scholarly journals Developing a Clustering-Based Empirical Bayes Analysis Method for Hotspot Identification

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yajie Zou ◽  
Xinzhi Zhong ◽  
John Ash ◽  
Ziqiang Zeng ◽  
Yinhai Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Bayes ◽  
Reference Group ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Crash Frequency ◽  
Crash Data ◽  
The Road ◽  
Safety Performance Functions ◽  
Bayes Analysis ◽  
Rural Highway ◽  
Selection Of

Hotspot identification (HSID) is a critical part of network-wide safety evaluations. Typical methods for ranking sites are often rooted in using the Empirical Bayes (EB) method to estimate safety from both observed crash records and predicted crash frequency based on similar sites. The performance of the EB method is highly related to the selection of a reference group of sites (i.e., roadway segments or intersections) similar to the target site from which safety performance functions (SPF) used to predict crash frequency will be developed. As crash data often contain underlying heterogeneity that, in essence, can make them appear to be generated from distinct subpopulations, methods are needed to select similar sites in a principled manner. To overcome this possible heterogeneity problem, EB-based HSID methods that use common clustering methodologies (e.g., mixture models, K-means, and hierarchical clustering) to select “similar” sites for building SPFs are developed. Performance of the clustering-based EB methods is then compared using real crash data. Here, HSID results, when computed on Texas undivided rural highway cash data, suggest that all three clustering-based EB analysis methods are preferred over the conventional statistical methods. Thus, properly classifying the road segments for heterogeneous crash data can further improve HSID accuracy.

Effects of Rural Highway Median Treatments and Access

2005 ◽  
Vol 1931 (1) ◽  
pp. 99-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. L. Gattis ◽  
Ramasubramaniyan Balakumar ◽  
Lynette K. Duncan
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Crash Severity ◽  
Crash Frequency ◽  
Crash Data ◽  
Crash Rates ◽  
Access Frequency ◽  
Stop Sign ◽  
Median Volume ◽  
Rural Highway ◽  
Median Width

The safety records of rural and suburban four-lane highways in Arkansas as a function of median treatment and access density were examined. The study excluded roadways with posted speeds lower than 64 km/h (40 mph) and excluded fully controlled access roadways. When entering an urban area, the segments were normally terminated when the first traffic signal or stop sign was encountered. By using 3 years of crash data, the analyses revealed a number of relationships relating crash frequency to median, volume, and access frequency attributes. Crash severity and crash type were also examined. As median width increased, there was a weak but statistically significant decline in the crash rate. There was a weak but statistically significant increase in the crash rate as access density increased. The roadways with shoulders and depressed medians had the lowest crash rates, and the roadways with no median (i.e., painted centerline) and curbs had the worst safety record. An inspection of these data suggests that there may be a correlation between median type and land use type: certain types of median are more likely to be present in certain land use environments. This raises the possibility that in this and in other studies of the safety effects of median treatments, the findings may be influenced or skewed by correlations between median type and land use or surroundings or by other factors.

scholarly journals Assessing Safety Performance on Urban and Suburban Roadways of Lower Functional Classification: A Comparison of Minor Arterial and Collector Roadway Segments

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meghna Chakraborty ◽  
Timothy Gates
Keyword(s):  
Safety Performance ◽  
Speed Limit ◽  
General Effect ◽  
Crash Frequency ◽  
Mixed Effect ◽  
Fatal Injury ◽  
Crash Data ◽  
Random Intercept ◽  
Safety Performance Functions ◽  
Washtenaw County

Previous research of urban roadway safety performance has generally focused on roadways of high functional classifications, such as principal arterials. However,roadways with lower functional classifications, including minor arterials and collectors, typically possess characteristics that differ from those of higher roadway classes. Therefore, assumptions made on the general effect of the predictor variables from typical safety performance functions may not apply to lower roadway classes. Toaddress these knowledge gaps, a safety performance evaluation of urban/suburban minor arterial and collector roadway segments was performed using traffic androadway data along with eight years of crash data from 189 miles of two-lane urban and suburban roadways in Washtenaw County, Michigan. Mixed-effect negativebinomial models with segment-specific random intercept were developed for minor arterial and collector road segments, considering total, fatal+injury, and propertydamage only crashes. In general, minor arterial roadways showed greater crash occurrence compared to collector roads. Posted speed limit had a significant positiveassociation with crash frequency, and this effect increased when the speed limit exceeded 40 mph. The effect of speed limit was stronger on minor arterial segmentsand for fatal+injury crashes. Additionally, driveway density was found to have a significant effect on safety performance, which was stronger for commercial/industrialdriveways compared to residential driveways and for collector roads compared to minor arterials, particularly when considering residential driveways. On-street parkingwas associated with lower crash occurrence, with a stronger effect on collector roadways, likely due to greater parking turnover when compared to minor arterials.

