scholarly journals Advanced approaches to hot-mix asphalt dynamic modulus prediction

2008 ◽  
Vol 35 (7) ◽  
pp. 699-707 ◽  
Author(s):  
Halil Ceylan ◽  
Kasthurirangan Gopalakrishnan ◽  
Sunghwan Kim
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Dynamic Modulus ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Hot Mix Asphalt ◽  
Logical Structure ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Model Predictions ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
National Cooperative

The dynamic modulus (|E*|) is one of the primary hot-mix asphalt (HMA) material property inputs at all three hierarchical levels in the new Mechanistic–empirical pavement design guide (MEPDG). The existing |E*| prediction models were developed mainly from regression analysis of an |E*| database obtained from laboratory testing over many years and, in general, lack the necessary accuracy for making reliable predictions. This paper describes the development of a simplified HMA |E*| prediction model employing artificial neural network (ANN) methodology. The intelligent |E*| prediction models were developed using the latest comprehensive |E*| database that is available to researchers (from National Cooperative Highway Research Program Report 547) containing 7400 data points from 346 HMA mixtures. The ANN model predictions were compared with the Hirsch |E*| prediction model, which has a logical structure and a relatively simple prediction model in terms of the number of input parameters needed with respect to the existing |E*| models. The ANN-based |E*| predictions showed significantly higher accuracy compared with the Hirsch model predictions. The sensitivity of input variables to the ANN model predictions were also examined and discussed.

scholarly journals Analysis of Model Performance and Implementation of an Optimized Flood Prediction Model Using Data Mining Techniques

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 888-893
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Flood Prediction ◽  
River Region ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Flooding is a major problem globally, and especially in SuratThani province, Thailand. Along the lower Tapeeriver in SuratThani, the population density is high. Implementing an early warning system can benefit people living along the banks here. In this study, our aim was to build a flood prediction model using artificial neural network (ANN), which would utilize water and stream levels along the lower Tapeeriver to predict floods. This model was used to predict flood using a dataset of rainfall and stream levels measured at local stations. The developed flood prediction model consisted of 4 input variables, namely, the rainfall amounts and stream levels at stations located in the PhraSeang district (X.37A), the Khian Sa district (X.217), and in the Phunphin district (X.5C). Model performance was evaluated using input data spanning a period of eight years (2011–2018). The model performance was compared with support vector machine (SVM), and ANN had better accuracy. The results showed an accuracy of 97.91% for the ANN model; however, for SVM it was 97.54%. Furthermore, the recall (42.78%) and f-measure (52.24%) were better for our model, however, the precision was lower. Therefore, the designed flood prediction model can estimate the likelihood of floods around the lower Tapee river region

Modeling of lime production process using artificial neural network

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Abolghasem Daeichian ◽  
Rana Shahramfar ◽  
Elham Heidari
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Production Process ◽  
High Energy ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Rotary Kilns ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann ◽  
Lime Production

Abstract Lime is a significant material in many industrial processes, including steelmaking by blast furnace. Lime production through rotary kilns is a standard method in industries, yet it has depreciation, high energy consumption, and environmental pollution. A model of the lime production process can help to not only increase our knowledge and awareness but also can help reduce its disadvantages. This paper presents a black-box model by Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for the lime production process considering pre-heater, rotary kiln, and cooler parameters. To this end, actual data are collected from Zobahan Isfahan Steel Company, Iran, which consists of 746 data obtained in a duration of one year. The proposed model considers 23 input variables, predicting the amount of produced lime as an output variable. The ANN parameters such as number of hidden layers, number of neurons in each layer, activation functions, and training algorithm are optimized. Then, the sensitivity of the optimum model to the input variables is investigated. Top-three input variables are selected on the basis of one-group sensitivity analysis and their interactions are studied. Finally, an ANN model is developed considering the top-three most effective input variables. The mean square error of the proposed models with 23 and 3 inputs are equal to 0.000693 and 0.004061, respectively, which shows a high prediction capability of the two proposed models.

scholarly journals Modelling and Prediction of Monthly Global Irradiation Using Different Prediction Models

