scholarly journals Calibration of Conceptual Rainfall-Runoff Models Using Global Optimization

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chao Zhang ◽  
Ru-bin Wang ◽  
Qing-xiang Meng
Keyword(s):  
Global Optimization ◽  
Parameter Optimization ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Optimization Method ◽  
Difficult Problem ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
True Parameter ◽  
Shuffled Complex Evolution ◽  
Structure Lead ◽  
Parameter Values

Parameter optimization for the conceptual rainfall-runoff (CRR) model has always been the difficult problem in hydrology since watershed hydrological model is high-dimensional and nonlinear with multimodal and nonconvex response surface and its parameters are obviously related and complementary. In the research presented here, the shuffled complex evolution (SCE-UA) global optimization method was used to calibrate the Xinanjiang (XAJ) model. We defined the ideal data and applied the method to observed data. Our results show that, in the case of ideal data, the data length did not affect the parameter optimization for the hydrological model. If the objective function was selected appropriately, the proposed method found the true parameter values. In the case of observed data, we applied the technique to different lengths of data (1, 2, and 3 years) and compared the results with ideal data. We found that errors in the data and model structure lead to significant uncertainties in the parameter optimization.

Usage of Differential Evolution Algorithm in the Calibration of Parametric Rainfall-Runoff Modeling

2018 ◽  
pp. 481-499 ◽  
Author(s):  
Umut Okkan ◽  
Nuray Gedik ◽  
Halil Uysal
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Global Optimization ◽  
Differential Evolution ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Optimization Algorithms ◽  
Differential Evolution Algorithm ◽  
Hydrological Models ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Lumped Model ◽  
Evolution Algorithm

In recent years, global optimization algorithms are used in many engineering applications. Calibration of certain parameters at conceptualization of hydrological models is one example of these. An important issue in interpreting the effects of climate change on the basin depends on selecting an appropriate hydrological model. Not only climate change impact assessment studies, but also many water resources planning studies refer to such modeling applications. In order to obtain reliable results from these hydrological models, calibration phase of the models needs to be done well. Hence, global optimization methods are utilized in the calibration process. In this chapter, the differential evolution algorithm (DEA), which has rare application in the hydrological modeling literature, was explained. As an application, the use of the DEA algorithm in the hydrological model calibration phase was mentioned. DYNWBM, a lumped model with five parameters, was selected as the hydrological model. The calibration and then validation period performances of the DEA based DYNWBM model were tested and also compared with other global optimization algorithms. According to the results derived from the study, hydrological model appropriately reflects the rainfall-runoff relation of basin for both periods.

Model Parameter Optimization Method Research in Heihe River Open Modeling Environment (HOME)

2017 ◽  
Vol 31 (09) ◽  
pp. 1759017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiuyuan Huo ◽  
Yaonan Zhang ◽  
Lihui Luo ◽  
Yinping Long ◽  
Zhengfang He ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Parameter Optimization ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Optimization Method ◽  
Heihe River ◽  
Optimization Strategy ◽  
Runoff Simulation ◽  
Simulation Accuracy ◽  
Model Parameter ◽  
Modeling Environment ◽  
Model Parameter Optimization

How to make the existing models from different disciplines effectively interoperate and integrate is one of the primary challenges for scientists and decision-makers. Heihe river Open Modeling Environment (HOME) provides a convenient model coupling platform that enables researchers concentrate on the theory and applications of ecological and hydrological watershed models. The model parameter optimization is an important component and key step that links models and simulation of watershed. In this paper, through integration modules of existing models, an improved ABC algorithm (ORABC) based on optimization strategy and reservation strategy of the best individuals was introduced into HOME as a hydrological model parameter optimization module, and coupled with the Xinanjiang hydrological model to complete automatically task of model parameter optimization. The runoff simulation experiments in Heihe river watershed were taken to verify the parameter optimization in HOME, and the simulation results testified the efficiency and effectiveness of the method. It can significantly improve simulation accuracy and efficiency of hydrological and ecological models, and promote the scientific researches for watershed issues.

scholarly journals Calibration of the modified Bartlett-Lewis model using global optimization techniques and alternative objective functions

2012 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 873-891 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. J. Vanhaute ◽  
S. Vandenberghe ◽  
K. Scheerlinck ◽  
B. De Baets ◽  
N. E. C. Verhoest
Keyword(s):  
Global Optimization ◽  
Optimization Methods ◽  
Optimization Method ◽  
Optimization Techniques ◽  
Objective Functions ◽  
Local Search Algorithms ◽  
Stochastic Point Process ◽  
Shuffled Complex Evolution ◽  
Global Optimization Methods ◽  
Downhill Simplex

Abstract. The calibration of stochastic point process rainfall models, such as of the Bartlett-Lewis type, suffers from the presence of multiple local minima which local search algorithms usually fail to avoid. To meet this shortcoming, four relatively new global optimization methods are presented and tested for their ability to calibrate the Modified Bartlett-Lewis Model. The list of tested methods consists of: the Downhill Simplex Method, Simplex-Simulated Annealing, Particle Swarm Optimization and Shuffled Complex Evolution. The parameters of these algorithms are first optimized to ensure optimal performance, after which they are used for calibration of the Modified Bartlett-Lewis model. Furthermore, this paper addresses the choice of weights in the objective function. Three alternative weighing methods are compared to determine whether or not simulation results (obtained after calibration with the best optimization method) are influenced by the choice of weights.

