scholarly journals Short-Term Wind Speed Forecast Based on B-Spline Neural Network Optimized by PSO

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhongqiang Wu ◽  
Wenjing Jia ◽  
Liru Zhao ◽  
Changhan Wu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimization ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Particle Swarm ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Swarm Optimization ◽  
B Spline ◽  
Input Space ◽  
Definition Of

Considering the randomness and volatility of wind, a method based on B-spline neural network optimized by particle swarm optimization is proposed to predict the short-term wind speed. The B-spline neural network can change the division of input space and the definition of basis function flexibly. For any input, only a few outputs of hidden layers are nonzero, the outputs are simple, and the convergence speed is fast, but it is easy to fall into local minimum. The traditional method to divide the input space is thoughtless and it will influence the final prediction accuracy. Particle swarm optimization is adopted to solve the problem by optimizing the nodes. Simulated results show that it has higher prediction accuracy than traditional B-spline neural network and BP neural network.

Research on Particle Swarm Optimization Least Square Support Vector Machine for Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction

2014 ◽  
Vol 511-512 ◽  
pp. 927-930
Author(s):  
Shuai Zhang ◽  
Hai Rui Wang ◽  
Jin Huang ◽  
He Liu
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimization ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Particle Swarm ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Swarm Optimization ◽  
Wind Speed Prediction ◽  
Speed Prediction

In the paper, the forecast problems of wind speed are considered. In order to enhance the redaction accuracy of the wind speed, this article is about a research on particle swarm optimization least square support vector machine for short-term wind speed prediction (PSO-LS-SVM). Firstly, the prediction models are built by using least square support vector machine based on particle swarm optimization, this model is used to predict the wind speed next 48 hours. In order to further improve the prediction accuracy, on this basis, introduction of the offset optimization method. Finally large amount of experiments and measurement data comparison compensation verify the effectiveness and feasibility of the research on particle swarm optimization least square support vector machine for short-term wind speed prediction, Thereby reducing the short-term wind speed prediction error, very broad application prospects.

scholarly journals Models for Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Based on Improved Artificial Neural Network Using Particle Swarm Optimization and Genetic Algorithms

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 2873 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dinh Thanh Viet ◽  
Vo Van Phuong ◽  
Minh Quan Duong ◽  
Quoc Tuan Tran
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimization ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Optimization Algorithm ◽  
Electricity Market ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm ◽  
Particle Swarm ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Swarm Optimization

As sources of conventional energy are alarmingly being depleted, leveraging renewable energy sources, especially wind power, has been increasingly important in the electricity market to meet growing global demands for energy. However, the uncertainty in weather factors can cause large errors in wind power forecasts, raising the cost of power reservation in the power system and significantly impacting ancillary services in the electricity market. In pursuance of a higher accuracy level in wind power forecasting, this paper proposes a double-optimization approach to developing a tool for forecasting wind power generation output in the short term, using two novel models that combine an artificial neural network with the particle swarm optimization algorithm and genetic algorithm. In these models, a first particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to adjust the neural network parameters to improve accuracy. Next, the genetic algorithm or another particle swarm optimization is applied to adjust the parameters of the first particle swarm optimization algorithm to enhance the accuracy of the forecasting results. The models were tested with actual data collected from the Tuy Phong wind power plant in Binh Thuan Province, Vietnam. The testing showed improved accuracy and that this model can be widely implemented at other wind farms.

scholarly journals Global optimization via neural network approximation of inverse coordinate mappings with evolutionary parameter control

2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 3-31
Author(s):  
Kirill Vladimirovich Pushkaryov
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Global Optimization ◽  
Particle Swarm Optimization ◽  
Objective Function ◽  
Particle Swarm ◽  
Test Problems ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Swarm Optimization ◽  
Multiple Variables ◽  
Objective Function Values

A hybrid method of global optimization NNAICM-PSO is presented. It uses neural network approximation of inverse mappings of objective function values to coordinates combined with particle swarm optimization to find the global minimum of a continuous objective function of multiple variables with bound constraints. The objective function is viewed as a black box. The method employs groups of moving probe points attracted by goals like in particle swarm optimization. One of the possible goals is determined via mapping of decreased objective function values to coordinates by modified Dual Generalized Regression Neural Networks constructed from probe points. The parameters of the search are controlled by an evolutionary algorithm. The algorithm forms a population of evolving rules each containing a tuple of parameter values. There are two measures of fitness: short-term (charm) and long-term (merit). Charm is used to select rules for reproduction and application. Merit determines survival of an individual. This two-fold system preserves potentially useful individuals from extinction due to short-term situation changes. Test problems of 100 variables were solved. The results indicate that evolutionary control is better than random variation of parameters for NNAICM-PSO. With some problems, when rule bases are reused, error progressively decreases in subsequent runs, which means that the method adapts to the problem.

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