Real-time travel time predictor for route guidance consistent with driver behavior

2012 ◽  
Vol 39 (10) ◽  
pp. 1113-1124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tian-dong Xu ◽  
Yuan Hao ◽  
Zhong-ren Peng ◽  
Li-jun Sun
Keyword(s):  
Travel Time ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Time Estimation ◽  
Field Testing ◽  
Pilot Project ◽  
Time Travel ◽  
Guidance System ◽  
Route Guidance ◽  
Travel Time Prediction ◽  
Traffic Conditions

Providing reliable real-time travel time information is a critical challenge to all existing traffic routing systems. This study develops a new model for estimating and predicting real-time traffic conditions and travel times for variable message signs-based route guidance system. The proposed model is based on real-time limited detected traffic data, stochastic nonlinear macroscopic traffic flow model, and adaptive Kalman filtering theory. The method has the following main features: (1) real-time estimation and prediction of traffic conditions on a network level using limited traffic detectors, (2) travel time prediction in free flow and congested flow, and (3) prediction of drivers’ en-route diversion behavior. Field testing is conducted based on the Route Guidance Pilot Project sponsored by the National Science and Technology Ministry of China. The achieved testing results are satisfactory and have potential use for future works and field applications.

Real-time Travel Time Estimation with Sparse Reliable Surveillance Information

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-23
Author(s):  
Wen Zhang ◽  
Yang Wang ◽  
Xike Xie ◽  
Chuancai Ge ◽  
Hengchang Liu
Keyword(s):  
Travel Time ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Time Estimation ◽  
Time Travel ◽  
Travel Time Estimation

Dynamic Travel Time Estimation Techniques for Urban Freight Transportation Networks Using Historical and Real-Time Data

2011 ◽  
pp. 252-273
Author(s):  
Vasileios Zeimpekis
Keyword(s):  
Travel Time ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Time Estimation ◽  
Travel Time Estimation ◽  
Travel Time Prediction ◽  
Time Data ◽  
Urban Freight ◽  
Real Time Traffic ◽  
Real Time Data

Effective travel time prediction is of great importance for efficient real-time management of freight deliveries, especially in urban networks. This is due to the need for dynamic handling of unexpected events, which is an important factor for successful completion of a delivery schedule in a predefined time period. This chapter discusses the prediction results generated by two travel time estimation methods that use historical and real-time data respectively. The first method follows the k-nn model, which relies on the non-parametric regression method, whereas the second one relies on an interpolation scheme which is employed during the transmission of real-time traffic data in fixed intervals. The study focuses on exploring the interaction of factors that affect prediction accuracy by modelling both prediction methods. The data employed are provided by real-life scenarios of a freight carrier and the experiments follow a 2-level full factorial design approach.

Evaluating Effectiveness of Real-Time Advanced Traveler Information Systems Using a Small Test Vehicle Fleet

1997 ◽  
Vol 1588 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-48 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher L. Saricks ◽  
Joseph L. Schofer ◽  
Siim Sööt ◽  
Paul A. Belella
Keyword(s):  
Travel Time ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Time Of Day ◽  
Guidance System ◽  
Effective Characteristics ◽  
Local Network ◽  
Route Guidance ◽  
Time Data ◽  
Traveler Information ◽  
Link Travel Time

ADVANCE was an in-vehicle advanced traveler information system (ATIS) providing route guidance in real time that operated in the northwestern portion and northwest suburbs of Chicago, Illinois. It used probe vehicles to generate dynamically travel time information about expressways, arterials, and local streets. Tests to evaluate the subsystems of ADVANCE, executed with limited availability of test vehicles and stringent scheduling, are described; they provided useful insights into both the performance of the ADVANCE system as a whole and the desirable and effective characteristics of ATIS deployments generally. Tests found that the user features of an in-route guidance system must be able to accommodate a broad range of technological sophistication and network knowledge among the population likely to become regular users of such a system. For users who know the local network configuration, only a system giving reliable real-time data about nonrecurrent congestion is likely to find a market base beyond specialized applications. In general, the quality and usefulness of systemwide real-time route guidance provided by other means are enhanced significantly by even a small deployment of probes: probe data greatly improve static (archival average) link travel time estimates by time of day, although the guidance algorithms that use these data should also include arterial traffic signal timings. Moreover, probe- and detector-based incident detection on arterial networks shows considerable promise for improved performance and reliability.

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