scholarly journals Calibration of the modified Bartlett-Lewis model using global optimization techniques and alternative objective functions

2011 ◽  
Vol 8 (6) ◽  
pp. 9707-9756 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. J. Vanhaute ◽  
S. Vandenberghe ◽  
K. Scheerlinck ◽  
B. De Baets ◽  
N. E. C. Verhoest
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Global Optimization ◽  
Optimization Methods ◽  
Optimization Method ◽  
Optimization Techniques ◽  
Rainfall Time Series ◽  
Stochastic Point Process ◽  
Shuffled Complex Evolution ◽  
Global Optimization Methods ◽  
Downhill Simplex

Abstract. The use of rainfall time series for various applications is widespread. However, in many cases historical rainfall records lack in length or quality for certain practical purposes, resulting in a reliance on rainfall models to supply simulated rainfall time series, e.g., in the design of hydraulic structures. One way to obtain such simulations is by means of stochastic point process rainfall models, such as the Bartlett-Lewis type of model. It is widely acknowledged that the calibration of such models suffers from the presence of multiple local minima which local search algorithms usually fail to avoid. To meet this shortcoming, four relatively new global optimization methods are presented and tested for their abilities to calibrate the Modified Bartlett-Lewis Model (MBL). The list of tested methods consists of: the Downhill Simplex Method (DSM), Simplex-Simulated Annealing (SIMPSA), Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and Shuffled Complex Evolution (SCE-UA). The parameters of these algorithms are first optimized to ensure optimal performance, after which they are used for calibration of the MBL model. Furthermore, this paper addresses the issue of subjectivity in the choice of weights in the objective function. Three alternative weighing methods are compared to determine whether or not simulation results (obtained after calibration with the best optimization method) are influenced by the choice of weights.

scholarly journals Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Using the HEC-HMS Model for the Al-Adhaim River Catchment, Northern Iraq

Hydrology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 58
Author(s):  
Ahmed Naseh Ahmed Hamdan ◽  
Suhad Almuktar ◽  
Miklas Scholz
Keyword(s):  
Geographical Information Systems ◽  
Hydrological Model ◽  
Daily Rainfall ◽  
Curve Number ◽  
Geographical Information ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Rainfall Runoff ◽  
Time Step ◽  
River Catchment ◽  
Northern Iraq

It has become necessary to estimate the quantities of runoff by knowing the amount of rainfall to calculate the required quantities of water storage in reservoirs and to determine the likelihood of flooding. The present study deals with the development of a hydrological model named Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC-HMS), which uses Digital Elevation Models (DEM). This hydrological model was used by means of the Geospatial Hydrologic Modeling Extension (HEC-GeoHMS) and Geographical Information Systems (GIS) to identify the discharge of the Al-Adhaim River catchment and embankment dam in Iraq by simulated rainfall-runoff processes. The meteorological models were developed within the HEC-HMS from the recorded daily rainfall data for the hydrological years 2015 to 2018. The control specifications were defined for the specified period and one day time step. The Soil Conservation Service-Curve number (SCS-CN), SCS Unit Hydrograph and Muskingum methods were used for loss, transformation and routing calculations, respectively. The model was simulated for two years for calibration and one year for verification of the daily rainfall values. The results showed that both observed and simulated hydrographs were highly correlated. The model’s performance was evaluated by using a coefficient of determination of 90% for calibration and verification. The dam’s discharge for the considered period was successfully simulated but slightly overestimated. The results indicated that the model is suitable for hydrological simulations in the Al-Adhaim river catchment.

scholarly journals An Integrated Framework for the Inference of Viral Population History From Reconstructed Genealogies

Genetics ◽  
2000 ◽  
Vol 155 (3) ◽  
pp. 1429-1437
Author(s):  
Oliver G Pybus ◽  
Andrew Rambaut ◽  
Paul H Harvey
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Sequence Data ◽  
Demographic History ◽  
Population History ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimates ◽  
Viral Population ◽  
True Parameter ◽  
Subtype B ◽  
Exponential Growth Model ◽  
Parameter Values

Abstract We describe a unified set of methods for the inference of demographic history using genealogies reconstructed from gene sequence data. We introduce the skyline plot, a graphical, nonparametric estimate of demographic history. We discuss both maximum-likelihood parameter estimation and demographic hypothesis testing. Simulations are carried out to investigate the statistical properties of maximum-likelihood estimates of demographic parameters. The simulations reveal that (i) the performance of exponential growth model estimates is determined by a simple function of the true parameter values and (ii) under some conditions, estimates from reconstructed trees perform as well as estimates from perfect trees. We apply our methods to HIV-1 sequence data and find strong evidence that subtypes A and B have different demographic histories. We also provide the first (albeit tentative) genetic evidence for a recent decrease in the growth rate of subtype B.

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