scholarly journals Parking Pricing and Model Split under Uncertainty

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chengjuan Zhu ◽  
Bin Jia ◽  
Linghui Han ◽  
Ziyou Gao

In order to investigate different route choice criteria in a competitive highway/park-and-ride (P&R) network with uncertain travel times on the road, a bilevel programming model for solving the problem of determining parking fees and modal split is presented. In the face of travel time uncertainty, travelers plan their trips with a prespecified on-time arrival probability. The impact of three route choice criteria: the mean travel time, the travel time budget, and mean-excess travel time, is compared for parking pricing and modal split. The model at user equilibrium is described as a minimization model. And the analytic solutions are given. Analytic solutions show that both flow and travel time at equilibrium are independent of the price difference of travel expense on money. The main findings from the numerical results are elaborated. While given a confidence level, the flow on the highway changed significantly with the criteria, although the differences of the travel times are small. Travelers can be guided to choose their modes coordinately by improving the quality of the transit service. The optimal parking fees can be affected markedly by the confidence level. Finally, the influence of the log-normal distribution parameters is tested and analyzed.

2011 ◽  
Vol 97-98 ◽  
pp. 925-930
Author(s):  
Shi Xu Liu ◽  
Hong Zhi Guan

The influence of different traffic information on drivers’ day-to-day route choice behavior based on microscopic simulation is investigated. Firstly, it is assumed that drivers select routes in terms of drivers’ perceived travel time on routes. Consequently, the route choice model is developed. Then, updating the drivers’ perceived travel time on routes is modeled in three kinds of traffic information conditions respectively, which no information, releasing historical information and releasing predictive information. Finally, by setting a simple road network with two parallel paths, the drivers’ day-to-day route choice is simulated. The statistical characteristics of drivers’ behavior are computed. Considering user equilibrium as a yardstick, the effects of three kinds of traffic information are compared. The results show that the impacts of traffic information on drivers are related to the random level of driver’s route choice and reliance on the information. In addition, the road network cannot reach user equilibrium in three kinds of information. This research results can provide a useful reference for the application of traffic information system.


2008 ◽  
Vol 2085 (1) ◽  
pp. 95-103 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tony E. Smith ◽  
Chao-Che Hsu ◽  
Yueh-Ling Hsu

Although time constraints on travel behavior have been widely recognized, little effort has been made to incorporate such constraints into the traditional stochastic user equilibrium (SUE) framework. The major objective of this research is to fill this gap by incorporating travel time constraints into the SUE model by means of a nonlinear perceived travel time function. This modified model, designated the travel time budget model, focuses primarily on discretionary travel behavior (such as shopping trips) and hence also allows the possibility of deferring travel decisions by incorporating an additional choice alternative designated the shop-less-frequently alternative. This model is compared with the traditional SUE model by using a simulated travel scenario on a test network designed to reflect a practical planning situation. The simulation shows that when attractiveness levels are increased by the introduction of a new shopping opportunity, the presence of travel time constraints can lead to significantly smaller predicted travel volumes than those of the traditional SUE model. More important, it shows that the overall pattern of travel can be quite different. In particular, travel to the shopping destination with enhanced attractiveness can actually decrease for some origin locations. The findings suggest that when an attempt is made to evaluate the impact of planning alternatives on future traffic patterns, it is vital to consider not only the cost of time itself but also the time trade-offs between travel and other human activities.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nate Wessel ◽  
Steven Farber

