scholarly journals Renewable Generation (Wind/Solar) and Load Modeling through Modified Fuzzy Prediction Interval

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Syed Furqan Rafique ◽  
Zhang Jianhua ◽  
Rizwan Rafique ◽  
Jing Guo ◽  
Irfan Jamil
Keyword(s):  
Energy Management ◽  
Prediction Interval ◽  
Management Problem ◽  
Renewable Generation ◽  
Test Bed ◽  
Training Time ◽  
Prediction Horizon ◽  
Forecasting Method ◽  
One Step ◽  
Takagi Sugeno

The accuracy of energy management system for renewable microgrid, either grid-connected or isolated, is heavily dependent on the forecasting precision such as wind, solar, and load. In this paper, an improved fuzzy prediction horizon forecasting method is developed to address the issue of intermittence and uncertainty problem related to renewable generation and load forecast. In the first phase, a Takagi-Sugeno type fuzzy system is trained with many evolutionary optimization algorithms and established coverage grade indicator to check the accuracy of interval forecast. Secondly, a wind, solar, and load forecaster is developed for renewable microgrid test bed which is located in Beijing, China. One day and one step ahead results for the proposed forecaster are expressed with lowest RMSE and training time. In order to check the efficiency of the proposed method, a comparison is carried out with the existing models. The fuzzy interval-based model for the microgrid test bed will help to formulate the energy management problem with more accuracy and robustness.

scholarly journals Multi-Objective Energy Management of a Micro-Grid Considering Stochastic Nature of Load and Renewable Energy Resources

Electronics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 403
Author(s):  
Deyaa Ahmed ◽  
Mohamed Ebeed ◽  
Abdelfatah Ali ◽  
Ali S. Alghamdi ◽  
Salah Kamel
Keyword(s):  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Objective Function ◽  
Energy Management ◽  
Energy Resources ◽  
Management Problem ◽  
Renewable Energy Resources ◽  
Multi Objective ◽  
Stochastic Nature ◽  
Whale Optimization ◽  
Micro Grid

Optimal inclusion of a photovoltaic system and wind energy resources in electrical grids is a strenuous task due to the continuous variation of their output powers and stochastic nature. Thus, it is mandatory to consider the variations of the Renewable energy resources (RERs) for efficient energy management in the electric system. The aim of the paper is to solve the energy management of a micro-grid (MG) connected to the main power system considering the variations of load demand, photovoltaic (PV), and wind turbine (WT) under deterministic and probabilistic conditions. The energy management problem is solved using an efficient algorithm, namely equilibrium optimizer (EO), for a multi-objective function which includes cost minimization, voltage profile improvement, and voltage stability improvement. The simulation results reveal that the optimal installation of a grid-connected PV unit and WT can considerably reduce the total cost and enhance system performance. In addition to that, EO is superior to both whale optimization algorithm (WOA) and sine cosine algorithm (SCA) in terms of the reported objective function.

Hierarchical energy management strategy considering switching schedule for a dual-mode hybrid electric vehicle

2021 ◽  
pp. 095440702110297
Author(s):  
Hui Liu ◽  
Rui Liu ◽  
Riming Xu ◽  
Lijin Han ◽  
Shumin Ruan
Keyword(s):  
Fuel Consumption ◽  
Energy Management ◽  
Control Strategy ◽  
Power Distribution ◽  
Hybrid Electric Vehicle ◽  
Hierarchical Control ◽  
Management Problem ◽  
Energy Management Strategy ◽  
Dual Mode ◽  
Hybrid Electric

Energy management strategies are critical for hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs) to improve fuel economy. To solve the dual-mode HEV energy management problem combined with switching schedule and power distribution, a hierarchical control strategy is proposed in this paper. The mode planning controller is twofold. First, the mode schedule is obtained according to the mode switch map and driving condition, then a switch hunting suppression algorithm is proposed to flatten the mode schedule through eliminating unnecessary switch. The proposed algorithm can reduce switch frequency while fuel consumption remains nearly unchanged. The power distribution controller receives the mode schedule and optimizes power distribution between the engine and battery based on the Radau pseudospectral knotting method (RPKM). Simulations are implemented to verify the effectiveness of the proposed hierarchical control strategy. For the mode planning controller, as the flattening threshold value increases, the fuel consumption remains nearly unchanged, however, the switch frequency decreases significantly. For the power distribution controller, the fuel consumption obtained by RPKM is 4.29% higher than that of DP, while the elapsed time is reduced by 92.53%.

Predictive Energy Management for Parallel Hydraulic Hybrid Passenger Vehicle

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy O. Deppen ◽  
Andrew G. Alleyne ◽  
Kim A. Stelson ◽  
Jonathan J. Meyer
Keyword(s):  
Energy Management ◽  
Hybrid Vehicle ◽  
Management Problem ◽  
Transfer Energy ◽  
Hybrid Powertrain ◽  
Engine Torque ◽  
Engine Simulation ◽  
Hydraulic Hybrid ◽  
Displacement Pump ◽  
Hydraulic Hybrid Vehicle

