Capacity changes in U.S. particleboard, southern pine plywood, and oriented strandboard industries

1995 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 614-620 ◽  
Author(s):  
Henry Spelter
Keyword(s):  
Market Value ◽  
Replacement Cost ◽  
Southern Pine ◽  
Oriented Strandboard ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Difference ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Investment Response ◽  
Early Phases

An industry's supply response can be decomposed into tactical (short-run) and strategic (long-run) components. The strategic component, dealing with investments in new capacity, determines the evolution of an industry and its ability to meet changing market demands. A decisive factor affecting capacity investment is the profitability of the commodity produced in relation to the cost of the equipment needed to make it. This concept is related to a theory of investment embodied in the concept of "q" developed by J. Tobin, which suggests that the ratio between the market value of an industry and the replacement cost of capital influences decisions to invest. The results developed here suggest that the theory works well for oriented strandboard, southern pine plywood, and particleboard industries. However, adjustments must be made to the empirical formula to take into account lags between the price stimulus and investment response and the difference in growth rates during the early phases of an industry's life compared with the more mature phases.

scholarly journals Application of the theory of decision making under risk and uncertainty at modelling of costs

2010 ◽  
Vol 56 (No. 5) ◽  
pp. 201-208 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Beranová ◽  
D. Martinovičová
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Financial Accounting ◽  
Cost Functions ◽  
Risk And Uncertainty ◽  
Managerial Decision ◽  
Managerial Decision Making ◽  
Bayesian Theorem ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Cost

The costs functions are mentioned mostly in the relation to the Break-even Analysis where they are presented in the linear form. But there exist several different types and forms of cost functions. Fist of all, it is necessary to distinguish between the short-run and long-run cost function that are both very important tools of the managerial decision making even if each one is used on a different level of management. Also several methods of estimation of the cost function's parameters are elaborated in the literature. But all these methods are based on the past data taken from the financial accounting while the financial accounting is not able to separate the fixed and variable costs and it is also strongly adjusted to taxation in the many companies. As a tool of the managerial decision making support, the cost functions should provide a vision to the future where many factors of risk and uncertainty influence economic results. Consequently, these random factors should be considered in the construction of cost functions, especially in the long-run. In order to quantify the influences of these risks and uncertainties, the authors submit the application of the Bayesian Theorem.

scholarly journals ESTIMATING PROFIT , COST FUNCTION AND TECHNICAL EFFICIENCIES OF RICE PRODUCTION IN NEJAF FOR SEASON 2016*

2019 ◽  
Vol 50 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Al-Mashhdani & Mahmood
Keyword(s):  
Cost Function ◽  
Output Level ◽  
Average Output ◽  
Optimal Output ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Actual Output ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Profit Maximizing ◽  
Economic Price ◽  
The Cost

The aim of this study was to estimate the profit and cost functions as well as economic, price, cost, and technical efficiencies beside the other economic indices at actual, optimal and profit-maximizing output of rice. A random sample of 240 rice  farms in Nejaf province was used during the agricultural season 2016. From efficiency scales of profit function, it was shown that the output quantity had the greatest impact on the profit compared to other variables (average output costs and price). According to the cost function, the optimum output level and the profit- maximizing output  level for the short run were 64.84 tons and 117.4 tons respectively. The lowest price that the farmer can accept was 194.83 thousand dinars / ton. At this price, the producer loss all fixed costs in the short run, hoping that the price of rice will improve in the long run. Net profit was estimated on the basis of actual output, cost minimizing output (optimal) and profit-maximizing output, which amounted to 8084.32, 30852.65 and 45547.5 thousand dinars, respectively. The of technical efficiency were 34%. and the cost efficiency was 0.52. We conclude from the study that economic resources have not been exploited optimally, indicating that actual output is far from optimal output. The study recommends a output policy aimed at increasing economic efficiency and optimizing the use of available resources.

