scholarly journals Analysis of a Delayed SIR Model with Nonlinear Incidence Rate

2008 ◽  
Vol 2008 ◽  
pp. 1-16 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jin-Zhu Zhang ◽  
Zhen Jin ◽  
Quan-Xing Liu ◽  
Zhi-Yu Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Time Delay ◽  
Incidence Rate ◽  
Incubation Time ◽  
Complex Dynamics ◽  
Threshold Value ◽  
Global Dynamics ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
Saturated Form

An SIR epidemic model with incubation time and saturated incidence rate is formulated, where the susceptibles are assumed to satisfy the logistic equation and the incidence term is of saturated form with the susceptible. The threshold valueℜ0determining whether the disease dies out is found. The results obtained show that the global dynamics are completely determined by the values of the threshold valueℜ0and time delay (i.e., incubation time length). Ifℜ0is less than one, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and the disease always dies out, while if it exceeds one there will be an endemic. By using the time delay as a bifurcation parameter, the local stability for the endemic equilibrium is investigated, and the conditions with respect to the system to be absolutely stable and conditionally stable are derived. Numerical results demonstrate that the system with time delay exhibits rich complex dynamics, such as quasiperiodic and chaotic patterns.

scholarly journals Stability and Hopf Bifurcation for a Delayed SIR Epidemic Model with Logistic Growth

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yakui Xue ◽  
Tiantian Li
Keyword(s):  
Incidence Rate ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Threshold Value ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Logistic Growth ◽  
Global Dynamics ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sir Epidemic

We study a delayed SIR epidemic model and get the threshold value which determines the global dynamics and outcome of the disease. First of all, for anyτ, we show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; whenR0<1, the disease will die out. Directly afterwards, we prove that the endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable for anyτ=0; whenR0>1, the disease will persist. However, for anyτ≠0, the existence conditions for Hopf bifurcations at the endemic equilibrium are obtained. Besides, we compare the delayed SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate to the one with bilinear incidence rate. At last, numerical simulations are performed to illustrate and verify the conclusions.

scholarly journals Dynamics of an SIR epidemic model incorporating time delay and convex incidence rate

2021 ◽  
pp. 105025
Author(s):  
Haojie Yang ◽  
Yougang Wang ◽  
Soumen Kundu ◽  
Zhiqiang Song ◽  
Zizhen Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Time Delay ◽  
Incidence Rate ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Sir Epidemic

scholarly journals Global dynamics for a class of reaction–diffusion multigroup SIR epidemic models with time fractional-order derivatives

2022 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 142-162
Author(s):  
Zhenzhen Lu ◽  
Yongguang Yu ◽  
Guojian Ren ◽  
Conghui Xu ◽  
Xiangyun Meng
Keyword(s):  
Equilibrium Point ◽  
Fractional Order ◽  
Propagation Speed ◽  
Reaction Diffusion ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Global Dynamics ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sir Epidemic

This paper investigates the global dynamics for a class of multigroup SIR epidemic model with time fractional-order derivatives and reaction–diffusion. The fractional order considered in this paper is in (0; 1], which the propagation speed of this process is slower than Brownian motion leading to anomalous subdiffusion. Furthermore, the generalized incidence function is considered so that the data itself can flexibly determine the functional form of incidence rates in practice. Firstly, the existence, nonnegativity, and ultimate boundedness of the solution for the proposed system are studied. Moreover, the basic reproduction number R0 is calculated and shown as a threshold: the disease-free equilibrium point of the proposed system is globally asymptotically stable when R0 ≤ 1, while when R0 > 1, the proposed system is uniformly persistent, and the endemic equilibrium point is globally asymptotically stable. Finally, the theoretical results are verified by numerical simulation.

scholarly journals Mathematical Analysis of a Fractional-order "SIR" Epidemic Model with a General Nonlinear Saturated Incidence Rate in a Chemostat

2019 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Miled El Hajji
Keyword(s):  
Incidence Rate ◽  
Fractional Order ◽  
Equilibrium Points ◽  
Continuous Reactor ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
Saturated Incidence Rate ◽  
Saturated Incidence

In the present work, a fractional-order differential equation based on the Susceptible-Infected- Recovered (SIR) model with nonlinear incidence rate in a continuous reactor is proposed. A profound qualitative analysis is given. The analysis of the local and global stability of equilibrium points is carried out. It is proved that if the basic reproduction number R > 1 then the disease-persistence (endemic) equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. However, if R ≤ 1, then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Finally, some numerical tests are done in order to validate the obtained results.

Global stability of a diffused SIR epidemic model with general incidence rate and time delay

2016 ◽  
Vol 10 ◽  
pp. 807-816
Author(s):  
El Mehdi Lotfi ◽  
Mehdi Maziane ◽  
Marouane Mahrouf ◽  
Khalid Hattaf ◽  
Noura Yousfi
Keyword(s):  
Time Delay ◽  
Global Stability ◽  
Incidence Rate ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
General Incidence Rate

scholarly journals An SIR Epidemic Model with Time Delay and General Nonlinear Incidence Rate

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingming Li ◽  
Xianning Liu
Keyword(s):  
Time Delay ◽  
Incidence Rate ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Transmission Function ◽  
Basic Reproductive Number ◽  
Reproductive Number ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Nonlinear Incidence Rate ◽  
Nonlinear Incidence ◽  
Sir Epidemic

An SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate and time delay is investigated. The disease transmission function and the rate that infected individuals recovered from the infected compartment are assumed to be governed by general functionsF(S,I)andG(I), respectively. By constructing Lyapunov functionals and using the Lyapunov-LaSalle invariance principle, the global asymptotic stability of the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium is obtained. It is shown that the global properties of the system depend on both the properties of these general functions and the basic reproductive numberR0.

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