Simulated and observed response of the southwest Vancouver Island pelagic ecosystem to oceanic conditions in the 1990s
In this paper, we discuss changes in the ocean climate around La Perouse Bank off southwestern Vancouver Island, British Columbia, and its influence on the functioning of the pelagic ecosystem. We compare results of a one-dimensional simulation model of plankton and fish production and biomass dynamics with empirical data collected in the 1990s. Comparisons of simulation results with empirical data indicate that the La Perouse model can account for relative interannual changes in copepod biomass, euphausiid biomass and production, the consumption of Pacific herring (Clupea pallasi) by Pacific hake (Merluccius productus), and the growth condition factor of Pacific hake. The model is less successful at capturing changes in spring diatom biomass, the proportion of euphausiids in the Pacific hake diet, and interannual variability in the Pacific herring condition factor. A measure of overall model performance suggests that the La Perouse ecosystem model performs equally well in both strong and weak upwelling periods. The La Perouse ecosystem model has been used to generate an annual index of net phytoplankton and macrozooplankton production for the coastal upwelling region off southwestern Vancouver Island from 1967 to 1998.