Hotel and Dependency Costs of Residents in Old People's Homes

1978 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bleddyn Davies ◽  
Martin R. J. Knapp
Keyword(s):  
Residential Care ◽  
Capital Investment ◽  
Self Care ◽  
Marginal Costs ◽  
Unit Costs ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Average Unit ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Old People's Homes

AbstractA comparison of costs to the organization of alternative forms of care requires estimates for similar types of client. The degree of dependency is the main characteristic in which comparability is necessary with regard to services for the aged. This paper presents estimates of the costs incurred in providing residential care for clients of four degrees of incapacity for self-care – the capacity implicit in Bevan's residential hotel model of the old people's home, and three progressively more severe states of dependency. The estimates are for two cost concepts – average (unit) costs and marginal costs (the cost of caring for an additional person). The paper also estimates both long-run costs (costs that it is appropriate to take into account in decisions in which capital investment in new plant is being considered), and short-run costs (costs that it is appropriate to consider when the issue is the allocation of existing capacity between client groups). It also examines the consequences of the size of the home with regard to costs. Inter alia the paper shows:(a) that the size of home beyond which costs do not fall with scale provides for as many as fifty places (equivalent to an average daily census of forty-six residents); and(b) that, although the dependency components of costs are much smaller than the hotel components, dependency costs are large enough for it to be important to base comparisons of alternative forms of care on estimates of costs for clients which are comparable with respect to dependency.

scholarly journals Analysis of Tourist Flow from the US to Taiwan

2015 ◽  
Vol 65 (s2) ◽  
pp. 369-384 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yen-Hsun Chen ◽  
Hsin-Hong Kang
Keyword(s):  
Tourism Demand ◽  
Cost Of Living ◽  
Policy Makers ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Us ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Vector Auto Regression ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Auto Regression ◽  
Tourist Flow

It is important for Taiwanese policy makers to understand how economic factors affect US tourists’ decision to travel to Taiwan. For the long-run analysis, Johansen’s cointegration test reveals that three cointegration vectors exist among the model variables, indicating a long-run relationship. To conduct a short-run analysis, this paper employs vector auto regression (VAR) to estimate the responses of US tourists in Taiwan to the shocks of changes to personal disposable income, cost of living, and substitute price. The short-run equilibrium adjustment processes are discussed in terms of generalized impulse response. The results show an immediate and significant response of changes in tourist arrivals to their own impacts, changes in the cost of living, and changes in the substitute price. In addition, the price, income, and cross-elasticity of tourism demand are all positive at the beginning of the responses, implying that the tourism products can be attributed to normal and substitute goods.

scholarly journals Cost effectiveness of health expenditures: A macro level study for developing and developed countries

2020 ◽  
pp. 26-42
Author(s):  
Syeda Anam Fatima Rizvi
Keyword(s):  
Cost Effectiveness ◽  
World Bank ◽  
Health Spending ◽  
Health Expenditures ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Developing And Developed Countries

Resource availability matters the most in health care system-based outcomes. But health spending is highly unequal across the world and presents varying outcomes. This study aims to investigate the missing part that why some countries failed to have reasonable outcomes despite spending more than those countries that spend less. This study intends to include all those factors that are responsible for improving the cost-effectiveness of health expenditures. The study took two data sets, one from the developing countries and second of developed countries as per World Bank classification. As anticipated, there are significant differences in health per capita expenditures. Determinants were also found to behave differently both in the short run and long run as well as across the two data sets.

scholarly journals Fixed Investment and Economic Growth: ARDL and Causality Exploration for SADC Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 18
Author(s):  
Reginald Masimba Mbona ◽  
Chilombo Stephania Mumba ◽  
Tinashe Mangudhla
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Purchasing Power Parity ◽  
Power Parity ◽  
Fixed Investment ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Using Data ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Marginal Returns

In assessing the short run and the long-run effects of fixed investment and economic growth among Southern Africa countries, we evaluated the economic progress of the SADC (Southern African Development Committee) region. Our objective is to determine how variables (GDP, purchasing power parity, inflation, electricity, balance-of-payments, and unemployment) can be affected by the fixed investment. In determining how fixed investment affects economic activities and policies among the states, the ADRL estimation approach is applied. Using data from 13 countries in the SADC region from the period 1992-2018, we enumerate the variables’ marginal returns against the fixed investment component. The results of diagnostic and other tests show that all statistical procedures are robust. The result proves that the benefits of fixed investment are yielded over a long period rather than short periods. As a result, the cost in the short term cannot be compared to the benefits that will be enjoyed later by an economy as it becomes productive. Furthermore, the lack of consistent fixed investment among countries will eventually lead to insufficient cash flow, which will negatively affect the currency. These results would seem to suggest that the introduction of policies that promote investment will massively contribute to increased productivity and positive economic growth in the region.