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 2332
Author(s):  
Cecilia Martinez-Castillo ◽  
Gonzalo Astray ◽  
Juan Carlos Mejuto
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Random Forests ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Meteorological Station ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Global Irradiation ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Using Data

Different prediction models (multiple linear regression, vector support machines, artificial neural networks and random forests) are applied to model the monthly global irradiation (MGI) from different input variables (latitude, longitude and altitude of meteorological station, month, average temperatures, among others) of different areas of Galicia (Spain). The models were trained, validated and queried using data from three stations, and each best model was checked in two independent stations. The results obtained confirmed that the best methodology is the ANN model which presents the lowest RMSE value in the validation and querying phases 1226 kJ/(m2∙day) and 1136 kJ/(m2∙day), respectively, and predict conveniently for independent stations, 2013 kJ/(m2∙day) and 2094 kJ/(m2∙day), respectively. Given the good results obtained, it is convenient to continue with the design of artificial neural networks applied to the analysis of monthly global irradiation.

scholarly journals Dynamic Modulus Prediction of a High-Modulus Asphalt Mixture

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Chaohui Wang ◽  
Songyuan Tan ◽  
Qian Chen ◽  
Jiguo Han ◽  
Liang Song ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Multiple Regression ◽  
Dynamic Modulus ◽  
Prediction Error ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Asphalt Mixture ◽  
High Modulus ◽  
Output Stability ◽  
Svm Model

Dynamic modulus is a key evaluation index of the high-modulus asphalt mixture, but it is relatively difficult to test and collect its data. The purpose is to achieve the accurate prediction of the dynamic modulus of the high-modulus asphalt mixture and further optimize the design process of the high-modulus asphalt mixture. Five high-temperature performance indexes of high-modulus asphalt and its mixture were selected. The correlation between the above five indexes and the dynamic modulus of the high-modulus asphalt mixture was analyzed. On this basis, the dynamic modulus prediction models of the high-modulus asphalt mixture based on small sample data were established by multiple regression, general regression neural network (GRNN), and support vector machine (SVM) neural network. According to parameter adjustment and cross-validation, the output stability and accuracy of different prediction models were compared and evaluated. The most effective prediction model was recommended. The results show that the SVM model has more significant prediction accuracy and output stability than the multiple regression model and the GRNN model. Its prediction error was 0.98–9.71%. Compared with the other two models, the prediction error of the SVM model declined by 0.50–11.96% and 3.76–13.44%. The SVM neural network was recommended as the dynamic modulus prediction model of the high-modulus asphalt mixture.

scholarly journals Modeling the concentration of carbonyl of ethylene propylene diene monomer during the thermal aging using artificial neural network

2021 ◽  
Vol 03 (01) ◽  
pp. 45-52
Author(s):  
Hadjira Maouz ◽  
◽  
Asma Adda ◽  
Salah Hanini ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Thermal Aging ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Ethylene Propylene Diene Monomer ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Ethylene Propylene ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

The concentration of carbonyl is one of the most important properties contributing to the detection of the thermal aging of polymer ethylene propylene diene monomer (EPDM). In this publication, an artificial neural network (ANN) model was developed to predict concentration of carbenyl during the thermal aging of EPDM using a database consisting of seven input variables. The best fitting training data was obtained with the architecture of (7 inputs neurons, 10 hidden neurons and 1 output neuron). A Levenberg Marquardt learning (LM) algorithm, hyperbolic tangent transfer function were used at the hidden and output layer respectively. The optimal ANN was obtained with a high correlation coefficient R= 0.995 and a very low root mean square error RMSE = 0.0148 mol/l during the generalization phase. The comparison between the experimental and calculated results show that the ANN model is able of predicted the concentration of carbonyl during the thermal aging of ethylene propylene diene monomer

scholarly journals Prediction Model of Iron Ore Pellet Ambient Strength and Sensitivity Analysis on the Influence Factors

Metals ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 593 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiangjian Gao ◽  
Yingyi Zhang ◽  
Xin Jiang ◽  
Haiyan Zheng ◽  
Fengman Shen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Influence Factors ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Bp Network ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

