scholarly journals Predicting Free Flow Speed and Crash Risk of Bicycle Traffic Flow Using Artificial Neural Network Models

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cheng Xu ◽  
Qiangwei Li ◽  
Zhaowei Qu ◽  
Sheng Jin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Flow Speed ◽  
Free Flow ◽  
Impact Factors ◽  
Crash Risk ◽  
Free Flow Speed ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables

Free flow speed is a fundamental measure of traffic performance and has been found to affect the severity of crash risk. However, the previous studies lack analysis and modelling of impact factors on bicycles’ free flow speed. The main focus of this study is to develop multilayer back propagation artificial neural network (BPANN) models for the prediction of free flow speed and crash risk on the separated bicycle path. Four different models with considering different combinations of input variables (e.g., path width, traffic condition, bicycle type, and cyclists’ characteristics) were developed. 459 field data samples were collected from eleven bicycle paths in Hangzhou, China, and 70% of total samples were used for training, 15% for validation, and 15% for testing. The results show that considering the input variables of bicycle types and characteristics of cyclists will effectively improve the accuracy of the prediction models. Meanwhile, the parameters of bicycle types have more significant effect on predicting free flow speed of bicycle compared to those of cyclists’ characteristics. The findings could contribute for evaluation, planning, and management of bicycle safety.

Influence of GA-BP Artificial Neural Network Based on PCA Dimension Reduction in Yarn Tenacity Prediction

2014 ◽  
Vol 1048 ◽  
pp. 358-366 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao Feng Li ◽  
Siddiqui Qasim ◽  
Chong Wen Yu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Bp Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Yarn Count ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Yarn Tenacity ◽  
Bp Model

The fiber characteristics directly affecting the yarn tensile properties are analyzed and the features of GA-BP artificial neural network are presented. Based on the interrelationship among the fiber characteristics, which could led to a worse predicting result, Principal component analysis (PCA) is adopted to solve this problem. 12 characteristics of cotton fiber tested by HVI or AFIS and yarn process parameters, such as combing, degree of twist, yarn count, was preprocessed by this method and 10 independent comprehensive indexes are induced and substituted into GA-BP artificial neural network as input factors. For further comparison, the 10 dimension reduced indexes and the 15 initial variables are respectively introduced into the GA-BP and BP artificial neural network to develop 4 prediction models. By comparing the accuracy in predicting yarn tenacity, it is concluded that GA-BP model has higher accuracy than BP model, and the dimension reduced indexes based on PCA would decrease the accuracy in prediction instead. So, blindly using PCA method for reducing the complex correlation among input variables was not helpful for the prediction accuracy.

scholarly journals Predictive modelling of soils’ hydraulic conductivity using artificial neural network and multiple linear regression

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Gbenga Williams ◽  
Oluwapelumi O. Ojuri
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Hydraulic Conductivity ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression ◽  
Coarse Grained ◽  
Soil Types ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables

AbstractAs a result of heterogeneity nature of soils and variation in its hydraulic conductivity over several orders of magnitude for various soil types from fine-grained to coarse-grained soils, predictive methods to estimate hydraulic conductivity of soils from properties considered more easily obtainable have now been given an appropriate consideration. This study evaluates the performance of artificial neural network (ANN) being one of the popular computational intelligence techniques in predicting hydraulic conductivity of wide range of soil types and compared with the traditional multiple linear regression (MLR). ANN and MLR models were developed using six input variables. Results revealed that only three input variables were statistically significant in MLR model development. Performance evaluations of the developed models using determination coefficient and mean square error show that the prediction capability of ANN is far better than MLR. In addition, comparative study with available existing models shows that the developed ANN and MLR in this study performed relatively better.

