On the role of uncertainty in the limit states design of steel structures
1980 ◽
Vol 7
(4)
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pp. 588-596
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Keyword(s):
The study of current work on steel code calibration shows that uncertainties in member resistances, load effects, and structural analysis are most usually assumed to have mean values equal to unity. The risk of failure that would result from the apparent safety index is higher than borne out by experience. Perhaps more important is the fact that it is necessary to assume elastic and determinate properties. These restrictions are removed if the various uncertainties are examined separately. It is then shown that their combined effect leads to a global uncertainty of a random nature, whose mean value is less than 1.0. The actual risk of failure is 5–10 times lower than the apparent one.