scholarly journals Empirical Approximation for the Stochastic Fundamental Diagram of Traffic Flow on Signalized Intersection

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Nan Zhang ◽  
Xiaoguang Yang ◽  
Wangjing Ma

The wide scattering nature of the fundamental diagram (FD) with observed flow-density data may be associated with the dynamical traffic flow process, especially on signalized intersection. To describe the uncertainty of FD, in this work we established stochastic fundamental diagram (SFD) which is defined by the distributions of shockwave speed. Our approach is based on a two-level stochastic process of the traffic flow system in terms of the dynamics of traffic density and state mode associated with signal phases which is named switching linear dynamical systems (SLDS). Then, variational Bayesian learning method is adopted to compute the distributions of SFD parameter to approximate the experimental distributions of shockwave calculated by the observed flow-density data. Given traffic flow data from the NGSIM program, the verification result demonstrated that the SFD can be more helpful to capture the main features of the observed widely scattering of the flow-density data compared with FD. With the shockwave speed sampled from the SFD, the SLDS could describe the dynamic characteristics of traffic flow and be applied to the maximum likelihood estimation of traffic density or flow rate. Because it is simple and automatically calculated, the SFD provides an alternative description for fundamental diagram and its uncertainty in the traffic flow.

Author(s):  
Meng Xu ◽  
Ziyou Gao

This paper aims to discuss unstable traffic flow and to identify if chaotic phenomena exist in a traffic flow dynamic system. Two discrete dynamic models are proposed, which are derived from the flow-density-speed fundamental diagram and Del Castillo and Benitez’s exponential curve model and maximum sensitivity curve model. Both the models have two parameters, which are the ratio of free flow and spacing average speed and the ratio of the absolute value of kinematic wave speed at jam density and free flow speed. Chaos is found in the two models when the two values increase separately. The Liapunov exponents were used to examine the characters of the chaotic behavior in the two models. These results are illustrated by numerical examples.


2004 ◽  
Vol 18 (14) ◽  
pp. 1991-2001 ◽  
Author(s):  
RUI JIANG ◽  
QING-SONG WU

In this paper, the concepts of "jammed status" and "jam headway" [X. B. Li, R. Jiang and Q. S. Wu, Phys. Rev.E68, 016117 (2003)] are introduced into the Modified Comfortable Driving (MCD) model [R. Jiang and Q. S. Wu, J. Phys.A36, 381 (2003)] to simulate the congested traffic flow including synchronized flow and wide moving jams. Using computer simulation, the fundamental diagram, the space–time plots, the time series of the density in the jams, the 1-min average data in the flow-density plane, the traffic patterns induced by red light are investigated. It is shown that the new model can describe both the synchronized flow and the sparse wide jams quite well.


Author(s):  
Delina Mshai Mwalimo ◽  
Mary Wainaina ◽  
Winnie Kaluki

This study outlines the Kerner’s 3 phase traffic flow theory, which states that traffic flow occurs in three phases and these are free flow, synchronized flow and wide moving jam phase. A macroscopic traffic model that is factoring road inclination is developed and its features discussed. By construction of the solution to the Rienmann problem, the model is written in conservative form and solved numerically. Using the Lax-Friedrichs method and going ahead to simulate traffic flow on an inclined multi lane road. The dynamics of traffic flow involving cars(fast moving) and trucks(slow moving) on a multi-lane inclined road is studied. Generally, trucks move slower than cars and their speed is significantly reduced when they are moving uphill on an in- clined road, which leads to emergence of a moving bottleneck. If the inclined road is multi-lane then the cars will tend to change lanes with the aim of overtaking the slow moving bottleneck to achieve free flow. The moving bottleneck and lanechange ma- noeuvres affect the dynamics of flow of traffic on the multi-lane road, leading to traffic phase transitions between free flow (F) and synchronised flow(S). Therefore, in order to adequately describe this kind of traffic flow, a model should incorporate the effect of road inclination. This study proposes to account for the road inclination through the fundamental diagram, which relates traffic flow rate to traffic density and ultimately through the anticipation term in the velocity dynamics equation of macroscopic traffic flow model. The features of this model shows how the moving bottleneck and an incline multilane road affects traffic transistions from Free flow(F) to Synchronised flow(S). For a better traffic management and control, proper understanding of traffic congestion is needed. This will help road designers and traffic engineers to verify whether traffic properties and characteristics such as speed(velocity), density and flow among others determines the effectiveness of traffic flow.