scholarly journals Application of the Empirical Bayes Method with the Finite Mixture Model for Identifying Accident-Prone Spots

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yajie Zou ◽  
Kristian Henrickson ◽  
Lingtao Wu ◽  
Yinhai Wang ◽  
Zhaoru Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Bayes ◽  
Safety Management ◽  
Identification Accuracy ◽  
Expected Number ◽  
Performance Function ◽  
Crash Data ◽  
Safety Performance Function ◽  
Traffic Characteristic ◽  
Rural Highway ◽  
Better Than

Hotspot identification (HSID) is an important component of the highway safety management process. A number of methods have been proposed to identify hotspots. Among these methods, previous studies have indicated that the empirical Bayes (EB) method can outperform other methods for identifying hotspots, since the EB method combines the historical crash records of the site and expected number of crashes obtained from a safety performance function (SPF) for similar sites. However, the SPFs are usually developed based on a large number of sites, which may contain heterogeneity in traffic characteristic. As a result, the hotspot identification accuracy of EB methods can possibly be affected by SPFs, when heterogeneity is present in crash data. Thus, it is necessary to consider the heterogeneity and homogeneity of roadway segments when using EB methods. To address this problem, this paper proposed three different classification-based EB methods to identify hotspots. Rural highway crash data collected in Texas were analyzed and classified into different groups using the proposed methods. Based on the modeling results for Texas crash dataset, it is found that one proposed classification-based EB method performs better than the standard EB method as well as other HSID methods.

Safety Evaluation of Roundabouts in Georgia

2019 ◽  
Vol 2673 (7) ◽  
pp. 641-651
Author(s):  
Franklin E. Gbologah ◽  
Angshuman Guin ◽  
Michael O. Rodgers
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Bayes ◽  
Safety Evaluation ◽  
The United States ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
Data Availability ◽  
Evaluation Procedure ◽  
Crash Frequency ◽  
Fatal Crashes ◽  
Bayes Analysis ◽  
Departments Of Transportation

U.S. roundabout growth has been significant in recent years and many published studies have documented significant safety benefits of roundabouts. However, the safety benefits for a roundabout may vary from region to region depending on many local factors. Therefore, transportation agencies can make more informed implementation decisions with local safety evaluations rather than published national findings. However, roundabouts are relatively new in the United States and most departments of transportation, including Georgia, are often hindered by the data availability requirements of the state-of-the-art empirical Bayes analysis evaluation procedure. This current study provides a safety evaluation of 23 Georgia roundabouts. It adopts a time-dependent form of the Highway Safety Manual predictive (empirical Bayes) method to estimate potential crash reductions across all crashes and all injury/fatal crashes. The method extends the empirical Bayes procedure towards a full Bayesian analysis. The findings indicate a 37–48% reduction in average crash frequency for all crashes and a 51–60% reduction in average crash frequency for injury/fatal crashes at four-leg roundabouts that were converted from stop-controlled and conventional intersections. In addition, when analyzed as a group, three-leg and four-leg roundabouts converted from stop-controlled and conventional intersections collectively experienced 56% reduction in average crash frequency for all crashes and 69% reduction in injury/fatal crashes. The study did not consider five-leg roundabouts because of small sample size and concerns about the form of the safety performance function. The adopted methodology offers departments of transportation with data availability challenges an alternative evaluation framework that retains the positive attributes of empirical Bayes analysis.

scholarly journals Evaluation of the Use of a Road Diet Design: An Urban Corridor Case Study in Washington, DC

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (16) ◽  
pp. 8964
Author(s):  
Mohammad A. Aljamal ◽  
Derek Voight ◽  
Jacob Green ◽  
Jianwei Wang ◽  
Huthaifa I. Ashqar
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Bayes ◽  
Annual Number ◽  
Full Time ◽  
Left Turn ◽  
The Road ◽  
Traffic Calming ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Traffic Volumes ◽  
Bayes Analysis ◽  
Urban Corridor

A traditional road diet design converts a four-lane two-way road to a three-lane road consisting of two through lanes and a center two-way left turn lane. This paper introduces a new application of the road diet design in an urban corridor. Specifically, the new application converts a four-lane two-way road into a two-lane two-way road with full-time parking lanes in both directions. The paper analyzed the traffic impacts of the road diet application on the corridor of New Jersey Avenue, northwest, in the city of Washington, District of Columbia. The corridor included five signalized and one unsignalized intersections. Before-and-after analyses using Synchro 11 simulation and Site-Specific Empirical Bayes analysis were used to evaluate and compare existing and proposed scenarios. The proposed scenario provided various benefits including offering accessibility to the businesses in the area and acting as a traffic calming strategy. For signalized intersections, the overall performance remained the same for most intersections except for one intersection (on P Street), as it is significantly impacted by the road diet design due to the dramatic increase of traffic volumes in its minor streets as a result of diverting traffic volumes from the unsignalized intersection for left and through movements. Results showed that the use of a road diet design enhanced the unsignalized intersection performance due to the traffic volume divergence from its minor streets and enhanced the safety of the study area by decreasing the annual number of predicted crashes. To achieve better operational benefits and reflect traffic demands, the paper recommends to re-optimize signal timings when a road diet design is adopted.

