Approaches to the assessment and management of multispecies skate and ray fisheries using the Falkland Islands fishery as an example

2000 ◽  
Vol 57 (2) ◽  
pp. 429-440 ◽  
Author(s):  
D J Agnew ◽  
C P Nolan ◽  
J R Beddington ◽  
R Baranowski
Keyword(s):  
Individual Species ◽  
Falkland Islands ◽  
Catch Per Unit Effort ◽  
Likelihood Methods ◽  
The North ◽  
Production Models ◽  
Linear Modelling ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Methods ◽  
Modelling Techniques ◽  
Generalised Linear Modelling

Eleven rajid species are taken around the Falkland Islands, with four species, Bathyraja griseocauda, Bathyraja albomaculata, Bathyraja brachyurops, and Raja flavirostris dominating commercial catches and generally occurring together. Catch limits for individual species are not used in management because species are not separated in the catch or reported separately. The catch per unit effort for the mixed rajid assemblage was standardised using generalised linear modelling techniques, and two production models were used to estimate stock size and sustainable yield. Maximum likelihood methods were used to demonstrate that there are two distinct rajid communities, one to the north and one to the south of the Falkland Islands, which have different sustainable yields. Changes in species composition over the 10-year course of the fishery confirm theoretical expectations that the larger, later-maturing B. griseocauda is being replaced in catches by the smaller, earlier-maturing B. albomaculata and B. brachyurops. These changes in composition were evident after only 6 years of directed fishing. The current fishery to the north of the Falkland Islands appears to be stable at an annual catch of about 3000 t, which is between 6.5 and 7.6% of the estimated pre-exploitation biomass.

The Modelling of Recent Mortality Trends in United Kingdom Male Assured Lives

1996 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 449-477 ◽  
Author(s):  
A.E. Renshaw ◽  
S. Haberman ◽  
P. Hatzopoulos
Keyword(s):  
Time Trends ◽  
Ad Hoc ◽  
Mortality Rates ◽  
Parametric Models ◽  
Recent Past ◽  
Mortality Trends ◽  
Linear Modelling ◽  
Age Variation ◽  
Modelling Techniques ◽  
Generalised Linear Modelling

ABSTRACTDeaths and exposures by individual calendar year and individual years of age for the U.K. male assured lives experience over the recent past are comprehensively modelled using generalised linear modelling techniques. Our principal objective is to develop a model which incorporates both the age variation in mortality and the underlying time trends in the mortality rates. The approach has considerable advantages over ad hoc methods of fitting parametric models to represent the age variation in mortality and then separately attempting to represent the time trends in the parameters of these models. The approach advocated can be seen as an extension to the conventional parametric graduation techniques used by the CMI Bureau to represent trends in mortality.

Distribution and abundance of the tiger prawns Penaeus esculentus and P. semisulcatus in the north-western Gulf of Carpentaria, Australia

1987 ◽  
Vol 38 (1) ◽  
pp. 63 ◽  
Author(s):  
IF Somers ◽  
PJ Crocos ◽  
BJ Hill
Keyword(s):  
Water Temperature ◽  
Individual Species ◽  
Northern Coast ◽  
Catch Per Unit Effort ◽  
Nursery Areas ◽  
The North ◽  
Juvenile Abundance ◽  
Tiger Prawn ◽  
North Western ◽  
Trawl Surveys

Trawl surveys in the north-western Gulf of Carpentaria were carried out each lunar month from August 1983 to March 1985 to assess the temporal and spatial distribution and abundance of P. esculentus and P. semisulcatus. The information obtained was then compared with that from fishermen's logbooks. Water temperature and salinity were monitored during the study and their possible influence on the distributions has been inferred. The distributions of juveniles of less than 20 mm carapace length indicated that, for both tiger prawn species, the main nursery areas in the region were in Blue Mud Bay and in the bays along the northern coast of Groote Eylandt. Although the two species shared the same nursery areas, the juveniles were concentrated in different parts of Blue Mud Bay and were most abundant at different times. Catches of juvenile P. esculentus increased substantially in October and peaked in November, whereas catches of juvenile P. semisulcatus increased in November and peaked in January. Catches of both species showed a secondary peak in March 1984, coincident with the heaviest monthly rainfall of the summer monsoon season. The distribution of larger prawns showed spatial separation of the two species in the offshore fishery. The monthly pattern of the catch-per-unit-effort (CPUE) of the two tiger prawn species combined was similar to that obtained from fishermen's logbooks; the logbook data are therefore generally reliable. Monthly CPUE from the trawl surveys for the individual species showed distinct peaks in late summer, which were apparently related to recruitment of small prawns into the fishery. CPUE for P. semisulcatus peaked in February and April (juvenile abundance had peaked in January and March); CPUE for P. esculentus peaked in January and May (juvenile abundance had peaked in November and March). However, a distinct CPUE peak in spring (August/September) for P. semisulcatus could not be related to a previous peak in juvenile abundance; this was presumably a result of an increase in catchability. Although there was evidence linking changes in the catchability of P. semisulcatus to changes in water temperature, a similar link was not as evident for P. esculentus.

