Bayesian model discrimination for BOD analyses

1977 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 371-379 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas W. Constable ◽  
Edward A. McBean

The Hsiang–Reilly method, a discrete Bayesian model discrimination technique, is used to select the best model of several alternative models to describe data relating observed BOD exertion as a function of time. Use of this approach avoids the need for linearization of equations and results in distributed probability estimates of the parameter magnitudes rather than simply point estimates. A case study application to the raw influent and primary effluent of the Waterloo Pollution Control Plant is included. The results indicate that although a three-parameter model often gives a better fit to observed BOD data than the two-parameter first-order model, differences between the BOD-progression curves for the models are often so small as to be insignificant. In view of these small differences, and considering that none of the proposed models could adequately describe observed deviations from the exponential BOD curves, the use of the first-order equation to describe BOD-progression relationships for the Waterloo Pollution Control Plant appears to be justified.

1977 ◽  
Vol 4 (4) ◽  
pp. 462-470 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas W. Constable ◽  
Edward A. McBean

Two nonlinear parameter estimation techniques are used to obtain expected values, variances, and covariance estimates for L and k in the first-order BOD equation. The techniques are compared with a number of other BOD parameter estimation methods with respect to both estimated values of L and k and necessary assumptions about the measurement error structure of BOD analyses. The techniques that historically have been used to estimate the parameters in the first-order BOD equation are shown to often give erroneous answers because of their use of an incorrect error structure.A case study application of the methodology to the raw influent and primary effluent of the Waterloo Pollution Control Plant is included.


2019 ◽  
Vol 42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel J. Povinelli ◽  
Gabrielle C. Glorioso ◽  
Shannon L. Kuznar ◽  
Mateja Pavlic

Abstract Hoerl and McCormack demonstrate that although animals possess a sophisticated temporal updating system, there is no evidence that they also possess a temporal reasoning system. This important case study is directly related to the broader claim that although animals are manifestly capable of first-order (perceptually-based) relational reasoning, they lack the capacity for higher-order, role-based relational reasoning. We argue this distinction applies to all domains of cognition.


