scholarly journals Trends in Prevalence and Mortality of Dementia in Elderly Hong Kong Population: Projections, Disease Burden, and Implications for Long-Term Care

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruby Yu ◽  
Pui Hing Chau ◽  
Sarah M. McGhee ◽  
Wai Ling Cheung ◽  
Kam Che Chan ◽  
...  

Background. We describe the trends in prevalence and mortality of dementia among older people in Hong Kong over time. Projections of the number of older people with dementia through 2039 and estimation of the disease burden are also included.Methods. Prevalence data were extracted from previous studies in Hong Kong. Mortality data were obtained from the Department of Health of Hong Kong. Projections of the number of people with dementia were calculated by applying the prevalence rates of dementia obtained from previous studies to Hong Kong population projections. The burden of dementia was measured by Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs).Results. The number of people aged 60 and above with dementia is projected to increase by 222%, from 103,433 in 2009 to 332,688 in 2039, with a large proportion of those living in institutions. The number of deaths due to dementia among people aged 60 and above has more than doubled between 2001 and 2009. Mortality rates for dementia have also risen. In 2006, about 286,313 DALYS were lost due to dementia.Conclusions. The information presented may be used to formulate a long-term care strategy for dementia of the ageing population in Hong Kong.

2020 ◽  
Vol 32 (4-5) ◽  
pp. 373-379 ◽  
Author(s):  
Terry Lum ◽  
Cheng Shi ◽  
Gloria Wong ◽  
Kayla Wong

2010 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 20-30 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adelina Comas-Herrera ◽  
Sara Northey ◽  
Raphael Wittenberg ◽  
Martin Knapp ◽  
Sarmishtha Bhattacharyya ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTBackground: This study explores how the views of a panel of experts on dementia would affect projected long-term care expenditure for older people with dementia in England in the year 2031.Methods: A Delphi-style approach was used to gather the views of experts. The projections were carried out using a macro-simulation model of future demand and associated expenditure for long-term care by older people with dementia.Results: The panel chose statements that suggested a small reduction in the prevalence of dementia over the next fifty years, a freeze in the numbers of people in care homes, and an increase in the qualifications and pay of care assistants who look after older people with dementia. Projections of expenditure on long-term care that seek to capture the views of the panel suggest that future expenditure on long-term care for this group will rise from 0.6% of GDP in 2002 to between 0.82% and 0.96% of GDP in 2031. This range is lower than the projected expenditure of 0.99% of GDP in 2031 obtained under a range of base case assumptions.Conclusions: This paper attempts to bridge the gap between qualitative forecasting methods and quantitative future expenditure modelling and has raised a number of important methodological issues. Incorporating the panel's views into projections of future expenditure in long-term care for people with dementia would result in projected expenditure growing more slowly than it would otherwise.


2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (11) ◽  
pp. 1572-1581 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liesbeth Aerts ◽  
Monica Cations ◽  
Fleur Harrison ◽  
Tiffany Jessop ◽  
Allan Shell ◽  
...  

Maturitas ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 102 ◽  
pp. 62-68 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wendy Moyle ◽  
Cindy Jones ◽  
Jenny Murfield ◽  
Brian Draper ◽  
Elizabeth Beattie ◽  
...  

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document