scholarly journals Space-Time Hybrid Model for Short-Time Travel Speed Prediction

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qi Fan ◽  
Wei Wang ◽  
Xiaojian Hu ◽  
Xuedong Hua ◽  
Zhuyun Liu
Keyword(s):  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Traffic Management ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Periodic Variation ◽  
Travel Speed ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Speed Prediction ◽  
Traffic Speed ◽  
Short Time

Short-time traffic speed forecasting is a significant issue for developing Intelligent Transportation Systems applications, and accurate speed forecasting results are necessary inputs for Intelligent Traffic Security Information System (ITSIS) and advanced traffic management systems (ATMS). This paper presents a hybrid model for travel speed based on temporal and spatial characteristics analysis and data fusion. This proposed methodology predicts speed by dividing the data into three parts: a periodic trend estimated by Fourier series, a residual part modeled by the ARIMA model, and the possible events affected by upstream or downstream traffic conditions. The aim of this study is to improve the accuracy of the prediction by modeling time and space variation of speed, and the forecast results could simultaneously reflect the periodic variation of traffic speed and emergencies. This information could provide decision-makers with a basis for developing traffic management measures. To achieve the research objective, one year of speed data was collected in Twin Cities Metro, Minnesota. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method can be used to explore the periodic characteristics of speed data and show abilities in increasing the accuracy of travel speed prediction.

scholarly journals Traffic Speed Prediction: An Attention-Based Method

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (18) ◽  
pp. 3836 ◽  
Author(s):  
Duanyang Liu ◽  
Longfeng Tang ◽  
Guojiang Shen ◽  
Xiao Han
Keyword(s):  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Similar Distribution ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Time Step ◽  
Temporal Clustering ◽  
Spatial Features ◽  
Speed Prediction ◽  
Traffic Speed ◽  
Prediction Approach

Short-term traffic speed prediction has become one of the most important parts of intelligent transportation systems (ITSs). In recent years, deep learning methods have demonstrated their superiority both in accuracy and efficiency. However, most of them only consider the temporal information, overlooking the spatial or some environmental factors, especially the different correlations between the target road and the surrounding roads. This paper proposes a traffic speed prediction approach based on temporal clustering and hierarchical attention (TCHA) to address the above issues. We apply temporal clustering to the target road to distinguish the traffic environment. Traffic data in each cluster have a similar distribution, which can help improve the prediction accuracy. A hierarchical attention-based mechanism is then used to extract the features at each time step. The encoder measures the importance of spatial features, and the decoder measures the temporal ones. The proposed method is evaluated over the data of a certain area in Hangzhou, and experiments have shown that this method can outperform the state of the art for traffic speed prediction.

scholarly journals Traffic Information Enrichment: Creating Long-Term Traffic Speed Prediction Ensemble Model for Better Navigation through Waypoints

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 315
Author(s):  
Milan Simunek ◽  
Zdenek Smutny
Keyword(s):  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Traffic Information ◽  
Ensemble Model ◽  
Temporal Data ◽  
Speed Prediction ◽  
Traffic Speed

Traffic speed prediction for a selected road segment from a short-term and long-term perspective is among the fundamental issues of intelligent transportation systems (ITS). During the course of the past two decades, many artefacts (e.g., models) have been designed dealing with traffic speed prediction. However, no satisfactory solution has been found for the issue of a long-term prediction for days and weeks using the vast spatial and temporal data. This article aims to introduce a long-term traffic speed prediction ensemble model using country-scale historic traffic data from 37,002 km of roads, which constitutes 66% of all roads in the Czech Republic. The designed model comprises three submodels and combines parametric and nonparametric approaches in order to acquire a good-quality prediction that can enrich available real-time traffic information. Furthermore, the model is set into a conceptual design which expects its usage for the improvement of navigation through waypoints (e.g., delivery service, goods distribution, police patrol) and the estimated arrival time. The model validation is carried out using the same network of roads, and the model predicts traffic speed in the period of 1 week. According to the performed validation of average speed prediction at a given hour, it can be stated that the designed model achieves good results, with mean absolute error of 4.67 km/h. The achieved results indicate that the designed solution can effectively predict the long-term speed information using large-scale spatial and temporal data, and that this solution is suitable for use in ITS.

scholarly journals Graph Convolutional Network: Traffic Speed Prediction Fused with Traffic Flow Data

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (19) ◽  
pp. 6402
Author(s):  
Duanyang Liu ◽  
Xinbo Xu ◽  
Wei Xu ◽  
Bingqian Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Flow Data ◽  
Convolutional Network ◽  
Convolutional Networks ◽  
Speed Prediction ◽  
Traffic Speed ◽  
Real World Datasets ◽  
Relationship Of

Traffic speed prediction plays an important role in intelligent transportation systems, and many approaches have been proposed over recent decades. In recent years, methods using graph convolutional networks (GCNs) have been more promising, which can extract the spatiality of traffic networks and achieve a better prediction performance than others. However, these methods only use inaccurate historical data of traffic speed to forecast, which decreases the prediction accuracy to a certain degree. Moreover, they ignore the influence of dynamic traffic on spatial relationships and merely consider the static spatial dependency. In this paper, we present a novel graph convolutional network model called FSTGCN to solve these problems, where the model adopts the full convolutional structure and avoids repeated iterations. Specifically, because traffic flow has a mapping relationship with traffic speed and its values are more exact, we fused historical traffic flow data into the forecasting model in order to reduce the prediction error. Meanwhile, we analyzed the covariance relationship of the traffic flow between road segments and designed the dynamic adjacency matrix, which can capture the dynamic spatial correlation of the traffic network. Lastly, we conducted experiments on two real-world datasets and prove that our model can outperform state-of-the-art traffic speed prediction.

