scholarly journals Robustness Analysis of an Outranking Model Parameters’ Elicitation Method in the Presence of Noisy Examples

2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nelson Rangel-Valdez ◽  
Eduardo Fernandez ◽  
Laura Cruz-Reyes ◽  
Claudia Gomez-Santillan ◽  
Gilberto Rivera ◽  
...  

One of the main concerns in Multicriteria Decision Aid (MCDA) is robustness analysis. Some of the most important approaches to model decision maker preferences are based on fuzzy outranking models whose parameters (e.g., weights and veto thresholds) must be elicited. The so-called preference-disaggregation analysis (PDA) has been successfully carried out by means of metaheuristics, but this kind of works lacks a robustness analysis. Based on the above, the present research studies the robustness of a PDA metaheuristic method to estimate model parameters of an outranking-based relational system of preferences. The method is considered robust if the solutions obtained in the presence of noise can maintain the same performance in predicting preference judgments in a new reference set. The research shows experimental evidence that the PDA method keeps the same performance in situations with up to 10% of noise level, making it robust.

2004 ◽  
Vol 158 (3) ◽  
pp. 734-744 ◽  
Author(s):  
Silvia Angilella ◽  
Salvatore Greco ◽  
Fabio Lamantia ◽  
Benedetto Matarazzo

1997 ◽  
Vol 97 (3) ◽  
pp. 550-560 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tarik Al-Shemmeri ◽  
Bashar Al-Kloub ◽  
Alan Pearman

2014 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 1581
Author(s):  
Maria-Carmen Garcia-Centeno ◽  
Gema Fernandez-Aviles

Pollution and environmental factors are a core topic because they influence in air quality of the different areas of a city. This is why in this article we propose to apply a multicriteria decision aid method (the Promethee) to establish a ranking among twenty one districts of Madrid city. To develop this ranking we use objective and subjective criteria that contain information about pollution and environmental indicators in these districts. The results show that some districts are the worse and the best regardless the used criteria.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sheng Zhang ◽  
Joan Ponce ◽  
Zhen Zhang ◽  
Guang Lin ◽  
George Karniadakis

AbstractEpidemiological models can provide the dynamic evolution of a pandemic but they are based on many assumptions and parameters that have to be adjusted over the time when the pandemic lasts. However, often the available data are not sufficient to identify the model parameters and hence infer the unobserved dynamics. Here, we develop a general framework for building a trustworthy data-driven epidemiological model, consisting of a workflow that integrates data acquisition and event timeline, model development, identifiability analysis, sensitivity analysis, model calibration, model robustness analysis, and forecasting with uncertainties in different scenarios. In particular, we apply this framework to propose a modified susceptible–exposed–infectious–recovered (SEIR) model, including new compartments and model vaccination in order to forecast the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in New York City (NYC). We find that we can uniquely estimate the model parameters and accurately predict the daily new infection cases, hospitalizations, and deaths, in agreement with the available data from NYC’s government’s website. In addition, we employ the calibrated data-driven model to study the effects of vaccination and timing of reopening indoor dining in NYC.


2003 ◽  
Vol 32 (5) ◽  
pp. 589-601 ◽  
Author(s):  
�se Eliasson ◽  
Francesco Mazzeo Rinaldi ◽  
Niklas Linde

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