◽  
Hanning Chen
Keyword(s):  
Wavelet Transform ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Signal Reconstruction ◽  
Data Preprocessing ◽  
Original Data ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Threshold Method ◽  
Denoising Method ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Price Prediction

For profit maximization, the model-based stock price prediction can give valuable guidance to the investors. However, due to the existence of the high noise in financial data, it is inevitable that the deep neural networks trained by the original data fail to accurately predict the stock price. To address the problem, the wavelet threshold-denoising method, which has been widely applied in signal denoising, is adopted to preprocess the training data. The data preprocessing with the soft/hard threshold method can obviously restrain noise, and a new multioptimal combination wavelet transform (MOCWT) method is proposed. In this method, a novel threshold-denoising function is presented to reduce the degree of distortion in signal reconstruction. The experimental results clearly showed that the proposed MOCWT outperforms the traditional methods in the term of prediction accuracy.

scholarly journals Stock Price Prediction Using Machine Learning and LSTM-Based Deep Learning Models

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaydip Sen ◽  
Sidra Mehtab ◽  
Abhishek Dutta
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Price Prediction

Prediction of stock prices has been an important area of research for a long time. While supporters of the <i>efficient market hypothesis</i> believe that it is impossible to predict stock prices accurately, there are formal propositions demonstrating that accurate modeling and designing of appropriate variables may lead to models using which stock prices and stock price movement patterns can be very accurately predicted. Researchers have also worked on technical analysis of stocks with a goal of identifying patterns in the stock price movements using advanced data mining techniques. In this work, we propose an approach of hybrid modeling for stock price prediction building different machine learning and deep learning-based models. For the purpose of our study, we have used NIFTY 50 index values of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, during the period December 29, 2014 till July 31, 2020. We have built eight regression models using the training data that consisted of NIFTY 50 index records from December 29, 2014 till December 28, 2018. Using these regression models, we predicted the <i>open</i> values of NIFTY 50 for the period December 31, 2018 till July 31, 2020. We, then, augment the predictive power of our forecasting framework by building four deep learning-based regression models using long-and short-term memory (LSTM) networks with a novel approach of walk-forward validation. Using the grid-searching technique, the hyperparameters of the LSTM models are optimized so that it is ensured that validation losses stabilize with the increasing number of epochs, and the convergence of the validation accuracy is achieved. We exploit the power of LSTM regression models in forecasting the future NIFTY 50 <i>open</i> values using four different models that differ in their architecture and in the structure of their input data. Extensive results are presented on various metrics for all the regression models. The results clearly indicate that the LSTM-based univariate model that uses one-week prior data as input for predicting the next week's <i>open</i> value of the NIFTY 50 time series is the most accurate model.

scholarly journals Stock Price Prediction Based on XGBoost and LightGBM

2021 ◽  
Vol 275 ◽  
pp. 01040
Author(s):  
Yue Yang ◽  
Yang Wu ◽  
Peikun Wang ◽  
Xu Jiali
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Original Data ◽  
Mean Value ◽  
Price Forecasting ◽  
Combined Model ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Missing Value ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Price Prediction ◽  
The Given

Stock trading, as a kind of high frequency trading, generally seeks profits in extremely short market changes. And effective stock price forecasting can help investors obtain higher returns. Based on the data set provided by Jane Street, this paper makes use of XGBoost model and LightGBM model to realize the prediction of stock price. Since the given training set has a large amount of data and includes abnormal data such as missing value, we first carry out feature engineering processing on the original data and take the mean value of the missing value, so as to obtain the preprocessed data that can be used in modeling. The experimental results show that the combined model of XGBoost and LightGBM has better prediction performance than the single model and neural network.

scholarly journals Importance of Event Binary Features in Stock Price Prediction

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 1597 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoojeong Song ◽  
Jongwoo Lee
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Price Prediction ◽  
Stock Investment ◽  
Binary Features

In Korea, because of the high interest in stock investment, many researchers have attempted to predict stock prices using deep learning. Studies to predict stock prices have been continuously conducted. However, the type of stock data that is suitable for deep learning has not been established, and it has not been confirmed that the developed stock prediction model can actually result in a profit. To date, designing a good deep learning model depends on how well the user can extract the features that represent all the characteristics of the training data. Among the various available features for training and test data, we determined that the use of event binary features can make stock price prediction models perform better. An event binary feature refers to a 0 or 1 value describing whether an indicator is satisfied (1) or not (0) for any given day and stock. We proposed and compared a stock price prediction model with three different feature combinations to verify the importance of binary features. As a result, we derived a prediction model that defeated the market (KOSPI and KODAQ (KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) and KOSDAQ (Korean Securities Dealers Automated Quotations) is Korean stock indices)). The results suggest that deep learning is suitable for stock price prediction.

