River flow forecasting using different artificial neural network algorithms and wavelet transform

2009 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-38 ◽  
Author(s):  
Turgay Partal

In this study, the wavelet–neural network structure that combines wavelet transform and artificial neural networks has been employed to forecast the river flows of Turkey. Discrete wavelet transforms, which are useful to obtain to the periodic components of the measured data, have significantly positive effects on artificial neural network modeling performance. Generally, the feed-forward back-propagation method was studied with respect to artificial neural network applications to water resources data. In this study, the performance of generalized neural networks and radial basis neural networks were compared with feed-forward back-propagation methods. Six different models were studied for forecasting of monthly river flows. It was seen that the wavelet and feed-forward back-propagation model was superior to the other models in terms of selected performance criteria.

10.17158/320 ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric John G. Emberda ◽  
Den Ryan L. Dumas ◽  
Timothy Pierce M. Rentillo

<p>This study compared the use of Linear Regression and Feed Forward Backpropagation Artificial Neural Network (ANN) in forecasting the coconut yield and copra yield of a selected area in Davao region. Raw data were gathered from the Philippine Coconut Authority, Davao Research Center. An ANN model was created and tested repeatedly to the best combination of nodes. Accuracy of the forecast between the two methods was compared by looking at the mean square error and the standard error for variable x and y. Results showed that the use of Feed Forward Back Propagation Artificial Neural Network gives better accuracy of the forecast data.</p>


Author(s):  
Shreeniket Trivedi ◽  

The solar power generation (renewable energy) is the cleanest form of energy generation method and the solar power plant has a very long life and also is maintenance-free, but due to the high unpredictability of the generated solar power due to dynamically changing environmental factors it cannot be used as the reliable source of power. This prevents the maximum utilization of solar energy. In this project we are designing the artificial neural network model to predict the power generated depending on the various environmental factors like visibility, cloud cover (sky cover), etc. the intensity of the incident of the solar radiation decreases and thus the plant is not able to work at its rated capacity. We use Artificial Neural Network (ANN) with Feed Forward Back Propagation (FFBP) technique and predicted the percentage of the maximum plant capacity which will be generated by considering the environmental factors like temperature, pressure, distance to solar noon, day light, sky cover, visibility, humidity, wind speed, wind direction and compared our results with available data and find quite encouraging results.


Author(s):  
Pooja Yadav ◽  
Atish Sagar

Rainfall prediction is clearly of great importance for any country. One would like to make long term prediction, i.e. predict total monsoon rainfall a few weeks or months and in advance short term prediction, i.e. predict rainfall over different locations a few days in advance [1]. Predicted by using its correlation with observed parameter. Several regression and neural network based models are currently available. While Artificial Neural Network provide a great deal of promise, they also embody much uncertainty [2,3]. In this paper, different artificial neural network models have been created for the rainfall prediction of Uttarakhand region in India. These ANN models were created using training algorithms namely, feed-forward back propagation algorithm [4,5]. The number of neurons for all the models was kept at 10. The mean squared error was measured for each model and the best accuracy was obtained by the feed-forward back propagation algorithm with MSE value as low as 0.00547823.


Author(s):  
Asma Elyounsi ◽  
Hatem Tlijani ◽  
Mohamed Salim Bouhlel

Traditional neural networks are very diverse and have been used during the last decades in the fields of data classification. These networks like MLP, back propagation neural networks (BPNN) and feed forward network have shown inability to scale with problem size and with the slow convergence rate. So in order to overcome these numbers of drawbacks, the use of higher order neural networks (HONNs) becomes the solution by adding input units along with a stronger functioning of other neural units in the network and transforms easily these input units to hidden layers. In this paper, a new metaheuristic method, Firefly (FFA), is applied to calculate the optimal weights of the Functional Link Artificial Neural Network (FLANN) by using the flashing behavior of fireflies in order to classify ISA-Radar target. The average classification result of FLANN-FFA which reached 96% shows the efficiency of the process compared to other tested methods.


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