Modeling of lime production process using artificial neural network

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abolghasem Daeichian ◽  
Rana Shahramfar ◽  
Elham Heidari
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Production Process ◽  
High Energy ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Rotary Kilns ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Lime Production

Abstract Lime is a significant material in many industrial processes, including steelmaking by blast furnace. Lime production through rotary kilns is a standard method in industries, yet it has depreciation, high energy consumption, and environmental pollution. A model of the lime production process can help to not only increase our knowledge and awareness but also can help reduce its disadvantages. This paper presents a black-box model by Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for the lime production process considering pre-heater, rotary kiln, and cooler parameters. To this end, actual data are collected from Zobahan Isfahan Steel Company, Iran, which consists of 746 data obtained in a duration of one year. The proposed model considers 23 input variables, predicting the amount of produced lime as an output variable. The ANN parameters such as number of hidden layers, number of neurons in each layer, activation functions, and training algorithm are optimized. Then, the sensitivity of the optimum model to the input variables is investigated. Top-three input variables are selected on the basis of one-group sensitivity analysis and their interactions are studied. Finally, an ANN model is developed considering the top-three most effective input variables. The mean square error of the proposed models with 23 and 3 inputs are equal to 0.000693 and 0.004061, respectively, which shows a high prediction capability of the two proposed models.

scholarly journals Corrosion Behavior of LENS Deposited CoCrMo Alloy Using Bayesian Regularization-Based Artificial Neural Network (BRANN)

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nagoor Basha Shaik ◽  
Kedar Mallik Mantrala ◽  
Balaji Bakthavatchalam ◽  
Qandeel Fatima Gillani ◽  
M. Faisal Rehman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Corrosion Rate ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Test Time ◽  
Bayesian Regularization ◽  
Cobalt Chromium ◽  
Corrosion Properties ◽  
Cocrmo Alloy ◽  
Artificial Neural

AbstractThe well-known fact of metallurgy is that the lifetime of a metal structure depends on the material's corrosion rate. Therefore, applying an appropriate prediction of corrosion process for the manufactured metals or alloys trigger an extended life of the product. At present, the current prediction models for additive manufactured alloys are either complicated or built on a restricted basis towards corrosion depletion. This paper presents a novel approach to estimate the corrosion rate and corrosion potential prediction by considering significant major parameters such as solution time, aging time, aging temperature, and corrosion test time. The Laser Engineered Net Shaping (LENS), which is an additive manufacturing process used in the manufacturing of health care equipment, was investigated in the present research. All the accumulated information used to manufacture the LENS-based Cobalt-Chromium-Molybdenum (CoCrMo) alloy was considered from previous literature. They enabled to create a robust Bayesian Regularization (BR)-based Artificial Neural Network (ANN) in order to predict with accuracy the material best corrosion properties. The achieved data were validated by investigating its experimental behavior. It was found a very good agreement between the predicted values generated with the BRANN model and experimental values. The robustness of the proposed approach allows to implement the manufactured materials successfully in the biomedical implants.

scholarly journals A novel model for predicting fatty liver disease by means of an artificial neural network

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi-Shu Chen ◽  
Dan Chen ◽  
Chao Shen ◽  
Ming Chen ◽  
Chao-Hui Jin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Liver Disease ◽  
Diagnostic Accuracy ◽  
Fatty Liver ◽  
Fatty Liver Disease ◽  
Health Check ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables

Abstract Background The artificial neural network (ANN) emerged recently as a potent diagnostic tool, especially for complicated systemic diseases. This study aimed to establish a diagnostic model for the recognition of fatty liver disease (FLD) by virtue of the ANN. Methods A total of 7,396 pairs of gender- and age-matched subjects who underwent health check-ups at the First Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University (Hangzhou, China) were enrolled to establish the ANN model. Indices available in health check-up reports were utilized as potential input variables. The performance of our model was evaluated through a receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Other outcome measures included diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, Cohen’s k coefficient, Brier score, and Hosmer-Lemeshow test. The Fatty Liver Index (FLI) and the Hepatic Steatosis Index (HSI), retrained using our training-group data with its original designated input variables, were used as comparisons in the capability of FLD diagnosis. Results Eight variables (age, gender, body mass index, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, uric acid, total triglyceride, and fasting plasma glucose) were eventually adopted as input nodes of the ANN model. By applying a cut-off point of 0.51, the area under ROC curves of our ANN model in predicting FLD in the testing group was 0.908 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.901–0.915]—significantly higher (P < 0.05) than that of the FLI model (0.881, 95% CI, 0.872–0.891) and that of the HSI model (0.885; 95% CI, 0.877–0.893). Our ANN model exhibited higher diagnostic accuracy, better concordance with ultrasonography results, and superior capability of calibration than the FLI model and the HSI model. Conclusions Our ANN system showed good capability in the diagnosis of FLD. It is anticipated that our ANN model will be of both clinical and epidemiological use in the future.

