Influence of different downstream users on single multipurpose reservoir operation by chance constraints
A chance-constrained model is applied to solve the problem of long-term planning of the operation of a single multipurpose reservoir. Apart from the direct multipurpose use of water from the reservoir downstream, releases are available for use. The influence of downstream users is taken into account by a special form of objective function. Releases are bounded by the capacity of the outlet works above and by the guaranteed minimum from below. These two bounds are constraints on the control space. The model uses a chance-constrained programming algorithm to yield the control trajectory (releases) closest to the optimum. The properties of the chance-constrained program reveal a strong influence of changes of the control space on releases. This enables a release strategy to be derived which will increase the utilization of water from the reservoir. The application and results presented in this paper refer to the Prohor Reservoir on the Pcinja River in the Vardar River basin, Yugoslavia. Key words: multipurpose reservoir, mathematical modeling, optimization, chance constraints, control space.