scholarly journals An Ecolevel Estimation Method of Individual Driver Performance Based on Driving Simulator Experiment

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yiping Wu ◽  
Xiaohua Zhao ◽  
Ying Yao ◽  
Jian Rong
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Fuel Consumption ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Driving Simulator ◽  
Model Simulation ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Training Sample ◽  
Backpropagation Neural Network ◽  
Driver Performance ◽  
Study Results

Accurately acquiring the ecolevel of individual driver performance is the precondition for more targeted ecodriving behavior optimization. Because of obvious advantage in mining hidden relationship, machine learning was adopted to explore the complicated relationship between driver performance and vehicle fuel consumption and thus to predict the ecolevel of individual driver performance in this study. Based on driving simulator tests, data of driver performance and vehicle fuel consumption were collected. The ecolevel was indicated as the ecoscore corresponding to vehicle fuel consumption. The model input was designed as 10 feature indexes of driver performance (e.g., percentage number, mean value, standard deviation, and power of applying acceleration pedal). The output was treated as ecoscore. Taking a number of one hundred of data segments in vehicle starting process as training sample, the optimal structure, functions, and learning rate of a backpropagation neural network model with three layers were obtained, after repeated model simulation experiments. The validation test of 16 sample data items showed that the mean prediction accuracy of our developed model was 92.89%. In addition, comparative analysis displayed that the performance of backpropagation neural network based model was better than linear regression based model and random forest based model, from the aspects of elapsed time and prediction accuracy in estimating the ecolevel of driver performance. The study results provide an effective method to grasp the ecolevel of driver performance and further contribute to driving behavior optimization towards vehicle fuel consumption and emissions reduction.

scholarly journals A Study on Sustainable Consumption of Fuel—An Estimation Method of Aircraft

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (22) ◽  
pp. 7559
Author(s):  
Lisha Li ◽  
Shuming Yuan ◽  
Yue Teng ◽  
Jing Shao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Fuel Consumption ◽  
Influencing Factors ◽  
Carbon Emission ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Civil Aviation ◽  
Accurate Estimation ◽  
Low Carbon ◽  
Fuel Price ◽  
Aircraft Fuel

Though the development of China’s civil aviation and the improvement of control ability have strengthened the safety operation and support ability effectively, the airlines are under the pressure of operation costs due to the increase of aircraft fuel price. With the development of optimization controlling methods in flight management systems, it becomes increasingly challenging to cut down flight fuel consumption by control the flight status of the aircraft. Therefore, the airlines both at home and abroad mainly rely on the accurate estimation of aircraft fuel to reduce fuel consumption, and further reduce its carbon emission. The airlines have to take various potential factors into consideration and load more fuel to cope with possible negative situation during the flight. Therefore, the fuel for emergency use is called PBCF (Performance-Based Contingency Fuel). The existing PBCF forecasting method used by China Airlines is not accurate, which fails to take into account various influencing factors. This paper aims to find a method that could predict PBCF more accurately than the existing methods for China Airlines.This paper takes China Eastern Airlines as an example. The experimental data of flight fuel of China Eastern Airlines Co, Ltd. were collected to find out the relevant parameters affecting the fuel consumption, which is followed by the establishment of the LSTM neural network through the parameters and collected data. Finally, through the established neural network model, the PBCF addition required by the airline with different influencing factors is output. It can be seen from the results that the all the four models are available for the accurate prediction of fuel consumption. The amount of data of A319 is much larger than that of A320 and A330, which leads to higher accuracy of the model trained by A319. The study contributes to the calculation methods in the fuel-saving project, and helps the practitioners to learn about a particular fuel calculation method. The study brought insights for practitioners to achieve the goal of low carbon emission and further contributed to their progress towards circular economy.

scholarly journals RVLBPNN: A Workload Forecasting Model for Smart Cloud Computing

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yao Lu ◽  
John Panneerselvam ◽  
Lu Liu ◽  
Yan Wu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Cloud Computing ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Service Providers ◽  
Cloud Service ◽  
Backpropagation Neural Network ◽  
Environmental Implications ◽  
Cloud Service Providers ◽  
Cloud Workloads

Given the increasing deployments of Cloud datacentres and the excessive usage of server resources, their associated energy and environmental implications are also increasing at an alarming rate. Cloud service providers are under immense pressure to significantly reduce both such implications for promoting green computing. Maintaining the desired level of Quality of Service (QoS) without violating the Service Level Agreement (SLA), whilst attempting to reduce the usage of the datacentre resources is an obvious challenge for the Cloud service providers. Scaling the level of active server resources in accordance with the predicted incoming workloads is one possible way of reducing the undesirable energy consumption of the active resources without affecting the performance quality. To this end, this paper analyzes the dynamic characteristics of the Cloud workloads and defines a hierarchy for the latency sensitivity levels of the Cloud workloads. Further, a novel workload prediction model for energy efficient Cloud Computing is proposed, named RVLBPNN (Rand Variable Learning Rate Backpropagation Neural Network) based on BPNN (Backpropagation Neural Network) algorithm. Experiments evaluating the prediction accuracy of the proposed prediction model demonstrate that RVLBPNN achieves an improved prediction accuracy compared to the HMM and Naïve Bayes Classifier models by a considerable margin.