scholarly journals Modeling the concentration of carbonyl of ethylene propylene diene monomer during the thermal aging using artificial neural network

2021 ◽  
Vol 03 (01) ◽  
pp. 45-52
Author(s):  
Hadjira Maouz ◽  
◽  
Asma Adda ◽  
Salah Hanini ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Thermal Aging ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Ethylene Propylene Diene Monomer ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Ethylene Propylene ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

The concentration of carbonyl is one of the most important properties contributing to the detection of the thermal aging of polymer ethylene propylene diene monomer (EPDM). In this publication, an artificial neural network (ANN) model was developed to predict concentration of carbenyl during the thermal aging of EPDM using a database consisting of seven input variables. The best fitting training data was obtained with the architecture of (7 inputs neurons, 10 hidden neurons and 1 output neuron). A Levenberg Marquardt learning (LM) algorithm, hyperbolic tangent transfer function were used at the hidden and output layer respectively. The optimal ANN was obtained with a high correlation coefficient R= 0.995 and a very low root mean square error RMSE = 0.0148 mol/l during the generalization phase. The comparison between the experimental and calculated results show that the ANN model is able of predicted the concentration of carbonyl during the thermal aging of ethylene propylene diene monomer

On the Application of Machine Learning in Savonius Wind Turbine Technology: An Estimation of Turbine Performance Using Artificial Neural Network and Genetic Expression Programming

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-47
Author(s):  
Umang H. Rathod ◽  
Vinayak Kulkarni ◽  
Ujjwal K. Saha
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Speed Ratio ◽  
Stream Velocity ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Genetic Expression ◽  
Genetic Expression Programming ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables

Abstract This paper addresses the application of artificial neural network (ANN) and genetic expression programming (GEP), the popular artificial intelligence and machine learning methods, in order to estimate the Savonius wind rotor's performance based on different independent design variables. Savonius wind rotor is one of the competent members of the vertical axis wind turbines (VAWTs) due to its advantageous qualities such as direction independency, design simplicity, ability to perform at low wind speeds, potent standalone system. The available experimental data on Savonius wind rotor have been used to train the ANN and GEP using MATLAB R2020b and GeneXProTools 5.0 software, respectively. The input variables used in ANN and GEP architecture include newly proposed design shape factors, number of blades and stages, gap and overlap lengths, height and diameter of the rotor, free stream velocity, end plate diameter and tip speed ratio, besides cross-sectional area of wind tunnel test section. Based on this, the unknown governing function constituted by the aforementioned input variables is established using ANN and GEP to approximate/forecast the rotor performance as an output. The governing equation formulated by ANN is in the form of weights and biases, while GEP provides it in the form of traditional mathematical functions. The trained ANN and GEP are capable to estimate the rotor performance with R2 ≈ 0.97 and R2 ≈ 0.65, respectively, in correlation with the reported experimental rotor performance.

A Genetic Algorithm-Artificial Neural Network Method for the Prediction of Longitudinal Dispersion Coefficient in Rivers

2011 ◽  
pp. 358-374
Author(s):  
Jianhua Yang ◽  
Evor L. Hines ◽  
Ian Guymer ◽  
Daciana D. Iliescu ◽  
Mark S. Leeson ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Dispersion Coefficient ◽  
Longitudinal Dispersion ◽  
Longitudinal Dispersion Coefficient ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Training Examples ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Trained Neural Network

In this chapter a novel method, the Genetic Neural Mathematical Method (GNMM), for the prediction of longitudinal dispersion coefficient is presented. This hybrid method utilizes Genetic Algorithms (GAs) to identify variables that are being input into a Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) Artificial Neural Network (ANN), which simplifies the neural network structure and makes the training process more efficient. Once input variables are determined, GNMM processes the data using an MLP with the back-propagation algorithm. The MLP is presented with a series of training examples and the internal weights are adjusted in an attempt to model the input/output relationship. GNMM is able to extract regression rules from the trained neural network. The effectiveness of GNMM is demonstrated by means of case study data, which has previously been explored by other authors using various methods. By comparing the results generated by GNMM to those presented in the literature, the effectiveness of this methodology is demonstrated.

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