Estimates of travel time by public transit often rely on the calculation of a shortest-path between two points for a given departure time. Such shortest-paths are time-dependent and not always stable from one moment to the next. Given that actual transit passengers necessarily have imperfect information about the system, their route selection strategies are heuristic and cannot be expected to achieve optimal travel times for all possible departures. Thus an algorithm that returns optimal travel times at all moments will tend to underestimate real travel times all else being equal. While several researchers have noted this issue none have yet measured the extent of the problem. This study observes and measures this effect by contrasting two alternative heuristic routing strategies to a standard shortest-path calculation. The Toronto Transit Commission is used as a case study and we model actual transit operations for the agency over the course of a normal week with archived AVL data transformed into a retrospective GTFS dataset. Travel times are estimated using two alternative route-choice assumptions: 1) habitual selection of the itinerary with the best average travel time and 2) dynamic choice of the next-departing route in a predefined choice set. It is shown that most trips present passengers with a complex choice among competing itineraries and that the choice of itinerary at any given moment of departure may entail substantial travel time risk relative to the optimal outcome. In the context of accessibility modelling, where travel times are typically considered as a distribution, the optimal path method is observed in aggregate to underestimate travel time by about 3-4 minutes at the median and 6-7 minutes at the \nth{90} percentile for a typical trip.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Chenming Jiang ◽  
Linjun Lu ◽  
Junliang He ◽  
Caimao Tan

Adverse weather condition is one of the inducements that lead to supply uncertainty of an urban transportation system, while travelers’ multiple route choice criteria are the nonignorable reason resulting in demand uncertainty. This paper proposes a novel stochastic traffic network equilibrium model considering impacts of adverse weather conditions on roadway capacity and route choice criteria of two-class mixed roadway travellers on demand modes, in which the two-class route choice criteria root in travelers’ different network information levels (NILs). The actual route travel time (ARTT) and perceived route travel time (PRTT) are considered as the route choice criteria of travelers with perfect information (TPI) and travelers with bounded information (TBI) under adverse weather conditions, respectively. We then formulate the user equilibrium (UE) traffic assignment model in a variational inequality problem and propose a solution algorithm. Numerical examples including a small triangle network and the Sioux Falls network are presented to testify the validity of the model and to clarify the inner mechanism of the two-class UE model under adverse weather conditions. Managerial implications and applications are also proposed based on our findings to improve the operation efficiency of urban roadway network under adverse weather conditions.


2011 ◽  
Vol 130-134 ◽  
pp. 3716-3720
Author(s):  
Yi Ran Cheng ◽  
Yin Han ◽  
Xin Kai Jiang ◽  
Jia Lei Gu

Considering the un-deterministic transportation networks, the paper proposes the change of the route choice decisions under the stochastic transportation networks. The route choice behavior is described as a choice for a time shortest route which is subject to a time-reliability level. The paper also considered this new route choice behavior in the stochastic user equilibrium model, and proposed stochastic user equilibrium model based on the optimized reliability travel time route choice behavior in the stochastic networks. The equivalence and uniqueness of the solution of the model are demonstrated. Numerical results of a small network show that the proposed model can reflect the real traveler’s route choice behavior in stochastic transportation networks.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Zhao ◽  
Hongzhi Guan ◽  
Junze Zhu ◽  
Yunfeng Wei

In this paper, route free-flow travel time is taken as the lower bound of route travel time to examine its impacts on budget time and reliability for degradable transportation networks. A truncated probability density distribution with respect to route travel time is proposed and the corresponding travel time budget (TTB) model is derived. The budget time and reliability are compared between TTB models with and without truncated travel time distribution. Under truncated travel time distribution, the risk-averse levels of travelers are adaptive, which are affected by the characteristics of the used routes besides the confidence level of travelers. Then, a TTB-based stochastic user equilibrium (SUE) is developed to model travelers’ route choice behavior. Moreover, its equivalent variational inequality (VI) problem is formulated and a route-based algorithm is used to solve the proposed model. Numerical results indicate that route travel time boundary produces a great influence on decision cost and route choice behavior of travelers.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (17) ◽  
pp. 9992
Author(s):  
Xinming Zang ◽  
Zhenqi Guo ◽  
Jingai Ma ◽  
Yongguang Zhong ◽  
Xiangfeng Ji

