scholarly journals Global Dynamics of a Periodic SEIRS Model with General Incidence Rate

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric Ávila-Vales ◽  
Erika Rivero-Esquivel ◽  
Gerardo Emilio García-Almeida

We consider a family of periodic SEIRS epidemic models with a fairly general incidence rate of the form Sf(I), and it is shown that the basic reproduction number determines the global dynamics of the models and it is a threshold parameter for persistence of disease. Numerical simulations are performed using a nonlinear incidence rate to estimate the basic reproduction number and illustrate our analytical findings.

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (05) ◽  
pp. 1750064 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junyuan Yang ◽  
Zhen Jin ◽  
Lin Wang ◽  
Fei Xu

In this paper, nonlinear incidence rate is incorporated into an age-of-infection SVIR epidemiological model. By the method of Lyapunov functionals, it is shown that the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] of the model is a threshold parameter in the sense that if [Formula: see text], the disease dies out, while if [Formula: see text], the disease persists.


Complexity ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Junyuan Yang ◽  
Xiaoyan Wang

We propose an SIR epidemic model with different susceptibilities and nonlinear incidence rate. First, we obtain the existence and uniqueness of the system and the regularity of the solution semiflow based on some assumptions for the parameters. Then, we calculate the basic reproduction number, which is the spectral radius of the next-generation operator. Second, we investigate the existence and local stability of the steady states. Finally, we construct suitable Lyapunov functionals to strictly prove the global stability of the system, which are determined by the basic reproduction number ℛ0 and some assumptions for the incidence rate.


2016 ◽  
Vol 09 (03) ◽  
pp. 1650046 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haitao Song ◽  
Weihua Jiang ◽  
Shengqiang Liu

To investigate the effect of heterogeneity on the global dynamics of two SIR epidemic models with general nonlinear incidence rate and infection delays, we formulate a multi-group model corresponding to the heterogeneity in the host population and a multi-stage model corresponding to heterogeneous stages of infection. Under biologically motivated considerations, we establish that the global dynamics for each of the two models is determined completely by the corresponding basic reproduction number: if the basic reproduction number is less than or equal to one, then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and the disease dies out in all groups or stages; if the basic reproduction number is larger than one, then the disease will persist in all groups or stages, and there is a unique endemic equilibrium which is globally asymptotically stable. Then we conclude that the heterogeneity does not change the global dynamics of the SIR model when the incidence rate is a general nonlinear function. Our results extend a class of previous results and can be applied to the other epidemiological models. The proofs of the main results use Lyapunov functional and graph-theoretic approach.


2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (06) ◽  
pp. 1850055 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abhishek Kumar ◽  
Nilam

In this paper, we present a mathematical study of a deterministic model for the transmission and control of epidemics. The incidence rate of susceptible being infected is very crucial in the spread of disease. The delay in the incidence rate is proved fatal. In the present study, we propose an SIR mathematical model with the delay in the infected population. We are taking nonlinear incidence rate for epidemics along with Holling type II treatment rate for understanding the dynamics of the epidemics. Model stability has been done by the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text]. The model is locally asymptotically stable for disease-free equilibrium [Formula: see text] when the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] is less than one ([Formula: see text]). We investigated the stability of the model for disease-free equilibrium at [Formula: see text] equals to one using center manifold theory. We also investigated the stability for endemic equilibrium [Formula: see text] at [Formula: see text]. Further, numerical simulations are presented to exemplify the analytical studies.


Author(s):  
Haifeng Wang ◽  
Xiaohong Tian

In this paper, a new delayed within host model for dengue fever with immune response and Beddington–DeAngelis incidence is investigated. The basic reproduction number is computed. In addition, a detailed analysis on the local and global dynamics of the model is conducted. Finally, sensitivity analysis is carried out on basic reproduction number and numerical simulations are given to elucidate our theoretical results.