Transport ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 68-86 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Maghrour Zefreh ◽  
Ádám Török

Fundamental diagram, a graphical representation of the relationship among traffic flow, speed, and density, has been the foundation of traffic flow theory and transportation engineering for many years. Underlying a fundamental diagram is the relation between traffic speed and density, which serves as the basis to understand system dynamics. Empirical observations of the traffic speed versus traffic density show a wide-scattering of traffic speeds over a certain level of density, which would form a speed distribution over a certain level of density. The main aim of the current research is to study on the distribution of traffic speed in different traffic conditions in the urban roads since the distribution of traffic speed is necessary for many traffic engineering applications including generating traffic in micro-simulation systems. To do so, the traffic stream is videotaped at various locations in the city of Budapest (Hungary). The recorded videos were analysed by traffic engineering experts and different traffic conditions were extracted from these recorded videos based on the predefined scenarios. Then their relevant speeds in that time interval were estimated with the so-called “g-estimator method” using the outputs of the available loop detectors among the videotaped locations. Then different parametric candidate distributions have been fitted to the speeds by Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) method. Having fitted different parametric distributions to speed data, they were compared by three goodness-of-fit tests along with two penalized criteria (Akaike Information Criterion – AIC and Bayesian Information Criterion – BIC) in order to overcome the over-fitting problems. The results showed that the speed of traffic flow follows exponential, normal, lognormal, gamma, beta and chisquare distribution in the condition that traffic flow followed over-saturated congestion, under saturated flow, free flow, congestion, accelerated flow and decelerated flow respectively.


Author(s):  
Afzal Ahmed ◽  
Satish V. Ukkusuri ◽  
Shahrukh Raza Mirza ◽  
Ausaja Hassan

Traffic streams in many developing countries consist of various modes of transport, with high heterogeneity in driver behavior. Modeling these types of traffic streams, in which traffic rules (speed limit, lane discipline, etc.) are not strictly followed, is a complex task. A review of the existing literature shows that there is a lack of traffic flow models that model the behavior of heterogeneous and undisciplined traffic streams. Like other undisciplined traffic streams, there are no speed limits (hence no speed enforcement) on most of the roads in Karachi, Pakistan. Lane discipline is also not observed by drivers, which results in a varying number of traffic lanes on a road. Therefore, most of the existing traffic flow models/simulation packages developed for disciplined traffic streams cannot appropriately model traffic streams without lane discipline. This research proposes a width-based cell transmission model (WCTM) by developing a fundamental flow-density diagram whose parameters are a function of the road width. Extensive field data have been collected from a selected arterial in Karachi for development of the fundamental traffic flow diagram. The values of the computed parameters are significantly different than the values reported in the literature. The piecewise-linear flow-density relation is developed by optimally estimating the breakpoints. Results show that the quadrilateral and pentagonal-shaped fundamental diagrams fit better with the collected data in comparison with the triangular-shaped fundamental diagram. The proposed WCTM is applied to selected segments of an arterial and results show that the WCTM was able to accurately model different traffic conditions.


2003 ◽  
Vol 1852 (1) ◽  
pp. 231-238 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. M. J. Tampère ◽  
B. van Arem ◽  
S. P. Hoogendoorn

A modeling technique is presented that analytically bridges the gap between microscopic behavior of individual drivers and the macroscopic dynamics of traffic flow. The basis of this approach is the (gas-) kinetic or mesoscopic modeling principle that considers the dynamics of traffic density and generalizations thereof as a probability density function of vehicles in different driving states. In contrast to traditional kinetic models, deceleration of individual vehicles due to slower traffic is treated as a continuous adaptive process rather than a discrete event. An analytic procedure is proposed to aggregate arbitrarily refined individual driver behavior to a macroscopic expected acceleration or deceleration of flow as a whole that can be used in macroscopic differential equations for traffic flow. The procedure implicitly accounts for the anisotropy of information flow in traffic, for anticipation behavior of drivers, and for the finite space requirement of vehicles, as long as these properties have been specified at the level of individual driver behavior. The procedure is illustrated for a simple car-following model with overtaking opportunity. The results show that the procedure yields micro-based aggregate traffic flow models that capture the essential properties of traffic dynamics. The techniques presented can contribute to the development of traffic flow models with driver behavior and driver psychology as important explanatory factors of congestion formation and propagation. Moreover, the approach allows building macroscopic traffic flow equations from future traffic flows for which no empirical speed–flow–density relations are available yet.


2017 ◽  
Vol 31 (26) ◽  
pp. 1750238 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jun-Wei Zeng ◽  
Sen-Bin Yu ◽  
Yong-Sheng Qian ◽  
Xu-Ting Wei ◽  
Xiao Feng ◽  
...  