An identification algorithm of driver steering characteristics based on backpropagation neural network

2019 ◽  
Vol 233 (9) ◽  
pp. 2333-2342
Author(s):  
Shangyu Zhao ◽  
Guoying Chen ◽  
Min Hua ◽  
Changfu Zong
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Driving Simulator ◽  
Careful Analysis ◽  
Angular Speed ◽  
Identification Accuracy ◽  
Steering Wheel ◽  
Identification Algorithm ◽  
Backpropagation Neural Network ◽  
Feature Parameter ◽  
Steering Characteristics

This paper presents a novel identification method of driver steering characteristics based on backpropagation neural network. First, a driving simulator is built to collect required driving data. After careful analysis, three feature parameters that reflect driver steering characteristics are determined, including the average steering wheel angular speed, the standard deviation of the steering wheel angle, and the average vehicle longitudinal speed. Then, steering feature parameter vectors are extracted from raw data and clustered by the K-means algorithm. According to the clustering result, driver steering characteristics are divided into three types: cautious, average, and aggressive. Subsequently, a backpropagation neural network with two hidden layers is designed and trained to identify the types of feature parameter vectors. Verification results show that the established backpropagation neural network has high identification accuracy and good generalization ability for the identification of driver steering characteristics.

scholarly journals Development of a Practical Method to Estimate the Eco-Level of Driver Performance

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Jianbin Zheng ◽  
Yiping Wu
Keyword(s):  
Fuel Consumption ◽  
Fuel Efficiency ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Practical Method ◽  
Estimation Accuracy ◽  
Road Transportation ◽  
Estimation Model ◽  
Driver Performance ◽  
Study Results ◽  
Propagation Network

Motor vehicle’s fuel consumption is one of the main sources of energy consumption in road transportation and is highly influenced by driver performance in the process of driving. Eco-driving behavior has been proved to be an effective way to improve the fuel efficiency of vehicles. Essential to the efforts towards saving vehicle fuel is the need to estimate the eco-level of driver performance accurately and practically. Depending on on-board diagnostics and Global Position devices, individual vehicle’s instantaneous fuel consumption, engine revolution and torque, speed, acceleration, and dynamic location were collected. Back-propagation network was adopted to explore the relationship between vehicle fuel consumption and the parameters of driver performance. Taking 700 data samples in basic segments of urban expressways as our training set and 100 data samples as validation test, we found the optimal model structure and parameters through repeated simulation experiments. In addition to the average and standard deviation value, the fluctuation frequency of driver performance data was also viewed as influence factors in eco-level estimation model. The average estimation accuracy of our developed model has been tested to be 96.37%, which is quite higher than that of linear regression model. The study results provide a practical way to evaluate drivers’ performance from the perspective of fuel consumption and thus give basis for rewarding best drivers within eco-driving programs.

scholarly journals Neural Network-Based Prediction of Vehicle Fuel Consumption Based on Driving Cycle Data

2022 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 744
Author(s):  
Jakov Topić ◽  
Branimir Škugor ◽  
Joško Deur
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Fuel Consumption ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Driving Cycle ◽  
Linear Regression Models ◽  
The Road ◽  
Routing Optimization ◽  
Fixed Dimension ◽  
Execution Speed ◽  
Road Slope

This paper deals with fuel consumption prediction based on vehicle velocity, acceleration, and road slope time series inputs. Several data-driven models are considered for this purpose, including linear regression models and neural network-based ones. The emphasis is on accounting for the road slope impact when forming the model inputs, in order to improve the prediction accuracy. A particular focus is devoted to conversion of length-varying driving cycles into fixed dimension inputs suitable for neural networks. The proposed prediction algorithms are parameterized and tested based on GPS- and CAN-based tracking data recorded on a number of city buses during their regular operation. The test results demonstrate that a proposed neural network-based approach provides a favorable prediction accuracy and reasonable execution speed, thus making it suitable for various applications such as vehicle routing optimization, synthetic driving cycle validation, transport planning and similar.

The Convolution Neural Network Combined with the HT Person Fit Statistic to Develop an APP for Detecting Dengue Fever in Children: Development and Usability Study (Preprint)

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
CHIEN WEI ◽  
Chi Chow Julie ◽  
Chou Willy
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Dengue Fever ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Early Stage ◽  
Family Members ◽  
Convolution Neural Network ◽  
Public Health Issue ◽  
Person Fit ◽  
Model Accuracy ◽  
Comparison Results

UNSTRUCTURED Backgrounds: Dengue fever (DF) is an important public health issue in Asia. However, the disease is extremely hard to detect using traditional dichotomous (i.e., absent vs. present) evaluations of symptoms. Convolution neural network (CNN), a well-established deep learning method, can improve prediction accuracy on account of its usage of a large number of parameters for modeling. Whether the HT person fit statistic can be combined with CNN to increase the prediction accuracy of the model and develop an application (APP) to detect DF in children remains unknown. Objectives: The aim of this study is to build a model for the automatic detection and classification of DF with symptoms to help patients, family members, and clinicians identify the disease at an early stage. Methods: We extracted 19 feature variables of DF-related symptoms from 177 pediatric patients (69 diagnosed with DF) using CNN to predict DF risk. The accuracy of two sets of characteristics (19 symptoms and four other variables, including person mean, standard deviation, and two HT-related statistics matched to DF+ and DF−) for predicting DF, were then compared. Data were separated into training and testing sets, and the former was used to predict the latter. We calculated the sensitivity (Sens), specificity (Spec), and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) across studies for comparison. Results: We observed that (1) the 23-item model yields a higher accuracy rate (0.95) and AUC (0.94) than the 19-item model (accuracy = 0.92, AUC = 0.90) based on the 177-case training set; (2) the Sens values are almost higher than the corresponding Spec values (90% in 10 scenarios) for predicting DF; (3) the Sens and Spec values of the 23-item model are consistently higher than those of the 19-item model. An APP was subsequently designed to detect DF in children. Conclusion: The 23-item model yielded higher accuracy rates (0.95) and AUC (0.94) than the 19-item model (accuracy = 0.92, AUC = 0.90). An APP could be developed to help patients, family members, and clinicians discriminate DF from other febrile illnesses at an early stage.

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