In this paper, we employ a target-oriented approach to analyze the multi-attribute route choice decision of travelers in the stochastic tolled traffic network, considering the influence of three attributes, which are (stochastic) travel time, (stochastic) late arrival penalty, and (deterministic) travel cost. We introduce a target-oriented multi-attribute travel utility model for this analysis, where each attribute is assigned a target by travelers, and travelers’ objective is to maximize their travel utility that is determined by the achieved targets. Moreover, the interaction between targets is interpreted as complementarity relationship between them, which can further affect their travel utility. In addition, based on this travel utility model, a target-oriented multi-attribute user equilibrium model is proposed, which is formulated as a variational inequality problem and solved with the method of successive average. Target for travel time is determined via travelers’ on-time arrival probability, while targets for late arrival penalty and travel cost are given exogenously. Lastly, we apply the proposed model on the Braess and Nguyen–Dupuis traffic networks, and conduct sensitivity analysis of the parameters, including these three targets and the target interaction between them. The study in this paper can provide a new perspective for travelers’ multi-attribute route choice decision, which can further show some implications for the policy design.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florian Dandl ◽  
Gabriel Tilg ◽  
Majid Rostami-Shahrbabaki ◽  
Klaus Bogenberger

The growing popularity of mobility-on-demand fleets increases the importance to understand the impact of mobility-on-demand fleets on transportation networks and how to regulate them. For this purpose, transportation network simulations are required to contain corresponding routing methods. We study the trade-off between computational efficiency and routing accuracy of different approaches to routing fleets in a dynamic network simulation with endogenous edge travel times: a computationally cheap but less accurate Network Fundamental Diagram (NFD) based method and a more typical Dynamic Traffic Assignment (DTA) based method. The NFD-based approach models network dynamics with a network travel time factor that is determined by the current average network speed and scales free-flow travel times. We analyze the different computational costs of the approaches in a case study for 10,000 origin-destination (OD) pairs in a network of the city of Munich, Germany that reveals speedup factors in the range of 100. The trade-off for this is less accurate travel time estimations for individual OD pairs. Results indicate that the NFD-based approach overestimates the DTA-based travel times, especially when the network is congested. Adjusting the network travel time factor based on pre-processed DTA results, the NFD-based routing approach represents a computationally very efficient methodology that also captures traffic dynamics in an aggregated way.


2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 1189-1209 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher Vincent Henri ◽  
Thomas Harter ◽  
Efstathios Diamantopoulos

Abstract. Non-point source (NPS) pollution has degraded groundwater quality of unconsolidated sedimentary basins over many decades. Properly conceptualizing NPS pollution from the well scale to the regional scale leads to complex and expensive numerical models: key controlling factors of NPS pollution – recharge rate, leakage of pollutants, and soil and aquifer hydraulic properties – are spatially and, for recharge and pollutant leakage, temporally variable. This leads to high uncertainty in predicting well pollution. On the other hand, concentration levels of some key NPS contaminants (salinity, nitrate) vary within a limited range (< 2 orders of magnitude), and significant mixing occurs across the aquifer profile along the most critical compliance surface: drinking water wells with their extended vertical screen length. Given these two unique NPS contamination conditions, we here investigate the degree to which NPS travel time to wells and the NPS source area associated with an individual well can be appropriately captured, for practical applications, when spatiotemporally variable recharge, contaminant leakage rates, or hydraulic conductivity are represented through a sub-regionally homogenized parametrization. We employ a Monte Carlo-based stochastic framework to assess the impact of model homogenization on key management metrics for NPS contamination. Results indicate that travel time distributions are relatively insensitive to the spatial variability of recharge and contaminant loading, while capture zone and contaminant time series exhibit some sensitivity to source variability. In contrast, homogenization of aquifer heterogeneity significantly affects the uncertainty assessment of travel times and capture zone delineation. Surprisingly, the statistics of relevant NPS well concentrations (fast and intermediate travel times) are fairly well reproduced by a series of equivalent homogeneous aquifers, highlighting the dominant role of NPS solute mixing along well screens.


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