Based on the cautious driving behavior and the principle of the vehicles at left-side having priority to pass in the intersection, a two-dimensional cellular automata model for planar signalized intersection (NS-STCA) is established. The different turning vehicles are regarded as the research objects and the effect of the left-turn probability, signal cycle, vehicle flow density on traffic flow at the intersection is investigated.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (20) ◽  
pp. 11227
Author(s):  
Piyapong Suwanno ◽  
Rattanaporn Kasemsri ◽  
Kaifeng Duan ◽  
Atsushi Fukuda

Bangkok, Thailand is prone to flooding after heavy rain. Many road sections become impassable, causing severe traffic congestion and greatly impacting activities. Optimal vehicle management requires the knowledge of flooding impact on road traffic conditions in specific areas. A method is proposed to quantify urban flood situations by expressing traffic conditions in specific ranges using the concept of macroscopic fundamental diagram (MFD). MFD-based judgement allows for a road manager to understand the current traffic situation and take appropriate traffic control measures. MFD analysis identified traffic flow–density and density–velocity relationships by using the shape of the estimated MFD travel time-series plots. Then, results were applied to develop a traffic model with vehicle-flow parameters as a measuring method for road-network performance. The developed model improved road-network traffic-flow performance under different flood conditions. A method is also presented for traffic management evaluation on the assumption that flooding occurs.


2022 ◽  
Vol 2022 ◽  
pp. 1-40
Author(s):  
Han Xie ◽  
Juanxiu Zhu ◽  
Huawei Duan

The behavior of changing lanes has a great impact on road traffic with heavy traffic. Traffic flow density is one of the important parameters that characterize the characteristics of traffic flow, and it will also be affected by the behavior of changing lanes, especially in the case of each lane. The penetration of autonomous vehicles can effectively reduce lane-changing behavior. Studying the relationship between traffic flow density and lane-changing behavior under different autonomous vehicle penetration rates is of great significance for describing the operation mechanism of mixed traffic flow and the control of mixed traffic. In this article, we use empirical, simulation, and data-driven methods to analyze the urban expressway of autonomous vehicles with penetration rates of 10%, 20%, 30%, 40%, 50%, 60%, 70%, and 80%, respectively. A simulation experiment was carried out on the road, and data related to density, the rate of changing into the lanes, and the rate of changing out lanes were collected. The analysis of the experimental results found the following: (1) The increase in penetration of autonomous vehicles leads to a certain degree of downward trend in density, the rate of changing into the lanes, and the rate of changing out lanes. (2) Different lanes have different effects on the penetration of autonomous vehicles. In a 4-lane road, the two lanes farther from the entrance and exit are closer in appearance, while the two lanes closer to the entrance and exit are similar. (3) The relationship between density and the rate of changing into the lanes and the rate of changing out lanes shows a linear relationship with the penetration of autonomous vehicles. Although the performance of each lane is slightly different, in general, it can be carried out by a multiple regression model. The given parameter value range is relatively close under different permeability. In summary, autonomous vehicles effectively reduce the traffic density and lane-changing behavior of each lane. There is a linear relationship between traffic flow density and lane-changing behavior with the penetration of autonomous vehicles. The density-lane-changing behavior model proposed in this paper can better describe the relationship between the density of the circular multilane urban expressway and the lane-changing behavior in the case of a large traffic flow in mixed traffic.


2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (7) ◽  
pp. 155014771986550 ◽  
Author(s):  
Na Fan ◽  
Zongtao Duan ◽  
Guangyuan Zhu

Vehicular delay-tolerant networks are widely used in intelligent transport application. Vehicle nodes exchange and share various information in vehicular delay-tolerant networks. However, current delay-tolerant network routing algorithms do not take into account the dynamic characteristic of traffic flow, and they do not effectively resist cyber attacks, such as black hole attack. To address this issue, we propose a data dissemination mechanism for vehicular delay-tolerant networks. In this mechanism, we develop a combined model to estimate the real-time traffic density. Simultaneously, we propose the metrics which include node interaction dispersion, node interaction freshness, node interaction participation, and node interaction contribution to evaluate behavior of nodes. Based on these metrics, a routing method is constructed. In this routing method, a relay node is selected by evaluating communication interaction behaviors among vehicle nodes. Considering the factors of traffic flow density and communication behaviors of vehicle nodes, a message forwarding strategy scheme is built for different traffic density scenarios. Extensive simulations show that the proposed mechanism exhibits superior performance over existing methods in forwarding traffic information and alleviates negative effects from black hole attacks.


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