Deriving Traffic-Performance Measures and Levels of Service from Second-Order Statistical Features of Spatiotemporal Traffic Contour Maps

2003 ◽  
Vol 1858 (1) ◽  
pp. 148-157 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sherif Ishak
Keyword(s):  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Traffic Management ◽  
Performance Monitoring ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Second Order ◽  
Level Of Service ◽  
Large Set ◽  
Contour Map ◽  
Contour Maps ◽  
Statistical Measures

Little information has been successfully extracted from the wealth of data collected by intelligent transportation systems. Such information is needed for the efficiency of operations and management functions of traffic-management centers. A new set of second-order statistical measures derived from texture characterization techniques in the field of digital image analysis is presented. The main objective is to improve the data-analysis tools used in performance-monitoring systems and assessment of level of service. The new measures can extract properties such as smoothness, homogeneity, regularity, and randomness in traffic operations directly from constructed spatiotemporal traffic contour maps. To avoid information redundancy, a correlation matrix was examined for nearly 14,000 15-min speed contour maps generated for a 3.4-mi freeway section over a period of 5 weekdays. The result was a set of three second-order measures: angular second moment, contrast, and entropy. Each measure was analyzed to examine its sensitivity to various traffic conditions, expressed by the overall speed mean of each contour map. The study also presented a tentative approach, similar to the conventional one used in the Highway Capacity Manual, to evaluate the level of service for each contour map. The new set of level-of-service criteria can be applied in real time by using a stand-alone module that was developed in the study. The module can be readily implemented online and allows traffic-management center operators to tune a large set of related parameters.

Smart Traffic Management for Collision Avoidance Using V2V

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 01-07
Author(s):  
V. Naren Thiruvalar ◽  
E. Vimal
Keyword(s):  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Traffic Management ◽  
Emergency Situation ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Pollution Monitoring ◽  
Inappropriate Use ◽  
V2v Communication ◽  
Use Of Resources ◽  
Smart Traffic

The main objective of this project is to connect the vehicles together and avoid accidents by using V2V Communication. The vehicles are to be connected together by means of DSRC algorithm which is used for transceiving alert messages among the connected vehicles, in case of any emergency situation such as accidents. The Vehicle-to-Vehicle (V2V) and Vehicle-to- Infrastructure (V2I) technologies are specific cases of IoT and key enablers for Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS). V2V and V2I have been widely used to solve different problems associated with transportation in cities, in which the most important is traffic congestion. A high percentage of congestion is usually presented by the inappropriate use of resources in vehicular infrastructure. In addition, the integration of traffic congestion in decision making for vehicular traffic is a challenge due to its high dynamic behaviour. An increase in the infrastructure growth is a possible solution but turns out to be costly in terms of both time and effort. Various applications that target transport efficiency could make use of the vast information collected by vehicles: safety, traffic management, pollution monitoring, tourist information, etc.

An 802.11p Compliant System Prototype Supporting Road Safety and Traffic Management Applications

2014 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Helen C. Leligou ◽  
Periklis Chatzimisios ◽  
Lambros Sarakis ◽  
Theofanis Orphanoudakis ◽  
Panagiotis Karkazis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Road Safety ◽  
Traffic Management ◽  
Life Quality ◽  
Road Transport ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Ieee 802.11P ◽  
Practical Implementation ◽  
Communication Devices ◽  
The Right

During the last decades Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) have been attracting the interest of an increasing number of researchers, engineers and entrepreneurs, as well as citizens and civil authorities, since they can contribute towards improving road transport safety and efficiency and ameliorate environmental conditions and life quality. Emerging technologies yield miniaturized sensing, processing and communication devices that enable a high degree of integration and open the way for a large number of smart applications that can exploit automated fusion of information and enable efficient decisions by collecting, processing and communicating a large number of data in real-time. The cornerstone of these applications is the realization of an opportunistic wireless communication system between vehicles as well as between vehicles and infrastructure over which the right piece of information reaches the right location on time. In this paper, the authors present the design and implementation of representative safety and traffic management applications. Specifically the authors discuss the hardware and software requirements presenting a use case based on the NEC Linkbird-MX platform, which supports IEEE 802.11p based communications. The authors show how the functionality of IEEE 802.11p can be exploited to build efficient road safety and traffic management applications over mobile opportunistic systems and discuss practical implementation issues.

scholarly journals Analysis of Space-Time Variation of Passenger Flow and Commuting Characteristics of Residents Using Smart Card Data of Nanjing Metro

