scholarly journals Nonzero-Sum Stochastic Differential Portfolio Games under a Markovian Regime Switching Model

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chaoqun Ma ◽  
Hui Wu ◽  
Xiang Lin
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chain ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Game Problem ◽  
Comparative Statics ◽  
Optimal Portfolio ◽  
Hjb Equations ◽  
Risky Assets ◽  
Portfolio Strategies ◽  
The Impact

We consider a nonzero-sum stochastic differential portfolio game problem in a continuous-time Markov regime switching environment when the price dynamics of the risky assets are governed by a Markov-modulated geometric Brownian motion (GBM). The market parameters, including the bank interest rate and the appreciation and volatility rates of the risky assets, switch over time according to a continuous-time Markov chain. We formulate the nonzero-sum stochastic differential portfolio game problem as two utility maximization problems of the sum process between two investors’ terminal wealth. We derive a pair of regime switching Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equations and two systems of coupled HJB equations at different regimes. We obtain explicit optimal portfolio strategies and Feynman-Kac representations of the two value functions. Furthermore, we solve the system of coupled HJB equations explicitly in a special case where there are only two states in the Markov chain. Finally we provide comparative statics and numerical simulation analysis of optimal portfolio strategies and investigate the impact of regime switching on optimal portfolio strategies.

HEDGING OPTIONS IN A DOUBLY MARKOV-MODULATED FINANCIAL MARKET VIA STOCHASTIC FLOWS

2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (08) ◽  
pp. 1950047 ◽  
Author(s):  
TAK KUEN SIU ◽  
ROBERT J. ELLIOTT
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chain ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Stochastic Flows ◽  
Finite State ◽  
Markov Modulated ◽  
Appreciation Rate ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Over Time

The hedging of a European-style contingent claim is studied in a continuous-time doubly Markov-modulated financial market, where the interest rate of a bond is modulated by an observable, continuous-time, finite-state, Markov chain and the appreciation rate of a risky share is modulated by a continuous-time, finite-state, hidden Markov chain. The first chain describes the evolution of credit ratings of the bond over time while the second chain models the evolution of the hidden state of an underlying economy over time. Stochastic flows of diffeomorphisms are used to derive some hedge quantities, or Greeks, for the claim. A mixed filter-based and regime-switching Black–Scholes partial differential equation is obtained governing the price of the claim. It will be shown that the delta hedge ratio process obtained from stochastic flows is a risk-minimizing, admissible mean-self-financing portfolio process. Both the first-order and second-order Greeks will be considered.

scholarly journals Pricing energy contracts under regime switching time-changed Levy Processes

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Konrad Gajewski
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chain ◽  
Characteristic Function ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Switching Time ◽  
Continuous Time Markov Chain ◽  
Energy Data ◽  
Varying Parameters ◽  
Call Options ◽  
Black Scholes

The failures of the popular Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) model led to an interest in new, robust models which could more accurately model the behavior of historical prices. We consider one such model, the regime switching time-changed Levy process, which builds upon the BSM model by incorporating jumps through a random clock, as well as randomly varying parameters according to a continuous-time Markov chain. We develop the characteristic function as well as two methods for pricing European call options. Finally, we estimate the parameters of the model by incorporating historic energy data and option quotes using a variety of methods.

CONTINUOUS-TIME MEAN–VARIANCE OPTIMIZATION FOR DEFINED CONTRIBUTION PENSION FUNDS WITH REGIME-SWITCHING

2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (06) ◽  
pp. 1950029
Author(s):  
ZHIPING CHEN ◽  
LIYUAN WANG ◽  
PING CHEN ◽  
HAIXIANG YAO
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Portfolio Selection ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Optimal Strategy ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Efficient Frontier ◽  
Defined Contribution ◽  
Risky Assets ◽  
Mean Variance Portfolio ◽  
Mean Variance

Using mean–variance (MV) criterion, this paper investigates a continuous-time defined contribution (DC) pension fund investment problem. The framework is constructed under a Markovian regime-switching market consisting of one bank account and multiple risky assets. The prices of the risky assets are governed by geometric Brownian motion while the accumulative contribution evolves according to a Brownian motion with drift and their correlation is considered. The market state is modeled by a Markovian chain and the random regime-switching is assumed to be independent of the underlying Brownian motions. The incorporation of the stochastic accumulative contribution and the correlations between the contribution and the prices of risky assets makes our problem harder to tackle. Luckily, based on appropriate Riccati-type equations and using the techniques of Lagrange multiplier and stochastic linear quadratic control, we derive the explicit expressions of the optimal strategy and efficient frontier. Further, two special cases with no contribution and no regime-switching, respectively, are discussed and the corresponding results are consistent with those results of Zhou & Yin [(2003) Markowitz’s mean-variance portfolio selection with regime switching: A continuous-time model, SIAM Journal on Control and Optimization 42 (4), 1466–1482] and Zhou & Li [(2000) Continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection: A stochastic LQ framework, Applied Mathematics and Optimization 42 (1), 19–33]. Finally, some numerical analyses based on real data from the American market are provided to illustrate the property of the optimal strategy and the effects of model parameters on the efficient frontier, which sheds light on our theoretical results.

