scholarly journals Simulating Intraurban Land Use Dynamics under Multiple Scenarios Based on Fuzzy Cellular Automata: A Case Study of Jinzhou District, Dalian

Complexity ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun Yang ◽  
Weiling Liu ◽  
Yonghua Li ◽  
Xueming Li ◽  
Quansheng Ge
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Cellular Automata ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Urban Land Use ◽  
Multiple Sources ◽  
Development Mode ◽  
Land Use Types ◽  
Fuzzy Cellular Automata ◽  
Traffic Guidance

The spatial evolution of land use in Jinzhou area was simulated using fuzzy cellular automata to determine all factors influencing urban land use change. For this purpose, land use data of multiple sources and remote sensing images from 2003 to 2015 were analyzed. The following results were obtained: (1) real land use data and simulation data for 2015 were tested using four indices. Under the 5 m × 5 m scale, the model shows good performance for simulation of areas with various land use types. (2) Among simulations under four scenarios, the effect of traffic guidance on the development of construction land was more distinct under the economic development mode, which clearly showed the phenomenon of “agglomeration” along major traffic lines. (3) Jinshitan Street is adjacent to the sea, and land use changes are significant under the 4th scenario, and thus related departments should pay more attention. (4) Shortcomings of conventional cellular automata model in processing complex systems could be mitigated through the integration of fuzzy sets.

scholarly journals Simulation and Analysis of Land Use Changes Applying Cellular Automata in the South of Quito and the Machachi Valley, Province of Pichincha, Ecuador

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (17) ◽  
pp. 9525
Author(s):  
René Ulloa-Espíndola ◽  
Susana Martín-Fernández
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Cellular Automata ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Urban Land Use ◽  
The South ◽  
Land Use Patterns ◽  
Use Patterns ◽  
Urban Settlements ◽  
The City

Rapid urban growth has historically led to changes in land use patterns and the degradation of natural resources and the urban environment. Uncontrolled growth of urban areas in the city of Quito has continued to the present day since 1960s, aggravated by illegal or irregular new settlements. The main objective of this paper is to generate spatial predictions of these types of urban settlements and land use changes in 2023, 2028 and 2038, applying the Dinamica EGO cellular automata and multivariable software. The study area was the Machachi Valley between the south of the city of Quito and the rural localities of Alóag and Machachi. The results demonstrate the accuracy of the model and its applicability, thanks to the use of 15 social, physical and climate predictors and the validation process. The analysis of the land use changes throughout the study area shows that urban land use will undergo the greatest net increase. Growth in the south of Quito is predicted to increase by as much as 35% between 2018 and 2038 where new highly vulnerable urban settlements can appear. Native forests in the Andes and forest plantations are expected to decline in the study area due to their substitution by shrub vegetation or agriculture and livestock land use. The implementation of policies to control the land market and protect natural areas could help to mitigate the continuous deterioration of urban and forest areas.

scholarly journals Modelling urban change with cellular automata: Contemporary issues and future research directions

2019 ◽  
pp. 030913251989530 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Liu ◽  
Michael Batty ◽  
Siqin Wang ◽  
Jonathan Corcoran
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Big Data ◽  
Cellular Automata ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Analytical Framework ◽  
Urban Land Use ◽  
Urban Systems ◽  
Urban Change ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Change Dynamics

The study of land use change in urban and regional systems has been dramatically transformed in the last four decades by the emergence and application of cellular automata (CA) models. CA models simulate urban land use changes which evolve from the bottom-up. Despite notable achievements in this field, there remain significant gaps between urban processes simulated in CA models and the actual dynamics of evolving urban systems. This article identifies contemporary issues faced in developing urban CA models and draws on this evidence to map out four interrelated thematic areas that require concerted attention by the wider CA urban modelling community. These are: (1) to build models that comprehensively capture the multi-dimensional processes of urban change, including urban regeneration, densification and gentrification, in-fill development, as well as urban shrinkage and vertical urban growth; (2) to establish models that incorporate individual human decision behaviours into the CA analytic framework; (3) to draw on emergent sources of ‘big data’ to calibrate and validate urban CA models and to capture the role of human actors and their impact on urban change dynamics; and (4) to strengthen theory-based CA models that comprehensively explain urban change mechanisms and dynamics. We conclude by advocating cellular automata that embed agent-based models and big data input as the most promising analytical framework through which we can enhance our understanding and planning of the contemporary urban change dynamics.

scholarly journals Application of an Improved ABC Algorithm in Urban Land Use Prediction

Information ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (8) ◽  
pp. 193 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiuyuan Huo ◽  
Zheng Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Cellular Automata ◽  
Land Use Changes ◽  
Remote Sensing Data ◽  
Urban Land ◽  
Urban Land Use ◽  
Simulation Accuracy ◽  
Abc Algorithm ◽  
Bee Colony ◽  
Quantification Analysis

Scientifically and rationally analyzing the characteristics of land use evolution and exploring future trends in land use changes can provide the scientific reference basis for the rational development and utilization of regional land resources and sustainable economic development. In this paper, an improved hybrid artificial bee colony (ABC) algorithm based on the mutation of inferior solutions (MHABC) is introduced to combine with the cellular automata (CA) model to implement a new CA rule mining algorithm (MHABC-CA). To verify the capabilities of this algorithm, remote sensing data of three stages, 2005, 2010, and 2015, are adopted to dynamically simulate urban development of Dengzhou city in Henan province, China, using the MHABC-CA algorithm. The comprehensive validation and analysis of the simulation results are performed by two aspects of comparison, the visual features of urban land use types and the quantification analysis of simulation accuracy. Compared with a cellular automata model based on a particle swarm optimization (PSO-CA) algorithm, the experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of the MHABC-CA algorithm in the prediction field of urban land use changes.

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