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (18) ◽  
pp. 4989 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Yu ◽  
Hua Bai ◽  
Jun Chen ◽  
Xingchen Yan
Keyword(s):  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Traffic Management ◽  
Rapid Development ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Space Time ◽  
Smart Cards ◽  
The Sustainable Development ◽  
Passenger Flow ◽  
Challenges And Opportunities

The rapid development of cities has brought new challenges and opportunities to traditional traffic management. The usage of smart cards promotes the upgrading of intelligent transportation systems, and also produces considerable big data. As an important part of the urban comprehensive transportation system, Nanjing metro has more than 1 million inbound and outbound records of traffic smart cards used by residents every day. How to process these traffic data and present them visually is an urgent problem in modern traffic management. In this study, five working days with normal weather conditions in Nanjing were selected, and the swiping records of the smart cards were extracted, and the space–time characteristics were analyzed. In terms of time analysis, this research analyzed the 24-h fluctuation of daily average passenger flow, peak hour coefficient of passenger flow, 24-h fluctuation of passenger flow on different metro lines, passenger flow intensity on different metro lines and passenger flow comparison at different stations. In spatial analysis, this study uses thermodynamic charts to represent the inflow and outflow of passengers at different stations during early and evening peak periods. The analysis results and visualized images directly reflect the area where Nanjing metro congestion is located, and also shows the commuting characteristics of residents. It can solve the problem of urban congestion, carry out the rational layout of urban functional areas, and promote the sustainable development of people and cities.

scholarly journals An application of Bayesian multilevel model to evaluate variations in stochastic and dynamic transition of traffic conditions

2019 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 235-249 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanuel Kidando ◽  
Ren Moses ◽  
Thobias Sando ◽  
Eren Erman Ozguven
Keyword(s):  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Transition Probabilities ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Gaussian Mixture ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Hierarchical Regression ◽  
Dynamic Transition ◽  
Traffic Conditions ◽  
Traffic Speed

Abstract This study seeks to investigate the variations associated with lane lateral locations and days of the week in the stochastic and dynamic transition of traffic regimes (DTTR). In the proposed analysis, hierarchical regression models fitted using Bayesian frameworks were used to calibrate the transition probabilities that describe the DTTR. Datasets of two sites on a freeway facility located in Jacksonville, Florida, were selected for the analysis. The traffic speed thresholds to define traffic regimes were estimated using the Gaussian mixture model (GMM). The GMM revealed that two and three regimes were adequate mixture components for estimating the traffic speed distributions for Site 1 and 2 datasets, respectively. The results of hierarchical regression models show that there is considerable evidence that there are heterogeneity characteristics in the DTTR associated with lateral lane locations. In particular, the hierarchical regressions reveal that the breakdown process is more affected by the variations compared to other evaluated transition processes with the estimated intra-class correlation (ICC) of about 73%. The transition from congestion on-set/dissolution (COD) to the congested regime is estimated with the highest ICC of 49.4% in the three-regime model, and the lowest ICC of 1% was observed on the transition from the congested to COD regime. On the other hand, different days of the week are not found to contribute to the variations (the highest ICC was 1.44%) on the DTTR. These findings can be used in developing effective congestion countermeasures, particularly in the application of intelligent transportation systems, such as dynamic lane-management strategies.

scholarly journals Visualizing the Intellectual Structure and Evolution of Intelligent Transportation Systems: A Systematic Analysis of Research Themes and Trends

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (21) ◽  
pp. 8759 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nadia Karina Gamboa-Rosales ◽  
José María Celaya-Padilla ◽  
Ana Luisa Hernandez-Gutierrez ◽  
Arturo Moreno-Baez ◽  
Carlos E. Galván-Tejada ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Traffic Management ◽  
Intelligent Transportation ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Intellectual Structure ◽  
Structure Evolution ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Systematic Analysis ◽  
Main Research ◽  
Research Themes

According to the United Nations, 70% of the world’s population will live in cities by 2050. This growth will be reflected in the demand for better services that should be adjusted to the collective and individual needs of the population. Governments and organizations are working on defining and implementing strategies that will enable them to respond to these challenges. The main challenges are related to transport and its management, considering transportation as a core issue in the economy, sustainability, and development of the regions. In this way, the Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) play a key role in the response to these scenarios, being that they are the framework where the new hardware and software tools are integrated, allowing an efficient development of transportation systems management, attending to aspects such as: traffic management, communications between vehicles and infrastructures, and security, among others. Nevertheless, the concept of ITS evolves rapidly so it is necessary to understand its evolution. To do that, the current research develops a thematic analysis of ITS in literature, evaluating the intellectual structure and its evolution using SciMAT, quantifying the main bibliometric performance indicators, and identifying the main research areas, authors, journals, and countries. To this purpose, the publications related to ITS from 1993 to 2019 available in the Web of Science (WoS) Core Collection were retrieved (7649 publications) and analyzed. Finally, one of the main results is the latest research themes map of ITS, considering its intellectual structure, evolution, and relationship. It assists in the definition and implementation of strategies, the identification of the scientific, academic, and business opportunities, and future research lines to consolidate the role of ITS in the new city models.

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