PRICING CREDIT DERIVATIVES IN A MARKOV-MODULATED REDUCED-FORM MODEL

2013 ◽  
Vol 16 (04) ◽  
pp. 1350018 ◽  
Author(s):  
TAMAL BANERJEE ◽  
MRINAL K. GHOSH ◽  
SRIKANTH K. IYER
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chain ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Credit Derivatives ◽  
Reduced Form ◽  
New Family ◽  
Default Intensity ◽  
High Volatility ◽  
Markov Modulated ◽  
The Impact

Numerous incidents in the financial world have exposed the need for the design and analysis of models for correlated default timings. Some models have been studied in this regard which can capture the feedback in case of a major credit event. We extend the research in the same direction by proposing a new family of models having the feedback phenomena and capturing the effects of regime switching economy on the market. The regime switching economy is modeled by a continuous time Markov chain. The Markov chain may also be interpreted to represent the credit rating of the firm whose bond we seek to price. We model the default intensity in a pool of firms using the Markov chain and a risk factor process. We price some single-name and multi-name credit derivatives in terms of certain transforms of the default and loss processes. These transforms can be calculated explicitly in case the default intensity is modeled as a linear function of a conditionally affine jump diffusion process. In such a case, under suitable technical conditions, the price of credit derivatives are obtained as solutions to a system of ODEs with weak coupling, subject to appropriate terminal conditions. Solving the system of ODEs numerically, we analyze the credit derivative spreads and compare their behavior with the nonswitching counterparts. We show that our model can easily incorporate the effects of business cycle. We demonstrate the impact on spreads of the inclusion of rare states that attempt to capture a tight liquidity situation. These states are characterized by low floating interest rate, high default intensity rate, and high volatility. We also model the effects of firm restructuring on the credit spread, in case of a default.

scholarly journals PREPAYMENT OPTION OF A PERPETUAL CORPORATE LOAN: THE IMPACT OF THE FUNDING COSTS

2014 ◽  
Vol 17 (04) ◽  
pp. 1450028 ◽  
Author(s):  
TIMOTHEE PAPIN ◽  
GABRIEL TURINICI
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chain ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Two Dimensional ◽  
Implicit Function ◽  
Discrete State ◽  
Default Intensity ◽  
Constrained Minimization Problem ◽  
Prepayment Option ◽  
Corporate Loan ◽  
The Impact

We investigate in this paper a perpetual prepayment option related to a corporate loan. The short interest rate and default intensity of the firm are supposed to follow Cox–Ingersoll–Ross (CIR) processes. A liquidity term that represents the funding costs of the bank is introduced and modeled as a continuous time discrete state Markov chain. The prepayment option needs specific attention as the payoff itself is a derivative product and thus an implicit function of the parameters of the problem and of the dynamics. We prove verification results that allows to certify the geometry of the exercise region and compute the price of the option. We show moreover that the price is the solution of a constrained minimization problem and propose a numerical algorithm building on this result. The algorithm is implemented in a two-dimensional code and several examples are considered. It is found that the impact of the prepayment option on the loan value is not to be neglected and should be used to assess the risks related to client prepayment. Moreover, the Markov chain liquidity model is seen to describe more accurately clients' prepayment behavior than a model with constant liquidity.

A FINITE-HORIZON OPTIMAL INVESTMENT AND CONSUMPTION PROBLEM USING REGIME-SWITCHING MODELS

2014 ◽  
Vol 17 (04) ◽  
pp. 1450027 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. H. LIU
Keyword(s):  
Continuous Time ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Optimal Investment ◽  
Finite Horizon ◽  
Power Utility ◽  
Verification Theorem ◽  
Regime Switching Models ◽  
Switching Models ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Optimal Investment And Consumption

This paper is concerned with a finite-horizon optimal investment and consumption problem in continuous-time regime-switching models. The market consists of one bond and n ≥ 1 correlated stocks. An investor distributes his/her wealth among these assets and consumes at a non-negative rate. The market parameters (the interest rate, the appreciation rates and the volatilities of the stocks) and the utility functions are assumed to depend on a continuous-time Markov chain with a finite number of states. The objective is to maximize the expected discounted total utility of consumption and the expected discounted utility from terminal wealth. We solve the optimization problem by applying the stochastic control methods to regime-switching models. Under suitable conditions, we prove a verification theorem. We then apply the verification theorem to a power utility function and obtain, up to the solution of a system of coupled ordinary differential equations, an explicit solution of the value function and the optimal investment and consumption policies. We illustrate the impact of regime-switching on the optimal investment and consumption policies with numerical results and compare the results with the classical Merton problem that has only a single regime.

scholarly journals Portfolio Selection with Jumps under Regime Switching

2010 ◽  
Vol 2010 ◽  
pp. 1-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lin Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chain ◽  
Portfolio Selection ◽  
Continuous Time ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Jump Processes ◽  
Bank Account ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Mean Variance Portfolio ◽  
Portfolio Selection Model ◽  
Mean Variance

We investigate a continuous-time version of the mean-variance portfolio selection model with jumps under regime switching. The portfolio selection is proposed and analyzed for a market consisting of one bank account and multiple stocks. The random regime switching is assumed to be independent of the underlying Brownian motion and jump processes. A Markov chain modulated diffusion formulation is employed to model the problem.

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