Rationality at the Brink: The Role of Cognitive Processes in Failures of Deterrence

1978 ◽  
Vol 30 (3) ◽  
pp. 345-365 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jack L. Snyder
Keyword(s):  
Cognitive Theory ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
The Other ◽  
International Crises ◽  
Value Conflicts ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The One ◽  
The Cost

Decision makers in international crises seek to reconcile two values: on the one hand, avoiding the loss of prestige and credibility that capitulation would entail and, on the other, avoiding war. These values conflict with each other, in the sense that any policy designed to further one of them will jeopardize the other. Cognitive theory suggests that in ambiguous circumstances a decision maker will suppress uncomfortable value conflicts, conceptualizing his dilemma in such a way that the values appear to be consonant. President Kennedy's process of decision and rationalization in the Cuban missile crisis fits this pattern. He contended that compromise would allay the risk of war in the short run only at the cost of increasing it in the long run. Thus, he saw his policy of no compromise as furthering both the goal of maintaining U.S. prestige and credibility and the goal of avoiding war.

scholarly journals Knowledge Transfer, Transitional Dynamics and Optimal Research & Development Policy in a Dynamic Monopoly Setting

2020 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
pp. 579-606
Author(s):  
Jürgen Antony ◽  
Torben Klarl
Keyword(s):  
Product Quality ◽  
Development Policy ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Research Development ◽  
Subsidy Rate ◽  
Product Innovations ◽  
Dynamic Monopoly ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Cost

Abstract This paper focuses on the question of whether or not a reduction of the knowledge barrier is good for welfare. Based on a dynamic monopoly setting with simultaneous investment decisions in process as well as in product Research & Development (R&D), we show that a reduction of the knowledge barrier has ambiguous welfare consequences: due to a lower knowledge barrier, product quality and welfare increase in the short-run. However, this may not necessarily be the case in the long-run. One reason is that a positive long-lasting knowledge barrier shock triggers the monopolist sub-optimally to reduce its product R&D investments today and in the future at the cost of future product quality. This in turn may reduce welfare. Accordingly, to realize the first-best level of product quality, the long-run optimal R&D subsidy rate for product innovations increases with a reduction of the knowledge barrier.

scholarly journals An Empirical Model for the Indian Foreign Investment and Stock Market Volatility: Evidence From ARDL Bounds Testing Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 154
Author(s):  
Amar Singh ◽  
Arvind Mohan
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Market Volatility ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Ardl Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Bound Test

Foreign investment is a major factor to determine volatility in the stock market. To discover the influence on Stock Market volatility of foreign investment we have considered FE, FD, and FDI as proxy variables of foreign investment and Indian stock market volatility is represented by Indian vix. The period for this study is 2009 to 2017 (monthly data).  To address this issue of volatility in the long/short-run we have applied the ARDL. The preference given to the ARDL model over Johansen co-integration is to the difference in the order of integration among the variables. ARDL model allows us to combine the I(0) and I(1) series whereas I(1) required in the case of Johansen approach. Results of unit root confirm the I(0)/I(1) order of integration, which allows us to apply the ADRL bound test. F-statistics is higher than the upper bound critical value at 10%, 5% and providing the evidence of co-integration among variables at a 5% level of significance. Hence, there is a long-run relationship amid the variables. Long-run form results show the negative sign of the coefficient and it is significant. The ECM value is (-0.9671) and it confirms that nearly 96.71 % of the inaccuracy rose in each period and automatically corrected in specified time period.

Iran’s Inflationary Experience: Demand Pressures, External Shocks, and Supply Constraints

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Magda Kandil ◽  
Ida A. Mirzaie
Keyword(s):  
Iraq War ◽  
Binding Capacity ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
External Shocks ◽  
Public And Private ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Oil Resources ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Cost

AbstractThis paper studies determinants of inflation in Iran. The buildup of international reserves has accelerated during the episode of higher oil price. The associated increase in government spending has limited contribution to capacity building and pronounced inflationary pressures, which accelerated at the beginning of the Iran-Iraq war in 1980, and eased at the end of the war in 1988. Accommodating monetary stance has proven to be an important determinant of inflation, both in the long and in the short-runs. In the long-run, depreciation of the rial increases the cost of intermediate goods, increasing inflationary pressures with limited significant effect on output. In contrast, depreciation could boost competitiveness of non-energy exports, in support of higher demand and output growth in the short-run. For policy implications, priorities going forward should be in place to direct both public and private resources toward relaxing binding capacity constraints, capitalizing on oil resources in Iran and the prospects of the positive implications of lifting sanctions in the context of the recent nuclear agreement between Iran and the G5+1 countries.

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