ANALISIS PENGARUH PEMBANGUNAN JALAN LAYANG JANTI TERHADAP PERKEMBANGAN TATA RUANG KAWASAN JANTI STUDI KASUS : KAWASAN JANTI, DESA CATURTUNGGAL, KABUPATEN SLEMAN, D. I. YOGYAKARTA

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 255
Author(s):  
Jeky El Boru
Keyword(s):  
Road Network ◽  
Open Space ◽  
Qualitative Description ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Open Spaces ◽  
The Road ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Linkage Method ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Parking Place

Abstract: This research aims to analyze the impact of Janti Flyover Construction toward the growth of layout at Janti Urban Area, including structured space, open space, and linkage. Method used for data collecting are observation, air photograph monitoring, and interview, whereas the analysis method is qualitative description, which is the superimposed method of two layers, that are the layout condition before and after flyover construction. The result shows that the impact of Janti Flyover construction can be seen on building mass (solid), the increasing number of open spaces, including the road network, parking place, and park, whereas the relation between spaces, visually and structurally, can be seen on the growth of buildings which have new shapes and styles, therefore the performance of the overall building does not have a proportional shape. Considering Janti Street at the collective relation, its role is getting stronger as the main frame road network.Keywords: Flyover construction, layout changing, Janti AreaAbstrak: Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh pembangunan Jalan Layang Janti terhadap perkembangan tata ruang Kawasan Janti, meliputi ruang terbangun, ruang terbuka, serta hubungan antar ruang (“linkage”). Metode pengumpulan data dilakukan melalui observasi, pengamatan foto udara, dan wawancara; sedangkan metode analisis melalui deskripsi secara kualitatif yang berupa “superimposed method” dari dua lapisan kondisi lahan, yakni kondisi tata ruang sebelum dan sesudah pembangunan jalan layang. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pengaruh pembangunan Jalan Layang Janti terdapat pada massa bangunan (“solid”), pertambahan ruang terbuka yang berupa jaringan jalan, parkir, dan taman; sedangkan pada hubungan antar ruang ̶ secara visual dan struktural ̶ yakni tumbuhnya bangunan dengan bentuk dan gaya baru, sehingga bentuk tampilan bangunan secara keseluruhan tidak proporsional. Pada hubungan kolektif, Jalan Janti semakin kuat perannya sebagai kerangka utama jaringan jalan.Kata kunci : Pembangunan jalan layang, tata ruang, Kawasan Janti

scholarly journals Segment-Based Approach for Assessing Hazard Risk of Coastal Highways in Hawai‘i

2019 ◽  
Vol 2673 (1) ◽  
pp. 83-91 ◽  
Author(s):  
Harrison Togia ◽  
Oceana P. Francis ◽  
Karl Kim ◽  
Guohui Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Qualitative Method ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Regional Environment ◽  
The Road ◽  
Hazard Exposure ◽  
Multiple Indicators ◽  
System Data ◽  
Rural Highway ◽  
Geographic Information System Data

Hazards to roadways and travelers can be drastically different because hazards are largely dependent on the regional environment and climate. This paper describes the development of a qualitative method for assessing infrastructure importance and hazard exposure for rural highway segments in Hawai‘i under different conditions. Multiple indicators of roadway importance are considered, including traffic volume, population served, accessibility, connectivity, reliability, land use, and roadway connection to critical infrastructures, such as hospitals and police stations. The method of evaluating roadway hazards and importance can be tailored to fit different regional hazard scenarios. It assimilates data from diverse sources to estimate risks of disruption. A case study for Highway HI83 in Hawai‘i, which is exposed to multiple hazards, is conducted. Weakening of the road by coastal erosion, inundation from sea level rise, and rockfall hazards require adaptation solutions. By analyzing the risk of disruption to highway segments, adaptation approaches can be prioritized. Using readily available geographic information system data sets for the exposure and impacts of potential hazards, this method could be adapted not only for emergency management but also for planning, design, and engineering of resilient highways.

scholarly journals The use of cement concrete pavements for roads, depending on climatic conditions

