Shape of creep curves in frozen soils and polycrystalline ice
A new method was developed for determining creep parameters, particularly the time to failure, from a single linear plot in which an individual creep curve forms a straight line for primary and tertiary creep. Secondary creep is considered to be a principal point on this line that predetermines the onset of failure. The times to failure can be predicted even when creep tests are not complete by extrapolating information obtained for primary creep. Based upon T. H. Jacka's test data, prediction of creep strain was evaluated using the constitutive equation of A. M. Fish for entire creep and compared with the modified Sinha equation of M. F. Ashby and P. Duval for attenuating creep as well as with models for primary and secondary creep. It is shown that the shape of the creep curves, and thus the creep parameters, varies with stress, temperature, and other factors. Hence, a family of creep curves cannot be described by a constitutive equation with a single set of creep parameters that do not take into account these variations without loss in the accuracy of the creep strain calculations. Key words: frozen soil, polycrystalline, ice, creep, failure, time to failure, attenuation, constitutive modelling.