scholarly journals Analysis of a Mathematical Model of Emerging Infectious Disease Leading to Amphibian Decline

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Muhammad Dur-e-Ahmad ◽  
Mudassar Imran ◽  
Adnan Khan

We formulate a three-dimensional deterministic model of amphibian larvae population to investigate the cause of extinction due to the infectious disease. The larvae population of the model is subdivided into two classes, exposed and unexposed, depending on their vulnerability to disease. Reproduction ratioℛ0has been calculated and we have shown that ifℛ0<1, the whole population will be extinct. For the case ofℛ0>1, we discussed different scenarios under which an infected population can survive or be eliminated using stability and persistence analysis. Finally, we also used Hopf bifurcation analysis to study the stability of periodic solutions.

2020 ◽  
Vol 34 ◽  
pp. 02002
Author(s):  
Aurelia Florea ◽  
Cristian Lăzureanu

In this paper we consider a three-dimensional nonlinear system which models the dynamics of a population during an epidemic disease. The considered model is a SIS-type system in which a recovered individual automatically becomes a susceptible one. We take into account the births and deaths, and we also consider that susceptible individuals are divided into two groups: non-vaccinated and vaccinated. In addition, we assume a medical scenario in which vaccinated people take a special measure to quarantine their newborns. We study the stability of the considered system. Numerical simulations point out the behavior of the considered population.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianming Zhang ◽  
Lijun Zhang ◽  
Chaudry Masood Khalique

The dynamics of a prey-predator system with a finite delay is investigated. We show that a sequence of Hopf bifurcations occurs at the positive equilibrium as the delay increases. By using the theory of normal form and center manifold, explicit expressions for determining the direction of the Hopf bifurcations and the stability of the bifurcating periodic solutions are derived.


2008 ◽  
Vol 18 (01) ◽  
pp. 275-283 ◽  
Author(s):  
MIHAELA NEAMŢU ◽  
RAUL FLORIN HORHAT ◽  
DUMITRU OPRIŞ

In this paper we analyze a simple mathematical model which describes the interaction between proteins P53 and Mdm2. For the stationary state we discuss the local stability and the existence of a Hopf bifurcation. We study the direction and stability of the bifurcating periodic solutions by choosing the delay as a bifurcation parameter. Finally, we will offer some numerical simulations and present our conclusions.


2016 ◽  
Vol 26 (07) ◽  
pp. 1650119 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maoxin Liao ◽  
Qi-Ru Wang

In this paper, the dynamic properties for a Brusselator-type system with diffusion are investigated. By employing the theory of Hopf bifurcation for ordinary and partial differential equations, we mainly obtain some conditions of the stability and Hopf bifurcation for the ODE system, diffusion-driven instability of the equilibrium solution, and the direction of the Hopf bifurcation and the stability of the bifurcating periodic solutions for the PDE system. Finally, some numerical simulations are presented to verify our results.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (05) ◽  
pp. 1850067 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maoxing Liu ◽  
Yuting Chang ◽  
Haiyan Wang ◽  
Benxing Li

In this paper, a mathematical model to study the impact of Twitter in controlling infectious disease is proposed. The model includes the dynamics of “tweets” which may enhance awareness of the disease and cause behavioral changes among the public, thus reducing the transmission of the disease. Furthermore, the model is improved by introducing a time delay between the outbreak of disease and the release of Twitter messages. The basic reproduction number and the conditions for the stability of the equilibria are derived. It is shown that the system undergoes Hopf bifurcation when time delay is increased. Finally, numerical simulations are given to verify the analytical results.


2018 ◽  
Vol 28 (11) ◽  
pp. 1850136 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ben Niu ◽  
Yuxiao Guo ◽  
Yanfei Du

Tumor-immune interaction plays an important role in the tumor treatment. We analyze the stability of steady states in a diffusive tumor-immune model with response and proliferation delay [Formula: see text] of immune system where the immune cell has a probability [Formula: see text] in killing tumor cells. We find increasing time delay [Formula: see text] destabilizes the positive steady state and induces Hopf bifurcations. The criticality of Hopf bifurcation is investigated by deriving normal forms on the center manifold, then the direction of bifurcation and stability of bifurcating periodic solutions are determined. Using a group of parameters to simulate the system, stable periodic solutions are found near the Hopf bifurcation. The effect of killing probability [Formula: see text] on Hopf bifurcation values is also discussed.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuling Yan ◽  
Xinze Lian ◽  
Weiming Wang ◽  
Youbin Wang

We investigate a modified delayed Leslie-Gower model under homogeneous Neumann boundary conditions. We give the stability analysis of the equilibria of the model and show the existence of Hopf bifurcation at the positive equilibrium under some conditions. Furthermore, we investigate the stability and direction of bifurcating periodic orbits by using normal form theorem and the center manifold theorem.


2018 ◽  
Vol 140 (9) ◽  
Author(s):  
Elham Shamsara ◽  
Zahra Afsharnezhad ◽  
Elham Javidmanesh

In this paper, we present a discontinuous cytotoxic T cells (CTLs) response for HTLV-1. Moreover, a delay parameter for the activation of CTLs is considered. In fact, a system of differential equation with discontinuous right-hand side with delay is defined for HTLV-1. For analyzing the dynamical behavior of the system, graphical Hopf bifurcation is used. In general, Hopf bifurcation theory will help to obtain the periodic solutions of a system as parameter varies. Therefore, by applying the frequency domain approach and analyzing the associated characteristic equation, the existence of Hopf bifurcation by using delay immune response as a bifurcation parameter is determined. The stability of Hopf bifurcation periodic solutions is obtained by the Nyquist criterion and the graphical Hopf bifurcation theorem. At the end, numerical simulations demonstrated our results for the system of HTLV-1.


Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 1778
Author(s):  
Mojtaba Masoumnezhad ◽  
Maziar Rajabi ◽  
Amirahmad Chapnevis ◽  
Aleksei Dorofeev ◽  
Stanford Shateyi ◽  
...  

The global stability analysis for the mathematical model of an infectious disease is discussed here. The endemic equilibrium is shown to be globally stable by using a modification of the Volterra–Lyapunov matrix method. The basis of the method is the combination of Lyapunov functions and the Volterra–Lyapunov matrices. By reducing the dimensions of the matrices and under some conditions, we can easily show the global stability of the endemic equilibrium. To prove the stability based on Volterra–Lyapunov matrices, we use matrices with the symmetry properties (symmetric positive definite). The results developed in this paper can be applied in more complex systems with nonlinear incidence rates. Numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the analytical results.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuandong Li ◽  
Wenfeng Hu ◽  
Tingwen Huang

We extend the three-dimensional SIR model to four-dimensional case and then analyze its dynamical behavior including stability and bifurcation. It is shown that the new model makes a significant improvement to the epidemic model for computer viruses, which is more reasonable than the most existing SIR models. Furthermore, we investigate the stability of the possible equilibrium point and the existence of the Hopf bifurcation with respect to the delay. By analyzing the associated characteristic equation, it is found that Hopf bifurcation occurs when the delay passes through a sequence of critical values. An analytical condition for determining the direction, stability, and other properties of bifurcating periodic solutions is obtained by using the normal form theory and center manifold argument. The obtained results may provide a theoretical foundation to understand the spread of computer viruses and then to minimize virus risks.


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