In this paper, a model predictive control (MPC) approach is presented for solving the energy management problem in a parallel hydraulic hybrid vehicle. The hydraulic hybrid vehicle uses variable displacement pump/motors to transfer energy between the mechanical and hydraulic domains and a high pressure accumulator for energy storage. A model of the parallel hydraulic hybrid powertrain is presented which utilizes the Simscape/Simhydraulics toolboxes of Matlab. These toolboxes allow for a concise description of the relevant powertrain dynamics. The proposed MPC regulates the engine torque and pump/motor displacement in order to track a desired velocity profile while maintaining desired engine conditions. In addition, logic is applied to the MPC to prevent high frequency cycling of the engine. Simulation results demonstrate the capability of the proposed control strategy to track both a desired engine torque and vehicle velocity.

scholarly journals Stable Model Predictive Control Design: Sequential Approach

2011 ◽  
Vol 62 (2) ◽  
pp. 99-103
Author(s):  
Vojtech Veselý
Keyword(s):  
Model Predictive Control ◽  
Predictive Control ◽  
Design Method ◽  
Control Design ◽  
Sequential Design ◽  
Stable Model ◽  
Sequential Approach ◽  
Prediction Horizon ◽  
Guaranteed Cost ◽  
One Step

Stable Model Predictive Control Design: Sequential Approach The paper addresses the problem of output feedback stable model predictive control design with guaranteed cost. The proposed design method pursues the idea of sequential design for N prediction horizon using one-step ahead model predictive control design approach. Numerical examples are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

scholarly journals MODELING AND FORECASTING OF INDIA’S DEFENSE EXPENDITURES USING BOX-JENKINS ARIMA MODEL

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 334-344
Author(s):  
Sapana Sharma ◽  
Sanju Karol
Keyword(s):  
Arima Model ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Rational Decision Making ◽  
Defense Expenditure ◽  
Forecasting Method ◽  
Modeling And Forecasting ◽  
One Step ◽  
The Government ◽  
The One

Many developed and developing countries are at the core of the security and peace agenda concerning rising defense expenditure and its enduring sustainability. The unremitting upsurge in defense expenditure pressurizes the government to rationally manage the resources so as to provide security and peace services in the most efficient, effective and equitable way. It is necessary to forecast the defense expenditure in India which leads the policy makers to execute reforms in order to detract burdens on these resources, as well as introduce appropriate plan strategies on the basis of rational decision making for the issues that may arise. The purpose of this study is to investigate the appropriate type of model based on the Box–Jenkins methodology to forecast defense expenditure in India. The present study applies the one-step ahead forecasting method for annual data over the period 1961 to 2020. The results show that ARIMA (1,1,1) model with static forecasting being the most appropriate to forecast the India’s defense expenditure.

Time-series-based hybrid mathematical modelling method adapted to forecast automotive and medical waste generation: Case study of Lithuania

2018 ◽  
Vol 36 (5) ◽  
pp. 454-462 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aistė Karpušenkaitė ◽  
Tomas Ruzgas ◽  
Gintaras Denafas
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Mathematical Modelling ◽  
Error Rate ◽  
Medical Waste ◽  
Waste Generation ◽  
Prediction Horizon ◽  
Modelling Method ◽  
Forecasting Method ◽  
Hybrid Forecasting

The aim of the study was to create a hybrid forecasting method that could produce higher accuracy forecasts than previously used ‘pure’ time series methods. Mentioned methods were already tested with total automotive waste, hazardous automotive waste, and total medical waste generation, but demonstrated at least a 6% error rate in different cases and efforts were made to decrease it even more. Newly developed hybrid models used a random start generation method to incorporate different time-series advantages and it helped to increase the accuracy of forecasts by 3%–4% in hazardous automotive waste and total medical waste generation cases; the new model did not increase the accuracy of total automotive waste generation forecasts. Developed models’ abilities to forecast short- and mid-term forecasts were tested using prediction horizon.

Velocity Optimization and Robust Energy Management of Connected Power-Split Hybrid Electric Vehicles

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Seyedeh Mahsa Sotoudeh ◽  
Baisravan HomChaudhuri
Keyword(s):  
Energy Management ◽  
Time Horizon ◽  
Control Method ◽  
Optimization Approach ◽  
Management Problem ◽  
Energy Management Strategy ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Power Split ◽  
Energy Manager

Abstract This paper focuses on an eco-driving based hierarchical robust energy management strategy for connected automated HEVs in the presence of uncertainty. The proposed control strategy includes a velocity optimizer, which evaluates the optimal vehicle velocity, and a powertrain energy manager, which evaluates the optimal power split between the engine and the battery in a hierarchical framework. The velocity optimizer accounts for regenerative braking and minimizes the total driving power and friction braking over a short control horizon. The hierarchical powertrain energy manager employs a long- and short-term strategy where it first approximately solves its problem over a long time horizon (the whole trip time in this paper) using the traffic data obtained from vehicle-to-infrastructure (V2I) connectivity. This is followed by a short-term decision maker that utilizes the velocity optimizer and long-term solution, and solves the energy management problem over a relatively short time horizon using robust prediction control methods to factor in any uncertainty in the velocity profile due to uncertain traffic. We solve the long-term energy management problem using pseudospectral optimal control method, and the short-term problem using robust tube-based model predictive control(MPC) method. Simulation results show the competence of our proposed approach, where our proposed co-optimization approach with long- and short-term solution results in ≈ 12% more energy efficiency than a baseline co-optimization approach.

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