The Ambient Compressive Strength (CS) of pellets, influenced by several factors, is regarded as a criterion to assess pellets during metallurgical processes. A prediction model based on Artificial Neural Network (ANN) was proposed in order to provide a reliable and economic control strategy for CS in pellet production and to forecast and control pellet CS. The dimensionality of 19 influence factors of CS was considered and reduced by Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The PCA variables were then used as the input variables for the Back Propagation (BP) neural network, which was upgraded by Genetic Algorithm (GA), with CS as the output variable. After training and testing with production data, the PCA-GA-BP neural network was established. Additionally, the sensitivity analysis of input variables was calculated to obtain a detailed influence on pellet CS. It has been found that prediction accuracy of the PCA-GA-BP network mentioned here is 96.4%, indicating that the ANN network is effective to predict CS in the pelletizing process.

An AI-Based Model for Predicting Instananeous Cutting Force in End Milling

Manufacturing ◽  
2002 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hazim El-Mounayri ◽  
Vipul Tandon
Keyword(s):  
Cutting Force ◽  
Frequency Domain ◽  
Cutting Forces ◽  
End Milling ◽  
Depth Of Cut ◽  
Feed Speed ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Force Signal ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

An Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model is developed to accurately predict the instantaneous cutting forces in flat end milling. A unique frequency domain approach is presented and is seen to simulate instantaneous cutting forces reasonably well. A set of eight input variables is chosen to represent the machining conditions and frequency domain parameters of the cutting force signal are generated. Three input parameters are varied, namely Feed, Speed and Depth of Cut. Four output parameters are suggested as a sufficient set to adequately reproduce the instantaneous cutting forces. Exhaustive experimentation is conducted to collect data (consisting of Fx, Fy, and Fz) to train and validate the model.

MULTI-PARAMETER ANN MODEL FOR FLAT-END MILLING

2008 ◽  
Vol 32 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 523-536 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hazim El Mounayri ◽  
M. Affan Badar ◽  
Gustavo A. Rengifo
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Surface Roughness ◽  
Cutting Force ◽  
Process Parameters ◽  
End Milling ◽  
Predictive Ability ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Network Output ◽  
Input Variables ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

The quality, productivity and safety of machining can be significantly improved through the optimization of cutting conditions. The first step in achieving such an objective is the development of accurate and reliable models for predicting the critical process parameters. In this paper, an innovative Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model that predicts both cutting force and surface roughness in end milling is developed and validated. A set of five input variables is selected to represent the machining conditions while twelve quantities representing two key process parameters, namely, cutting force and surface roughness, form the variables of the network output. Full factorial design of experiments is used to generate data for both training and validation. Successful training of the neural network is demonstrated through comparison of simulated and experimental results for four different output variables, namely cutting force, surface roughness, feed marks, and tooth passing frequency. The predictive ability of the model is verified experimentally by comparing simulated output variables with their experimental counterparts. A good agreement is observed.

scholarly journals Dielectric technique combined with artificial neural network and support vector regression in moisture content prediction of olive

2020 ◽  
Vol 66 (No. 1) ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Mahdi Rashvand ◽  
Mahmoud Soltani Firouz
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Moisture Content ◽  
Support Vector Regression ◽  
Prediction Models ◽  
Electronic Device ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Ann Model ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

Olives are one of the most important agriculture crops in the world, which are harvested in different stages of growth for various uses. One of the ways to detect the adequate time to process the olives is to determine their moisture content. In this study, to determine the moisture content of olives, a dielectric technique was used in seven periods of harvesting and three different varieties of olive including Oily, Mary and Fishemi. The dielectric properties of the olive fruits were measured using an electronic device in the range of 0.1–30 MHz. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Support Vector Regression (SVR) methods were applied to develop the prediction models by using the obtained data acquired by the system. The best results (R = 0.999 and MSE = 0.014) were obtained by the ANN model with a topology of 384–12–1 (384 features in the input vector, 12 neurons in the hidden layer and 1 output). The results obtained indicated the acceptable accuracy of the dielectric technique combined with the ANN model.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document