scholarly journals Research and Application of a New Hybrid Forecasting Model Based on Genetic Algorithm Optimization: A Case Study of Shandong Wind Farm in China

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ping Jiang ◽  
Xiaofei Li ◽  
Yao Dong

With the increasing depletion of fossil fuel and serious destruction of environment, wind power, as a kind of clean and renewable resource, is more and more connected to the power system and plays a crucial role in power dispatch of hybrid system. Thus, it is necessary to forecast wind speed accurately for the operation of wind farm in hybrid system. In this paper, we propose a hybrid model called EEMD-GA-FAC/SAC to forecast wind speed. First, the Ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) can be applied to eliminate the noise of the original data. After data preprocessing, first-order adaptive coefficient forecasting method (FAC) or second-order adaptive coefficient forecasting method (SAC) can be employed to do forecast. It is significant to select optimal parameters for an effective model. Thus, genetic algorithm (GA) is used to determine parameter of the hybrid model. In order to verify the validity of the proposed model, every ten-minute wind speed data from three observation sites in Shandong Peninsula of China and several error evaluation criteria can be collected. Through comparing with traditional BP, ARIMA, FAC, and SAC model, the experimental results show that the proposed hybrid model EEMD-GA-FAC/SAC has the best forecasting performance.

2021 ◽  
Vol 791 (1) ◽  
pp. 012140
Author(s):  
Yu Dongyang ◽  
Sun Fengchang ◽  
Deng Xiaochuan ◽  
Wang Zheng ◽  
Wu Jiahua ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Anshul Mittal ◽  
Lafayette K. Taylor

Optimizing the placement of the wind turbines in a wind farm to achieve optimal performance is an active area of research, with numerous research studies being published every year. Typically, the area available for the wind farm is divided into cells (a cell may/may not contain a wind turbine) and an optimization algorithm is used. In this study, the effect of the cell size on the optimal layout is being investigated by reducing it from five rotor diameter (previous studies) to 1/40 rotor diameter (present study). A code is developed for optimizing the placement of wind turbines in large wind farms. The objective is to minimize the cost per unit power produced from the wind farm. A genetic algorithm is employed for the optimization. The velocity deficits in the wake of the wind turbines are estimated using a simple wake model. The code is verified using the results from the previous studies. Results are obtained for three different wind regimes: (1) Constant wind speed and fixed wind direction, (2) constant wind speed and variable wind direction, and (3) variable wind speed and variable wind direction. Cost per unit power is reduced by 11.7% for Case 1, 11.8% for Case 2, and 15.9% for Case 3 for results obtained in this study. The advantages/benefits of a refined grid spacing of 1/40 rotor diameter (1 m) are evident and are discussed. To get an understanding of the sensitivity of the power produced to the wake model, optimized layout is obtained for the Case 1 using a different wake model.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingfei Niu ◽  
Shaolong Sun ◽  
Jie Wu ◽  
Yuanlei Zhang

The accuracy of wind speed forecasting is becoming increasingly important to improve and optimize renewable wind power generation. In particular, reliable short-term wind speed forecasting can enable model predictive control of wind turbines and real-time optimization of wind farm operation. However, due to the strong stochastic nature and dynamic uncertainty of wind speed, the forecasting of wind speed data using different patterns is difficult. This paper proposes a novel combination bias correcting forecasting method, which includes the combination forecasting method and forecasting bias correcting model. The forecasting result shows that the combination bias correcting forecasting method can more accurately forecast the trend of wind speed and has a good robustness.


2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 181-187
Author(s):  
M. Erkan Kütük ◽  
L. Canan Dülger

An optimization study with kinetostatic analysis is performed on hybrid seven-bar press mechanism. This study is based on previous studies performed on planar hybrid seven-bar linkage. Dimensional synthesis is performed, and optimum link lengths for the mechanism are found. Optimization study is performed by using genetic algorithm (GA). Genetic Algorithm Toolbox is used with Optimization Toolbox in MATLAB®. The design variables and the constraints are used during design optimization. The objective function is determined and eight precision points are used. A seven-bar linkage system with two degrees of freedom is chosen as an example. Metal stamping operation with a dwell is taken as the case study. Having completed optimization, the kinetostatic analysis is performed. All forces on the links and the crank torques are calculated on the hybrid system with the optimized link lengths


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Akram Khodadadi ◽  
Shahram Saeidi

AbstractThe k-clique problem is identifying the largest complete subgraph of size k on a network, and it has many applications in Social Network Analysis (SNA), coding theory, geometry, etc. Due to the NP-Complete nature of the problem, the meta-heuristic approaches have raised the interest of the researchers and some algorithms are developed. In this paper, a new algorithm based on the Bat optimization approach is developed for finding the maximum k-clique on a social network to increase the convergence speed and evaluation criteria such as Precision, Recall, and F1-score. The proposed algorithm is simulated in Matlab® software over Dolphin social network and DIMACS dataset for k = 3, 4, 5. The computational results show that the convergence speed on the former dataset is increased in comparison with the Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) approaches. Besides, the evaluation criteria are also modified on the latter dataset and the F1-score is obtained as 100% for k = 5.


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