2017 ◽  
Vol 25 (03) ◽  
pp. 419-440
Author(s):  
ZHIPING WANG ◽  
RUI XU

In this paper, an SVIR epidemiological model with infection age (time elapsed since the infection) and nonlinear incidence is studied. In the model, in order to reflect the dependence of disease progress on the infection age, the infected individual is structured by the infection age, and transmission and removal rates are assumed to depend on the infection age. By analyzing corresponding characteristic equations, the local stability of each of steady states of the model is established. It is proved that the semi-flow generated by this system is asymptotically smooth, and if the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, the system is uniformly persistent. By using Lyapunov functional and LaSalle’s invariance principle, the global dynamics of the model is investigated. It is shown that if the basic reproduction number is less than unity, the disease-free steady state is globally asymptotically stable and hence the disease dies out; and if the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, the endemic steady state is globally asymptotically stable and the disease persists. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the main analytic results.


2015 ◽  
Vol 08 (02) ◽  
pp. 1550020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Yang ◽  
Cuimei Zhang ◽  
Xunyan Jiang

In this paper, a class of SEIQV epidemic model with general nonlinear incidence rate is investigated. By constructing Lyapunov function, it is shown that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number ℛ0≤ 1. If ℛ0> 1, we show that the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable by applying Li and Muldowney geometric approach.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianping Wang ◽  
Shujing Gao ◽  
Yueli Luo ◽  
Dehui Xie

We analyze the impact of seasonal activity of psyllid on the dynamics of Huanglongbing (HLB) infection. A new model about HLB transmission with Logistic growth in psyllid insect vectors and periodic coefficients has been investigated. It is shown that the global dynamics are determined by the basic reproduction numberR0which is defined through the spectral radius of a linear integral operator. IfR0< 1, then the disease-free periodic solution is globally asymptotically stable and ifR0> 1, then the disease persists. Numerical values of parameters of the model are evaluated taken from the literatures. Furthermore, numerical simulations support our analytical conclusions and the sensitive analysis on the basic reproduction number to the changes of average and amplitude values of the recruitment function of citrus are shown. Finally, some useful comments on controlling the transmission of HLB are given.


2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
pp. 0
Author(s):  
Lian Duan ◽  
Lihong Huang ◽  
Chuangxia Huang

<p style='text-indent:20px;'>In this paper, we are concerned with the dynamics of a diffusive SIRI epidemic model with heterogeneous parameters and distinct dispersal rates for the susceptible and infected individuals. We first establish the basic properties of solutions to the model, and then identify the basic reproduction number <inline-formula><tex-math id="M1">\begin{document}$ \mathscr{R}_{0} $\end{document}</tex-math></inline-formula> which serves as a threshold parameter that predicts whether epidemics will persist or become globally extinct. Moreover, we study the asymptotic profiles of the positive steady state as the dispersal rate of the susceptible or infected individuals approaches zero. Our analytical results reveal that the epidemics can be extinct by limiting the movement of the susceptible individuals, and the infected individuals concentrate on certain points in some circumstances when limiting their mobility.</p>


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiangyun Shi ◽  
Guohua Song

This paper formulates and analyzes a pine wilt disease model. Mathematical analyses of the model with regard to invariance of nonnegativity, boundedness of the solutions, existence of nonnegative equilibria, permanence, and global stability are presented. It is proved that the global dynamics are determined by the basic reproduction numberℛ0and the other valueℛcwhich is larger thanℛ0. Ifℛ0andℛcare both less than one, the disease-free equilibrium is asymptotically stable and the pine wilt disease always dies out. If one is between the two values, though the pine wilt disease could occur, the outbreak will stop. If the basic reproduction number is greater than one, a unique endemic equilibrium exists and is globally stable in the interior of the feasible region, and the disease persists at the endemic equilibrium state if it initially exists. Numerical simulations are carried out to illustrate the theoretical results, and some disease control measures are especially presented by these theoretical results.


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