scholarly journals Application of Probabilistic and Nonprobabilistic Hybrid Reliability Analysis Based on Dynamic Substructural Extremum Response Surface Decoupling Method for a Blisk of the Aeroengine

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Bai ◽  
Wei Zhang ◽  
Botong Li ◽  
Chao Li ◽  
Guangchen Bai
Keyword(s):  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Probabilistic Analysis ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Practical Significance ◽  
Decoupling Method ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Interval Variables ◽  
Hybrid Reliability ◽  
Response Surface Function

For the nondeterministic factors of an aeroengine blisk, including both factors with sufficient and insufficient statistical data, based on the dynamic substructural method of determinate analysis, the extremum response surface method of probabilistic analysis, and the interval method of nonprobabilistic analysis, a methodology called the probabilistic and nonprobabilistic hybrid reliability analysis based on dynamic substructural extremum response surface decoupling method (P-NP-HRA-DS-ERSDM) is proposed. The model includes random variables and interval variables to determine the interval failure probability and the interval reliability index. The extremum response surface function and its flow chart of mixed reliability analysis are given. The interval analysis is embedded in the most likely failure point in the iterative process. The probabilistic analysis and nonprobabilistic analysis are investigated alternately. Tuned and mistuned blisks are studied in a complicated environment, and the results are compared with the Monte Carlo method (MCM) and the multilevel nested algorithm (MLNA) to verify that the hybrid model can better handle reliability problems concurrently containing random variables and interval variables; meanwhile, it manifests that the computational efficiency of this method is superior and more reasonable for analysing and designing a mistuned blisk. Therefore, this methodology has very important practical significance.

scholarly journals Hybrid Reliability Analysis for Spacecraft Docking Lock with Random and Interval Uncertainty

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianguo Zhang ◽  
Jiwei Qiu ◽  
Pidong Wang
Keyword(s):  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Simple Problem ◽  
State Function ◽  
Limit State Function ◽  
Interval Variables ◽  
Reliability Method ◽  
Hybrid Reliability

This paper presents a novel procedure based on first-order reliability method (FORM) for structural reliability analysis with hybrid variables, that is, random and interval variables. This method can significantly improve the computational efficiency for the abovementioned hybrid reliability analysis (HRA), while generally providing sufficient precision. In the proposed procedure, the hybrid problem is reduced to standard reliability problem with the polar coordinates, where an n-dimensional limit-state function is defined only in terms of two random variables. Firstly, the linear Taylor series is used to approximate the limit-state function around the design point. Subsequently, with the approximation of the n-dimensional limit-state function, the new bidimensional limit state is established by the polar coordinate transformation. And the probability density functions (PDFs) of the two variables can be obtained by the PDFs of random variables and bounds of interval variables. Then, the interval of failure probability is efficiently calculated by the integral method. At last, one simple problem with explicit expressions and one engineering application of spacecraft docking lock are employed to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methods.

scholarly journals A Time-Variant Reliability Analysis Method Based on the Stochastic Process Discretization under Random and Interval Variables

Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 568
Author(s):  
Fangyi Li ◽  
Jie Liu ◽  
Yufei Yan ◽  
Jianhua Rong ◽  
Jijun Yi
Keyword(s):  
Stochastic Process ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Static System ◽  
Reliability Problem ◽  
Uncertain Variables ◽  
Discrete Random Variables ◽  
Interval Variables ◽  
Practical Engineering ◽  
Hybrid Reliability

In practical engineering, it is a cost-consuming problem to consider the time-variant reliability of both random variables and interval variables, which usually requires a lot of calculation. Therefore, a time-variant reliability analysis approach with hybrid uncertain variables is proposed in this paper. In the design period, the stochastic process is discretized into random variables. Simultaneously, the original random variables and the discrete random variables are converted into independent normal variables, and the interval variables are changed into standard variables. Then it is transformed into a hybrid reliability problem of static series system. At different times, the limited state functions are linearized at the most probable point (MPP) and at the most unfavorable point (MUP). The transformed static system reliability problem with hybrid uncertain variables can be solved effectively by introducing random variables. To solve the double-loop nested optimization in the hybrid reliability calculation, an effective iterative method is proposed. Two numerical examples and an engineering example demonstrate the validity of the present approach.

scholarly journals An Efficient Time-Variant Reliability Analysis Method with Mixed Uncertainties

Algorithms ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 229
Author(s):  
Fangyi Li ◽  
Yufei Yan ◽  
Jianhua Rong ◽  
Houyao Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Equivalent Model ◽  
Independent Random Variables ◽  
Problem Analysis ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Calculation Algorithm ◽  
Reliability Problem ◽  
Interval Variables

In practical engineering, due to the lack of information, it is impossible to accurately determine the distribution of all variables. Therefore, time-variant reliability problems with both random and interval variables may be encountered. However, this kind of problem usually involves a complex multilevel nested optimization problem, which leads to a substantial computational burden, and it is difficult to meet the requirements of complex engineering problem analysis. This study proposes a decoupling strategy to efficiently analyze the time-variant reliability based on the mixed uncertainty model. The interval variables are treated with independent random variables that are uniformly distributed in their respective intervals. Then the time-variant reliability-equivalent model, containing only random variables, is established, to avoid multi-layer nesting optimization. The stochastic process is first discretized to obtain several static limit state functions at different times. The time-variant reliability problem is changed into the conventional time-invariant system reliability problem. First order reliability analysis method (FORM) is used to analyze the reliability of each time. Thus, an efficient and robust convergence hybrid time-variant reliability calculation algorithm is proposed based on the equivalent model. Finally, numerical examples shows the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Structural Reliability Analysis Using Fourier Orthogonal Neural Network Method

2013 ◽  
Vol 838-841 ◽  
pp. 360-363 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Rong Sha ◽  
Yue Yang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Failure Probability ◽  
Structural Reliability ◽  
Random Variables ◽  
Structural Reliability Analysis ◽  
Surface Method ◽  
Structural Responses

In order to predict the failure probability of a complicated structure, the structural responses usually need to be predicted by a numerical procedure, such as FEM method. The response surface method could be used to reduce the computational effort required for reliability analysis. However the conventional response surface method is still time consuming when the number of random variables is large. In this paper, a Fourier orthogonal neural network (FONN)-based response surface method is proposed. In this method, the relationship between the random variables and structural responses is established using FONN models. Then the FONN model is connected to the first order and second moment method (FORM) to predict the failure probability. Numerical example result shows that the proposed approach is efficient and accurate, and is applicable to structural reliability analysis.

Comparison of Monte Carlo Simulation and Response Surface Method by Using ANSYS PDS

2014 ◽  
Vol 578-579 ◽  
pp. 1449-1453
Author(s):  
Chun Xue Song ◽  
Yi Zhang ◽  
Ying Yi Cao
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Response Surface ◽  
Response Surface Method ◽  
Probabilistic Analysis ◽  
Limit State ◽  
Design System ◽  
State Function ◽  
Surface Method

Monte Carlo Simulation and Response Surface Method are two very powerful reliability analysis methods. Normally, in the reliability analysis of complex structures, the limit state function often can not be expressed in a closed-form. Usually, the codes for probabilistic analysis need to be combined with finite element models. ANSYS Probabilistic Design System (PDS) has provided a package to conduct probabilistic analysis automatically. This paper is going to compare the performance of these methods through an easy engineering problem in ANSYS. The results are going to be derived to show the feature of applying the corresponding reliability methods.

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