scholarly journals Electricity Demand Projection Using a Path-Coefficient Analysis and BAG-SA Approach: A Case Study of China

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Qunli Wu ◽  
Chenyang Peng

Path-coefficient analysis is utilized to investigate the direct and indirect effects of economic growth, population growth, urbanization rate, industrialization level, and carbon intensity on electricity demand of China. To improve the projection accuracy of electricity demand, this study proposes a hybrid bat algorithm, Gaussian perturbations, and simulated annealing (BAG-SA) optimization method. The proposed BAG-SA algorithm not only inherits the simplicity and efficiency of the standard BA with a capability of searching for global optimality but also enhances local search ability and speeds up the global convergence rate. The BAG-SA algorithm is employed to optimize the coefficients of the multiple linear and quadratic forms of electricity demand estimation model. Results indicate that the proposed algorithm has higher precision and reliability than the coefficients optimized by other single-optimization methods, such as genetic algorithm, particle swarm optimization algorithm, or bat algorithm. And the quadratic form of BAG-SA electricity demand estimation model has better fitting ability compared with the multiple linear form of the model. Therefore, the quadratic form of the model is applied to estimate electricity demand of China from 2016 to 2030. The findings of this study demonstrate that China’s electricity demand will reach 14925200 million KWh in 2030.

2007 ◽  
Vol 03 (04) ◽  
pp. 541-556 ◽  
Author(s):  
WAI KIU CHAN ◽  
A. G. EARNEST ◽  
MARIA INES ICAZA ◽  
JI YOUNG KIM

Let 𝔬 be the ring of integers in a number field. An integral quadratic form over 𝔬 is called regular if it represents all integers in 𝔬 that are represented by its genus. In [13,14] Watson proved that there are only finitely many inequivalent positive definite primitive integral regular ternary quadratic forms over ℤ. In this paper, we generalize Watson's result to totally positive regular ternary quadratic forms over [Formula: see text]. We also show that the same finiteness result holds for totally positive definite spinor regular ternary quadratic forms over [Formula: see text], and thus extends the corresponding finiteness results for spinor regular quadratic forms over ℤ obtained in [1,3].


2014 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
pp. 579-590 ◽  
Author(s):  
STACY MARIE MUSGRAVE

AbstractThis work defines a new algebraic structure, to be called an alternative Clifford algebra associated to a given quadratic form. I explored its representations, particularly concentrating on connections to the well-understood octonion algebras. I finished by suggesting directions for future research.


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