Author(s):  
JATRIANA B2041142013

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengukur kinerja keuangan kampus IAIN Pontianak menggunakan pendekatan Balance Scorecard. Metode penelitian ini adalah kuantitatif dengan menggunakan statistika untuk menganalisis sampel yang digunakan sebanyak 664 orang mahasiswa dan 193 orang dosen dan pegawai. Hasil penelitian menyatakan bahwa variabel perspektif pelanggan, perpektif bisnis internal dan variabel perspektif pertumbuhan dan pembelajaran, masing-masing berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap peningkatan kinerja keuangan IAIN Pontianak.Kata Kunci : Balance Scorecard, IAIN Pontianak, Kinerja KeuanganDAFTAR PUSTAKA Andriyanto, R. W., & Metalia, M. (2010). Efektivitas Balanced Scorecard Dalam Maningkatkan Kinerja Manajerial Badan Usaha Milik Negara (Bumn). Jurnal Akuntansi dan Investasi, 11(2), 97-114.Arikunto, S. 1992. Prosedur penelitian: Suatu pendekatan praktik. Rineka Cipta.Bastian, Indra. 2006. Akutansi Sektor Publik, Suatu Pengantar. Jakarta: Airlangga.Brown, Cindy. 2012. Application of the Balanced Scorecard in Higher Education: Opportunities and Challenges - An Evaluation of Balanced Scorecard Implementation at the College of St. Scolastica. SCUP; Society for College and University Planning. www.scup.org/phe.html.Effendi, R. (2012). Pengukuran Kinerja Sektor Publik Dengan Menggunakan Balanced Scorecard (Studi Kasus Kanwil DJP Sumsel dan Kep. Babel). Jurnal Ilmiah Stie Mdp, 1(2), 67-73.Gaspersz, Vicent. 2002. Sistem Manajemen Kinerja Terintegrasi: Balanced Scorecard dengan Six Sigma untuk Organisasi Bisnis dan Pemerintah. Cet ke-3, Jakarta: Gramedia Pustaka UtamaHandayani, S. (2017). Analisis Balanced Scorecard Sebagai Tolok Ukur Kinerja Perusahaan Pada Pt Pos Indonesia ( Persero ) Lamongan. Jurnal Penelitian Ekonomi dan Akuntansi, II(3), 589-601.IAIN Pontianak. 2019. “Sistem Informasi Akademik Institut Agama Islam Negeri Pontianak.” Mahasiswa IAIN Pontianak. www.sia.iainptk.ac.id.Kaplan, S. Robert, and David P. Norton. 2000. Balanced Scorecard, Menerapkan Strategi Menjadi Aksi. Jakarta: Penerbit Erlangga.Karathanos, Dementrius, and Patricia Karathanos. 2005. “Appliying the Balanced Scoredard to Education.” Journal of Education for Business: 222–30.Kemenristek Dikti RI. 2019. “Pangkalan Data Pendidikan Tinggi:  Kementrian Riset , Teknologi, Dan Pendidikan Tinggi.” Tenaga Pendidik  IAIN Pontianak. www/forlap.ristekdikti.go.id.Kementrian Agama RI. 2019. “Seleksi Prestasi Akademik Nasional APerguruan Tinggi Keagamaan Islam Negeri.” SPAN PTKIN 2019. https://span-ptkin.ac.id.Mahsun, Muhammad. 2006. Pengukuran Kinerja Sektor Publik. 1st ed. Yogyakarta: BPFE.Mardiasmo. 2004. Akuntansi Sektor Publik. 1st ed. Yogyakarta: BPFE.Mulyadi. 2007. Balanced Scorecard, Alat Manajemen Kontemporer Untuk Pelipatganda Kinerja Keuangan Perusahaan. 1st ed. Jakarta: Penerbit Salemba Empat.Nugrahini, I. A. P., Ratnadi, N. M. D., & Putri, I. G. A. M. A. D. (2016). Penilaian Kinerja Berdasarkan Balanced Scorecard Pada Badan Penanaman Modal Dan Perijinan Daerah Kabupaten Tabanan. E-Jurnal Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Udayana, 5(4), 829-856.Rollins, Andrea Mae. 2011. “A Case Study: Application of Balanced Scorecard in Hingher Education.” PhD Dissertation. San Diego State University.Singarimbun, Masri, and Sofian Effendi. 1989. Metode Penelitian Survey. Jakarta: LP3ES.Sugiono. 2005. Metode Penelitian Bisnis. Bandung: Alfabeta.Suta, I. W. P., & Dwiastuti, G. A. A. S. A. (2016). Pengukuran Kinerja Dengan Pendekatan Balanced Scorecard Pada Kantor Pusat Pt Bank Pembangunan Daerah Bali. Jurnal Bisnis Dan Kewirausahaan, 12(1), 32-41.Syarbaini, Khatib. 1986. “Fakultas Tarbiyah (Ketikan Manual).”Yassin, A., Musadieq, M. A., & Afrianty, T. W. (2016). Pengaruh Balanced Scorecard Dan Knowledge Management Terhadap Kinerja Karyawan Dan Kinerja Perusahaan (Studi Pada Karyawan Pt Semen Indonesia (Persero) Tbk). Jurnal Administrasi Bisnis, 33(2), 125-134.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 (15) ◽  
pp. 3796-3806
Author(s):  
Robert Morton ◽  
James Ecker ◽  
Robert Hickey ◽  
Daniel Gary ◽  
Andy Lee ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sebastian Baum ◽  
Marcela Carena ◽  
Nausheen R. Shah ◽  
Carlos E. M. Wagner ◽  
Yikun Wang

Abstract Electroweak baryogenesis is an attractive mechanism to generate the baryon asymmetry of the Universe via a strong first order electroweak phase transition. We compare the phase transition patterns suggested by the vacuum structure at the critical temperatures, at which local minima are degenerate, with those obtained from computing the probability for nucleation via tunneling through the barrier separating local minima. Heuristically, nucleation becomes difficult if the barrier between the local minima is too high, or if the distance (in field space) between the minima is too large. As an example of a model exhibiting such behavior, we study the Next-to-Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model, whose scalar sector contains two SU(2) doublets and one gauge singlet. We find that the calculation of the nucleation probabilities prefers different regions of parameter space for a strong first order electroweak phase transition than the calculation based solely on the critical temperatures. Our results demonstrate that analyzing only the vacuum structure via the critical temperatures can provide a misleading picture of the phase transition patterns, and, in turn, of the parameter space suitable for electroweak baryogenesis.


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