scholarly journals Application of Support Vector Regression in Indonesian Stock Price Prediction with Feature Selection Using Particle Swarm Optimisation

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zuherman Rustam ◽  
Puteri Kintandani
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Regression ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Particle Swarm ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimisation ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Price Prediction

Stock investing is one of the most popular types of investments since it provides the highest return among all investment types; however, it is also associated with considerable risk. Fluctuating stock prices provide an opportunity for investors to make a high profit. We can see the movement of groups of stock prices from the stock index, which is called Jakarta Composite Index (JKSE) in Indonesia. Several studies have focused on the prediction of stock prices using machine learning, while one uses support vector regression (SVR). Therefore, this study examines the application of SVR and particle swarm optimisation (PSO) in predicting stock prices using stock historical data and several technical indicators, which are selected using PSO. Subsequently, a support vector machine (SVM) was applied to predict stock prices with the technical indicator selected by PSO as the predictor. The study found that stock price prediction using SVR and PSO shows good performances for all data, and many features and training data used by the study have relatively low error probabilities. Thereby, an accurate model was obtained to predict stock prices in Indonesia.

scholarly journals Stock Price Prediction Using Machine Learning and LSTM-Based Deep Learning Models

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaydip Sen ◽  
Sidra Mehtab ◽  
Abhishek Dutta
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Efficient Market Hypothesis ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Price Prediction

Prediction of stock prices has been an important area of research for a long time. While supporters of the <i>efficient market hypothesis</i> believe that it is impossible to predict stock prices accurately, there are formal propositions demonstrating that accurate modeling and designing of appropriate variables may lead to models using which stock prices and stock price movement patterns can be very accurately predicted. Researchers have also worked on technical analysis of stocks with a goal of identifying patterns in the stock price movements using advanced data mining techniques. In this work, we propose an approach of hybrid modeling for stock price prediction building different machine learning and deep learning-based models. For the purpose of our study, we have used NIFTY 50 index values of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, during the period December 29, 2014 till July 31, 2020. We have built eight regression models using the training data that consisted of NIFTY 50 index records from December 29, 2014 till December 28, 2018. Using these regression models, we predicted the <i>open</i> values of NIFTY 50 for the period December 31, 2018 till July 31, 2020. We, then, augment the predictive power of our forecasting framework by building four deep learning-based regression models using long-and short-term memory (LSTM) networks with a novel approach of walk-forward validation. Using the grid-searching technique, the hyperparameters of the LSTM models are optimized so that it is ensured that validation losses stabilize with the increasing number of epochs, and the convergence of the validation accuracy is achieved. We exploit the power of LSTM regression models in forecasting the future NIFTY 50 <i>open</i> values using four different models that differ in their architecture and in the structure of their input data. Extensive results are presented on various metrics for all the regression models. The results clearly indicate that the LSTM-based univariate model that uses one-week prior data as input for predicting the next week's <i>open</i> value of the NIFTY 50 time series is the most accurate model.

A Historical Data based Ensemble System for Efficient Stock Price Prediction

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vijay Kumar Dwivedi ◽  
Manoj Madhava Gore
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Primary Objective ◽  
Lasso Regression ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Price Prediction ◽  
Consistent Manner ◽  
Selection Operator

Background: Stock price prediction is a challenging task. The social, economic, political, and various other factors cause frequent abrupt changes in the stock price. This article proposes a historical data-based ensemble system to predict the closing stock price with higher accuracy and consistency over the existing stock price prediction systems. Objective: The primary objective of this article is to predict the closing price of a stock for the next trading in more accurate and consistent manner over the existing methods employed for the stock price prediction. Method: The proposed system combines various machine learning-based prediction models employing least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression regularization technique to enhance the accuracy of stock price prediction system as compared to any one of the base prediction models. Results: The analysis of results for all the eleven stocks (listed under Information Technology sector on the Bombay Stock Exchange, India) reveals that the proposed system performs best (on all defined metrics of the proposed system) for training datasets and test datasets comprising of all the stocks considered in the proposed system. Conclusion: The proposed ensemble model consistently predicts stock price with a high degree of accuracy over the existing methods used for the prediction.

StockPred: a framework for stock Price prediction

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marwa Sharaf ◽  
Ezz El-Din Hemdan ◽  
Ayman El-Sayed ◽  
Nirmeen A. El-Bahnasawy
Keyword(s):  
Stock Price ◽  
Stock Price Prediction ◽  
Price Prediction
Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document