scholarly journals Spatio-temporal associations of albacore CPUEs in the Northeastern Pacific with regional SST and climate environmental variables

2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (7) ◽  
pp. 1717-1727 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Jason Phillips ◽  
Lorenzo Ciannelli ◽  
Richard D. Brodeur ◽  
William G. Pearcy ◽  
John Childers
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Environmental Variability ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Spatial Dynamics ◽  
Catch Per Unit Effort ◽  
Variable Effect ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
The North ◽  
Additive Mixed Models

Abstract This study investigated the spatial distribution of juvenile North Pacific albacore (Thunnus alalunga) in relation to local environmental variability [i.e. sea surface temperature (SST)], and two large-scale indices of climate variability, [the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the Multivariate El Niño/Southern Oscillation Index (MEI)]. Changes in local and climate variables were correlated with 48 years of albacore troll catch per unit effort (CPUE) in 1° latitude/longitude cells, using threshold Generalized Additive Mixed Models (tGAMMs). Model terms were included to account for non-stationary and spatially variable effects of the intervening covariates on albacore CPUE. Results indicate that SST had a positive and spatially variable effect on albacore CPUE, with increasingly positive effects to the North, while PDO had an overall negative effect. Although albacore CPUE increased with SST both before and after a threshold year of 1986, such effect geographically shifted north after 1986. This is the first study to demonstrate the non-stationary spatial dynamics of albacore tuna, linked with a major shift of the North Pacific. Results imply that if ocean temperatures continue to increase, US west coast fisher communities reliant on commercial albacore fisheries are likely to be negatively affected in the southern areas but positively affected in the northern areas, where current albacore landings are highest.

scholarly journals Selecting between causal and noncausal models with quantile autoregressions

2020 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Alain Hecq ◽  
Li Sun
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Financial Time Series ◽  
Selection Criterion ◽  
Likelihood Methods ◽  
Approximate Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Financial Time ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Methods ◽  
Latin American Countries

AbstractWe propose a model selection criterion to detect purely causal from purely noncausal models in the framework of quantile autoregressions (QAR). We also present asymptotics for the i.i.d. case with regularly varying distributed innovations in QAR. This new modelling perspective is appealing for investigating the presence of bubbles in economic and financial time series, and is an alternative to approximate maximum likelihood methods. We illustrate our analysis using hyperinflation episodes of Latin American countries.

scholarly journals A Generalized Rayleigh Family of Distributions Based on the Modified Slash Model

Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 1226
Author(s):  
Inmaculada Barranco-Chamorro ◽  
Yuri A. Iriarte ◽  
Yolanda M. Gómez ◽  
Juan M. Astorga ◽  
Héctor W. Gómez
Keyword(s):  
Heavy Tails ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Rate Function ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Estimation Of Parameters ◽  
Stochastic Representation ◽  
Likelihood Methods ◽  
Chi Square ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Methods ◽  
Family Of Distributions

Specifying a proper statistical model to represent asymmetric lifetime data with high kurtosis is an open problem. In this paper, the three-parameter, modified, slashed, generalized Rayleigh family of distributions is proposed. Its structural properties are studied: stochastic representation, probability density function, hazard rate function, moments and estimation of parameters via maximum likelihood methods. As merits of our proposal, we highlight as particular cases a plethora of lifetime models, such as Rayleigh, Maxwell, half-normal and chi-square, among others, which are able to accommodate heavy tails. A simulation study and applications to real data sets are included to illustrate the use of our results.

A multi-proxy reconstruction of climate during the late-Pleistocene to early Holocene transition in the northeastern, USA

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Laurie D. Grigg ◽  
Kevin J. Engle ◽  
Alison J. Smith ◽  
Bryan N. Shuman ◽  
Maximilian B. Mandl
Keyword(s):  
Late Pleistocene ◽  
Climatic Variability ◽  
Warming Trend ◽  
Early Holocene ◽  
Individual Species ◽  
Environmental Preferences ◽  
The North ◽  
Show Evidence ◽  
Dry Conditions ◽  
Components Analysis

Abstract A multiproxy record from Twin Ponds, VT, is used to reconstruct climatic variability during the late Pleistocene to early Holocene transition. Pollen, ostracodes, δ18O, and lithologic records from 13.5 to 9.0 cal ka BP are presented. Pollen- and ostracode-inferred climatic reconstructions are based on individual species’ environmental preferences and the modern analog technique. Principal components analysis of all proxies highlights the overall warming trend and centennial-scale climatic variability. During the Younger Dryas cooling event (YD), multiple proxies show evidence for cold winter conditions and increasing seasonality after 12.5 cal ka BP. The early Holocene shows an initial phase of rapid warming with a brief cold interval at 11.5 cal ka BP, followed by a more gradual warming; a cool, wet period from 11.2 to 10.8 cal ka BP; and cool, dry conditions from 10.8 to 10.2 cal ka BP. The record ends with steady warming and increasing moisture. Post-YD climatic variability has been observed at other sites in the northeastern United States and points to continued instability in the North Atlantic during the final phases of deglaciation.

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