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (3) ◽  
pp. 235-240
Author(s):  
Iryna Solonenko
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Statistical Models ◽  
Road Network ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Rational Selection ◽  
Cement Concrete ◽  
The Road ◽  
Road Pavement ◽  
Operational Characteristics ◽  
Selection Of

The development of road network infrastructure is an important component of the economic development of the European Union. Updating of the road network contributes to the integration of the economies of countries into a coherent whole. The road network provides the free movement of citizens, the movement of goods and the effective implementation of various services. The increase in the length of the road network leads to an increase in the financial and material costs necessary to ensure its maintenance and repair. One of the ways to reduce costs is by strengthening the physic-mechanical and operational characteristics of the pavement due to the widespread use of cement concrete. The quality of the pavement of cement concrete depends largely on the rational selection of its composition. This allows a significant increase in the durability of road pavement. The purpose of the research was: the development of recommendations for the rational selection of the composition of the road pavement material of cement concrete, aimed at upgrading longevity, and taking into account its frost resistance grade. According to the goal, the following tasks were developed: the analyses of the climatic zones in which the road network of the European Union is located; the development of a research plan, a selection of the response function and influence factors; the study of physico-mechanical and operational characteristics of the researched material of road pavement; on the basis of the obtained data, the calculation of the complex of experimental-statistical models, which describe the physico-mechanical and operational characteristics of the road pavement material; on the basis of experimental statistical models, a method was proposed for selecting the rational compositions of the cement concrete pavement road material depending on the conditions of its application. The results presented in the article can be used in engineering and scientific practice for the selection of road pavement from cement concrete for highways.

scholarly journals Evaluating the Safety Risk of Rural Roadsides Using a Bayesian Network Method

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (7) ◽  
pp. 1166 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tianpei Tang ◽  
Senlai Zhu ◽  
Yuntao Guo ◽  
Xizhao Zhou ◽  
Yang Cao
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Network ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
Road Networks ◽  
Access Point ◽  
Safety Risk ◽  
Crash Data ◽  
Risk Levels ◽  
The Road ◽  
Run Off ◽  
Point Density

Evaluating the safety risk of rural roadsides is critical for achieving reasonable allocation of a limited budget and avoiding excessive installation of safety facilities. To assess the safety risk of rural roadsides when the crash data are unavailable or missing, this study proposed a Bayesian Network (BN) method that uses the experts’ judgments on the conditional probability of different safety risk factors to evaluate the safety risk of rural roadsides. Eight factors were considered, including seven factors identified in the literature and a new factor named access point density. To validate the effectiveness of the proposed method, a case study was conducted using 19.42 km long road networks in the rural area of Nantong, China. By comparing the results of the proposed method and run-off-road (ROR) crash data from 2015–2016 in the study area, the road segments with higher safety risk levels identified by the proposed method were found to be statistically significantly correlated with higher crash severity based on the crash data. In addition, by comparing the respective results evaluated by eight factors and seven factors (a new factor removed), we also found that access point density significantly contributed to the safety risk of rural roadsides. These results show that the proposed method can be considered as a low-cost solution to evaluating the safety risk of rural roadsides with relatively high accuracy, especially for areas with large rural road networks and incomplete ROR crash data due to budget limitation, human errors, negligence, or inconsistent crash recordings.

scholarly journals Modeling, comparison and evaluation of one-DOF six-bar bioinspired jumping leg mechanisms

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 168781402199295
Author(s):  
Ziqiang Zhang ◽  
Qi Yang ◽  
Xingkun Liu ◽  
Chuanzhong Zhang ◽  
Jinnong Liao
Keyword(s):  
Center Of Mass ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Analysis Method ◽  
Index Distribution ◽  
Inertial Moment ◽  
Structure Index ◽  
Mean And Variance ◽  
Research Objects ◽  
Leg Mechanisms ◽  
Selection Of

One degree-of-freedom (DOF) jumping leg has the advantages of simple control and high stiffness, and it has been widely used in bioinspired jumping robots. Compared with four-bar jumping leg, six-bar jumping leg mechanism can make the robot achieve more abundant motion rules. However, the differences among different configurations have not been analyzed, and the choice of configurations lacks basis. In this study, five Watt-type six-bar jumping leg mechanisms were selected as research objects according to the different selection of equivalent tibia, femur and trunk link, and a method for determining the dimension of the jumping leg was proposed based on the movement law of jumping leg of locust in take-off phase. On this basis, kinematics indices (sensitivity of take-off direction angle and trunk attitude angle), dynamics indices (velocity loss, acceleration fluctuation, and mean and variance of total inertial moment) and structure index (distribution of center of mass) were established, and the differences of different configurations were compared and analyzed in detail. Finally, according to the principal component analysis method, the optimal selection method for different configurations was proposed. This study provides a reference for the design of one DOF bioinspired mechanism.

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